FCPO 18 August 202115min chart price break previous day low indicates a downtrend.
New day price is open inside the range.
Fcpotrader
FCPO (Nov 21 Contract)My view for Crude Palm oil as follows.
1) Price will make a decline towards $4336 to $4330 area, making a new support area.
2) Price shall then make a rally and heads to $4500 area (plus minus ish)
3) before making a big drop to $4000 area
In conclusion, will look to make a quick 45ticks by shorting. After the 1st session break, i will look for a long opportunity. If there is no buying pressure, then my we will look for other opportunity.
Good luck kawan!
FCPO Identify Fake Breakout and How to Trade it?When the price is near the SnR it is where get it will get tricky...either the price want to continue the trend or reverse?
The false breakout strategy :
1. Timeframe 15min
2. Identify strong valid SnR
3. Draw the zone by pick the wick and the neck.
4. If price breakout and 2nd CS close inside the zone, it is a false breakout and entry position after 2nd CS close.
5. TP for the false breakout can be the opposite SnR.
Valid breakout strategy: Trend continuation
1. Use 15min and 1min chart for confirmation.
FCPO 17 August 2021Yesterday's price was still in the range. Testing support multiple times.
1.Today price open break yesterday resistance.
2.All EMA uptrend
3.Stoch oversold
However, the Stop loss is too large to take.
Wait for another setup with a good risk and reward ratio.
FCPO 16 August 2021New contract..
Price seems like trade in the range.
Approaching Gann box cycle level 1.0.
Lets see if price able to break above resistance.
Recap FCPO 13 August 20211. The major trend market structure is an uptrend.
2. Early morning session continues from previous day give us short term trade for downtrend move.
3. Once the downtrend market structure is broken, prepare to find the long entry opportunity
4. There is 2 type of entry. Risky and safe entry.
5. Risky entry when EMA14 + EMA50 still below EMA200 while price successfully break EMA200
6. Safe entry when all EMA align for uptrend movement.
Time Cycle and Gann Box for FCPOTime cycle and Gann box to predict the market movement hence easy to make the decision.
We use 15min TF as our major time frame.
Time cycle draws by choosing double top/bottom.
Gann Box draw align with the time cycle for each level.
For current market trend, its follow the current cycle time. It might be changing in the future.
How to trade FCPO intraday?Setup for Intraday :
1. Price near/ cross EMA200
2. Understand market structure either uptrend/downtrend/consolidation to be able to determine the SnR for the breakout.
3. Market trending confirmation by EMA14, EMA50, and EMA200.
4. Wait for a pullback when stochastic oversold/bought.
5. Make sure price reverse at least 3 candlesticks.
6. Entry when price pullback again :
a) At previous support
b) At EMA
c) Stochastic oversold/bought again.
7. Exit
a) Stoploss at the beginning price before breakout
b) Target profit using Fibo Extension 1.618.
FCPO Crude Palm OilBullish is trying very hard to push against its 5 & 15 min resistance. Bullish volume in the 1HR chart seems to be working too hard with a little too less, or I can say a formation of Doji. However, the price just closed above the resistance, we will be looking closely at the next candle reaction, whether the bullish is getting weaker or stronger. Here some tip, if the bearish candle goes down easily closing below its support area + with little effort in the volume, then you know that bearish is stronger than the bullish.
Again, nothing is clear now, Price is tight right now between various numbers of EMA. Waiting for the "kettle" to reach its final temperature before bursting out to the upside or downside.
If it goes up, we can see it will go up to 4300 area or even better, closing the gap.
If it goes down, I believe that it will still not going too far, probably will retest again at 4080 area, but hey, money is money.
Good Luck.
FCPO Crude Palm Oil FuturesMy view on FCPO;
1) Price is to rally higher to the next Resistance level
2) Price is expecting to do a bullish reversal at the 0.5 fibo level which also respecting the previous resistance turn support level
Will enter into a position when price reaching 0.5 fibo and make a higher high. Targetting 170 to 175 ticks.
FCPO Crude Palm Oil October 2021 ContractMy view of FCPO for this week. Buying pressure is decreasing and will be looking to consider re-purchase at the 3880 levels. As of now, I am going for Short. Good Luck.
FCPO Crude Palm Oil October 2021 ContractPrice is currently in consolidation. We will look for a possible breakout either up or down. We will see.
FCPO, LOWER FOR WAVE 3FCPO AUG 2021 CONTRACT
KEY LEVEL = 3831, 3852, 4064
CRITICAL LEVEL = 4260
10.06.2021
Trading below 3852 and 3831 would signal us that wave 3 is in play. Next reasonable target area for wave 3 will be between 127.8% and 161.8% Fibo ratio, 3472-3259 area.
As for today, we will monitor 4064 key level, trading above this level will cancel this wave 3 in 3 setup and price movement above our critical level of 4260 will cancel this setup.
I AM A GOOD TRADER - You only need one affirmation and this is it. Read these words every day until you don't have to read them anymore. =)
