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Fairvaluegap

US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones. Bearish Resistance The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area. Bullish Support On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it. Bullish Trajectory If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence. Final Thoughts The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Youriverse
43
EURUSDPrice recently plunged into the deep and has now returned for fair value. We are already in a significant area, on a higher time-frame(1D), so any moment from now they can collapse it, much like last week! Be on the look-out like a meerkat! 1.1680 and 1.1720 are institutional price levels and price tends to have strong reactions in these areas. I expect to see that play out tomorrow. The following reports will be used to trigger this move: BoE Monetary Policy Report. Continuing Jobless Claims 4-Week Average. Initial Jobless Claims. Unit Labour Costs. Nonfarm Productivity. Stay safe!
Short
by Mantlhogi77
EURUSD - EURUSD – The Calm Before the SweepAfter months of climbing steadily within a rising wedge structure, EURUSD has finally broken beneath the bullish trend line that previously acted as dynamic support. This shift is significant, as it marks the first decisive violation of the bullish momentum that has carried price from the April lows into the July highs. The break occurred with strong bearish displacement, leaving behind an unfilled daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above the current price. This area now acts as a potential magnet for price before continuation lower. Trend Line Retest and FVG Confluence Price is currently hovering near 1.1570 after the trend line break. Above, we have a clean FVG on the daily chart which aligns closely with the underside of the broken trend line. A retracement into this zone would offer the ideal setup for short positioning, combining the concept of a bearish retest with inefficiency fill. From a technical perspective, this would give institutions a perfect level to engineer a lower high before continuing the move down. Sell-Side Liquidity Objective The major downside target sits below the swing low formed in early May. This area likely holds a large pool of resting sell-side liquidity, which would be an ideal draw for smart money before any potential reversal. If the market respects the bearish structure and rejects the FVG zone cleanly, the move toward this liquidity pocket becomes increasingly probable. Reversal Conditions While the short setup is currently the main focus, the area below the May low also presents a key decision point. If price sweeps that low and we begin to see bullish structure return, this could mark the beginning of a new leg up. For that to be valid, we’d need to see signs of strong buying interest, displacement, and reclaim of key short-term highs. Until then, we remain on the lookout for short opportunities into the FVG and trend line retest zone. Execution Plan and Expectations Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or rejection once price enters the FVG zone. Bearish price action on lower timeframes like the 1H or 15M could confirm entry, particularly if the trend line holds as resistance. Stops can be placed above the swing high before the break, with targets below the major low around 1.10500. The reward-to-risk on this setup is favorable, but patience is needed to wait for the retrace to complete. Conclusion EURUSD has shifted from bullish to bearish structure after breaking the rising trend line. With an unfilled FVG above and a clean downside liquidity target, this setup offers a well-defined short opportunity. Reactions at the FVG and below the May low will dictate whether we extend lower or begin a new bullish phase. For now, all eyes are on the retrace and short continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
79
EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action. First resistance zone The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals. Second resistance zone The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup. Bullish bounce area On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above. Final thoughts While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
75
Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based)📊 Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based): 🔹 Market Structure: Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals show a bullish shift in momentum, especially after the recent CHoCH followed by BOS at the current price zone. Strong bullish confirmation after reclaiming previous liquidity zones, indicating institutional interest. 🔹 Liquidity and Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity above $3,420 is likely the short-term institutional target. Price has clearly reacted from a strong support block near the $3,260–$3,280 area, confirming demand and institutional accumulation. The highlighted Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligns with a mid-level retracement zone—ideal for potential pullbacks before continuation. 🔹 Key Supply & Demand: Resistance Zone (3,420–3,450): Contains weak highs and unmitigated FVG—prime liquidity zone for a sweep. Strong Demand Zone: Around $3,260 has shown repeated reaction; the base of bullish moves. Imbalance Fill & Rejection Expected in FVG near $3,420. 🔮 Projection & Scenario: Expected pullback toward $3,340–$3,350, followed by bullish continuation. Targeting liquidity sweep at $3,420, aligned with Smart Money accumulation and distribution logic. Monitor for reaction at $3,420 for either a rejection or a clean breakout, confirming further upside. ✅ Conclusion: This setup suggests institutional buy-side pressure with targets on resting liquidity around $3,420. Smart Money is likely driving price toward that level to grab orders before the next big move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin - Imbalance Fill Before Liquidity ExpansionBitcoin is trading inside a compressing structure beneath a clean descending trendline. Price action has been choppy but controlled, creating multiple zones of inefficiency that remain unfilled. We’re currently positioned between two major Fair Value Gaps, one above and one below, which gives us a clear roadmap. The broader market context suggests accumulation beneath key resistance, and the chart structure points toward a two-legged play before any breakout. First Target: Upper Imbalance and Liquidity Trap The first objective for price is to reach into the Fair Value Gap sitting just above current levels. This zone overlaps with the trendline and is backed by several wicks and failed breakouts, which likely means liquidity is built up there. Price may push through this area to trigger stop losses and induce breakout buying, only to reverse shortly after. The imbalance makes it an attractive magnet for price and a likely turning point once filled. Retracement Move: Clean-Up Below After sweeping the highs and filling the upper imbalance, price is expected to rotate back down. The area below holds an untouched Fair Value Gap from a previous bullish impulse, now acting as a demand zone. Once the upper inefficiency is filled, the market should drop into this zone to rebalance. This move will also help clear internal liquidity from the structure formed during the short-term rise. Trendline, Inducement, and Execution Layers The descending trendline plays a critical role here. With many traders watching it for a breakout or rejection, it acts as inducement. A false break or a touch just above the trendline may trigger entries in the wrong direction. The optimal move would be for price to react from the upper imbalance, reject at or just above the trendline, then fall into the lower zone, where we look for confirmation of reversal or continuation. Final Expansion: Breakout After Cleanup Once both Fair Value Gaps are filled and internal liquidity is cleared, Bitcoin will be in a clean position to rally. The area above the prior wicks and rejections is likely to hold significant liquidity, and the final move would aim to sweep that. This would complete the full cycle of imbalance fill, liquidity grab, and directional expansion. Price is unlikely to sustain a move higher until both zones have been addressed. Conclusion This setup focuses on efficient price delivery between key imbalances. Expect a short-term push up into the upper FVG and liquidity cluster, followed by a clean rejection into the lower demand zone. Once both sides are filled, Bitcoin should be ready for a real move higher, targeting liquidity above the current range. Let the market complete the cycle before looking for continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
50
EURGBP: Bearish Continuation from Reclaimed Order Block!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bearish. This provides us with a clear directional bias to look for shorting opportunities in line with the prevailing higher timeframe trend. Higher Timeframe Context: On the weekly timeframe, price action is currently drawing towards a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). This bearish draw on liquidity confirms the macro-level bearish sentiment. With the recent bearish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have strong confluence between the weekly and intraday order flow, favoring continued downside. Key Observations on H4: Reclaimed Bearish Order Block: After shifting structure to the downside, price has retraced into a bearish reclaimed order block—a region previously marked by institutional selling. This return to the origin of prior sell-side imbalance offers institutions the opportunity to mitigate earlier positions and reinitiate shorts. The failure of price to break higher confirms bearish intent. Confluence with Weekly Draw: The reclaimed order block aligns with the broader draw towards the weekly FVG, providing an optimal zone for bearish confirmation entries. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 reclaimed order block. Target: The short-term target remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, supporting a discount-side delivery. As always, remain disciplined in execution. Let the market confirm your bias before entering, and manage risk according to your rules. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
57
Decision Zone for DXY This Week: Around 97.600After a significant downward expansion in DXY, we observed a consolidation around last week's low. This week, the market opened with a pullback. The first stop for this pullback appears to be the current daily fractal high candle and the weekly bearish FVG on the chart. We can assess potential selling pressure from this area on lower timeframes. We'll be monitoring the wicks within this zone, along with any newly forming FVGs. If the price breaks above this area, our next points of interest will be the gaps within the zone above the 0.5 swing level, and ultimately the swing high itself as the final target. Given the current setup, we believe there are promising trading opportunities on EURUSD. Take care until the next update!
TVC:DXY
by FundedTraderMarkets
EURUSD – Will the bullish parallel channel hold?The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading within a clearly defined bullish parallel channel, as shown on the 4-hour chart. This channel has provided consistent directional structure over recent weeks, with price respecting both its upper resistance and lower support boundaries. At present, the pair is approaching the lower end of this channel, raising the critical question: will it bounce off support and continue the bullish trajectory, or will it decisively break down, opening the door to lower price targets? Bullish parallel channel On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a bullish parallel channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This price structure suggests sustained upward momentum, with the top of the channel acting as dynamic resistance and the bottom as reliable support. Today, price action is testing the lower boundary of the channel once again. A successful hold at this level could confirm continued bullish structure and open the door for a potential rebound. Bullish scenario In the bullish scenario, the EUR/USD holds its ground at the support region around 1.164, where the lower boundary of the channel intersects with price. For upward continuation, it must overcome the short-term resistance posed by the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.169 and 1.174. A reclaim and close above this zone could signal a shift in short-term momentum and lead to a move back toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, the path upward is not without resistance , price must navigate through potential supply zones and maintain higher lows to preserve the bullish structure. Bearish scenario On the other hand, a break and close below the channel support could indicate a change in market sentiment and invalidate the bullish pattern. In this bearish case, we would expect a structure break confirmation followed by a possible retest of the broken trendline and the 4-hour FVG. If this retest fails to reclaim the trendline, bearish continuation becomes more likely. The next significant area of interest lies around the 1.150 level, where a bullish 4-hour FVG exists. This zone could act as a potential short-term support and serve as a target for the downside move before any meaningful bounce occurs. Final thoughts The EUR/USD pair is currently at a technical crossroads. Traders should watch closely for price behavior around the lower channel boundary to determine whether bullish momentum will resume or whether a bearish breakout will set the tone for deeper retracement. Confirmation, either through a bounce or a breakdown with a retest, will be key in validating the next directional move. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
62
USD/JPY Chart Analysis (Educational Breakdown)📊USD/JPY Chart Analysis (Educational Breakdown) 🗓 Date: July 28, 2025 ⏰ Timeframe: 2H (2-Hour Candles) 🧠 Concepts: Liquidity | Fair Value Gap | Order Block | Structure | Support/Resistance ⸻ 1. Market Structure Overview • The pair has been bullish, making higher highs and higher lows. • Recently, price tapped into a resistance zone (~148.40–149.00) and sharply rejected, suggesting a potential short-term reversal. • The price may now aim to sweep liquidity below support before a possible rebound. ⸻ 2. Key Levels 🟥 Resistance Zone (148.50–149.00) • Marked by a previous supply zone where sellers stepped in aggressively. • Current Bearish Order Block sits just below this resistance, confirming institutional interest in selling this level. 🟫 Bearish Order Block • Last bullish candle before sharp drop acts as a bearish order block (around 148.30–148.50). • This is a high-probability sell-side reaction area — ideal for liquidity grabs and reversals. 🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) • Between mid-17th–18th July, an imbalance was left after strong bullish momentum. • Price returned to this zone, partially filled the gap, and then dropped again — confirming its importance. 🟥 Support Zone (145.80–146.30) • Long-standing demand area where buyers previously stepped in. • This area aligns closely with sell-side liquidity (SSL). ⸻ 3. Liquidity Zones 🔵 Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) – Above resistance (149.00+) • Stop-loss clusters above previous swing highs. • Liquidity for institutional sell positions. 🟣 Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) – Below 146.00 • Positioned right under support. • Ideal liquidity target for smart money to trigger stop hunts and fill positions before reversing.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
EUR/USD - Bullish parallel channel formation!The EUR/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe, moving steadily within a well-defined ascending parallel channel. Price action has consistently bounced between the lower and upper boundaries of the channel, with each dip finding support at the lower trendline and each rally meeting resistance near the upper trendline. This ongoing pattern suggests a strong and orderly bullish trend as the pair continues to make higher highs and higher lows within the channel. The Market’s Upward Momentum One notable feature of this trend is the recurring formation of 4-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) during each upward leg. These FVGs act as temporary inefficiencies in the price movement, which the market consistently returns to fill before resuming its bullish momentum. As shown in the chart, the EUR/USD has filled multiple FVGs over the past week. Today, the pair once again retraced to fill a newly formed 4H FVG and has since continued its move higher. This repeated behavior reinforces the strength of the uptrend, as the market efficiently corrects itself and then propels further in the direction of the overall trend. Bullish Outlook From a bullish perspective, the key level to watch is the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1766. A confirmed break and hold above this level would signal a strong continuation of the current uptrend. Should the price sustain itself above this level, it could initiate a renewed push toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, potentially targeting levels near 1.1820 and beyond. This scenario would confirm market confidence and open the door for further gains. Bearish Risk On the flip side, the bearish case would involve a false breakout above the 1.1766 resistance level, followed by a sharp rejection and a break below the rising lower trendline of the channel. Such a move would invalidate the current structure and shift the bias to the downside. In that case, the 4-hour FVG located between approximately 1.1710 and 1.1740 will act as a critical support zone. If this area fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper retracement and potentially lead to a more prolonged bearish correction. Final thoughts In summary, the EUR/USD is currently respecting a bullish parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe, with upward moves consistently leaving and then filling 4H FVGs before continuing higher. The 1.1766 level is pivotal, a sustained break above it favors continued bullish momentum, while a rejection and breakdown from the channel could signal a bearish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this key level and the integrity of the ascending channel to anticipate the next significant move. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
47
BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational Breakdown 🧠 Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmations The chart highlights multiple BOS points, showing clear transitions in market structure – a strong indication of bullish momentum building up after prior consolidation and retracements. 🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area): 115,355 – 117,403 This area has acted as a liquidity pool where buyers previously stepped in, forming the base for new BOS formations. A retest of this level could offer a high-probability long entry. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Supply Area): 123,375 Region This marked level is a prior high and expected profit-taking or potential short-trigger zone. Price is likely to target this level if bullish momentum continues. ⸻ 📈 EMA Analysis (20/50/100/200) • Stacked Bullishly: EMAs are layered with the shorter-term EMAs (20/50) above the longer-term ones (100/200), suggesting trend continuation to the upside. • Price reclaiming above all EMAs signals momentum is shifting from accumulation to expansion. ⸻ 🔮 Potential Scenario: 1. Bullish Retest Play A pullback toward the demand/support zone (116k–117.4k) can present a high-RR entry. 2. Continuation Toward Resistance If price holds above the EMAs and structure, we could see a push toward 123,375, where profit booking may occur. ⸻ 📌 Market Sentiment Bias: Bullish • Structure: Bullish BOS • Momentum: Above all EMAs • Volume Profile: High acceptance near
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
1
Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise. Bullish Scenario In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action. How to Confirm a Valid Breakout Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky. Final Thoughts BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy. -------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
56
Bitcoin – Breakout Coming, But May Be a TrapBitcoin is trading within a well-defined bullish pennant structure on the 1H chart, with clear compression between a rising support and descending resistance. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the prior trend, but given the surrounding liquidity and recent FVG formation, the setup looks more nuanced. After a liquidity sweep earlier this session, price has rebounded and is currently respecting a newly formed 1H fair value gap within the pennant range. Pennant Structure and Price Reaction The consolidation is tight and clean, with buyers stepping in off the ascending trendline support. This area overlaps with a small FVG that has so far held as intraday support, suggesting active demand. Until this gap is violated, the structure remains intact and favors a breakout play to the upside. However, with a larger unmitigated FVG sitting just under 121,000 and a previous swing high forming a strong liquidity pool, the upside might be limited. Buy Side Liquidity and Reversal Area If price can push above the descending trendline, the next logical target is the buy side liquidity sitting around 120,800 to 121,200. That zone is also where sellers may step in, given it aligns with prior inefficiency and a probable stop hunt level. This makes it a high-probability reversal area. I expect price to take out that buy side before we get a meaningful shift lower again. Displacement and FVG Reactions Any clean displacement toward the upside, particularly into the 121k range, will be key to watch for rejection signs. Should we see rejection or an SFP at the liquidity zone, that would likely confirm the short-term top. At that point, I’d expect a return into the pennant or even a sweep of the trendline support again, setting up a deeper retracement. Short-Term Expectations In the immediate term, as long as price holds above the current FVG and trendline confluence, I expect Bitcoin to slowly grind higher and break out of the pennant. The objective is the liquidity above 120,800. Once that’s taken, I’ll be watching closely for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns to get positioned short again. Conclusion Bitcoin is compressing within a bullish pennant and currently holding a fair value gap, suggesting bullish continuation in the short term. However, the real play may come after a sweep of the buy side liquidity near 121k, where I expect a bearish rejection and opportunity for downside positioning. The market structure remains neutral to bullish until that liquidity is tagged. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
46
EURNZD: Bullish Confluence Aligns for Buy Setups at Key ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we identify that the current institutional order flow is bullish. With this bias in mind, we aim to capitalize on high-probability buying opportunities from key points of interest aligned with institutional behavior. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is showing a clear bullish narrative. This bullish order flow is confirmed by the H4 timeframe, which is also delivering higher highs and higher lows—providing confluence between both the macro and intermediate timeframes. This alignment increases our confidence in seeking long setups. Key Observations on H4: Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep: Price recently took out H4 buy stops, which triggered a retracement into internal range price action. Re-Delivered Re-Balanced Zone (RDRB): Price has now pulled back into a re-delivered, re-balanced array—a significant institutional level that typically offers low-risk buy setups. Given the nature of this zone, we do not anticipate a deeper pullback into the fair value gap (FVG), thereby treating it as a potential breakaway gap. Draw on Liquidity: The next probable target is the external liquidity pool resting in premium prices. The market appears poised to gravitate towards that area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for bullish confirmations within the RDRB array. Targets: The primary target is the engineered liquidity pool in premium prices. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Remain patient, trust the structure, and execute with precision as the bullish narrative unfolds. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets. Key Observations on H4: Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection. Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level. Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions. Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles. Kind Regards, The_Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
2
USDCHF: Bearish Shift Offers Premium Selling ZonesGreetings Traders, At present, USDCHF is exhibiting a clear shift in institutional order flow toward the bearish side. In response, we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities within premium price zones. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe remains bearish, offering a macro-level bias. Price recently pulled back into the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), a key internal range area. With this retracement complete, we now expect the market to begin its delivery toward external liquidity pools located in discounted price zones. Key Observations on H4: Market Structure Shift (MSS): USDCHF has recently presented a bearish MSS on the H4, confirming a change in the internal structure and further validating the bearish narrative. H4 Fair Value Gap Rejection: Following the MSS, price retraced into a newly formed H4 FVG. This area now serves as a short-term institutional resistance zone. Sell Opportunity Zone: This H4 FVG provides a valid zone to seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (e.g., M15), with the objective of targeting downside liquidity. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for short setups via confirmation on the M15 timeframe within the current H4 FVG zone. Targets: Focus on internal liquidity pools within discounted price levels, with the broader objective being the external liquidity resting beneath recent swing lows. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
EURUSD - Parallel channel in play!The following chart offers a closer look at the current structure of the EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting a well-defined bearish parallel channel, which has provided clear boundaries for both resistance and support. Based on the ongoing reaction to these levels, we outline both bullish and bearish scenarios that could unfold in the coming sessions. Bearish Parallel Channel Since June 30, EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a downward-sloping bearish parallel channel. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary of the channel has been rejected, while the lower boundary continues to act as dynamic support. This sustained rejection from the upper trendline confirms the strength of the bearish momentum currently at play. The pair remains structurally weak unless a clean breakout to the upside occurs, accompanied by strong bullish confirmation. Bullish Scenario A potential bullish reversal could materialize if EUR/USD manages to hold above the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located between 1.1620 and 1.1600. This zone may provide the necessary support for the bulls to step in. If the price maintains strength within or just above this FVG and buyers begin to show dominance, a rebound toward the upper boundary of the channel could occur. A successful breakout above the channel could then trigger a stronger rally, possibly targeting the 1.1750–1.1800 region, marking a clear shift in short-term momentum. Bearish Scenario Conversely, if the pair fails to hold the 4-hour FVG between 1.1620 and 1.1600 and closes a strong bearish 4-hour candle below this zone, the market may be setting up for further downside. This would suggest a rejection of the FVG as resistance and open the path for a drop toward the lower end of the channel. Interestingly, this area also aligns with a previously established larger 4-hour FVG. A move into this deeper FVG could present a more favorable zone for a longer-term bullish reversal, as it offers a stronger liquidity pool and potential demand area. Final Thoughts The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture. Price is hovering near a key support zone within a bearish channel that has defined its movement for several weeks. Whether bulls can hold this support and break above the channel, or bears take control and push it lower toward the broader 4-hour FVG, will determine the next major directional move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 1.1620–1.1600 level for clues on the likely breakout direction. -------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
69
BTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) BreakdownBTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown 🧠 Smart Money Market Structure Insight 📌 Key Elements Identified: BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate bullish intent early on. However, the latest BOS on July 14 followed by a significant drop signals a shift in momentum—possibly a distribution phase. Liquidity Sweep: Price swept prior equal lows/liquidity before reversing, a typical Smart Money trap setup. FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: Identified around the mid-section of the chart—price filled partially but failed to hold, suggesting internal weakness. Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Marked between 115,000 - 114,640; this zone is anticipated to act as a springboard for bullish reversal. 📉 Current Price Action Observation: BTCUSD is hovering around 118,152 - 118,560, moving sideways with lower highs indicating compression. Price is projected to form a "W" pattern or double bottom in the shaded region. Expected liquidity grab beneath 115,902 followed by potential bullish reaction targeting 121,562, as indicated by the white arrow. 🧩 Strategic Outlook & Potential Play: 🔻 Bearish Sweep First: Market likely to sweep the support one more time, tapping into deeper liquidity pools between 115,000–114,640. This is aligned with the concept of Smart Money hunting for retail stop-losses before reversing. 🔼 Bullish Recovery After Sweep: Strong probability of bounce due to presence of: Fair Value Gap (already tested), Fresh demand zone, Liquidity grab setup. Projected Bullish Target: 121,562 Confirmation Needed: A strong bullish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframes near support. 🏷️ Conclusion: This BTCUSD setup is a textbook Smart Money scenario: BOS ➝ Liquidity Grab ➝ FVG ➝ Reversal from Demand. Traders should wait for confirmation from the support region before entering long positions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective🧠 NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective On the current NZD/USD chart, price is trading around 0.5960, positioned between a clearly defined resistance zone (0.6130–0.6150) and a support zone (0.5890–0.5900). We can observe the following key technical elements: 🔹 1. Liquidity Sweep Price recently broke below the previous swing low near 0.5900, tapping into a pool of sell-side liquidity. This movement is commonly interpreted as a liquidity grab, where institutions manipulate price to trigger retail stop losses before reversing. 🔹 2. Double Bottom Formation The chart indicates a potential double bottom forming at the support level — a classic accumulation signal. This pattern suggests buyers may be stepping in after liquidity has been taken out, anticipating a reversal. 🔹 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) An FVG (imbalance) is visible in the range of 0.5985 to 0.6015. This inefficiency was created by a sharp bearish move, leaving price action unbalanced. Price is now expected to retrace into this area to rebalance orders — a common smart money behavior. 🔹 4. Market Structure Outlook If the double bottom confirms with a bullish break of structure above 0.5980, we could expect a continuation toward: First Target: FVG zone around 0.6015 Second Target: Major resistance near 0.6150, where past distribution occurred. ✅ Conclusion This setup combines key smart money concepts: Liquidity grab below support Accumulation phase at demand FVG as target Potential bullish market structure shift Traders should monitor price action around the support zone for confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or break of short-term highs) before entering long positions. Targets remain at the FVG and resistance zones, but risk management is essential in case of a deeper sweep or macroeconomic catalyst.
Long
by Mentor_Michael03