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Fairvaluegap

Anticipation for NQ Tuesdaydaily: The price opens up on Monday failing to take out the previous day's high, so the price is trapped between Friday's price action, 4hr: price is still in the premium of the bullish trading range, I still favor price falling lower into 4hr or daily bullish order block and finding support there for longs 1hr: I would want to buy side liquidity taken preferably from the high of the Asian session high, and a shift lower tomorrow for possible counter-trend shorts I will update this in the Pre Market of NY session to see how the current price action looks
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by martiedirect
What is ICT Power of 3?Power of 3 at work on Gold producing a 8.6RR move on 30/06/2023 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Ict power of 3 is a strategy that reveal the market maker algorithm model for price delivery. Power of 3 simply means there are 3 things market makers algorithm do with price in ever trading days. Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution. AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution 1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market. The purpose for delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction. 2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buying and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders. But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute price in their real direction for the day. 3. Distribution: After manipulating price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute price to their original intended direction. e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level. Example of Power of 3 on Gold AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution Accumulation : Price range during Asian session, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts. Manipulation : Price broke the low of the accumulation during London session to take out sell side liquidity and then fill the previous day imbalance. Distribution : Price move away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure on 5m time frame, plus a short pull back, follow by a massive move to the upside during the New York session to take out buy side liquidity above.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Elijahenoch7
2
Liquidity Pools EURUSDHi, I can see at least two Liquidity Pools on Medium/Higher Time Frame for EURUSD, and price is likely to seek these. The question is if it will go first below or first up. Instinctively, I usually want to trade upwards or the reversal, but since price short term is already downwards, and thus closer to the lower Liquidity Pool, then perhaps that is the wiser choice, to do a small short if anything. But there are liquidity pools to the upside, which can give a great reward if it reaches there, and you have traded near these lows. Have a great day in Jesus' name! -ThomChris
by thomchris777
Weekly Bias for SPX - 10/1/2023Weekly Chart: Traded into last week's bearish engulfing candle and then took out its low. Traded into a +POI (W+FVG), wicked near MT at 4236.6 Weekly Idea: Because we are bearish but entered into this +POI, with may get a bounce but would look to see if the PWL is taken out for a continuation lower. For now, I'm 505/50 on this mainly because of the W+FVG. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited Daily Chart: Price took out the PWL and set a low on the Daily in the W+FVG, however, price bounced from the area without making a new high. This is logic to stay on the downside for now. Another thing to note, Friday's close is at the mid point of the weekly range, Weekly high 4347.4, Weekly Low 4243.2, and Weekly mid point 4295.3, finally Weekly close/ Friday closing price 4295.3. Daily idea: Because of the close and the price failing to make a new high this give reasoning to at least look for the price to take out the PDL and -LP ( $ trend line liquidity) with best case scenario, price taking out the PWL. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited 4H Chart/Idea: We have a 4H-OB and 4H-FVG, one the LTF, do we have price return to mitigate this area? The +breaker is hold price up for now and this will be the first thing that I look at for a response of what price decides to do. The low was made in a +POI, a +OB but will it hold?
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Cory4rex
Weekly Bias for DXY/GU - 10/1/23Weekly Chart: DXY and GU both have reach POI, on DXY a W-OB and on GU a W+FVG. In this scenario, I'd be looking for DXY to see how we respond to the PWH if we fail to take it out and trade back into last week's range, I'll look to the downside potentially. If we trade through it, the +LP at 107.993 will be the next draw. GU will have to deal with the W+FVG and the YOP which may be a tough task. Weekly Idea: DXY's strength be the thing I'm watching. This is a good area to fall from and that will spring GU to the up side. A fall lines up with the YOP holding price up on GU. However, if we take out the high on DXY, GU reaches into the YOP Daily Chart: The first draw is the PDH on DXY and the PDL on GU. We will need to pay attention to how the engulfing candles made on Thursday on DXY/GU are handled and this will be a range that the LTF will need to deal with. 4H Chart: DXY has a small 4H-FVG but the one above it is the one I'm interested in. The PDH has already been taken out and the response to the highs are what I'm looking for. On GU, the PDL hasn't been taken yet but its at risk so, I'll be looking at how price reacts to all of the +POIs (D+FVG,4H+Breaker, and the 4H+FVG, 4H+OB). If DXY fails to push through PDH, well look for price to trade into the 4H+FVG and and the same time I'll be looking at price inside of the 4H-FVG on GU.
by Cory4rex
EURUSD BUY TO MITIGATE WKLY IFVG & ULTIMATELY SELL TO MNTHLY FVGOn weekly tf we can clearly spot an inverse FVG which price will likely mitigate before going back down to fill monthly FVG. Considering the bullish trend as come to an end for EU looking at MNTLY TF, a clear shift in market structure will ultimately lead to a small retracement into fair value price or premium as price is currently at discount price. Dropping down to 4HR Tf we can see that there’s a 4HR bullish IFVG as well which will serve as a point of entry for price to go straight to weekly bearish IFVG and ultimately shooting back down to fill monthly FVG.
by Houdini4k
Weekly Bias for Nas100 - 10/1/2023Weekly Chart: Price took out the PWL and the August low into a W+OB and we did close positively for the week. We did create the low of a W-FVG (not drawn but, it's there) and price closed near the middle of the weekly range, Weekly High 14906.5, Weekly Low 14429.3, Weekly Mid point 14667.9, Weekly close 14741.8. Weekly idea: Price took out lows into the W+OB but for now there is a W+FVG below that may be the target. If we take out the PDL, this will be my target into the the W+FVG(H) near 14232.7. In order to turn bullish I will need to see a high taken out and I'll want to see what price does inside the W-FVG. Daily Chart: Price traded into a D-FVG and set the high near the D-FVG (MT) and left a huge wick with a Friday close near the Mid point of the Weekly range. We took out the bearish engulfing made on Tuesday but by Friday we traded back into it. Daily Idea: Price leaving that large wick will cause for me to look at how price response to the close, middle and high of the candle. Do we fail inside this wick or take out the high? This is the question I'll be looking to answer. If we fail, I'll be looking to take out the PDL and THURS PDL. If we take out the high, price should close the D-FVG and trade into another D-FVG just above (not drawn) with the low near 14974.1. 4H Chart: Price left a 4H-OB inside the daily wick and the low was made inside a 4H+FVG(H) 14661.5. There is a +CHOCH above THURS PDH and the this is my hesitation to go full on bearish on the short term. There is also a 4H+Breaker that Friday could not take out as well. 4H Idea: I want to see if price will take out the 4H-OB or the PDL
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
IPDA Ranges to Cast Future Price Movement for ES Familiarizing ourselves more on IPDA Ranges to help form daily bias and to work on high time frame analysis. The first idea we ever published was actually a very similar thought but now that we have a better understanding of how to use IPDA ranges we wanted to post what we hope to be a more accurate version of what is to occur in CME_MINI:ES1! price action. We are trading down off of a weekly order block that was traded into on July 18th; we have taken out the July 10th low of 4660.25 and we have failed to make a higher swing above 4683.50. It seems like the market has shifted to bearish conditions for the intermediate term. Using the look back and cast forward train of thinking, we have been trading higher for the 60 trading days prior to August 1st which is just 3 trading days after making our current intermediate high; meaning our cast forward should have plenty of sell side liquidity to draw to in order to clear out stops below our 20-40-60 day ranges. It just so happens that we have a +Breaker Block that contains a Fair Value Gap/Liquidity Void inside of it. This gives us a lot of confidence in our bearish outlook as the 60 day low is quite literally is the top of our Liquidity Void and also falls into a zone for Optimal Trade Entry (OTE). The only major bounce we should see is off of the March 13th Premium/Discount range as the Equilibrium for that range falls right in a Liquidity Void. The only thing that will push us through that with ease is some red folder news. Should be a piece of cake.. We are proud to put ourselves out there with ideas. It forces us to use logic and apply concepts and ideals that we have learned. Any questions or comments leave them below! CME_MINI:ES1! EIGHTCAP:SPX500 CBOE:SPX TVC:SPX BLACKBULL:SPX500 SKILLING:SPX500
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by blackoakcapital
Swing Trade on SPXNow that I have 2 funded accounts, going to use one for swing trades with around 1-2 lots just cause I'd like to have 1 funded account on a higher TF level. I find Swing Trading 1 account will let me keep my higher TF bias in check or analyzed consistently without choice, and so I am starting it off with this SPX trade. We've had Equal Highs into a previous FVG around the 50% mark of said FVG. So I am placing a short here. Wicks show the damage done to that liquidity. I'm quite sure we are going to head downward on a daily level toward the next FVG. I have a bearish bias this week as long as we stay below the weekly open. We are also sitting in Buyside Liquidity while we had pretty good displacement from the downtrend and this displacement has brought us to retest the break in market structure. TP1 will be at 50% of the FVG, and TP2 will be at the fully closed FVG. If that were to play out there are some Bullish Order Blocks formed below the FVG, and that would be where I can start to look for a long. Depends on what happens over the next few days. Looking to stay in this trade to around Friday or Monday; Really depends on the price action. If the trade hits and we react strong off that FVG I will be looking for continuation trades to the bullish first Bullish OB. My stop is set at the Equal Highs because if we return to those double Equal Highs there is a high probability we break above it a bit. So just trying to keep losses minimal with a bit of wiggle room to those highs. Let's see.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Short
by taztrader
Ex of Fair Value Gap and Order BlockThis analysis is taking a Falling Wedge set up on SPY Futures mainly from the Daily timeframe. The recent trend in price in bearish and approaching an area of value for a trade. Awaiting confirmation of a reversal, ideally we would enter this trade. I am also publishing this idea to demonstrate for myself and others how price can interact with the Fair Value Gap areas and Order Block areas. Also don't hesitate to comment with your opinions on where my FVG and Order Block areas are! Thank you!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EaszzzyE
TSLA fifth wave and bullish FVG 4h timeframeI've been keeping a close watch on TSLA's recent movements, and there's something worth sharing. It seems we're in the midst of the fifth wave, if we follow Elliott Wave Theory. What's even more intriguing is that on the 4-hour chart, a bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) could be in the works, indicationing the end of the bearish (fourth) wave. Adding to the excitement, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is giving us some interesting signals. It's right on the edge of slipping into oversold territory, a potential sign of a turnaround. Plus, keep an eye out for the impending cross between the RSI and its RSI-based Moving Average (MA), as that could indicate a significant move coming up. This setup has definitely caught my attention, and I'm thinking there's a trading opportunity brewing. If taking the trade I would suggest a safe stoploss below the fourth wave or a more risky one below the next bullish liquidity void on the chart. I would target the end of the fifth wave as a TP area because after that I believe we will see the first correction wave of the ABC pattern. Of course, as traders, we know the drill – careful analysis and risk management are key before making any moves.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RuneDD