META Growth is Building Global Expansion and Adoption.META is down 64.50% from it's All Time Highs and reaching an area where we like the potential for some basing price action. We could get a spike well into our Target areas of 142.32 with some profit taking and another chance of potentially retracing to our 139.11 for developing into the counter trend Day 1 reversal and confirmation.
At our Firm, we've adopted the metaverse and virtual world with complements into our AI framework. Another to watch with META is RBLX.
I've been watching SPX and SPY (charts below) and have been nibbling on Semiconductor stocks. There is going to be upward 'back-filling' in that direction.
META FACEBOOKHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT META is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this long position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UPTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
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That Snapback - SNAPMeta looks ready to rally and Snap maybe even more so, Sitting here with daily bull divergence at strong support. Target would be around 20-22 from here. I'll add some to my cash accounts. Stop would be 9 dollars.
Social media stocks look ready to bounce, no idea what the reason will be. I guess we'll see if that's true soon. Good luck!
$META Wyckoff Accumulation - Panic Selling - FACEBOOK BULLISHMeta - Facebook
Chart resembling a Wyckoffian pattern - occurs in accumulation phase.
You can see Facebook has had a big downfall from its top in September 2021.
We can view the selling climax, preliminary support, and the secondary test - this particular pattern has a spring currently (panic selling) (breakdown of continuation).
This is NOT the last line of defense for META, it can absolutely drop down - there is huge support at $139 - which would tap the lower trend of the falling wedge (marked in light grey trendlines).
HOWEVER!!!!! -- check out the descending channel within the falling wedge - (descending channel is marked in green and highlights the Wyckoff Schematic ) and it seems to have found support at the 'spring' - bottom of the trend.
This is generally a bullish pattern.
To the left we can see a huge capitulation volume bar from February 2022 and the price as been descending all summer - selling volume is also in decline which is bullish.
This is not financial advice but this is my take on $META
META (NASDAQ:META) Doubts at fair valueHaving some doubts looking for facebook and metaverse in the short-mid term.
I cannot rely on my opinions and I estimate fair value at $158 with my algorithms running on fundamental data and forecast earnings.
Mr Market and the chart have the last word. Watching actual price is at my forecast fair value, also at a strong trendline (weekly chart) and at 0.618 Fibonacci Level.
This is not enough to buy now. Waiting signals on volume still missing and I want to see a strong rebouncing and accumulation.
If a breakdown will occur below the trendline and 0.618 level, my buy value will be close to $128 that is my estimate fair value less my margin of security (15-20%)
what a great stock to own long termfacebook is one of those companies that is pretty well here to stay. i could see this over $600 one day. once we get over TRAMA and sss, qqe go green i would have no problem averaging into this for a passive investment in tech. facebook will always think of new ways to squeeze more money out of their user data.
XAUUSD Weekly Chart : 09.01.22In this chart, after a few weeks, we will check the weekly chart, we had identified two important levels on the chart and we expected the price to reach those levels and show a reaction, one was the range of $1783 to $1806 and the other $1824! Well, we saw that after the growth of 1200 pips, the price finally reacted to the first level and is falling from there until now, we have to see if the range of $1681 to $1694 can stop the price from falling further or not! If this important Bullish Order Block cannot stop the price from falling, we can expect the price to reach the target of $1678!
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👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 09.01.2022
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$META FACEBOOK Falling Wedge on weekly, will it HOLD SUPPORT?META has a falling wedge on the weekly timeframe with support at the $155-$160 Levels, these levels would be perfect for accumulating a swing trade.
Holding those support levels during this $SPY correction period is crucial for this pattern.
Losing those support levels would be bearish scenario and would invalidate this falling wedge pattern.
FACEBOOK's measured TARGET on the falling wedge lies at $226.
A possible big announcement is in the cards for META FACEBOOK if it maintains the expected levels.
SPY has had a fire rally the past month so it is not surprise that its spent the past 3 days cooling off, Jackson Hole conference is this Friday, if we don't get a bounce before, we could expect a small bounce on the day of the event as most tickers are hitting oversold territory on the smaller time frames.
Meta – Is it Finally Time to Buy?If you like this idea don’t forget to BOOST it.
Fundamental Indicators:
Sector – Communication Services
US Business Cycle Stage – late cycle, when this sector is neutral
Revenue – consistent growth for the past 10 years, 25% average annual growth rate for the past 5 years but with a considerable slowdown in 2022 TTM
Profits – dropping in 2022 TTM
Net margin – impressive 28% but reduced from previous 30-40% levels
P/E – already acceptable with 14 ratio compared to S&P500 with 21 and Communication Services sector 17
Liabilities - debt ratio is at 0.26 which is within normal limits, Net Debt/ EBITDA is negative – no problems with debt
Conclusion – although still good financial performance the latest reports are showing slowdown in user base and ad revenue growth, as well as high CAPEX investments into new platform Metaverse – all indicating that there are no positive signs for the new growth cycle yet, but given low PE it is likely to have another mid-term rally (see below scenarios)
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Main scenario of this idea suggests that the peak of August 2021 saw completion of the first global wave, and we are currently observing formation of wave 2 (see higher timeframe graph)
The sharp fall from historic high is likely to be the first leg of the overall correction in wave 2 and is shaped by ABC zigzag
Wave A and B have been fully completed and wave C is also near completion with an Ending Diagonal in wave 5 (see guidelines for Ending Diagonals below)
Once the current low of $154.25 is slightly pierced by the final zigzag of wave 5 we are likely to see a rally to the upside, possible scenarios are depicted below
This is a higher timeframe to reflect the full history of Meta and to provide full wave count:
This is the link to the guidelines for Ending Diagonals
What do you think about Meta and its short term prospects?
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$META: WATCH OUT BELOW! BEARS COMING🔸️Ticker Symbol: META 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️3X Bear Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: $META is currently in a bear regression trend channel to the downside. When we are trading in this trend, I like to look for areas where we could see a push lower to capitalize on price action. Along with being in a bear trend we also have our white line "money movement" shifting out of the market in conjunction with a red dot meaning a "key EMA crossover" on our dashboard below. If we continue in this pattern, I do believe we could see a test of approx. $169
4X 🟢 Bull Pattern Confirmation Requirements
✅️ Linear Regression Indicator Increasing
✅️ Money Momentum Shifting Higher
✅️ Green Dot: Key EMA Crossover to Upside
✅️ Green Middle Band: Bull Market Momentum
4X 🔴 Bear Pattern Confirmation Requirements
🔻 Linear Regression Indicator Declining
🔻 Money Momentum Shifting Lower
🔻 Red Dot: Key EMA Crossover to the Downside
🔻 Red Middle Band: Bear Market Momentum
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EUR/USD Potential SELL 🔴 08.09.22As you can see this is the possible trend of EUR/USD , don't forget to do your own research !
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👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 08.09.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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META Bottom formed. Ready to break 4 month Resistance.It hasn't been that long since we last took a look on the Meta Platforms (META) and called for the last chance to find buyers and reverse its fortunes:
As you see since then, the stock has been trading sideways within a consolidation phase of lots of uncertainty fundamentally. Today however, the price broke above the Shoulder line of a Head and Shoulders pattern that started last month. Technically, this could be the ideal bottom formation for the majority of investors, with the price also above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
With the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) supporting, if the price breaks above the April 05 Lower Highs trend-line, it will most likely be the final confirmation that the company has re-entered its long-term growth trend. Ideally, we would like to see the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) break but the Lower Highs trend-line could do alone, especially with the 1D RSI on Higher Lows since June 22, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment. Our medium-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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$META to bounce back to $261?While everyone has now turned bearish on the stock market, I think we should now see a large bounce higher in many stocks.
For $Meta specifically, price bounced off of my support line and now looks to be squeezing higher.
The first key level price needs to make it over is $180. If we can make it over that level, then I think price will likely test the $219 level as resistance. It'll probably take a couple of tries to break that level, but I see price eventually breaking through it and heading to the $261 level which should be the final resistance before price falls lower.
I'm looking at a trade from my entry at $162 up to the $200+ level (ideally up to the $261 resistance). I've added some key pivot points to look for changes in price action.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming months.
Meta analysis Long term.Meta is the big bet made by Facebook to corner the market on digital devices hardware currently causing problems for their other business models. The whole effort is a data wolf in sheep's clothing and precisely why they will compete long term with a decentralized metaverse from one of the big web 3 players the sandbox, decentraland, and the other side among possible other competitors in web 3.
In short Facebook and its various platforms compete with digital content companies of various backgrounds for the 18-29-year-old audience.
They do so with various products such as Video, Messenger, Whatsapp, Groups, Search, Workplace, marketplace, etc.
These software services want to collect data to sell to advertisers to predict what an individual will want. This requires knowing more about a person than usually they know. The problem for Facebook (now Meta) is that they don't control the devices this data is generated on. Apple and Google do and they don't take kindly to a data leech on their business model. Since they control hardware decisions Meta is up a creek when decisions like IOS 14 allow you to turn off the data gathering. This is Metas' biggest problem and why oculus is so important.
Snapchat challenged Facebook with filters and private messages and expiring messages capturing marketing dollars so facebook built a clone, stories, and Instagram.
Tik Tok challenged Facebook on short video stories capturing marketing dollars so Facebook built a clone, reels.
The bet is that metaverse interactions through either VR or AR will be the big new thing after short-form video as the primary method of interaction on the internet. Meta wants to not just be ahead of their next competitor and out of cloning and catching up territory but fully into controlling the hardware that is used to interact with such systems.
Horizon is their metaverse world which one can access through either oculus or eventual AR equipment through their partnership with Luxottica.
This is the pivot to Meta and much like other tech stocks, it has been hammered by the early stages of the current recession. Meta has big hoops to get through such as onboarding a population of users who need new hardware, and their future is rocky due to the past relationships with data from Facebook.
The future will see Meta compete with the global decentralized blockchain web 3 metaverses for control of the digital twin infrastructure represented by NFTs controlled by self-sovereign identities or DAOs in a fully digital economy that directs resources of automated systems of production.
The problem for Meta, in the opinion of this author, is they only seem aware of the interaction part of the business model for profit. They want data to sell to other companies. Meta doesn't seem to grasp the macro implications for the profit motive of production that a Metaverse enables. astoundingly, they're thinking too small.
Centralized Corporations will be most challenged and supplanted by DAOs given enough time in a sufficiently decentralized metaverse. There is a possibility that a subset of DAOs enabled by quadratic voting can capture immensely profitable internet functions of the modern world. In time due to competition on price and thus profit margin, some DAOs will rise to multi-national levels. Some DAOs could become big enough and faceless enough to rend populations from their governments by challenging the interests of power. Government regulation of such DAOs will be difficult if neigh impossible, especially if profit margins of too big to fail entities are to be maintained. In such a world DAOs would hold the keys to data that participants in the DAO contribute. Some subset of such DAOs would for profit sell their data to advertisers in ways voted on by the DAO members. Precursors to this exist already such as Brave and their token BAT.
Corporations destabilize government decision-making for their gain in a system designed as their sandbox. This author suspects DAOs as a disrupting force, are a possibility among the larger outcomes of various crypto ecosystems and their synergies in the long term. An exponential change in adoption of crypto more broadly could have that scenario happen sooner rather than later. But on the scale of decades, it's a distinct possibility.
For Meta, the question is can you own anything in such a world and sell it to anyone else, including data, or are they just happy to make a profit for now before that transition occurs? Do they play whack-a-mole with crypto project models much like their other competitors Snap and TikTok?
Whatever happens it'll be fun to watch zuck and his bucks while we make alien memes for the next few decades at least. All the best, see you on the moon.