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FCPO Spread Analysis: Mixed MovementsThe MAR25-JUN25 spread contract opened at 233 points today. During the morning session, the market dropped to a low of 191 points. However, signs of recovery emerged in the afternoon session, and the contract ultimately ended the day with a modest decline of 14 points, closing at 213 points. The March contract opened at 4,361 points and trended lower throughout the morning. During midday trading, the price briefly surged to 4,425 points before resuming its downward movement. In the final session, the contract saw a small rebound of 31 points, closing at 4,373 points. The spread contract settled at 213 points, and the March contract has yet to test the strong support zone of 4,120–4,150 points that I had anticipated. As such, I am holding my position for now. If the March contract drops into the strong support zone, I will exit immediately due to the potential for a rebound in the spread contract. MYX:FCPO1!
MYX:FCPOH2025Short
by goldong01
Head-and-Shoulders Pattern Signals Decline in MAR25-JUN25 SpreadMYX:FCPO1! The opening price of the MAR25-JUN25 spread contract today was 265 points. During the midday session, the market experienced a sharp decline to 206 points but later recovered, closing at 227 points. From the daily chart of the MAR25-JUN25 spread contract, a clear head-and-shoulders top pattern can be observed, with today’s closing price falling below the neckline, signaling a bearish trend. Referring to the March FCPO contract, the closing price today was 4,342 points, approximately 200 points above the strong support zone I identified at 4,120–4,150 points. The overall trend remains bearish. Based on this analysis, I expect the MAR25-JUN25 spread contract to continue its downward movement tomorrow. If tomorrow’s closing price is around 200 points and the March contract has not yet tested the strong support zone, I will hold onto the position. However, if the March contract reaches the strong support zone, it will be necessary to exit the position to mitigate the risk of a rebound in the spread contract. Market activity during the night session was relatively subdued. I look forward to seeing whether tomorrow’s price action aligns with this analysis.
MYX:FCPOH2025Short
by goldong01
1) FKLI : confirmation of "head-and-shoulder" pattern A breakout to the downside from the neckline 1634 has occurred. So expecting price to fall further. next level support : 1618-1624 resistance : 1640 - 1648 #tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia Disclaimer : "I am not guru and I am working hard to make profit same as u. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. "
MYX:FKLI1!Short
by HAIDOJO_trading
Palm Oil Market Watch: Technical Breakdown & Fundamental ShakeupIn the ever-changing landscape of the global vegetable oil market, palm oil takes center stage once again. From India’s sharp increase in imports to Indonesia’s biodiesel policy adjustments and Malaysia’s declining export figures, the palm oil market is witnessing a dynamic interplay of forces. On the technical front, critical price levels and trend shifts are adding layers of uncertainty and opportunity for market participants. This article delves into the latest developments and future outlook of the palm oil market through both fundamental and technical perspectives. 1. News and Fundamental Analysis Anilkumar Bagani, head of research at the Mumbai-based vegetable oil brokerage Sunvin Group, stated that palm oil futures rebounded from earlier weakness because India, the world's largest edible oil importer, increased its palm oil purchases. India bought approximately 100,000 metric tons of palm oil during the first two working days of 2025. Indonesia’s Deputy Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources, Yuliot Tanjung, announced on Friday that the country would provide a 1.5-month transition period for businesses to meet the new B40 biodiesel policy requirements. Initially, Indonesia planned to mandate a 40% palm oil content in biodiesel starting January 1, but industry stakeholders are still awaiting technical regulations for implementation. Independent inspection company AmSpec Agri reported on Tuesday that Malaysia's palm oil product exports for November totaled 1,381,837 tons, a 2.5% decrease from November's 1,417,436 tons. Meanwhile, data from Intertek Testing Services (ITS) showed Malaysia’s palm oil product exports for December fell to 1,359,504 tons, down 7.8% from November's 1,473,761 tons. Palm oil prices followed the trends of other competing edible oils as they vie for market share in the global vegetable oil market. In China, the most active soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped by 2.56%, while the most active palm oil contract declined by 1.36%. The CBOT March soybean oil futures contract remained steady. 2. Technical Analysis Malaysian BMD crude palm oil (CPO) futures rose on Friday but ended the week with a decline of over 5%, reversing gains from the previous week. The benchmark March CPO contract on BMD increased by RM41, or 0.95%, to RM4,374 per ton. The weekly chart for the continuous contract FCPO1! shows that prices failed to hold the support level around RM4,500, instead falling to RM4,374. Despite losing the RM4,500 level, the overall upward trend structure remains intact on the weekly chart. The next support level is anticipated around RM4,120. If this level is also breached, it will be necessary to reassess whether the major trend has shifted from bullish to bearish. On the daily chart for FCPO1!, the overall trend leans bearish. A clear double-top formation is evident, with a neckline break, resistance retest, and distinct downward waves. While support is visible around RM4,250, it is unlikely to be strong. Both the weekly and daily charts for the March contract indicate that RM4,250 does not represent a solid support level. 3. Summary By referencing the March and continuous contracts, the next significant support level is likely between RM4,120 and RM4,150. Until this support range is breached, the overall trend can be described as long-term bullish with short-term bearish corrections.
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by goldong01
TH Plant - Wedge Breakout (A+ Swing Trade Setup)TH Plant Wedge Breakout (A+) - Swing trade CP - Wedge Breakout RSI > 50 (Rebound at 50 during Entry) SCDMX - Red Candle 20% (Strong Institution influence) AP - 1st Buy Signal 2nd Confluence (A+) A+ Setup - Breakout on the 4th rebound point on the strong upward trendline CD - Tweezer Bottom on the rebound point Entry Price Close above 200SMA www.tradingview.com EP - 0.675 TP - @ R0.715 / @R0.775 / TP @ 0.8 (XOX) / @ R0.840 SL - @0.61 (below previous low) R:R - 1:2 Market Condition - KLCI is rebounding on 200SMA with Morning Star CD. Bursa Plantation Index - Still Bullish with RSI > 50. But in Consolidation upon entry and rebound on closing. FCPO Index - Bullish. All the best guys. Will let you know the results.
MYX:THPLANTLong
by hafidz_shuhaimi
FCPO Week 37 2024: BULLISH.The 4-hour chart indicates a strong upward price movement. An inverted head and shoulders pattern has emerged, with the price breaking above the neckline, marking the first wave of the move. This was followed by a brief consolidation phase, representing the second wave. Now, the price appears ready to resume its upward momentum, potentially forming the third wave. Watch for a breakout as this wave could push prices higher. A buy position may be considered, with a target price of 4018 for potential profit.
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by edramlan
4
FCPO. Aiming higher. Continuing from our previous analysis (click above image), which alerted us to the probability of a bull trap, the price moved and created a false breakout, then traded back lower to the extreme low swing, thereby confirming the bull trap. Currently, we observe an initial movement to the upside with strong momentum, suggesting that wave 4 may have reached its bottom. Our focus is now shifting to the upside, and we expect to see a rally in a motive structure. The invalidation for this idea is set at 3849, where we consider this could be the end of wave 4. The downside movement is limited to this level for this idea.
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by pengiran-
FCPO. REJECTION AT 38.2%.Following the guidelines in Elliott Wave Theory, "The Right Look" we adjust our wave labeling because the proportion of wave 4 is too large to fit within the subwave structure. It is a good sign that the price is rejecting decline at the Fibonacci 38.2% level. Our focus now is on the development of Wave 5. The last wave to complete the Motive cycle. Invalidation for this idea is at 3872. Refering to Elliott Wave rules for Wave 5: "Wave 5 always subdivides into an impulse or a diagonal" We would expect rallies toward the 4000 area in a classic motive wave structure. Another possible scenario to consider is the truncation of Wave 5, given that Wave 3 is an extended wave. Truncation happen when Wave 5 fail to move beyond the extreme swing high of Wave 3 Bottom line: If Wave 4 has ended and Wave 5 is in the early stages of development, any retracement is limited to the 3872 level. Trading below this level will require reassessment of the wave structure.
MYX:FCPOX2024Long
by pengiran-
FCPO. HIGHER TO COMPLETE WAVE 3 CYCLEPrice reached 2.618 fibonacci relationship compare to wave 1. Evaluation based on market structure, we see an extension wave 5 within wave (3) rally. If wave (3) has ended at fibonacci 2.618 area, we expect to see a 3 wave decline for wave (4) correction. Elliott Wave Theory: GUIDELINE OF ALTERNATION WITHIN AN IMPLUSE " If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. " Looking at our price chart, Wave (2) already unfold into a flat pattern and flat pattern is a side way correction. We can expect to see a sharp correction pattern for Wave (4) BEHAVIOR FOLLOWING FIFTH WAVE EXTENSIONS " ..when the fifth wave of an advance is an extension, the ensuing correction will be sharp and find support at the level of the low of wave two of the extension. Sometimes the correction ends there and sometimes only wave A ends there... Additional value is provided by the fact that fifth wave extensions are typically followed by swift retracements. " Projection area and pattern for wave (4) retracement using Elliott Wave Theory for alternation and fifth wave extension theory, expecting to see a sharp correction in wave (4) toward 3900-3880 area. Bottom line: Short term view, looking for significant retracement for a sign that wave (3) rally has ended. Long term view, we are still aiming higher to complete wave 3 cycle on a larger degree. Trading above yesterday high will required reassesment on the structure.
MYX:FCPOX2024
by pengiran-
FCPO. I AM WRONG IN MY PREVIOUS WAVE COUNT.One of the five ways the wave principle improves trading, wave analysis provides a specific point of invalidation, which is the level at which an interpretation is no longer viable. Knowing when you are wrong is perhaps a trader’s most important piece of information. Market always right, it was my previous operative wave count is incorrect. Adjusting to the current structure, wave 3 of 3 already reach 1.618 fibonacci relationship compare to wave 1. Currently, there is no sign of significant retracement that telling wave 3 of 3 is complete. For now, we still aim high. Next reasonable target is 2.618 fibonacci level where wave 3 is an extended wave. Let's see what the market will offer us for next week. Accept failure but never give up, it is part of the process to become a consistently successful trader!
MYX:FCPOX2024Long
by pengiran-
1