FCPO 10 Sept 2021 : Trade inside bar1. Short-term trade only.
2. 15min have 2 Doji indicate indecisive condition.
3. Entry chance if price close on either side of the inside bar.
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FCPO 10 Sept 2021 : Break supportFCPO is dynamic..
1. Yesterday's price have a strong bearish movement in the morning session followed by rejection in 15min TF and formed a tweezer bottom at 5min TF.
2. Bullish does not have momentum after 15min TF has a bearish engulfing pattern.
3. Price rejected EMA14 multiple times with a bearish engulfing pattern indicate strong sellers.
4. Today morning price has another significant bearish engulfing and rejected again EMA14.
5. Price break support zone shows strong seller.
The entry :
1. Confirmation price breakout support @ 15min TF.
2. 15min price pullback with rejection CS
3. 5min have a bearish engulfing pattern.
4. Set sell limit order at the open rejection CS of 15min TF.
5. SL set using 1xATR for 5min TF from the last high of rejection CS.
FCPO 9 Sept 2021 : Trade Tweezer Btm1. 15min TF have doji CS indicate indecisive condition. The next candle after Doji usually determines the next trend.
2. 5min TF have form tweezer bottom. Testing same level 4367.
3. Both TF have oversold stochastic. Higher probability for an uptrend.
4. Bullish trend will be strong if there is bullish engulf for 5min TF.
FCPO 9 Sept 2021 : Price back in range1. Yesterday's price was able to break the significant resistance.
2. Price in the previous range zone from 4413~4560 (134 tick range)
Strategy :
1. Wait for price pullback at the potential support area.
2. Look for bullish reversal CS pattern at 15min TF.
3. Entry confirmation at 5min TF when there is morning star/hammer/Bullish engulfing pattern.
4. Limit order at 5min TF base on interesting risk and reward ratio.
FCPO 8 Sept 2021 : Trade 3 inside up1. Price reject previous support
2. 15min TF form 3 inside up
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3. Wait for a pullback for entry.
FCPO 8 Sept 2021 : Trade Evening Star1. Price reaches the resistance zone.
2. 15min reversal CS.
3. 5min formed evening star CS.
4. Price hit upper trendline.
FCPO 8 Sept 2021 : Trade Morning Star1. Yesterday price breakout high of 6 Sept
2. Yesterday Rejection CS at 15min TF.
3. Yesterday 5min have a Morning star candle pattern.
4. Today 15min CS has rejection with bullish CS.
5. 5min TF have bullish engulfing with a hammer.
6. 15min TF reject EMA14
7. 5min TF reject EMA50
Repeat the same strategy all over again.
FCPO 6 Sept 2021 : Trade Morning Star1. Price in the range for uptrend movement.
2. Triangle pattern breakout.
3. Rejection EMA14 @ 15min TF.
4. Morning star CS pattern @ 5min TF.
FCPO 3 Sept 2021 : Breakout trendline1. Yesterday's price formed a triangle pattern and breakout.
2. Price did breakout trendline and retest supply zone.
Strategy :
1. Expected price will retest the trendline before continuing uptrend.
2. Wait for bullish engulfing CS at 5min TF with bullish CS for 15min TF.
FCPO 1 Sept 2021 : Retest Btm Channel1. 1H timeframe price trade in the upwards channel.
2. Stoch oversold.
FCPO Nov 2021 ContractMarket is likely to open as GAP up tomorrow morning before heading downwards.
Good Luck
FCPO 27 August 2021 : Inside Bar1. yesterday's price breakout the resistance.
2. Today price retests the support again.
3. 5min have formed INSIDE BAR near yesterday resistance.
4. EMA uptrend
How to trade?
1. Buy at the low inside bar
2. Wait for a breakout for either side for entry.
FCPO 25 August 2021 : False Breakout or Inverse HnS1. Morning session price to breakout nearest resistance but failed with the 2nd CS close back inside the range.
2. 5min have reversal CS during the reversal CS.
3. Gann level 4324 consider a strong level as the price at 15min was rejected twice.
4. Notice at 15min chart the inverse Head & Shoulder pattern.
5. 15min price reject EMA14 for an uptrend.
Strategy :
1. Trade fake breakout until nearest support.
2. If the afternoon session has a valid breakout upside, looking for continuation entry.
FCPO 24 August 2021 : Trade in the range1. Yesterday's price breakout the resistance and inside the range.
2. Currently trading in the range until clear breakout to either side.
3. EMA50 @ 15min is flat indicate ranging market.
I'm biased towards bullish because at 15min chart, EMA14 is above EMA50
FCPO 23 August 2021 : False Breakout1. False breakout when price opens below previous day support and immediately close back inside the range without rejection.
2. Entry when price close inside the zone.
3. Or entry during pullback rejection.
4. Usually fake breakouts produce large movements. the daily range for FCPO almost 100~130 ticks.
FCPO Trading SchematicThere is 3 type of price reaction towards SnR
i) Rejection
ii) Breakout
iii) False breakout
How to trade (i) rejection @ M15?
1. Price close with reversal CS - long wick
2. M5 has engulfed at least 60%
3. Set Limit order near the neck of close M15 CS.
How to trade (ii) breakout @ M15?
1. Price close outside the SnR
2. 2nd CS also close outside SnR
3. Entry after rejection @ M5
How to trade (iii) false breakout @ M15?
1. Price close outside SnR
2. 2nd CS close inside SnR
3. Immediate entry after 2nd CS close.
4. Usually the aftermath range is the biggest after price consolidation.
Another addition entry is Rejection-continuation :
1. Always happen in strong trend as a pullback
2. CS rejection @ M15
3. CS engulf @ M5
4. Immediate entry after rejection CS close
FCPO 20 August 2021 : Rising Wedges1. Yesterday's price was able to break previous support.
2. Currently price will trade in the range. Testing previous SbR.
3. Rising wedge pattern indicates bearish continuation.
FCPO 18 August 202115min chart price break previous day low indicates a downtrend.
New day price is open inside the range.
FCPO (Nov 21 Contract)My view for Crude Palm oil as follows.
1) Price will make a decline towards $4336 to $4330 area, making a new support area.
2) Price shall then make a rally and heads to $4500 area (plus minus ish)
3) before making a big drop to $4000 area
In conclusion, will look to make a quick 45ticks by shorting. After the 1st session break, i will look for a long opportunity. If there is no buying pressure, then my we will look for other opportunity.
Good luck kawan!
FCPO Identify Fake Breakout and How to Trade it?When the price is near the SnR it is where get it will get tricky...either the price want to continue the trend or reverse?
The false breakout strategy :
1. Timeframe 15min
2. Identify strong valid SnR
3. Draw the zone by pick the wick and the neck.
4. If price breakout and 2nd CS close inside the zone, it is a false breakout and entry position after 2nd CS close.
5. TP for the false breakout can be the opposite SnR.
Valid breakout strategy: Trend continuation
1. Use 15min and 1min chart for confirmation.
FCPO 16 August 2021New contract..
Price seems like trade in the range.
Approaching Gann box cycle level 1.0.
Lets see if price able to break above resistance.
Recap FCPO 13 August 20211. The major trend market structure is an uptrend.
2. Early morning session continues from previous day give us short term trade for downtrend move.
3. Once the downtrend market structure is broken, prepare to find the long entry opportunity
4. There is 2 type of entry. Risky and safe entry.
5. Risky entry when EMA14 + EMA50 still below EMA200 while price successfully break EMA200
6. Safe entry when all EMA align for uptrend movement.
Time Cycle and Gann Box for FCPOTime cycle and Gann box to predict the market movement hence easy to make the decision.
We use 15min TF as our major time frame.
Time cycle draws by choosing double top/bottom.
Gann Box draw align with the time cycle for each level.
For current market trend, its follow the current cycle time. It might be changing in the future.
