Facebooklong
FACEBOOK INC, long point activated. Critical solds under 250.Hi friends. FACEBOOK in long position on the chart window. X-Lines script strong support at 249 and clear bulls target at 259. "Earned" script show big volume of solds under 249. And this solds was bought. So my opinion FB go upper to 259 for a first target.
Is Facebook losing friends?Facebook has been a holding in the portfolio since late November but has been a slow moving loser. The low end of the weekly range (rectangle low 264) was tested today but price responded well. I have been looking for all-time highs but its recent performance has given me doubts. For now we just sit and wait. The company is definitely not getting the love it once did but that can change at anytime. Todays low will be the line in the sand. Below todays low we will cut the position and re-evaluate
#FB - 1D - DEFINITION ZONE.Perfect uptrend since May. Multiple tests over the past few months. 7 to be exact.
Here we are now again. The last session left us with a Doji candlestick pattern just under MA50.
This Sunday, Republican and Democratic party leaders announced that a deal had been reached for a new stimulus check. There are enough votes for a majority approval this Monday on congress. We might spect a bullish day tomorrow for all mayor companies of SP500.
With this tailwind in favor, the price could break MA50 and cross Ichimoku's cloud at the same time. This will could create the propper impulse to break that pennant triangle and reach ATH as the first target.
In this case, we don't have a main support under trendline to act as a safety net. So, I would like to take two approaches:
Conservative Strategy:
- Open position: USD 276. 40
- Stop Loss: USD 269.54
- Price target: USD 304.
- Risk/Reward ratio: +4.6
Risky Strategy:
- Open position: USD 276. 40
- Stop Loss: USD 264.46
- Price target: USD 304.
- Risk/Reward ratio: +2.53
Risk management is always as important as all research and technical analysis we can make. Long-term profitable trading is about been wrong small and right big.
Facebook, about to blow?Today we examine Facebook.
Long time uptrend is our extended lower(green) line. Over the past few months shorts have had their way bringing it down.
The purple line is a different color because it seems to be the area price action reacts to, and it creates this nice little ascending triangle(bullish) if we examine the shape.
Lets note 2 dates and ill explain why.
Oct. 29th
Nov. 4th
We see volume spikes on these days as price action crosses over the purple line both of these dates.
We crossed back over the purple line this week with conviction (imo.)
We see price action in a broader symmetrical triangle of sorts with the (green) resistance lines.
Looking up institutional ownership we dont see much out flow with some decent inflow.
Price action seems to be tightening up, selling volume decreasing, buying volume increasing
If Facebook can clear this whole pattern, we can see new highs
Personal end of year price target: $300
Good luck all, Happy trading!!
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FACEBOOK Good Idea BuyI am a consultant for anyone who needs a consultant, I see that Facebook will GO UP IN FEW HOURS when the market open
1, When you decide to use my ideas in your trading, please contact me to inform you of some things and monitor the position together without specifying a take profit or stop loss, we will decide when to open and close the position
2 (When I set the take profit and stop loss in a number that does not mean that the price will reach it, I gave a buy or sell signal only according to the analyzes I made in the chart and delete it later, in the order to share it with you so that you have a clear picture and read it clearly, thank you!)
3, you can try me for one or two weeks to decide to work with you and give you signals about buying or selling
a buying opportunity on FACEBOOKregarding this market is going to have an uptrend with a high volume means that buyers will enter the market, so this is the buying opportunity
Facebook buying opportunity stock signal buy the start of an uptrend, a strong breakout of the VWAP combined with a large volume and also the breakage of the green line which represents the resistance this signifies a very important opportunity to buy this stock.
this facebook action has experienced a strong acceleration is donation an opportunity to buy, if you liked my analysis make a like and a comment and follow to encourage me
FB Facebook - buy in play, sell worked great (was posted here!)Facebook - Buy now valid
The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart.
Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter.
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Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
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Facebook (FB): An In-depth Analysis of an Undervalued CompanyIn this post, I’ll be providing an in-depth analysis of Facebook (FB), which was part of FAANG (Facebook, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Google (GOOGL)), leading the stock market since the financial crash up to 2019, before it was replaced by MAGA (Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon, Google, and Apple).
I'll be exploring its business models, financials, weaknesses and threats, the technical analysis of the stock, and my final outlook on the company.
Facebook has been under scrutiny for a while, due to issues regarding: fake news scandal regarding the US presidential elections, the violation of data protection laws in Europe, and advertisement boycotts.
However, it seems that Facebook is ready for another run as a high-potential growth stock, through its diversification in business models and streams of revenue.
Business Models
1. Target Advertisements
Based on its tremendous number of users, Facebook has its strength in targeted ads. The ads provided through facebook are optimized through their algorithms, allowing Facebook to receive more money for ads compared to its counterparts. There was a time when Facebook’s ad revenue went up by 50% every year, but growth has slowed down to 10% a year. Nevertheless, based on the recent increase in users, there is huge growth potential as Facebook seeks to advertise in the field of gaming and e-commerce.
2. Increase in users
Facebook is another company that benefited from the Corona Virus (COVID-19) pandemic. Its user base increased significantly; FB’s daily active users (DAU) increased by 13%, and monthly active users (MAU) by 12% compared to those of last year. Considering the fact that Facebook’s user growth rate was at a single digit, the increase in number of users demonstrates strong growth potential. With the number of advertisers at 9 million, despite the boycott, Facebook will be able to capitalize on ad demand from mid-small sized companies.
3. Family Applications
Facebook owns other family apps such as: Instagram, Facebook Messenger, and Whatsapp. The monthly active people (MAP) for all these applications combined is at 3.14 billion, which makes Facebook the most used social application excluding China. The DAU and MAU for the family applications have also increased by 15.4% and 13.8% each compared to those of last year.
4. E-commerce
In August 25, Facebook added a ‘Facebook Shops’ tab on the explore page, allowing users to directly purchase goods. This feature is also available on Instagram as well. This indicates significant growth for Facebook, as it incentivizes users not to open their own shops on Shopify or Amazon, but to open a shop directly on Facebook, which can provide a products page that is optimized for a mobile experience. Considering that the e-commerce landscape is changing to a D2c (directly to customer) format, Facebook and Instagram can easily be the largest market share holder. Also through the use of Facebook messenger, communication between the buyer and the seller is much easy, and live shopping, in the form we have seen in Instagram, is being tested as well.
5. Mobile Payments
Whatsapp is launching a service in Brazil, offering payments that could be made to purchase goods, or wire someone money. Consumers can use this service for free, but companies have to pay a 3.99% fee. In the near future, we’ll see people purchase goods directly from Instagram and Facebook, and as such, Facebook has partnered up with e-commerce corporations such as Shopify (SHOP) and Big Commerce (BIGC).
6. Gaming
Facbook’s market share in live game streaming has been showing a steady increase, and creating a creator community. They also have strength in the AR/VR gaming industry, as they have acquired the VR headset company oculus in 2014. The growth in revenue of these gaming devices mark a 40% yoy growth. Facebook’s diversification in the gaming industry will also provide them an opportunity for growth.
Financials
- Facebook generates 98% of its revenue from advertisements
- Their ad revenue was less than $20 billion in 2015, but has since grown exponentially to about $70 billion in 2019.
- While their gross margin percentage has been declining since 2017 due to traffic acquisition costs, it’s still close to 82%.
- Facebook’s cash generation from operations demonstrates phenomenal numbers.
- FB is a cash generating machine, and heavily reinvests that capital back into R&D, marketing, and infrastructure.
- FB is free cash flow positive, with over $20 billion in 2019.
- This means that the company has enough cash on hand to repay creditors and issue dividends to shareholders.
- 71.6% comes from Facebook ads, 25.2% comes from Instagram ads
- Facebook’s 2020 Q2 ad revenue exceeded expectations. While the cost of advertisement reduced by 21%, with the increase in user traffic, ad revenue increased by 10.2% compared to last year’s quarter, marking $18.32 Billion.
- Overall, Facebook demonstrates extremely healthy financials with a mix of steady and exponential growth in their earnings
Technical Analysis
- To begin with, we can first see that the daily chart is testing the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement resistance
- The SMAs are aligned in the order of – 20, 60, and 100 – indicating that the overall trend is an uptrend
- Prices have entered, and bounced on the Ichimoku Cloud support
- Counting Elliott Waves, we can see that an Impulse Wave Count (12345) has played out since the drop caused by the pandemic, and that we are going through a small phase of correction, potentially counting an Elliott Corrective Wave (ABC).
- While a corrective move down to $220 levels around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support is possible, it’s not yet probable as significant support levels have not been broken yet.
Weakness/Threats
- Facebook is exposed to the threat of regulation risks regarding laws of personal information protection.
- While Facbook aims to combine all its family apps for synergy, measures will the taken by the government to regulate such efforts, to prevent monopoly.
- Apple’s new IOS 14 policy made it difficult for app developers to advertise their product on Facebook, and it’s expected that Facebook’s 2020 Q4 earnings will be affected by it.
Final Outlook
Overall, Facebook is a big corporation that still has huge growth potential by diversifying its business model. Facebook’s strategy to lock up users within their platform, install shops, and ultimately grow into a payment platform is extremely ambitious yet totally possible. While most people know this company, they are overlooking the growth potential it can achieve, and thus, this stock would be a gem for the long term outlook.
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I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
FBFB is in the strongest gaining wave which is wave (3). That's why we only need to be in a good position to buy. The price above the MA200 is the clearest testament for Plan to buy only. Regarding the wave structure you can see after forming wave (1), FB corrected its Flat and then surpassed its old peak at 244. That six rose to 280 and had a small correction. There may continue to adjust next week to the area 252, then increase (wave (3) of (iii).
Plan: We watch to buy FB when the price returns to 250, stop at 225, target 322
Facebook Losing Bull Traction? Channel Spotted..The current upward channel has been good signs for you bullish bag holders as we did break higher overall.
We need to keep in mind of were we currently sit on the upward channel though.
3 previous touches on this level of Resistance signaled selloffs to occur.
The green horizontal line is previous breakout for a new high, we yet to retest that price.
No way that I'm looking to long here too risky, I would like to see a pullback.
Best of luck.