FCPO 14 Feb 2023 : Price breach downtrend channel?1. Channel/Trendline: Yesterday price retest and reject mid-channel before going up to test the upper channel. This indicates strong buyers in the market because not allow prices to go lower channel.
2. SnR: Price plays in the support zone area and is still not decided yet on the direction.
3. Fibo: Price rejects 236 fibo level indicates sideway market still in play. The price might go lower to the 786 level if not able to breach and sustain above the 236 level.
4. MACD: There is no interesting divergence yet. We only see green divergence indicating uptrend movement in play.
Fcpotrader
FCPO 13 Feb 2023 : Sideway/Continue downtrend30min view :
1. SnR: Price rejected the test support area and try to cross the resistance area. However not sustain above the zone.
2. Channel/TL: Price overshoot the TL but is not sustainable to go further.
3. MACD: still not shows an indication of bullish divergence even though green MACD already happening.
5min view in the comment
FCPO 10 Feb 2023 : Bearish divergence in progress?1. SnR: Price not able to sustain above resistance zone 3994. This indicates a strong seller
2. Channel/Trendline: Price break up trendline - Indicate sideway/change direction.
3. Oscillator: MACD from yesterday shows a bearish divergence
Expectation :
1. Price will continue bearish momentum until at least close the previous gap.
Trading plan as usual :
1. In Early morning, monitor the nearest possible SnR
2. Monitor EMA12 1min TF for entry
FCPO 9 Feb 2023 : Bearish Divergence?30min TF :
1. Price break resistance and test supply zone and push back below the resistance.
2. Price break uptrend channel. Indicate SW for 30min or change the trend.
3. MACD shows bearish divergence.
If the price goes for bearish divergence, possible to close the gap and target to be around 3860.
5min TF :
1. Price crosses EMA50 : Sideway/Change trend
2. EMA12 crosses below EMA50 : Downtrend.
Expect price sideway before continue direction.
High Prices Capped Upside, Lower Stock Limited Downside FCPOPalm oil prices remained strong due to rising in export demand while labor shortage, lower productions and inventories issues remained.
Palm oil market major trend remained UP.
However, near term likely to move within the range of 4950 (support) -5250 (resistance).
Strategies to apply:
Long when near Support level
Short when near Resistance level
With smallest stop loss apply until market break the ranging box.
FCPO Wyckoff Re-accumulation : Spring Formation1. Price consolidation starting July 2021.
2. Automatic Rally (AR) with a large price drop to establish the support.
3. FCPO created ATH shows Sign of Strenght
4. Multiple Formation of Secondary Test (ST) with significant supply volume.
5. Noticed formation of the uptrend channel.
6. On 20 Sept 2021, the price drop significantly and close above the AR/support area with moderate volume. This is a good sign for bull.
7. Price will break the resistance to continue higher.
FCPO 14 Sept 2021 : Trade Bullish Flag1. Yesterday 15min TF consist of 3 inside up, Bearish engulfing.
2. Today's price has fake breakout when price open below yesterday low and price close back inside the range for 15min TF.
3. 5min TF has a bullish engulfing pattern.
4. Notice the bullish flag pattern.
Strategy :
1. Wait for a breakout the flag pattern
2. 15min price pullback and maybe retest EMA14.
3. Bullish reversal CS to find entry.
Target TP is 4390~4400
FCPO 13 Sept 2021 : Trade 3 Inside Up1. Price break down trendline.
2. 3 inside up CS pattern at 15min TF.
3. 5min TF breaks market structure when price break the nearest resistance.
Strategy :
1. Wait for pullback and rejection CS @ 15min TF.
2. Potential buy zone at confluence area of uptrend and downtrend line.
3. another potential zone is when the price rejects EMA14 at 15min TF.
FCPO 13 Sept 2021 : Reversal CS at Gann and Resistance Level1. Price rejection near the resistance + Gann level after upward movement
2. Trade bit risky because the price is able to break EMA14+EMA50.
3. Set sell limit order at the open of bearish rejection CS.
4. Stop loss order is 1 x ATR from 5min TF = 16tick from highest rejection CS.
5. Target profit is at the nearest support or when 15min have bullish reversal CS.
Outlook :
1. Since price break EMA50 up and down area means the price will be consolidated for time being until break either support/resistance.
2. Trading range around 60~100tick.
FCPO 10 Sept 2021 : Break supportFCPO is dynamic..
1. Yesterday's price have a strong bearish movement in the morning session followed by rejection in 15min TF and formed a tweezer bottom at 5min TF.
2. Bullish does not have momentum after 15min TF has a bearish engulfing pattern.
3. Price rejected EMA14 multiple times with a bearish engulfing pattern indicate strong sellers.
4. Today morning price has another significant bearish engulfing and rejected again EMA14.
5. Price break support zone shows strong seller.
The entry :
1. Confirmation price breakout support @ 15min TF.
2. 15min price pullback with rejection CS
3. 5min have a bearish engulfing pattern.
4. Set sell limit order at the open rejection CS of 15min TF.
5. SL set using 1xATR for 5min TF from the last high of rejection CS.
FCPO 9 Sept 2021 : Trade Tweezer Btm1. 15min TF have doji CS indicate indecisive condition. The next candle after Doji usually determines the next trend.
2. 5min TF have form tweezer bottom. Testing same level 4367.
3. Both TF have oversold stochastic. Higher probability for an uptrend.
4. Bullish trend will be strong if there is bullish engulf for 5min TF.
FCPO 9 Sept 2021 : Price back in range1. Yesterday's price was able to break the significant resistance.
2. Price in the previous range zone from 4413~4560 (134 tick range)
Strategy :
1. Wait for price pullback at the potential support area.
2. Look for bullish reversal CS pattern at 15min TF.
3. Entry confirmation at 5min TF when there is morning star/hammer/Bullish engulfing pattern.
4. Limit order at 5min TF base on interesting risk and reward ratio.
FCPO 8 Sept 2021 : Trade Morning Star1. Yesterday price breakout high of 6 Sept
2. Yesterday Rejection CS at 15min TF.
3. Yesterday 5min have a Morning star candle pattern.
4. Today 15min CS has rejection with bullish CS.
5. 5min TF have bullish engulfing with a hammer.
6. 15min TF reject EMA14
7. 5min TF reject EMA50
Repeat the same strategy all over again.
FCPO 3 Sept 2021 : Breakout trendline1. Yesterday's price formed a triangle pattern and breakout.
2. Price did breakout trendline and retest supply zone.
Strategy :
1. Expected price will retest the trendline before continuing uptrend.
2. Wait for bullish engulfing CS at 5min TF with bullish CS for 15min TF.
FCPO 25 August 2021 : False Breakout or Inverse HnS1. Morning session price to breakout nearest resistance but failed with the 2nd CS close back inside the range.
2. 5min have reversal CS during the reversal CS.
3. Gann level 4324 consider a strong level as the price at 15min was rejected twice.
4. Notice at 15min chart the inverse Head & Shoulder pattern.
5. 15min price reject EMA14 for an uptrend.
Strategy :
1. Trade fake breakout until nearest support.
2. If the afternoon session has a valid breakout upside, looking for continuation entry.
FCPO 23 August 2021 : False Breakout1. False breakout when price opens below previous day support and immediately close back inside the range without rejection.
2. Entry when price close inside the zone.
3. Or entry during pullback rejection.
4. Usually fake breakouts produce large movements. the daily range for FCPO almost 100~130 ticks.