Forex basket : 08:58 03-Sep-19.LOG
Forex basket : 08:58 03-Sep-19
For most new traders, the biggest challenge is getting a profitable strategy that works
for the long term. Usually, trend-following systems are favored because they tend to have
a very good risk-to-reward ratio. Trading the currency market is essentially a numbers
game, basically traders look for strategies or systems that have a positive overall
yield. The profit factor of any strategy is also very essential, because a profitable
strategy should make more money or pips, than it loses. After some extensive research,
I have discovered one of such systems. This strategy is built on one of the oldest
trading adages around; “cut your losses early and let your profits run”
and “the trend is your friend”.
Basket trading involves opening a series of correlated or uncorrelated trades, and after
an adequate amount of time, closing the trades when the overall sum of the trades
is positive i.e. when the net value of all open trades is positive or close to our
targeted profit-value.
It is not 100% guarantee.
The Trading setup
The truth behind the Forex market is that currencies trend. This means that currencies have a tendency to keep gaining or diminishing over a long period of time. There are a lot of concepts about trading cycles and swings, but in reality if we were to zoom out of our charts we would notice a very obvious and unmistakable trend direction. Basket trading involves gauging the potential strength or weakness of a pair, and placing several trades that align with that analysis.
Key Reports/Factors that Move FX Markets
Any world events /news
Financial crises and elections create financial uncertainty and, in turn, impact value
of a country’s currency
Central Bank monetary policy announcements Will affect size/growth rate of a
nation’s money supply and, in turn, interest rates; can include key interest rate
changes, buying/selling government bonds, reserve requirements changes
FOMC (Federal Open Markets Committee)
Meets 8 times a year to set U.S. monetary policy and key interest rate changes;
impacts value of U.S. dollar, world’s reserve currency
U.S. Dollar Index
Measures the value of U.S. dollar relative to a basket of currencies for the
U.S.’s most significant trading partners
F-GBP
CAD basket trading the news 08:30 CAD GDP (MoM) (Jun)A basket forex trade is an order to buy or sell a group of currency pairs simultaneously with the intention of betting on the potential of one single currency. Basket trading is essential for institutional investors and investment funds who wish to hold a diversity of currencies without holding negative correlated positions in the market. By using a Basket Trading methodology you can focus your brains on predicting and assessing the technical and fundamental feasibility of a single currency while still hedging risk by diversifying with all major currency pairs.
basketforex.com
GBP - Signs of a bottom beginning to form?Looking at a basket of Sterling pairs on a variety of time-frames.
(You can add this to your own watchlists by copying this code: GBPAUD*GBPCAD*GBPCHF*GBPJPY*GBPNZD*GBPUSD*GBPEUR )
There appears to be some evidence of a bottom shaping on the 4-hour chart.
Expecting a bumpy ride with Sterling, but I believe the Risk/Reward is looking favourable in the short term.
We should see some more news from Brexit discussions over the next few hours.
Let's see what happens!
Hope you like the video - please give it a like if you do!
Good Luck.
Joe
GBP Macro news
The July UK government posted a budget surplus of £1.3bn compared with £3.5bn the previous year with the deficit for the first four months of fiscal 2019/20 increasing to £16.0bn from £10.0bn as spending increased and revenue growth slowed.
Sterling lost ground following comments by a French official that in view of Prime Minister Johnson’s comments on the Irish backstop, the baseline scenario now seemed to be a ‘no-deal’ Brexit and President Macron reiterated that the deal could not be re-opened. German Chancellor Merkel stated that as soon as there is a solution to the Irish border issue, there will be no need for the backstop. She also stated that a negotiated Brexit would be welcomed, but Germany is ready for all outcomes and challenged the UK government to find a solution to the Irish border within the next 30 days.
The comments failed to provide significant support with Sterling holding net losses on the day. EUR/GBP settled around 0.9140 with GBP/USD below 1.2150. A labour-market survey recorded the strongest increase in wage rises since 2008, but political tensions tended to dominate sentiment with GBP/USD around 1.2120 on Thursday.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: GBPUSD THE CHART OF THE WEEKIn this video update, we take a look at the GBPUSD and the potential for it to move higher this week.
Lot's of volatility will be surrounding the GBP as a new prime minister is set to be announced.
However, the commitment of trader reports has highlighted that the commercials are continuing to buy
at current levels showing a change in trend could be on the horizon.
Triggered on GBPCHF - Video on why we bought this levelFX:GBPCHF , OANDA:GBPCHF , SAXO:GBPCHF
Here is a video on GBPCHF. We posted a buy idea on the pair this morning (see the related idea).
Just a quick run through on the reasoning behind it and why we thought it was a decent speculative trade to have a look at today.
Feel free to comment if you have any questions or would like to discuss anything.
Full details of the trade can be found on our wall or in the related idea link.