FCPO Week 11 2024 - Retracement expected?The price is still bullish however some retracement is expected before a run higher. Expecting that this week it will make retracement towards 3995 area. Depending on the price action, another bullish push towards 4208 area before a quick run towards 4250 area (which might not happen so quickly).
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FCPO Week 9 2024 - Still bearish.FCPO is coiling. Price is almost stalling last week. It goes up one day and then it got taken out the next day. So at the end of the week it is more or less moving no where. It might do the same next week within the flag formation. Still with bearish view for price to move to 3720 area which might be the support area before price eventually moving higher. The bullish view will come into picture if price move and close above the flag resistance area.
FCPO Week 7 2024 - target 3815 area.After going higher the price closed lower at the end of the trading day. It createed a high wick which indicate that there is still possibility that price is going lower. Based on this for Week 7, price might see a movement lower towards at least 3815 area. Will need to see the price action at this level to see if price wanted to go higher.
FCPO 9 March 2023 : LPSY for mark down?Price break uptrend channel back. There is the possibility of a market sideway or downtrend.
Price still respects the downtrend channel so far. However, the price still did not break the previous trading range although we saw the Sign of Weakness in the price.
Price below EMA50.
Trading Plan :
1. Sell: If the price still respects the downtrend channel and EMA50
2. Look for Buy: If the price breakout the downtrend channel.
5min :
1. EMA12+EMA50 is flat = Sideway.
2. See which side price will be broken for entry. Based on the downtrend channel.
FCPO 2 March 2023 : JAC and LPS or UTAD?Yesterday price reject btm channel and broke up DTL + EMA50 and sustained above it. This schematic might be JAC. = Uptrend
Today expectation :
1. Let's monitor the 4242 resistance level. If the price sustains above this level, consider it as LPS.
2. If supply is coming in and bringing back down into the range, possible UTAD formation for distribution.
5min view :
1. Market structure: Sideway bias uptrend
2. Price to EMA = Price cross EMA up and down = Sideway
3. EMA12 to EMA50 = No clear direction yet = Sideway
4. MACD = no divergence formation.
Trading Plan :
1. Wait for the price to break immediate resistance and support level.
FCPO 1 March 2023 : Reject or Break Bottom ChannelYesterday, the price formed a creek/ICE formation with SW price before going down to test btm channel.
Today :
1. We expect price reaction at the bottom channel. It's already been tested multiple times. Expected to be a bit chaotic today.
2. If the price is not able to break DTL, possible spring/shakeout to break the bottom channel and price back up again into the range before mark up.
3. If price break bottom channel, and sustain below the range, possible mark down.
Trading plan :
1. Wait for price reaction at the DTL and btm channel.
FCPO 28 Feb 2023 : Creek/ICE formation?1. Yesterday price able to break mid channel, however, afternoon session price backup again to test mid channel.
Expectation today :
1. Price still in a consolidation phase. High chance to form a creek or ICE formation before next step.
Trading plan today :
1. Trade in Sideway. Sell high, buy low..
FCPO 27 Feb 2023 : Spring or SoW?Last week :
1. Price retest again the UT level at the same supply zone level before going back down again.
2. Price stop at EMA50 30min and Mid channel
3. SBO continues a downtrend after the FCPO market close down almost 2.45%.
Expectation :
1. We expect CPO to follow the SBO gap down to 2.4%.
2. Price will break mid-channel and possibly lower channel.
3. When the price test/breaks the lower channel, we expect the price to create SoW or Spring.
Planning :
1. For the Wyckoff trader, we did not expect entry during Spring/SoW. We will take a chance during ToS formation or LPS/LPSY formation. Wait for the price reaction at this point.
2. However, for 5min TF, we can find any trading opportunities for a short-term trade.
3. Monitor the 4100 support level. If clear this level, the price might test the 4030 level.
4. If the price still sustains inside the channel and TR, possible to retest fibo 50 or close gap?
Below is the expectation from SBO
FCPO 23 Feb 2023 : Reaccumulate or Distribution?Yesterday :
1. As expected, price test nearest resistance before going down to test EMA50 30min.
2. Night session price back up again and we notice the volume is diminishing.
3. Notice BCX and AR before ST forming last night's session.
4. Trading in range before UT/UTAD or Spring appears.
5min :
1. MS : sideway structure
2. EMA : EMA12 above EMA50 = uptrend
3. Price above EMA50 = uptrend
4. MACD : Bearish divergence = Good tools to trade in the range.
FCPO 22 Feb 2023 : Gap up and UT?1. Yesterday price failed multiple times to break 236 fibo level. However price to able to reach down to 786 fibo level. Buyer and seller are still strong. We can expect price sideway.
2. 15min TF, price already breach EMA50. 30min TF, price still not test EMA50. We expect the price will test it sooner.
3. Channel uptrend is still holding up. Mid channel tested but not cross to the lower track.
4. Market structure: Yesterday's price played in the range. The uptrend is still valid unless the price breakdown and sustains below 4100.
5min :
1. MS : Sideway
2. EMA : Last night EMA12 crosses up EMA50
3. Price to EMA : Not respect either one of EMA = Sideway
What is trading plan today?
1. Gap up, price sustain above trading range = BUY
2. Gap up, price backdown into the trading range = SELL trading range
FCPO 21 Feb 2023 : Reaccumulate/Distribution?1. So far price still uptrend movement in the channel.
2. Price still test EMA50 15min.
Expect sideway movement to form reaccumulation or distribution pattern.
5min :
1. Price breakdown EMA50 multiple times but back up again = Strong buyer still have upperhand
2. EMA12 still above EMA50 = uptrend
FCPO 17 Feb 2023 : Continue uptrend or consolidate?Yesterday :
1. SnR : Price sustain above the RbS level.
2. Channel : Price respect uptrend channel
3. MS : Price make uptrend structure
Planning for Today?
1. SnR : Price may test nearest supply level around 4100~4120
2. Market Structure: For now BUY MS is still intact. Monitor if the price breach MS.
3. EMA: Price still not tested EMA50. Today's price may be consolidated to test EMA50
4. MACD : We see a possible bearish divergence. But it can be retracement only unless the price breakdown buy MS.
FCPO 16 Feb 2023 : High Demand?Yesterday :
1. Price able to break down uptrend channel. However, the support area is still holding up.
2. Maybe the price did reaccumulate again before the gap-up today.
Today :
1. Price gap up due to high demand following SBO demand.
2. Price so far sustain above the supply zone.
3. Price still not yet at the immediate resistance level. If breaks above, possible to reach the next resistance level around 4100.
5min :
1. SnR: Price break previous resistance level and sustain above it
2. Market structure: The morning session price is able to make an uptrend structure.
3. EMA12 is above EMA50 : Uptrend
4. Price respect EMA12: Uptrend. This is an entry opportunity today.
If price breakdown MS, the possible larger pullback to close gap. Monitor if price able to break EMA50