(Correction) LONG on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedI previously made a post about shorting EUR/USD however if price is to break above the order block I will be looking for longs!
Fairvaluegap
Looking for price to fill the FVG and short EUR/CADPrice has had a nice BOS after the liquidity to the downside. We're looking for the retrace back to the FVG to take shorts to the previous lower liquidity levels. If you're into patterns this would be a clean "head & shoulders"!
EURUSD - Strong Market Structure with a Potential Pullback?The EUR/USD pair has been displaying strong bullish momentum recently, maintaining an overall uptrend. However, despite this strength, I am expecting a temporary pullback before any further upside movement. The price has reached a key resistance level, marked in red, which has historically acted as a significant barrier. The market has reacted to this level with a rejection, indicating that buyers are struggling to push through at this point.
Key Levels to Watch
Imbalance Areas and Support Zones (Blue Zones)
These zones represent areas where price could retrace before making its next significant move. If price finds support at one of these zones and forms a bullish confirmation, we could see another push to the upside.
However, if price fails to hold the first blue zone, it is likely to drop further into the second marked imbalance area. The second zone would then become the next key level to watch for potential support.
Break of the Support Zones
If both support zones fail to hold, this would suggest that buyers are losing control and that a deeper pullback is underway. In this case, the overall bullish momentum may slow down, and a shift toward a more bearish sentiment could occur in the short term.
Current Resistance Zone (red zone)
The red zone marks a key resistance level that price has struggled to break in the past. If price successfully breaks above this zone with strong momentum and closes above it, this would confirm further bullish continuation. A breakout could signal the potential for new highs, as buyers regain full control of the market.
Impact of CPI News on EUR/USD
Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report had a notable impact on the EUR/USD pair. Upon release, the market experienced a sharp upward spike, reflecting an immediate reaction to the inflation data. However, this move was short-lived, as price quickly faced a strong rejection and dropped back down. This type of movement suggests that market participants are still processing the implications of the inflation data and its potential effect on future monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be a key factor in determining how the pair moves in the coming days.
Trade Plan and Expectations
I will be watching for a potential retracement into one of the blue support zones. If price finds support and shows a bullish reaction, I will look for confirmation to enter a long position.
If price breaks below the first support zone, I will wait for a test of the second blue area before making any trading decisions. A failure to hold this level would indicate further downside potential.
If price manages to break and hold above the red resistance zone, this would be a strong bullish confirmation, signaling further upside movement. In that case, I would anticipate a continuation of the uptrend.
Overall, while the market structure remains strong, a short-term retracement is likely before the next move takes place. It is important to remain patient and wait for clear confirmations at key levels before entering a trade.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or do you think we could see more downside before buyers regain control?
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Fair Value Gaps vs Liquidity Voids in TradingFair Value Gaps vs Liquidity Voids in Trading
Understanding fair value gaps and liquidity voids is essential for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of the financial markets. These concepts, deeply rooted in the Smart Money Concept (SMC), provide valuable insights into the dynamics of supply and demand, helping to identify potential price movements. In this article, we’ll delve into both ideas, exploring their characteristics, differences, and use in trading.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Meaning in Trading
A fair value gap, also known as an imbalance or FVG, is a crucial idea in Smart Money Concept that sheds light on the dynamics of supply and demand for a particular asset. This phenomenon occurs when there is a significant disparity between the number of buy and sell orders for an asset. They occur across all asset types, from forex and commodities to stocks and crypto*.
Essentially, a fair value gap in trading highlights a moment where the market consensus leans heavily towards either buying or selling but finds insufficient counter orders to match this enthusiasm. On a chart, this typically looks like a large candle that hasn’t yet been traded back through.
Specifically, a fair value gap is a three-candle pattern; the middle candle, or second candle, features a strong move in a given direction and is the most important, while the first and third candles represent the boundaries of the pattern. Once the third candle closes, the fair value gap is formed. There should be a distance between the wicks of the first and third candles.
Fair value gaps, like gaps in stocks, are often “filled” or traded back through at some point in the future. They represent areas of minimal resistance; there is little trading activity in these areas (compared to a horizontal range). Therefore, they are likely to be traded through with relative ease as price gravitates towards an area of support or resistance.
Liquidity Void Meaning in Trading
Liquidity voids in trading represent significant, abrupt price movements between two levels on a chart without the usual gradual trading activity in between. These are essentially larger and more substantial versions of fair value gaps, often encompassing multiple candles and FVGs, indicating a more pronounced imbalance between buy and sell orders.
While FVGs occur frequently and reflect the day-to-day shifts in market sentiment, liquidity voids signal a rapid repricing of an asset, typically following significant market events (though not always).
These voids are visual representations of moments when the market experiences a temporary absence of balance between buyers and sellers. This imbalance leads to a sharp move as the market seeks a new equilibrium price level. Such occurrences are not limited to specific times; they can happen after major news releases, during off-market hours, or following large institutional trades that significantly move the market with a single order.
Liquidity voids are especially noteworthy on trading charts due to their appearance as particularly sharp moves. Though they appear across all timeframes, they’re most obvious following major news events when the market rapidly adjusts to new information, creating opportunities and challenges for traders navigating these shifts.
Fair Value Gap vs Liquidity Void
Fair value gaps and liquidity voids are effectively the same thing in practice; a fair value gap is simply a shorter-term liquidity void. Both indicate moments of significant imbalance between supply and demand. At the heart of both phenomena is a situation where one significantly outweighs the other, leading to strong market movements with minimal consolidation. The distinction between them often comes down to scale and timeframe.
An FVG is typically identified by a specific three-candle pattern on a chart, signalling a discrete imbalance in order volume that prompts a quick price adjustment. These gaps reflect moments where the market sentiment strongly leans towards buying or selling yet lacks the opposite orders to maintain price stability.
Liquidity voids, on the other hand, represent more pronounced movements in a given direction, often visible as substantial price jumps or drops. They can encompass multiple FVGs and extend over larger portions of the chart, showcasing a significant repricing of an asset.
This distinction becomes particularly relevant when considering the timeframe of analysis; what appears as a series of FVGs on a lower timeframe can be interpreted as a liquidity void. On a higher timeframe, this liquidity void may appear as a singular fair value gap. This can be seen in the fair value gap example above.
For traders, it’s more practical to realise that both FVGs and liquidity voids highlight a key market phenomenon: when a notable supply and demand imbalance occurs, it tends to create a vacuum that the market is likely to fill at some future point. Therefore, it’s important to recognise that both these types of imbalances can act as potential indicators of future price movement back towards these unfilled spaces.
Trading Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Voids
Trading strategies that leverage fair value gaps and liquidity voids require a nuanced approach, as these concepts alone may not suffice for a robust trading strategy. However, when integrated with other aspects of the Smart Money Concept, such as order blocks and breaks of structure, they can contribute significantly to a comprehensive market analysis framework.
Primarily, both FVGs and liquidity voids signal potential areas through which the price is likely to move rapidly to reach more significant zones of trading activity, such as order blocks or key levels of support and resistance.
This insight suggests that initiating positions directly within an FVG or a liquidity void may not be effective due to the high likelihood of the price moving swiftly through these areas. Instead, traders might find it more strategic to wait for the price to reach areas where historical trading activity reflects stronger levels of buy or sell interest.
Additionally, these market phenomena can inform the setting of price targets. If there is an FVG or liquidity void situated before a key area of interest, targeting the zone beyond the gap—where substantial trading activity is expected—could prove more effective than aiming for a point within the gap itself.
It's also useful to note the relative significance of these features when they appear on the same timeframe. An FVG, being generally smaller and indicating a discrete order imbalance, is more likely to be filled before a liquidity void. This is because liquidity voids represent more considerable and pronounced market movements that can set market direction, marking them as less likely to be filled within a short space of time.
Limitations of Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Voids
While fair value gap trading strategies and the analysis of liquidity voids offer insightful approaches to understanding market dynamics, they come with inherent limitations that traders need to consider:
- Market Volatility: High volatility can unpredictably affect the filling of fair value gaps and liquidity voids, sometimes leading to incorrect analysis or false signals.
- Timeframe Relativity: The significance and potential impact of gaps and voids can vary greatly across different timeframes, complicating analysis.
- Incomplete Picture: Relying solely on these phenomena for trading decisions may result in an incomplete market analysis, as they do not account for all influencing factors.
- Expectations: There is no guarantee that a FVG/void will be filled soon or at any point in the near future.
The Bottom Line
As we conclude, it's essential to remember that while fair value gap and liquidity void strategies provide valuable insights, they’re part of a broader spectrum of SMC tools available to traders. They’re best combined with other analytical techniques to form a comprehensive approach to trading.
For those looking to delve deeper into trading strategies and enhance their market understanding, opening an FXOpen account can be a step toward accessing a wide array of resources and tools designed to support your trading journey.
FAQs
What Is a Fair Value Gap?
A fair value gap occurs when there's a significant difference between the buy and sell orders for an asset, indicating an imbalance that can influence market prices.
What Are Fair Value Gaps in Trading?
In trading, fair value gaps reflect moments where market sentiment strongly favours either buying or selling, creating potential price movement opportunities.
What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and a Liquidity Void?
The main difference lies in their scale: a fair value gap is typically a smaller, discrete occurrence, while a liquidity void represents a larger, more pronounced price movement.
How to Find Fair Value Gaps?
Traders identify fair value gaps by analysing trading charts for areas where rapid price movements have occurred. A FVG consists of three candles, where the second one is the largest and the first and third serve as barriers. The idea of the FVG is that it leads to a potential retracement to fill the gap in the future.
Is a Fair Value Gap the Same as an Imbalance?
Yes, a fair value gap is the same as an imbalance in the Smart Money Concept.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD - Bulls vs Bears – Price levels to watch out for!🌍 Market Overview:
Currently, EURUSD is showing strength as the US dollar is experiencing bearish pressure, influenced by the recent news regarding tariffs imposed on certain goods. The new tariffs, aimed at curbing certain imports, have created uncertainty around the dollar's stability. This macroeconomic development is creating a favorable environment for the euro, pushing the pair higher as investors seek alternatives to the weakening USD.
Additionally, the broader economic landscape supports euro strength, with improving Eurozone economic data and a more stable inflation outlook compared to the US. These factors have contributed to the recent bullish momentum seen on EURUSD.
📈 Technical Overview:
After a significant bullish move, the market appears to be overextended, signaling that a cooldown might be imminent. The rapid price increase left behind several imbalances that need to be filled for the market to maintain a healthy structure. When price moves in one direction without much pullback, it often creates inefficiencies or gaps in the order flow that the market tends to fill before continuing the primary trend.
Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels, the 0.382 level aligns with a minor zone of interest, but the more significant confluence lies between the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is often referred to as the golden pocket, where price typically reacts during corrections in trending markets. Furthermore, this retracement zone perfectly overlaps with the strong past resistance zone that is now expected to act as support.
🔍 Expected Move:
The expectation is that EURUSD will first tap into the higher supply zone marked in the chart before initiating a corrective move to the downside. The supply zone represents an area where institutional selling pressure could be present, causing a rejection to the downside. The corrective move is anticipated to fill the imbalances left behind during the bullish rally, making the price action healthier and more sustainable in the long run.
The anticipated pullback is likely to target the 1.05000 - 1.06000 area, aligning with the golden pocket and strong support level. This zone offers a high probability for a bullish reaction, making it an ideal point for potential buy entries.
🔑 Key Confluences for the Target Zone:
Golden Pocket Level: This Fibonacci retracement area is a high-probability zone for price reversals in trending markets.
Past Resistance Turned Support: The strong resistance zone that was broken during the bullish rally is expected to act as a support on the way down, offering further confluence for buy entries.
Imbalance Filling: The fast price movement left inefficiencies in the market that are likely to be filled during the retracement, contributing to a healthier market structure.
Psychological Levels: The 1.05000 level is a round number that often acts as psychological support in the market, further increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction.
Market Sentiment: Bearish USD sentiment caused by recent tariffs and economic uncertainty provides a supportive backdrop for the euro, aligning with the technical setup.
📝 Trade Idea Summary:
Wait for a tap into the higher imbalance zone before considering short positions.
Target the 1.05400 - 1.05000 zone for partial profits.
Watch price action around the golden pocket and past resistance level for potential bullish reactions.
Confirm the trade idea with lower time frame structure shifts before entering.
Monitor economic news related to US tariffs and Eurozone economic releases to align with the technical analysis.
Better overview:
⚠️ Risk Management:
Use a stop loss above the imbalance zone for short entries to limit risk.
Consider scaling into long positions at the golden pocket zone with a tight stop below the 1.04800 level.
Aim for a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio to maintain a favorable trade setup.
This trade idea combines technical analysis with market fundamentals to anticipate the next potential EURUSD move. By aligning multiple confluences, the setup offers a high-probability opportunity for both short-term and medium-term traders.
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Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: Is $72K the Next Target?Bitcoin has officially broken below the $91,000 support level, a key structural low that previously acted as a strong base for price action. This breakdown is significant, as it signals a shift in market sentiment and opens the door for a potential retest of lower price levels.
The first major area of interest now lies in the green Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $80,000 level. This region represents an imbalance that has yet to be fully filled, making it a likely point of support where buyers could step in. However, the strength of this level will be critical to monitor
if bulls fail to defend it, we could see an even deeper correction.
🚨 Why Is $72K an Important Level?
If Bitcoin fails to hold above the $80,000 FVG, the next major target would be the red Fair Value Gap around $72,000, which also aligns with the golden pocket retracement zone (between the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci levels). This area is a strong draw on liquidity, meaning that large players in the market could be targeting this level to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount.
Historically, golden pocket regions often act as high-probability reversal zones, but if sentiment remains weak, we could even see a deeper correction towards lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 0.786 zone at around $64,000.
🔥 Key Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Recent Drop
Several major events and macroeconomic factors are currently weighing on Bitcoin’s price action:
📉 Loss of Trump-Driven Crypto Euphoria
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market initially surged on speculation that Donald Trump’s return to the political spotlight would lead to favorable regulations for the industry. However, recent developments have dampened this optimism. Policy details remain unclear, and investors are beginning to question whether the market got ahead of itself.
🔓 Major Crypto Security Concerns
A recent record-breaking $1.5 billion hack on crypto exchange Bybit has raised security fears across the industry. This has led to increased outflows from centralized exchanges as investors rush to secure their assets, adding sell pressure to the market.
⚖️ Regulatory Uncertainty & SEC Scrutiny
The SEC has formed a new task force focused on digital assets, signaling more regulatory oversight in the near future. While some see this as a step toward legitimizing crypto, others fear it could bring stricter enforcement actions, particularly against DeFi platforms and stablecoins.
📊 Declining On-Chain Metrics & Miner Sell-offs
On-chain data suggests that miners have been selling Bitcoin at an increased rate, likely to cover operational costs as mining difficulty continues to rise. This has added additional downward pressure on price.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch Moving Forward
✅ $80,000 (Green FVG) → First major support zone
✅ $72,000 (Red FVG & Golden Pocket) → Strong liquidity draw if $80K fails
🚨 Below $72,000 → Potential retracement toward the 64K-65K region
📢 Final Thoughts: What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point whether we hold $80K or drop toward $72K will determine the next major trend. The current breakdown suggests more downside in the short term, but these lower levels could offer an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors.
With upcoming regulatory decisions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and potential geopolitical factors, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely.
👉 Are you buying the dip, or do you think Bitcoin has further to fall? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe)
Took out an untested low (liquidity)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
EUR/USD UPDATE: Still Following the Plan! EUR/USD continues to respect our bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains a strong support, and price has been consolidating within this zone, showing signs of bullish intent.
🔹 Key Updates:
✅ Price is still holding above the FVG, confirming strong demand.
✅ Higher lows are forming, reinforcing the bullish trend.
✅ Still facing strong resistance—a break above could signal further upside.
🚨 What to Watch For:
📈 Bullish case: A breakout above the resistance could trigger a strong rally.
📉 Bearish case: Losing the FVG support may invalidate the bullish setup.
Make sure to check the main analysis in the related publications.
For now, the structure remains intact, and we are still respecting the channel. Are we about to see a breakout? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ⬇️
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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XRP price at a crucial decision point – massive breakout coming?XRP is currently trading at a critical support level, sitting within a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $2.50 mark. This zone has proven to be a strong demand area, with price reacting and bouncing from it multiple times. However, XRP is now approaching a major trendline resistance, meaning a huge move is coming whether bullish or bearish depends on what happens next!
🔥 The Key Levels You Need to Watch Right Now
🟢 Bullish Scenario – A Breakout Could Send XRP Soaring!
The black descending trendline has been a strong resistance for XRP, capping price movement to the upside.
If price breaks above this trendline and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish breakout, likely leading to a surge in price.
A successful breakout could see XRP rally towards $2.70, $2.80, and possibly even higher, as there is less resistance above these levels.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – FVG Breakdown Could Spell Trouble!
The 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $2.50 is a major support level, and price has already shown significant reactions here.
However, if XRP fails to break above the trendline and instead falls below the FVG zone, this could lead to further downside pressure.
A clean break below $2.50 could send XRP tumbling toward lower support levels, potentially $2.40 or even lower.
🚀 What’s Next for XRP? A Big Move is Coming!
With price consolidating between these key levels, a breakout is inevitable. The bullish momentum will be confirmed if price breaks and retests the descending trendline as support. However, if XRP loses the FVG zone, then we could be looking at a shift in trend toward bearish continuation.
Final Thoughts – Get Ready for Volatility!
Right now, XRP is at a make-or-break moment. The next move will likely set the tone for the coming days. Keep an eye on how price interacts with these levels—whichever side breaks first will determine XRP’s next big move!
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
Bitcoin's Next Big Move? Critical $103K Resistance Ahead!Bitcoin has broken out of its recent consolidation range after a classic liquidity sweep at the lows. As marked on the chart (red line), we saw a significant stop-loss hunt below the previous support level, triggering a cascade of liquidations before BTC swiftly rebounded. This move confirmed bullish intent, allowing Bitcoin to reclaim momentum and push back toward the critical psychological level of $100K.
Now, all eyes are on the $103K resistance zone, which is a major confluence area for multiple reasons:
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – This imbalance in price action suggests that liquidity is resting in this region, making it a key level for market reactions.
📌 Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 retracement) – One of the strongest retracement levels in trading, often acting as a magnet for price action before a decisive move.
📌 Historical Resistance – This area has already been tested twice (marked as "First Hit" and "Second Hit" on the chart) and resulted in strong rejections both times.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If BTC can break through $103K with strong volume, we could see a continuation towards $105K - $107K, with a potential extension toward $110K in the mid-term.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this resistance could lead to another pullback, possibly back to the $96K support level or even lower before another attempt to push higher.
Why This Level Matters:
The liquidity structure here is key. Many traders will have short positions stacked at this resistance, and a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, fueling a rapid move higher. However, if sellers overpower buyers in this zone, BTC could struggle to sustain its gains and might need another accumulation phase before making a decisive breakout.
Final Thoughts
This is a critical moment for Bitcoin. Will the bulls break through $103K and continue the rally, or will this level act as a major roadblock once again? Watch this level closely, and let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – A Complete GuideWhat Are Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price imbalance on a chart that occurs when the market moves aggressively in one direction, leaving an area where price did not trade efficiently. These gaps are often created by institutional traders (banks, hedge funds, and large market participants) executing big orders.
Key Characteristics of a FVG:
✅ Occurs when price moves impulsively, creating an imbalance
✅ Appears in a three-candle formation
✅ The gap forms between the wicks of the first and third candles
How to Identify a FVG:
1️⃣ Look for a strong price move (bullish or bearish).
2️⃣ Find a three-candle sequence where the middle candle has a large body and a gap between the first and third candle wicks.
3️⃣ Mark the area between the first and third candle wicks—this is your Fair Value Gap.
Example:
Imagine price explodes upward with a big green candle, skipping multiple price levels without much resistance. This creates an inefficiency because price hasn’t traded fairly in that area, making it likely that price will revisit it later to fill the imbalance.
Here you can see that price completely filled up that gap and moved higher.
Same here:
How to Use Fair Value Gaps in Trading
FVGs can serve as key zones where price is likely to react. Here’s how you can use them to improve your trading:
1️⃣ Fair Value Gaps as Support & Resistance
Bullish FVG (Support Zone):
If price retraces into a bullish FVG (gap formed in an uptrend), it can act as support and push price higher.
This is a good area to look for buying opportunities.
Bearish FVG (Resistance Zone):
If price retraces into a bearish FVG (gap formed in a downtrend), it can act as resistance and push price lower.
This is a good area to look for selling opportunities.
2️⃣ Using FVGs for Trade Entries & Exits
Price often revisits a Fair Value Gap before continuing its original trend.
A trader can wait for price to fill the gap and then look for confirmations like candlestick patterns or volume spikes before entering a trade.
Stop-loss placement: Put your stop-loss below/above the FVG zone to reduce risk.
3️⃣ Liquidity & Institutional Activity
Institutional traders often target these inefficiencies to fill their orders.
When price returns to an FVG, it may be because institutions are executing trades at those levels.
Why Are Fair Value Gaps Useful?
They act as magnets for price – Price tends to revisit these gaps before continuing its move.
They provide high-probability trade setups – FVGs help traders find potential reversal or continuation zones.
They improve risk management – You can use them for better stop-loss placement.
They align with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Institutions often use these levels for liquidity.
Tips & Tricks: How to Combine Fair Value Gaps with Other Strategies
1️⃣ FVG + Order Blocks = Strong Confirmation
If a Fair Value Gap aligns with an Order Block, it becomes a powerful area of interest.
This increases the chances of a successful trade.
2️⃣ FVG + Fibonacci Retracements
If an FVG aligns with a key Fibonacci level (like 61.8% or 50%), the chances of a price reaction increase significantly.
3️⃣ FVG + RSI or Divergence
If price revisits a FVG while RSI is overbought or oversold, it signals a high-probability reversal.
4️⃣ Higher Timeframe FVGs Are More Reliable
FVGs on the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts are more effective than those on smaller timeframes.
5️⃣ Monitor News Events
If an FVG is formed due to a major news event (e.g., Fed announcement, CPI data, earnings report), be cautious, as price may act differently than expected.
Final Thoughts
Fair Value Gaps are a powerful tool that help traders identify key levels of liquidity and institutional price action. They work best when combined with other strategies like Order Blocks, Fibonacci, and RSI to increase accuracy.
By understanding how and why price moves back into these gaps, traders can anticipate potential high-probability trade setups and trade alongside smart money.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
POWER CEMENT PERFECT SETUP FVG + HIGHER HIGH RETEST AND BREAKOUTPower cement fair value gap plus higher high retest at 9.75. also, there was an accumulation box on the higher time frame. the liquidity was resting in the higher high retest in the fair value gap. the stock absorbed all the liquidity at 9.75 and gave a breakout at 10.30, rallying quickly 8 percent in 2-3 hours. that’s how the smart money and the big institutes play!!
CADCHF - Reversal SetupHello traders
After CADCHF reached resistance zone, it looks like it has started reversing as it broke the 20 sma that was holding for a while and it broke a short term support zone.
We are looking to enter on the 4H fair value gap.
My entry is as marked on the chart.
STOP LOSS HUNTING STRATEGY 8.8% OR 10% REWARDSHORT AT STATISTICAL STOP LOSS FROM MAJORITY
Will short at where most put their stop loss. This strategy is valid for me because this forex pair is indicating a bearish sentiment and the strongest ever recorded. But there is no previous statistics on such a price action. So I will short your stop loss which is around 160-167 (Aggressive account) and 170.5 (Buy and hold account).
I have no believe in a bearish continuation beyon that, it will just carry on going bullish and I'm not interested into shorting or buying this premium as it was bullish for decades and will not offer an exit strategy and/or a decent Stop Loss size
Factors of confluence:
- Anchored VWAP 0.618 above
- Monthly SIBI Fair Value Gap acting as strong resistance
- Previous POC levels
Take Profit:
- EMA200 Weekly chart
- Previous Fair Value Gap level
- Previous Month POC of June 2023 that hasn't been retested and had a strong bullish candle
- Quarterly Q1 Pivot Support Levels
XAU/USD Gold - Both Side Long 30% / Sell 70% Point of InteresetHi everyone, i try to share some idea, feel free to leave a constructive comment to improve my skills ;)
As the GOLD drop on friday, it could be a simple retracement on the 4h TF but in daily the gold rally does not really retraced on previous level.
I should look at 2867 level (Key point 1) to be deterministic if we break the structure it may go to 2830 (Key point 2) and may bounce to 2900-2923 (Key point 3) to mitigate FVG and start the retracement to the 2700 to end the retracement on the OTE around 2700.
If the break of structure fail on (Key point 1) we may bounce directly to (Key point 3) around 2900-2923 and then retrace to the OTE 2700.
If the price breaks 2927 i will consider a bullish continuation and will find another entry after this break to target 3000.
At this moment my feeling is more bearish than bullish.
As the TA suggest that the bearish is near and the last economics are in this favor.
my opinion may change during asian session and the price action on 2867 Key level.
I wish luck to everyone.
Kind Regards
Niko
NAS100USD: CPI Volatility & Institutional Continuation Sell-OffGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish following a significant CPI news release. This high-impact event resulted in a sharp bearish displacement, reinforcing the ongoing bearish narrative. Yesterday, I shared an analysis predicting this continued bearishness. For those interested, you’ll find that analysis attached at the end of this description for deeper context.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
CPI-Induced Displacement : The CPI release triggered a large downward move, forming a massive single candle that left behind a noticeable inefficiency—a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Liquidity Grab & Fair Valuation: After sell stops were taken, price retraced to fill the FVG, restoring fair valuation. This retracement fully closed the gap, confirming a continuation of bearish order flow.
Premium Price Zone: We are currently in a deep premium price range, which aligns with institutional distribution zones. These areas offer excellent opportunities for confirmation-based sell entries.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation at the current premium price level before entering short positions.
Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at lower prices, as these are the areas institutions will likely target to take profits.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
For more context, here’s yesterday’s analysis below.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise.
The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West.
From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely.
Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97
Support levels: 150.95, 149.52
That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle.
I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 .
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset.
Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives.
I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts.
However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently
The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
NAS100USD: Bullish Momentum Aims to Fill Market InefficiencyIn today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow, indicating a favorable environment for bullish opportunities.
Key Observation:
The primary target in price action is the market gap, representing a clear inefficiency that the market aims to fill. This gap serves as a draw on liquidity, aligning with institutional objectives to rebalance price action.
Trading Plan:
Objective: Look for opportunities to align with the bullish narrative.
Target: Focus on the market gap as the key area of interest, anticipating it to be fully filled as the inefficiency is resolved.
By following the bullish institutional order flow and targeting the inefficiency, we align ourselves with the market's structural objectives.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100USD: Transitioning from Sell-Side to Buy-Side CurveGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, characteristic of the sell-side curve. However, bullish institutional order flow is beginning to emerge, indicating a potential shift to the buy-side curve. This creates an opportunity to explore buy setups, provided confluences align with confirmation.
Key Observations:
1. Bullish Order Block as Support:
Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, which is aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence establishes a strong institutional support zone.
2. Reclaimed Order Block:
A previously reclaimed order block has been broken to the upside, suggesting that it may now act as support, reinforcing bullish momentum.
3. Discount Pricing:
Price is currently within a discount zone, making it an attractive area to seek buy opportunities with targets at premium liquidity pools.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Look for confirmations around the bullish order block and reclaimed order block to justify entering long positions.
Targets:
Aim for liquidity pools at premium levels, such as highs, where institutions are likely to offload positions.
By aligning with the emerging bullish narrative and observing institutional behavior, we can position ourselves to capitalize on this potential market shift. As always, patience and confirmation are key.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100USD: Building Support for a Bullish BreakoutGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market exhibits bullish momentum, and we aim to align with this narrative by focusing on bullish setups. Confluences supporting this direction include key institutional support zones that present opportunities for potential buy entries.
Key Observations:
1. Retest of a Breaker Block:
Price is currently retesting a breaker block, a critical area of institutional support.
This zone represents where institutions mitigate prior sell orders and reinstate buy orders, offering a strategic entry point.
2. Confluence with FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The breaker block aligns with an FVG, further strengthening the support zone and enhancing its reliability for buy setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Look for confirmation within the breaker block and FVG area to establish buy positions.
Approach: Focus on scalping opportunities, given the current short-term market structure and setups.
By leveraging these institutional support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum with precision and discipline.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Key spot on the board for SOFI On the MonthlyNever financial advice. Just offering perspective.
At a key spot for Sofi. In the midst of a monthly bearish imbalance, specifically a bearish fair value gap which holds more weight than a volume imbalance. We pushed off a bullish breaker which can be a solid indicator as a push up, with the the high of that green box acting as a support, followed by a strong bullish move.
16.47-17.13 is where the monthly bearish fvg begins and ends.
A monthly close(13days) above 17.13 would be encouraging for bulls, with no bearish imbalances on this higher timeframe.
If we cannot get a monthly candle close above 17.13 we can see a strong rejection, setting a new bullish range from most recent low to high, which we can then see a move back into discount.
My ideal bearish outlook: Monthly bearish imbalance reject, which is currently at 50% bearish discount, to retest bullish breaker + bullish fvg + monthly liquidity sitting at the low of previous month10.63. Targeting ----> 8.53- 10.63.
Ideal bullish outlook(continuation):
Monthly bearish imbalance mitigated here with a monthly candle close above here. Next points of liquidity ---24.65---24.95 as targets.
Ideal bullish outlook(entry or reentry):
Entering ----> 8.53- 10.63.
Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Monthly perspective and may take time to develop.
BTC to 99,000 this weekBTC started the week with a huge liquidity sweep of $848 mill.
Fair value gap ranging from $98,380 - $100,500.
With a liquidity pool laying at $99,016 valued at $145 mill.
4H MACD signal line crossed into a bullish trend Monday 2100 with strong buyers that came from the liquidity sweep mentioned above, i think it is certain that price will continue up until it reaches $99,016 and we will see some resistance before then going into a sideways uptrend to fill in the value gap.
BTC Liquidity heatmap: www.coinglass.com
Even tho i have just shown 4 signals/building blocks for making my analasys i think it is enough data for making a prediction because of how strong these signals/building blocks are.
Enter in an premium at mby $94,500.
TP1 $99,000
