AUDCAD Short Term ForecastD1 - Bullish trend pattern.
The price has reached a key resistance zone formed by the 161.8% (0.96314) fibonacci expansion level of the first wave and the 61.8% (0.98591) fibonacci expansion level of the second wave. Shooting star candle pattern, potential bearish divergence.
Expecting corrections to happen now.
H4 - Engulfing candle pattern. The price has created a false break of the wedge pattern.
Expecting the price to continue lower further in the short term.
Falsebreak
NZDUSD Short Term ForecastH1 - Bullish trend pattern completed. Expecting bearish pullbacks.
False break, bearish convergence, bearish harami candle pattern, and most recent uptrend line breakout. We may consider these as evidences of bearish pressure.
Expecting further continuation lower in the short term after pullbacks.
False break for the EuroAre we looking at a false break on the Euro USD according to the Indicator we are trading along the top 1% of price movement at the 3 standard deviation meaning we could be looking at a quarter high with that we are also above 1.100 which was a key level to start looking for move in price action we may see parity which would have this pair fall to 1.00 before the market makes its decision on its next move.
But we face a high probability that the down ward pressure in this pair is here to stay
Targets: Short at 1.100
Exit at 1.00
USDJPY ForecastH4 - Price respected the key support zone formed by the 106 psychological zone, alternative trend line, and the 61.8% (106.371) fibonacci expansion level of the first wave we have.
We also had a false break of the alternative trend line and the last low, bullish divergence.
The price has also broken above the downtrend line and has created higher highs.
H1 - Bullish trend pattern, currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Bullish hidden divergence.
Expecting further continuation higher after pullbacks.
HSI futures - false breakout setup a high risk-reward tradeHSI future forms a wedge making me bias to bearish.
Today, it breakouts the previous swing high, EMA50, and a mid-term downward trendline, and immediately drops below, expecting to close as a pinbar.
A classic false breakout setting with 5 conflence factors (also considering the fib retracement, and the long-term resistance).
A 2.5 risk-reward trade will be enter around the close.
SP500 Short Term ForecastH4 - Triple cycle to the downside completed, price is holding above a strong support zone, false breaks with bullish divergence.
Downtrend line breakout, we may now expect possible short term retraces to happen.
H1 - Bullish trend pattern, until the buy zone holds my short term view remains bullish here.
Invalidation - If the price breaks and holds below the 61.8% fibonacci retracement level then this short term bullish view will be invalidated.
EURJPY Buy IdeaW1 - Price reached the bottom of the channel and is moving higher, bullish divergence.
D1 - Bullish divergence, false breaks, currently the price has created higher highs thus forming a bullish convergence.
We may now look for pullbacks and buys with bullish evidences.
H4 - We have a bearish divergence, until the last low holds, we may look to buy retraces with bullish evidences.
EURUSD Sell IdeaH1 - Currently it looks like the special cycle has completed itself. We had false break and bullish divergence.
Currently the price is moving higher, hence as per the book scenario we may now expect a correction to happen towards the 38.2% – 50% fibo retrace zone.
We may then start looking for sells with more bearish evidences.
EURGBP Buy IdeaD1 - Hidden bullish divergence, price has created a false break of the uptrend line.
H4 - Two false breaks with two bullish divergences.
Now price is attempting to break the most recent high.
If we get a valid breakout above the high shown in the chart, we may then look for possible buys with more bullish evidences.
USD/TRY is forming a second pennant move We can see on the half hour graph that USDTRY is forming a second pennant formation.
We have to wait and see other indicators to support this move such as Parabolic SAR and RSI. Moving average is crossing the bollinger middle band as I'm publishing this. Volume is getting higher in each stick forms. Also bollinger bands narrowed down for a move. Target of this pennant will be around 5,81
This morning price made a false break of pennant support. Just like it did on the first pennant formation. And the steep uptrend started right after this false break. Most probably that false break stopped many people's trade.