Valuation Chart for Exxon Mobil (by The Equty Channel)Average analyst target for Exxon s higher at $127.79. Traders who want to take advantage of this may wait to enter the trade near far value of $83.64. Oil prices hare being negatively impacted by the current economic environment and there could be some near term downside ahead of greater summer demand.
Those looking to invest should know that the longer term outlook for Exxon calls for earnings to experience a -10.74% CAGR over the next 5 years. Pairing that information with my knowledge of the current economic environment it suggests there could be pandemic-like draw down for the energy sector, as the global economy continues to weaken.
Investors should understand that Exxon is anchored to lower prices and wait for better buying opportunities. Tune into the Equity Channel Podcast next week for a discussion of what we may be able to expect in the second half of 2023.
Exxon
Black Gold or Green Future: The Big Oil ParadoxThis investment strategy scrutinizes the complex landscape of major oil corporations like Exxon, Chevron, Shell, and BP , situated at the crossroads between their traditional petroleum-based profits ("black gold") and the imperative to transition towards sustainable energy sources (the "green future").
The approach is uniquely neutral, recognizing both the potential upside and downside of these energy giants, and is armed with targets for either trajectory. One must take into account:
1. Nuclear and Fission Energy Impact: The rise of nuclear and fission energy poses another threat to these corporations. As a clean, efficient, and increasingly cost-competitive source of power, nuclear energy is growing in popularity. Once nuclear energy starts to gain more traction and acceptance, it will further undermine the demand for oil, exacerbating the challenges for these energy giants.
2. Regulatory & Environmental Risks: Anticipating potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy can help set downside targets. At the same time, successful mitigation of environmental risks might offer upside prospects.
3. Drop in Oil: A dramatic oil price drop would significantly reduce these companies' revenue and profitability. Oil price and the financial health of these companies are closely linked, given their heavy reliance on oil sales.
1. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): $250 billion
2. Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDS.A): $150 billion
3. Chevron Corporation (CVX): $200 billion
4. BP PLC (BP): $85 billion
TOTAL= 700 Billion
Will Exxon march higher or perform a fake out?Since our previous post on Exxon Mobil, it has increased significantly in value against our expectations. Unfortunately, with the upcoming earnings, the stock might get an additional boost in price, which is already hovering near all-time highs. As a result, XOM breaking above $114.66 will force us to abandon our price target on the downside. However, even if a breakout occurs, we will continue to pay close attention to subsequent price action and monitor volume very closely. To support the idea of a fakeout, we would like to see a continual drop in volume accompanying price growth on the daily chart (just like on the monthly chart). As for the outlook beyond the short-term, we remain worried that ranging oil prices between $70 and $85 per barrel will threaten the well-being of this stock title. Furthermore, higher taxes on energy companies, economic slowdown, and oil down more than 35% since its 2022 peak will put pressure on further price increases.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the hourly chart of XOM. The yellow arrow points to a technical glitch at NYSE, which saw multiple stock companies plunge and turn on circuit breakers. We can potentially discard this movement.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the monthly chart of XOM. The red arrow indicates a continual decline in volume, which is a bearish technical development.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of XOM and the updated setup.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Maybe Not the Next Run In Energy Just YetExxon broke out of out of it's deep value zone today above $110 per share, but didn't do so in the strongest way. Where to now? My next price target is $128 if the market remains supportive of energy. Down to $102 if the economic narrative shifts back to a global recession.
Short Idea - XOM Exxon Mobile Corporation - Updated 011923Looking at the chart(s) of XOM Exxon Mobile Corporation , are they signaling a short opportunity on the back of lower growth outlook(s) for 23-24'? 🛢⛽️ 📉
Not going to provide much commentary on the macro outlook for U.S. Crude Oil CL1! CL2! CRUDEOIL1! CRUDEOIL2! WTI1! WTI2!, just the charts of XOM:
XOM Weekly Chart: 📊
XOM Daily Chart: 📊
XOM 4-Hour Chart: 📊
XOM Hourly Chart: 📊
XOM 15-Minute Chart: 📊
Here is a more detailed XOM (Short) analysis from @dRends35: 📉
What do you think about an XOM (Short)? 🛢⛽️ 📉
Let me know in the comments below! 👇🏼
Exxon Mobil time cycle and pattern analysis**disclaimer: this post reflects my personal opinions from my own charting analysis and should not be used as financial advice of any kind. There are no guarantees in the market and I am just a guy on the internet***
This is a very brief analysis of XOM stock which is approaching a significant swing trading cycle trough (in blue) with a trough around February 16-17 as an estimate.
There is a fib channel and extension here, the 161.8 extension has not been hit (117ish). It might not get hit. Or it may exceed that and hit the fib channel just above it around 120. That is where I'm looking for a top - 117-120, HOWEVER; if the current part of the bubble that has grown here is just a bear flag after a top was already put in, we will know very soon as price will start making lower highs and lower lows on shorter time frames. In that case we could see a decline from HERE into that trough in the middle of February. In any case, I believe this chart has either topped, or is about to top.
Is Exxon Mobil prime for a trend reversal after 280% rally?On 8th November 2022, shares of Exxon Mobil reached a high of 114.66$, marking over a 280% increase since their lows in March 2020. The company has enjoyed this two-year lasting rally thanks to the growing prices of oil, which translated into growing corporate earnings during this period. However, with oil prices peaking in the first half of 2022 and worsening economic conditions around the globe, shares of XOM might be positioning themselves for a trend reversal. In addition to that, the U.S. government seeking to increase taxes on oil producers also does not help the situation. Therefore, we will closely monitor the price action. We want to see the price break below the immediate support/resistance level and a pick-up in volume to support our thesis. With that outlined, we want to set a price target for XOM at 90$ per share.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the weekly chart of XOM. Volume can be seen declining for the past eight months while the price kept rising. That hints at fewer investors willing to buy the stock at elevated levels.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bullish but losing momentum
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of XOM and 200-day SMA.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Exxon Mobil Analysis 28.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Exxon's short term bias has turned negative.Exxon Mobile - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 102.28 (stop at 105.22)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the weekly (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent low at 102.37 should result in a further move lower.
Our profit targets will be 95.15 and 94.15
Resistance: 106.20 / 108.54 / 112.00
Support: 102.37 / 99.00 / 96.75
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Exxon Mobil Analysis 10.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
EXXON MOBIL Close to huge bullish break-out but watch this levelThe Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has made new All Time Highs (ATH) this month, being on a massive +37% rally since the September 26 low and bounce on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on a similar 1D RSI occurrence, it would appears that the price is currently starting a pull-back similar to November 10 - December 20 2021, which hit the 1D MA200 and as it has always done since December 2020, it rebounded strongly.
This pull-back will be confirmed if the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. Until then, with Exxon exactly at the top of the Channel that started after the 2020 Double Bottom, a break above the Higher Highs trend-line, would start a huge bullish break-out towards the 1.786 Fibonacci extension ($125.00) and potentially the 2.5 Fib ($143.00).
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Exxon dips below $109 continue to attract buyers.Exxon Mobile - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 108.31 (stop at 105.91)
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Levels below 109 continue to attract buyers.
We look to buy dips.
The move has rejected gains and is expected to disappoint buyers.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
This is currently an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 114.32 and 117.32
Resistance: 114.70 / 116.00 / 118.00
Support: 111.00 / 109.50 / 108.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EXXON Mobil at the top of bullish moveExxon Mobil is currently overbought and is almost at the top of bullish channel. A retrace to 200MA is quite possible.
Furthermore, the daily RSI looks to be not supporting the current price action as it shows a clear divergence to the price.
I am opening a small short (2% portfolio) right now.
Oil Makes a Run for $90As we have predicted, oil has made a run for $90. We came just shy of our level at $90.06, and have since retreated to the $87 handle. We appear to be finding support just above our level at $87.21. If this level caves, then $85.55 should provide support. The Kovach OBV is still quite strong so we will see if oil has enough in the tank for another run to $90.
XOM Exxon Mobil | Joe Biden: 'Exxon Made More Money Than God'Want to play the earnings of the company that makes more money than God himself? :)
If you haven`t bought my last call, at $75:
than you should know that before he see this Double Top Bearish chart pattern fulfill, there is still some upside left for XOM.
Looking at the XOM Exxon Mobil options chain, i would buy the $110 strike price Calls with
2022-12-16 expiration date for about
$4.00 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Exxon awaiting a correction?Exxon Mobile - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 102.98 (stop at 107.07)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the weekly (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Posted a Double Top formation on daily RSI.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 92.72 and 88.72
Resistance: 103 / 105 / 110
Support: 100 / 97 / 93
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
XOM IS BACK ON $100 WEEKLY RESISTANCE, WHAT'S NEXT?Check out the trade plan for XOM today based on the technical analysis. Hope this analysis is useful, make sure to hit the thumbs and also follow my tradingview profile for future updates. Thank you!
XOM Revisited the $100 weekly resistance formed. On the whole, it's now a triple top formed on the following resistance. At the moment the market has two possibilities with the strong bullish price action that happened recently. We are required to confirm the next possible direction with a breakout or a reversal on the highlighted area.
Short term tentative bullish on Exxon Mobil. XOMBetting on a protracted B Wave. Momentum increasing, zero divergence. Fibtime > 1.0, hence highly likelihood of a flat formation. And thus, more reason to believe a retrace to >0.786 of A. Indicators congruent. Let's see what happens next.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
XOM - Will The Hurricane Drive Momentum?It is time to put Oil on your radar for two reasons. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action.
The Oil Markets have been looking for a catalyst and this could be just what the market needed to get some demand under it, after-all, recession or not, the U.S. needs Oil to survive and it wont' be long before the U.S. is pressured in admitting the need is critical.
I am linking my home repair and oil charts below for simplicity purposes.
My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
WTI Crude Oil - Running and GunningAll of the fundamentals in the world tell everyone that because of mankind's insatiable requirement for oil to fuel its transportation network and electricity generation, supply and demand should result in a new all time high.
This is correct.
However, before this happens, the condition to be cleared first is that many unpleasant things will happen in the market and in the world.
Oil is about to take bulls and bears both for a ride with a run to $108~. The bears will say it shouldn't be happening, while the bulls will say that of course, oil is heading to $180, $350! and nobody can stop it.
After it takes a few heads it will begin to seek for new lows. $86 is the first stop. When I initially began to foresee this move in the last two months, I had assumed that this would come faster. However, with lows at $90, $93, and $92 in recent weeks, and the huge amount of volume being sold between $100 and $125, $86 is bound to be merely the first stop.
$80 will come next. It may come after some more chop and bucking, and it may just be bearish and run straight towards $74.
Be forewarned, before you mortgage grandma's couch to take a leveraged long on the nearest discount brokerage, numbers like $60 are probably enroute before we see any kind of bull activity.
But after everyone has capitulated, watch out. Oil is going to be expensive. Gasoline is going to be unaffordable. And the western Communist Party that runs our governments is going to install lockdown fuel rationing (Don't believe? Google: Sri Lanka QR Code Fuel Rationing, Ireland Oil Shortage Wargame).
Frankly speaking, I see Natural Gas hurting everyone's feelings under $5 before it turns around and runs to $18 near the end of the year. Never forget how cheap natural gas is is in North America and how expensive it currently is in Europe.
Going short at $108 with a stop of $111 and a target of $86 gives you an RR of 7.77. The perfect kind of number for cowboys, who love casinos.
What I want to tell you with this trade call is that when oil is dumping and everything seems hopeless, people who are good at detecting opportunities will realize they can find a glimmer of yield by investing in energy companies.
However.
And this is a big however.
You'll have to find energy companies who do not have links to China and the Chinese Communist Party. Those companies will be wiped out as the CCP is embroiled in scandals and targeted by the International Rules Based Order as the western regime makes a powerplay to depose and/or cuckold Xi Jinping in the coming months.
What I also want to tell you with this call is that the Party is over in this world, and it isn't coming back. This old paradigm you are used to of mashing the buy button in huge sizes of risk on anything listed on Nasdaq and making all time high after all time high before going and getting wasted at the bar every night and hiring call girls is over.
It's over, and it's never coming back. It's time to sober up. Now.
This new paradigm is a bear market. Have you traded a bear market before? Have you traded a choppy market before? A seek and destroy market before?
These types of markets are nothing like how getting long on the S&P and the Nasdaq have been. You will buy a dip and it will keep dipping and not come back. You will short a bump and it will be green for a day and then you'll get margin called in the morning and have to tell your wife you lost the last of your rice money.
For many, it would be better if you withdrew your coins, bought some gold , bought your wife something nice, and started to prepare to practice cultivation and return to tradition.
"What goes up, must come down" is a fundamental law of the Universe and part of how matter moves. Failing to respect it is the same as failing to respect an oncoming train.
Exxon Mobil feeling market wrath. XOMGoals 0.56, 0.49. Invalidation at 0.89.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe