Exponentialmovingaverages
NEOUSDT | Bullish Trend | Resistance Confluence | Low Volume Today's analysis – NEOUSDT - Currently trading in a healthy uptrend, retesting structural support.
Points to consider:
- Bullish trend- consecutive higher lows
- Trend line support holding true
- 55 EMA (visual guide)
- Fibonacci and structural resistance confluence
- Declining immediate volume
- RSI below 50
NEOUSDT’s trend has been putting in consecutive higher lows, now trading between two important levels, structural support and structural resistance.
The current trend line support is holding true, a higher low projection will be at play until the trend line has been breached.
The 55 EMA will act as a visual guide; price trading above this indicator will support the bullish bias.
However, the .618 Fibonacci retracement in conjunction with structural resistance has been serving as a strong resistance zone where price has had multiple failed attempts to breakthrough.
Historically we have seen an influx of volume correlate with an expansion of volatility, thus, the current decline in volume is indicative of an influx being imminent.
The RSI is currently just below 50, bias is still bearish in the immediate market. However it is attempting to cross back above 50, trading beyond this level will indicate increasing strength in the market.
Overall, in my opinion, NEOUSDT is likely to continue its uptrend and consolidate within structural resistance and trend support as it reaches its apex where a break is expected. A long trade will be valid with a break and retest of structural support with volume follow-through to avoid fake-outs.
DASHUSDT | Impending Breakout | Apex | Symmetrical Triangle Todays Analysis – DASHUSDT – Consolidating in a symmetrical triangle, nearing its apex where a breakout is probable.
Points to consider:
Multi-confluence resistance cluster
Support and resistance converging (Apex)
Declining volume
RSI showing weakness
DASHUSDT has been in a multi-week no trend scenario, trading within a contracting range where resistance is being held by the 200 EMA and .5 Fibonacci retracement.
Volume has also been on a steady decline, indication of an influx being imminent, possibly coinciding with the breakout.
RSI is also below 50 showing weakness in the market.
Overall, in my opinion, a break in either direction is impending. The break needs to be backed with increasing volume to solidify legitimacy and avoid any fake outs.
SNTBTC | Apex Zone | Healthy Trend | Low Volume Todays chart - SNTBTC – Respecting a healthy uptrend, impending the apex zone where a breakout is most probable.
Points to consider:
- Nearing its Apex
- Volume Declining
- RSI breaking 50
- 55 EMA (visual support)
SNT BTC trading into trend resistance, historically leading to impulsive breakouts.
Volume has clearly subsided, indicating an influx being imminent, this will coincide with the possible breakout.
The RSI is attempting to cross above 50, trading beyond this level will indicate increasing strength in the market.
The 55 EMA will act as a visual guide; price trading above this indicator will support the bullish bias
Overall, in my opinion, SNT needs to respect the local trend where a bullish breakout is expected validating technical targets above.
Bitcoin CME and Spot RSI LongTermOn the Weekly RSI , you can see a formation has been resolved to the upside and the RSI line tested the formation and became support.
And on the RSI , the MA and EMA of it have a positive slope.
So far So good.
This formation is on CME and Spot at the same time.
On the other hand on Moving Average perspective the lower periods are on top of higher periods and they have a positive slope.
Altcoin Market Cap in BTC - Long-Term ViewLet me just start by saying that I do realize that my methods are quite unorthodox, but I'm sure you'll find them convincing nonetheless. Thank you for reading, and please show your support by hitting the "Like" / "Follow" button now.
The chart you're seeing here is the market cap of all altcoins combined in BTC (not USD). The formula used is TOTAL2/BTCUSD. It is my opinion that looking at it in USD just taints one's view, and it's very difficult to draw conclusions from that data. As you can see here, the data is very clean, reliable, and tells a really good story.
In this weekly chart, you can see that the altcoin market established a support in Feb 2017 (lower yellow line), which it has not broken till date. It then established another support during the crypto Christmas of Dec '17 (upper yellow line), which was tested in May '19, and broken in June '19. So we're back to our original support, which has now been tested 3 times, and held.
There are also two resistance lines shown (in blue). Our solid support helped break the first resistance line in Jan '20, and we are at this moment getting squeezed between the solid support and the next resistance line. You'll also notice that the 50 Week EMA (orange line) is forming a confluence with the resistance line overhead, which has historically also acted as a support/resistance.
Another thing to look at is the Volume Flow Indicator (VFI) at the bottom of the screen, which I believe is indicating a bullish divergence in the weekly timeframe. If you want to know why I'm looking at this indicator, see my tutorial linked below.
When I think of all these factors combined: strong support underneath, 50 Week EMA overhead that has been pierced twice recently, and squeeze between support and resistance, combined with the fact that the support didn't break even during the COVID crash, and the general positive energy in the altcoin market right now, I can't help but feel bullish about the altcoin market. The squeeze seems to be terminating in the third week of July, so I think we will have a decision by then.
The wildcard is the impending potential stock market crash, but seeing as the last crash (Mar '20) actually gave the altcoin market a pump, I'm not worried about that at all. Keep in mind though that I'm talking about prices in BTC, not USD, so if you're trading altcoins in USD then you have to take the price of BTC in USD into account... forewarned is forearmed.
This is my idea on how the altcoin market might behave in the coming weeks. If you find it helpful, please Like the idea. Also would be great to Follow me so you can be notified of my future ideas.
Do you agree or disagree with me? Do you have any feedback? Let me know in the comments.
Disclaimer
No Investment Advice Provided
Any opinions, chats, messages, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this Post/Idea or in connection with it are provided as general market information for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not constitute investment advice. This Post/Idea should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent market research before making your actual trading decisions. Opinions, market data, recommendations or any other content is subject to change at any time without notice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
I do not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of trading decisions. I do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.