Falsebreak
USD/TRY is forming a second pennant move We can see on the half hour graph that USDTRY is forming a second pennant formation.
We have to wait and see other indicators to support this move such as Parabolic SAR and RSI. Moving average is crossing the bollinger middle band as I'm publishing this. Volume is getting higher in each stick forms. Also bollinger bands narrowed down for a move. Target of this pennant will be around 5,81
This morning price made a false break of pennant support. Just like it did on the first pennant formation. And the steep uptrend started right after this false break. Most probably that false break stopped many people's trade.
GBPCAD Buy ideaD1 - Special cycle, we have two false breaks with two divergences.
H4 - Bullish divergence, false break. Price positioned itself above the D1 100% fibo extension. In other words trading above the critical level.
Hi - Currently it looks like a pullback is happening, once the pullback completes itself we may then start looking for buys with more bullish evidences.
GBPCHF Buy IdeaD1 - Double wave down completed, bullish divergence.
We may look for possible retrace to happen towards 38.2 fibo retrace zone.
H4 - We had false break with bullish divergence.
Price has currently broke above the last high, we may now look for pullbacks and buys with more bullish evidences.
Ripple XRPUSD Short Term Buy IdeaD1 - Price reached the critical zone.
H4 - False break with bullish divergence. As long as the critical zone holds we may look for possible buys with bullish evidences.
H1 - If you want to be more conservative then wait for the price to move higher and break above the last high on the H1 chart, you may then start looking for buys with more bullish evidences.
Alternative Scenario - On the H4 chart wait for the price to move lower further towards the low shown in the chart, then once the price moves higher and breaks above the newly formed high you may then start looking for buys with more bullish evidences.
Invalidation: If the price moves lower and breaks below the critical zone then this buy idea will be invalidated.
USDCAD Sell IdeaW1 - Price is still in the zone of a triple cycle ending up with resistance, we have a possible double top. We may now look for a correction in the form of two waves or a range.
As long as the last top holds, we may look for a retrace to happen towards the 50% retrace zone.
D1 - Second false break with divergence. Band to band movement.
H4 - Triple cycle, the price broke below the trend line and then it started to create lower lows. Currently we have Bollinger band duplication area.
By ideal we should see the price cleaning the area shown in the chart, We may then look for corrections and possible sells with more bearish evidences.
if we get a straight leg going through all the fibo retrace levels then it is a warning sign, so pay attention to this.
H1 - Price reached a critical zone, bullish divergence. We may now look for correction to happen in the form of double wave or range.
The bottom line here is, we may now look for retraces and sells with bearish evidences.
New record high coming? Notice the DAX's chart
During the last two months, not only that it has recovered the majority of its losses, but its price also climbed back up above a weekly trend line.
Basically, this is a potential false break (monthly)
If this trend line will now HOLD as support again... there's a chance that we will see new record highs for the DAX before the end of 2019
What do you think?
Focus on that trend line
EURJPY Sell IdeaH4 - As long as 125.70 holds (false breaks are acceptable) we can be looking for sell setups. The hidden divergence started turning into continuing divergence – bottom line is, there is bearish pressure. Testing the 125.40 level would be ideal.
H1 - We can see bearish divergence already forming and the price is inside the resistance zone.
CADCHF Sell IdeaD1 - Double wave up, price reached 61.8 fibo zone and is moving lower.
We also got false break of downtrend line.
H4 - Bearish convergence, we may now look for pullbacks and sells with more bearish evidences.
Invalidation: If the price moves higher and break above the last high (marked in yellow line) with momentum then this sell setup will be invalidated.
SWING SHORT on UK OILWe just saw the false breakout of $71 price level. Now we're drawing right shoulder and there is a huge chance to see the big short movement here. Good risk/reward ratio.
1) Clear false break of the price level
2)Global trend: SHORT
3)H&S pattern
4)FIBO 61.8 from previous monthly downside movent
5) Price reached all the fibo goals from the local uptrend
6)Good risk/reward ratio. Good area for placing SL
Profits to everybody! Enjoy!
EURJPY Sell IdeaH4 - We have a critical zone that has formed based on the top of the channel and a strong resistance zone.
We may now expect one more push higher from the current zone towards this critical zone. We may then start looking for sells with bearish evidences.
We already have two false breaks with bearish divergence so alternatively if the price moves lower from the current zone and breaks below the low shown in the screenshot, we may then start looking for sells with more bearish evidences.