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Apple - Another Top?Apple has been treating the fib channel levels magnetically! Some of them repel and some of them attract and it oscillates about them. This does seem to be a local top approaching, complete with a nice exhaustion gap overnight. Look for this gap to fill as a sign the top may be in. We could see that overnight tonight, which would make for an "island reversal" pattern... I think those are cool :) Bullish Sentiment to keep in mind: a quick pull back after an attack on the resistance vector, to re-charge and attack it again, will likely succeed and we will go for new ATH. Also Keep in mind the grey support vector from Sep 21 - Nov 2 is fresh, and won't crack on the first test. Is this entire formation from Sep1 just a huge bull flag continuation pattern?
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by DHLawrence
1
AAPL can see new lows before the election & earnings $105 TARGETApple stock has been lagging compared to a lot of techs and it's influence on the Nasdaq market is pulling a lot of other stocks lower. We do have earnings coming up at the end of the month of October so that should be a very indicative sign of where this market wants to go. The 100-day EMA is super attractive for institutional buying and price is not far away from it, we could see the price tag that area and then see it inch back up. We have to wait for the election to pass to get a more decisive and concise move in either direction. There was a lot of downside volume at the beginning of the drop was strong but it's stalling out so it won't be a clear drop to $105 but slower. Overall why we think this is moving to the downside is the most recent high at $125 was due to news that was sold off very easily. This is a much lower high than the $137 we saw post-split. This is indicative of weak buying trying to come into this market, if we see a lower low through $105, that confirms the downtrend. The $105 level has to hold for the medium term longs to push through $125 and eventually into $135. This trade idea is for educational purposes only, not to be used as investment or trading advice.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TRADEPROAcademy
FAANG Companies - Analysis Combing the largest market cap companies within Nasdaq - Mentioned as the FAANGs Includes: Facebook, Netflix, Google, Apple and Amazon. There are greatest moves within the markets it's usually when it's the earning season, happens 4 times a yr - December, March, June, and September. That isn't my focus for now... The technical aspect of Nasdaq at this current time, from the post I posted yesterday - Double bottom, keep in mind it's really struggling to get past the key area of 11600 area. If we do past that Nasdaq could head higher, I've taken 60% of my profits - which this is why I like to check FAANG companies. It could be forming bearish flag or a right shoulder. We as trades aren't here to predict the market spot on we reflect our actions towards what price gives us, at this moment of time, I would wait till confirmed and if we break lower I expect Nasdaq index to pull back. However, if we go below the areas of: 5250.50 - Further bearish movement. Looking at 200 EMA is a nice support area. Fundamentals to keep in mind: Stimulus if that gets confirmed - Equities could edge higher = Lower DXY. A good interesting aspect as well to look into would be the VIX and 10yr they've had great moves this week. Be careful trading or adding new position as we have NFP tomorrow. Hope you've all had a great trading week so far. Here's a key tip for today - Create your belief system within your trading - Believe in yourself Remember: Just a trade idea, not a recommendation. Trade Journal
NASDAQ:META
by Trade_Journal
MSFT and Big Tech start the next move up? EARNINGS & ELECTIONBig Tech companies are looking really interesting, there is a lot of upside potential in the market and we could see the tech moves really help the rest of the market push up in terms of overall ETF indices. We have seen the lag of a lot of companies in the S&P 500 but this could be the return to value after the 15-20% drop in big tech. We have seen multiple head and shoulders patterns form on tech across the board. The FAANG and MSFT. However, we are in an interesting and turbulent time right now. We are coming into a period where naturally we see increased volatility and the potential for anything to happen. However the closer we get to this debate, the more bullish it looks, the outcome of it will bring uncertainty but I feel that they may be priced into the market. It's well known that the president won't be known for weeks or months after and the market hasn't reacted poorly. The only bearish reaction was that Trump announced no stimulus until after the election. We'll see if his hand gets forced. The Federal Reserve is also talking about perma stimulus that they will have to navigate through. Or at least high dovishness. Meaning that big tech, for the most part and MSFT are stuck here, complacent without a real trend waiting to see what happens. There is potential for the upside as we are moving along and we are creating higher lows on all but 2 massive tech companies. With the potential of the S&P 500 and the big tech stocks to break their most recent tops, we could see that bull side open up and all-time highs get hit. The deciding level to the downside is around each stock's 100-day moving average, most of which are well away from that now and making ground to the bull side. We also have earnings season coming up, there are limited if any expectations for a lot of companies out there, with minimal forward guidance. Meaning any positive number looks like a beat considering last quarters' extremely negative GDP number. Even slight beats in earnings will help the upside in these companies. This does not constitute investment advice, or trading advice this post is for educational purposes only.
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NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TRADEPROAcademy
2
Facebook (FB): An In-depth Analysis of an Undervalued CompanyIn this post, I’ll be providing an in-depth analysis of Facebook (FB), which was part of FAANG (Facebook, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Google (GOOGL)), leading the stock market since the financial crash up to 2019, before it was replaced by MAGA (Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon, Google, and Apple). I'll be exploring its business models, financials, weaknesses and threats, the technical analysis of the stock, and my final outlook on the company. Facebook has been under scrutiny for a while, due to issues regarding: fake news scandal regarding the US presidential elections, the violation of data protection laws in Europe, and advertisement boycotts. However, it seems that Facebook is ready for another run as a high-potential growth stock, through its diversification in business models and streams of revenue. Business Models 1. Target Advertisements Based on its tremendous number of users, Facebook has its strength in targeted ads. The ads provided through facebook are optimized through their algorithms, allowing Facebook to receive more money for ads compared to its counterparts. There was a time when Facebook’s ad revenue went up by 50% every year, but growth has slowed down to 10% a year. Nevertheless, based on the recent increase in users, there is huge growth potential as Facebook seeks to advertise in the field of gaming and e-commerce. 2. Increase in users Facebook is another company that benefited from the Corona Virus (COVID-19) pandemic. Its user base increased significantly; FB’s daily active users (DAU) increased by 13%, and monthly active users (MAU) by 12% compared to those of last year. Considering the fact that Facebook’s user growth rate was at a single digit, the increase in number of users demonstrates strong growth potential. With the number of advertisers at 9 million, despite the boycott, Facebook will be able to capitalize on ad demand from mid-small sized companies. 3. Family Applications Facebook owns other family apps such as: Instagram, Facebook Messenger, and Whatsapp. The monthly active people (MAP) for all these applications combined is at 3.14 billion, which makes Facebook the most used social application excluding China. The DAU and MAU for the family applications have also increased by 15.4% and 13.8% each compared to those of last year. 4. E-commerce In August 25, Facebook added a ‘Facebook Shops’ tab on the explore page, allowing users to directly purchase goods. This feature is also available on Instagram as well. This indicates significant growth for Facebook, as it incentivizes users not to open their own shops on Shopify or Amazon, but to open a shop directly on Facebook, which can provide a products page that is optimized for a mobile experience. Considering that the e-commerce landscape is changing to a D2c (directly to customer) format, Facebook and Instagram can easily be the largest market share holder. Also through the use of Facebook messenger, communication between the buyer and the seller is much easy, and live shopping, in the form we have seen in Instagram, is being tested as well. 5. Mobile Payments Whatsapp is launching a service in Brazil, offering payments that could be made to purchase goods, or wire someone money. Consumers can use this service for free, but companies have to pay a 3.99% fee. In the near future, we’ll see people purchase goods directly from Instagram and Facebook, and as such, Facebook has partnered up with e-commerce corporations such as Shopify (SHOP) and Big Commerce (BIGC). 6. Gaming Facbook’s market share in live game streaming has been showing a steady increase, and creating a creator community. They also have strength in the AR/VR gaming industry, as they have acquired the VR headset company oculus in 2014. The growth in revenue of these gaming devices mark a 40% yoy growth. Facebook’s diversification in the gaming industry will also provide them an opportunity for growth. Financials - Facebook generates 98% of its revenue from advertisements - Their ad revenue was less than $20 billion in 2015, but has since grown exponentially to about $70 billion in 2019. - While their gross margin percentage has been declining since 2017 due to traffic acquisition costs, it’s still close to 82%. - Facebook’s cash generation from operations demonstrates phenomenal numbers. - FB is a cash generating machine, and heavily reinvests that capital back into R&D, marketing, and infrastructure. - FB is free cash flow positive, with over $20 billion in 2019. - This means that the company has enough cash on hand to repay creditors and issue dividends to shareholders. - 71.6% comes from Facebook ads, 25.2% comes from Instagram ads - Facebook’s 2020 Q2 ad revenue exceeded expectations. While the cost of advertisement reduced by 21%, with the increase in user traffic, ad revenue increased by 10.2% compared to last year’s quarter, marking $18.32 Billion. - Overall, Facebook demonstrates extremely healthy financials with a mix of steady and exponential growth in their earnings Technical Analysis - To begin with, we can first see that the daily chart is testing the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement resistance - The SMAs are aligned in the order of – 20, 60, and 100 – indicating that the overall trend is an uptrend - Prices have entered, and bounced on the Ichimoku Cloud support - Counting Elliott Waves, we can see that an Impulse Wave Count (12345) has played out since the drop caused by the pandemic, and that we are going through a small phase of correction, potentially counting an Elliott Corrective Wave (ABC). - While a corrective move down to $220 levels around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support is possible, it’s not yet probable as significant support levels have not been broken yet. Weakness/Threats - Facebook is exposed to the threat of regulation risks regarding laws of personal information protection. - While Facbook aims to combine all its family apps for synergy, measures will the taken by the government to regulate such efforts, to prevent monopoly. - Apple’s new IOS 14 policy made it difficult for app developers to advertise their product on Facebook, and it’s expected that Facebook’s 2020 Q4 earnings will be affected by it. Final Outlook Overall, Facebook is a big corporation that still has huge growth potential by diversifying its business model. Facebook’s strategy to lock up users within their platform, install shops, and ultimately grow into a payment platform is extremely ambitious yet totally possible. While most people know this company, they are overlooking the growth potential it can achieve, and thus, this stock would be a gem for the long term outlook. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Michael_Wang_Official
6