META Short earningsLet's be honest from purely a probability perspective I see meta NOT beating earnings for many reasons. ad rev still down. covid reopening people using social less. snap will do poorly as usual the business model is failed. burning cash for meta oculus headsets.
last time we had earnings it dropped over the 3 day rule around 35%
FK Zuckerberg and short this thing to the ground. hopefully it'll recover once economy is sorted and their metaverse project pays off.
target level 130, then all gaps on daily need to be closed.
FB
Meta Platforms | Fundamental Analysis 🚀Meta Platforms, the social media giant formerly known as Facebook, became a trillion-dollar company in June 2021. Three months later, its market value peaked at $1.08 trillion.
But Meta is currently worth only $370 billion. It has lost two-thirds of its value as a slowdown in its advertising business, continued losses in its virtual reality business and rising interest rates have scared away even the company's most ardent fans.
These unfavorable factors aren't going away anytime soon, but Meta stock also looks historically cheap at 17 times earnings estimates. Can this company regain its former appeal and join the 12-Zero club by the end of this decade?
In the first nine months of 2022, Meta earned nearly 98% of its revenue from advertising. It advertises in its "family of apps," which includes Facebook, Messenger, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
That family of apps served 3.71 billion monthly active users in the third quarter of 2022, up 4 percent from a year ago. However, Meta's ad business growth did slow in 2022.
This slowdown was caused by three main factors. First, Apple's iOS update disrupted Meta's ability to create targeted ads using third-party data, ByteDance's TikTok pulled users and advertisers away from Facebook and Instagram, and businesses began buying fewer ads as macroeconomic factors reduced their spending.
To counter Apple, Meta is refining its algorithms to collect more first-party data to target ads. It is also actively expanding Instagram Reels to challenge TikTok but admits that short videos are much harder to monetize than traditional ads. Both strategies will require Meta to increase spending as revenue growth has slowed.
In the meantime, Meta continues to invest billions of dollars in Reality Labs, a division that develops virtual reality headsets and software. In the first nine months of 2022, that division's revenue rose less than 3 percent year over year to $1.4 billion, but its operating loss rose from $6.9 billion to $9.4 billion. This pressure, along with a slowdown in the higher-margin advertising business, has caused Meta's operating margin to drop from 40% in 2021 to 27% in the first nine months of 2022.
Analysts are overwhelmingly negative about Meta's near-term prospects. In 2022, they expect revenues to fall 1% to $116.3 billion, operating margins to fall 26%, and net income to fall 37% to $24.7 billion.
However, this outlook could improve over the next few years as near-term adversity wears off. Meta's ad revenue could stabilize and grow again as the company collects more first-party data and monetizes more Reels. The broader advertising market may warm when inflation is contained and the Fed stops raising rates. An outright ban on TikTok in the U.S., which has been proposed by lawmakers, would lead to more Instagram revenue.
Meta's investment in Reality Labs could also finally bear fruit when the company releases cheaper, lighter, and more powerful Quest VR headsets. Widespread distribution of these devices could attract more users to Horizon Worlds, Meta's metaverse, which, after its initial launch in December 2021, never really got off the ground
But if Reality Labs continues to burn through billions of dollars without showing any sign of progress, Meta could either spin it off or shut it down. Either decision would likely be approved by Meta's investors, as it would instantly improve the company's operating margins and free up more cash to expand its core advertising business.
Finally, Meta had $41.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at the end of the last quarter. This huge reserve gives it plenty of room for new investments and acquisitions -- assuming antitrust regulators approve these deals.
Right now, analysts expect Meta's revenues to grow 5% in 2023 and increase 12% to $136.3 billion in 2024. The company's net income is expected to fall 11% in 2023 as it increases its expenses but grows 20% to $26.2 billion in 2024. These long-term estimates, which we should take with a grain of salt, suggest that Meta will eventually be able to overcome its near-term challenges.
If Meta's business stabilizes in 2024 and it continues to grow revenue and earnings per share (EPS) at a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% over the next six years, it could have revenue of $240 billion in 2030 with earnings per share around $16.
If the company continues to trade at 17 times earnings and three times sales, its stock could reach $270 a share with a market value of $720 billion. However, a slightly higher valuation could easily cross the trillion-dollar mark. Simply put, if Meta survives the near-term downturn and starts growing steadily again, it could join the trillion-dollar club again by 2030.
$CEEK call wasn't expected THIS FASTLiterally posted yesterday but couldn't do it here, documented though
$CEEK is a liked project but have been out of it, except trailer position
Did move decently from bottom & seems 2b setting up but not ready yet, soon
When this pumps it's multi x's
Potential 10xer
#metaverse #nft #p2e #crypto #CEEk #CeekVR
TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I said SETTING UP! NOT THIS FAST! 🤣
#CEEK $CEEK
Volume coming in
RSI is nice, overbought but if we're in BULL it's okay
This could be position to build on pullbacks
#p2e #metaverse #p2e #crypto #ceekvr
META The worst is history! 6 straight green weeks.Our update on The Meta Platforms (META) on the 1W time-frame.
What stands out is that the stock has completed six (6) straight weekly candles, for the first time since March 2017! This is one of the strongest bullish sequences in its history and while at it, it has established 2 weeks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since its September 2021 All Time High!
The short-term target is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is within the technical target of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that we can argue formed the October 2022 market bottom. With the RSI hitting the top of a Higher Highs trend-line that started on March 28 2022, it is possible to see a minor pull-back now to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Support, but that will be the best long-term buy opportunity before we hit the 1W MA50.
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META Closed 2 straight green months, the first time since 2021!Meta Platforms (META) is on a strong January monthly candle (chart on the right) having closed in December two straight green months for the first time since August 2021, which was its All Time High. This alone is a huge bullish development, which along with the 1M RSI being on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S), it can start staging its long-term bullish reversal.
On the more medium-term 1D time-frame (chart on the left), Meta also made a significant bullish development, as yesterday it clearly broke (but failed to close) above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), for the first time in one whole year (since December 30 2021). Having turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support this last month (since December 12), if it manages to close a daily candle above the 1D MA100, the stock's next aim would be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1W RSI also had a major bullish break-out as it broken above a Resistance Zone holding since August 15, that previously had rejected the price a total of three times (Triple Top). In our view we can claim that Meta has a sustainable bullish reversal only if it breaks above the 1D MA200.
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What Billionaires Taught me About TradingDid you ever wonder why influential people wear the same clothes every day?
• Mark Zuckerberg wears his famous round neck grey t-shirt.
• Richard Branson wears his famous pair of jeans.
• Steve Jobs wore his black turtle neck.
• Barack Obama wears either his blue or grey suit.
Well other than promoting their signature look, there is a much more deeper and important reason for it…
You might want to consider this analogy for not only trading, but for every important aspect of your life.
Why Mark Zuckerberg wears the same outfit
Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg held the first ever public Q&A session at FB California headquarters in November 2014.
During the hour session, he was asked why he wears the same grey t-shirt every day.
Here was his answer:
“I really want to clear my life to make it so that I have to make as few decisions as possible about anything except how to best serve this community,”
“I feel like I’m not doing my job if I spend any of my energy on things that are silly or frivolous about my life,”
Less decisions – More success
This concept to make one decision on what outfit to wear, is to help prevent ‘cognitive fatigue’.
One less decision to worry about in life will save your brainpower capacity to help make decisions that matter for the future.
Besides, the more decisions you make – the more complicated life is.
Ok, so you got the gist…
Here’s what this lesson taught me about trading
As a trader, there is plethora of events taking place every day.
There are countless factors to consider:
• Markets
(Forex, shares, indices, commodities and cryptos)
• News events
(Employment, GDP, macro & micro announcements)
• Indicators
(Moving averages, RSI, MACD, Price action etc…)
• Time frames
(Tick, 5 minutes, 30 minutes, daily, weekly)
• Strategies
(Moving average crossovers, breakout patterns, volume analysis)
It’s enough to test everything until the end of time!
That’s why, I have personally worn the same metaphorical outfit for the last 14 years.
NOTE: It took me 7 years to find this outfit!
1 Strategy – MATI Trader System
1 Time frame – Daily
1 Indicator – Price action
1 Risk level – 2%
1 Financial instrument – CFDs
It’s all about finding what you find comfortable, consistent and sustainable…
How to find your one outfit when you trade
This is most definitely a self-introspection journey to find the ‘outfit’ you will be wearing as a trader.
To start, write down your trading strategy and markets you want to trade…
My biggest tip – Keep it simple, minimalistic and comfortable…
META Simple Chart AnalysisMeta - Resistance 124 & 138. Support 112 area. Red chip are appearing more aggressive here. Individual may relook into this.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
META to extend losses even more?Meta - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 107.98 (stop at 115.15)
The primary trend remains bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
108.32 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 108.32 should result in a further move lower.
Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 91.04 and 88.04
Resistance: 126.40 / 134.00 / 142.00
Support: 115.00 / 108.50 / 96.00
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FACEBOOK(META) Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
FACEBOOK is trading in a downtrend
And the stock is about to retest
The broken key horizontal level
Which is now a resistance
From where a bearish continuation
Is to be expected
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
FACEBOOK 25 % pump (NEW)After dropping to lows from 2015, most likely we will see a bounce.
-RSI is very oversold both on daily and weekly timeframe.
-We have a gap which most likely will get filled. After filling the gap, we expect the price to come back down.
-The price dropped 75 % from its ATH. Many investors bought meta stock to ride the bounce.
META reached our target. What's next?Over a month ago (November 10) we posted our outlook on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) following the cutting of 11k jobs (also feature on the Editor's Pick):
As you see our target has been hit as the price rose and reached the top of the Channel Down pattern that the stock has been trading in since February. The buy signals at the time were obvious as the 1D RSI bounced on the Oversold Zone as it did back in late February/ early March. The question is what happens now?
Well we will not diverge from our usual pattern break-out strategies. Right now the stock is on sell levels, being that close to the top (Lower Highs) trend-line of the Channel Down as well as having hit the RSI's Resistance Zone (red). As you see, this is the zone where since November 15 2021 (i.e. more than a year) forms all the Lower High rejections on META. For as long as this holds, we expect the price to hit 89.25 (January 20 2016 Low) and the 72.10 (August 25 2015 Low).
On the other hand, we will buy if the price breaks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been unbroken since December 30 2021, and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). A candle closing above the 1D MA200 (preferably on the weekly scale), should be enough to confirm META turning bullish on the long-term.
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Meta Platforms Analysis 13.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Financial Wave. META-FacebookIt became interesting for us to consider the state of Meta. Unlike Twitter, Meta's outlook looks pessimistic.
Our preferable scenario is the continuation of the downtrend, the price may rebound to the range of $190-250, after which the downward movement will continue. The fall may resume without a rebound, the target level is $60. In case of growth above $250, the downward scenario will be cancelled.
Buy and Hold mana x5 or x10 incomingMana price is clinging to the 9ma on the daily charts.
I always plot the 9 period moving average on charts, when price clings to it in parabolic moves it helps me stay with the trend, here mana is doing the same.
Hold this one, I posted about Facebook (meta) last week and we saw great day trading profits on that last week. METAVERSE stocks and crypto are your big plays alongside other crypto over the next year. Mana is severely undervalued here with a low market cap compared to shib and doge. Buy and or hold.
Buy facebook (meta) huge buy volumeBuying Facebook here under the new re-brand meta.
From a purely TA perspective, Meta looks great. The best signal in trading is volume and support. We can see huge buy volume came into facebook last week on the buy side at support. This gives high probability that the share will look to take out its ATH. This is a great leveraged play here which could reap massive profits buy holding till next year or more.
From a fundamentals perspective everyone knows the facebook brand is pretty unloved. Meta is a fantastic idea. Zuckerbug through his ownership of facebook and instagram has tonnes of personal data on us all and will surely know how to use behaviour marketing strategies to encourage us all into the new metavese. I predict that within a year or so we will all have some form of online avatar presence and the metaverse will be the next big thing.
Meta looks an incredible buy here, stop loss at last weeks low.
buy fb (meta)Inverse head and shoulders here on meta.
Buy ahead of breakout above
See earlier post for more info on my meta long trade
META Can cutting 11000 jobs reverse the bearish outlook alone?The news of a 11k jobs cut had an immediate bullish impact on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) stock, helping it break above the 100.00 barrier again. Today's much lower than expected CPI number is also adding fuel on this rally but can those alone push the price out of the death spiral it has been since January in particular?
Well technically the November 03 drop made a Lower Low on the Channel Down pattern that Meta has been trading in since the February 03 collapse. Taking also into account the massive rebound below the 30.000 1D RSI oversold zone, the price can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) by the end of this month. Beyond that, only a closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is unbroken since December 30 2021, can turn the trend bullish.
As you see, the November 03 bottom was made on the January 20 2016 Low (89.25). The next Support is the August 25 2015 Low of 72.10, so we will be ready to short this and if broken then 60.00.
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