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Fdax

DAX: Aggressive uptrend for the rest of the year.DAX maintains a very healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.112, MACD = 108.800, ADX = 23.465) as it is extending a rebound aon the 1D MA50, after an August 5th rebound on the 1D MA200 as well. Successive holds of those levels suggest that the index has already started the new Bullish Wave of the 2022 Channel Up. We can target at least the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 20,250) as it was the level that priced the last HH. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
DAX weekly forecast from April 2nd, 2024Situation assessment XETR:DAX 1. We have reached another trend reversal zone 2. In our opinion, “much” after “above” is no longer possible in the future We would like to apologize for the inaccuracy of last week's forecast {wink} when we headlined as follows: 1. Weekly UP peak: between 18,406 and 18,518 (Bonus: 18,630) 2. In perspective, EUREX:FDAX1! The next striking decision zone is 18,777 (+/-) in focus. The weekly XETR:DAX peak was reached with 5 points less at exactly 18,513.83 and to create this forecast the FDAX reached 18,776 in late trading ;-). The rest of the forecast is also impressive... Be that as it may, at the beginning of April we will be flooded with some standardized purchase orders (funds, savings plans, etc.) until the April expiry, which will give the DAX a slight further boost. Professional traders use this as an opportunity, especially at the end of the quarter, to take antagonistic positions and carry out a latent “rebalance” at the next quarterly end in June. In perspective, we see the round 18,650 / 680 in XETR:DAX as a potential high point before we could take corrective measures. This would be equivalent to approximately $18,995 EUREX:FDAX1! points. For the homeopathic Waver faction among us: … we see the 3 of the running 5 at the final end, before we get the 4... . As you have probably already noticed, we don't like "mystical wave predictions" - although we do take the "waves" into account in our models, just as emotionless and interpretation-free mathematical functions, e.g. in the form of adaptive signal decomposition . In addition, other factors often play a much more crucial role for professional traders than the “Bloomberg” faction is trying to sell us. As long as XETR:DAX 18,535 can be validly overcome on a daily basis as of April 2nd over the course of the week, the gates are open for us to achieve even higher goals via 18,613 / 683. For this it would be necessary to overcome the 18,726 valid on a daily closing price basis over the course of the week. If this happens, nothing stands in the way of the ~18,900 to 19,095 / 209 until the April monthly witch dance. From a standard pivot perspective, the XETR:DAX weekly-monthly comparison shows 18,646 / 679 as a valid resistance zone. Furthermore, the R2 annual pivot is at 18,597, which will not have an exact braking effect at this point, but will have a braking effect in this region. Unless an exogenous black swan emerges, it is not worth paying much attention to the downside for the coming week. On the one hand, the hedging needs (VDAX, SKEW, ...) speak against this and, on the other hand, our trend barometer and the general momentum currently show no reason to worry. On the contrary: setbacks will be bought (!). Nevertheless, the XETR:DAX Magistrale (MoB) is at 18,247 for the coming week. Only when it is validly below... is it time to consider a short strategy and set an anchor point again (did you remember? ;)) However, don't forget: we are in a shortened trading week in the western-oriented world with lower sales in the future and the associated volatile uncertainties (!) So don't be disappointed if the high in March has already been marked with the April contract change . If you value this article and the work involved, follow us and give us a thumbs up - it doesn't hurt (:-) It is worth mentioning “by the way” that in terms of chart technology we have achieved an extension from 2000 – 2008 with ~18,485. We forecast based on mathematical models for XETR:DAX as follows: 1. Trend barometer: UP 2nd week UP peak: between 18,613 and 18,683 (Bonus: 18,726) 3rd week DOWN peak: between 18,357 and 18,287 4. Arithmetic mean: between 18,384 and 18,586 5. MOB technical price mark: 18,428 6. Pivot fluctuation range: 18,216 / 18,722 7. Fair Value GD / Low / High: 18,440 / 904 / 935 8. VIX Zones: 11.58 / 12.66 Notes ===== Stock market rule: Markets can behave irrationally longer than you can remain solvent (John Maynard Keynes) Forecasts are what they are: A look into the future taking into account the past, which can change dynamically, positively or negatively, from the time of publication To create this forecast, a trend-following system (TM) developed in-house using, among other things, mathematical, statistical, rolling, volume-based, differential analysis methods is used and accordingly shortened and simplified in an informative, non-indirect manner here on Tradingview in the generally accessible public area free of charge for personal use.
XETR:DAXLong
by skiski
DAX: Strong selling expected.DAX has turned bullish again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.214, MACD = 155.000, ADX = 20.016) as it is posting the strongest daily candle of the last 30 days. We consider this move to be counter trend as the Bearish Divergence that is being staged on the 1D RSI looks like the one in late February 2023. That one also posted a counter trend rise on February 24th that tested the Resistance and then pulled back by -7.83% to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Consequently we are shorting the current rally and will target the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 15,800), which is slightly under the S1 level and the 1D MA200. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by InvestingScope
DAX Short term sell signal on the MA200 (4h).DAX got rejected on the MA200 (4h) and is pulling back. This is heavy pressure as it took place near the top of the 2 month Channel Down. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the first green (4h) candle. 2. Buy if Resistance (1) breaks. Targets: 1. 15230 (Rising Support and -2.20% decline like the September 5th pull back). 2. 16000 (Resistance 2). Tips: 1. The MACD (4h) just formed a Sell Cross. This amplifies the short term selling momentum. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by TradingBrokersView
1
DAX is topping short term. Fast profit opportunity.DAX trade excatly as expected last time (chart at the bottom) making a new Low in the established Channel Down. The price reached the 0.5 Fibonnaci level today, a reading which formed the August 31st Lower High on the other -6.50% bearish leg. Sell now and target 15150 (Rising Support) but close if it reaches first the 1day MA50 as the MACD Buy Cross can completely reverse it long term. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by TheCryptagon
9
DAX: Holding the 1D MA50 will start a new bullish waveDAX tested again today the 1D MA50, which is the Support since the July 12th Bullish breakout, and reacted with a rebound. With the 1D timeframe neutral (RSI = 54.688, MACD = 65.900, ADX = 24.550) this holding of the 1D MA50 translates to a buy opportunity. In addition, the 1D RSI crossed over its Channel Up. We are long, targeting the HH trendline (TP = 16,500). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
1
DAX holding the MA50 (1d) can push it to a new High.DAX has completed 7 days of consolidation on the MA50 (1d). This kind of sideways trading on Supports is usually a technical accumulation before a price jump. There have already been two similar price jumps that formed Higher Highs inside the 8-month Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 16600 (Rising Resistance). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is rebounding on its Falling Support, same as during the previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up (March 17th 2023 and December 16th 2022). Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingBrokersView
2
DAX: Supported by the 1D MA50, ready for a slingshot.DAX is on a marginally bullish 1D timeframe (RSI = 56.008, MACD = 24.500, ADX = 26.521), which indicates that there is still significant upside potential to the rebound that started on the July 7th Low. That Low may have been a HL on the long term Channel Up but also a LL on the two month Channel Down. The 1D RSI is also at the top of its Channel Down, so in order for us to buy again, we need to see a breakout over both tops. If that happens, then there are high probabilities of the move replicating the slingshot of April-May as they both broke out after an Inverse Head and Shoulders was formed. Consequently we will buy that breakout and set a TP = 16,800. It's worth mentioning that a crossing over the R1 invalidates the potential of a Head and Shoulders (bearish pattern) that may be forming since May 19th. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
4
DAX: Short term buy opportunity.DAX is rebounding after a -4.60% decline that turned the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 42.197, MACD = -69.700, ADX = 37.228). Even though that decline hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up, we focus more on the short term where after similar declines in the past two months (both -4.30%), the price rebounded to at leastthe 0.618 Fibonacci level. Consequently we go short and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 15,930) which can connect with the 4H MA200 as well. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
6
DAX hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up. Buy.DAX hit on Friday the bottom of the 8month Channel Up, just under Support (1), which was the low of April 5th. That is a long term buy opportunity and the price is treating it as such since it's already on two straight bullish candles. The previous Higher Lows was also priced within the MA100 (1d) and the bottom of the Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy if the price crosses under the Channel Up. Targets: 1. 16430 (Resistance 1). 2. 15150 (MA200 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) hit the Falling Support which made the Channel Up bottoms of December 16th and March 13th. However the price dropped some more after the RSI hit that price. Hence it is not unrealistic to expect 15150 and a MA200 (1d) test for the next long term buy. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingBrokersView
4
DAX Lower Low to come after this quick rebound. Sell.DAX is recovering today from yesterday's brutal break down but this should be a short lived reaction. The 1day RSI made a Double Bounce on a Falling Support, much like the one on March 13th. On that price action, after a short lived rebound that got rejected on the 1day MA50 and the 0.5 Fibonacci, the price resumed the downtrend and bottomed on the 1.5 Fibonacci level. Take advantage of this quick rebound for a better sell entry and target 15100, which happens to be also at the bottom of the long term Channel Up and the 1day MA200 (which is intact since November 10th). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by TheCryptagon
9
DAX: Entered a short term accumulation phase ahead of the next rDAX hit the 4H MA200 again after a much needed technical pull back that helped at correcting last week's overbought technicals on the 4H time frame (RSI = 48.684, MACD = 21.500, ADX = 34.751). This is a similar structure as early June, when the 4H MA200 (and 0.382 Fibonacci) offered support to a 4 day accumulation phase before the bullish leg made a Higher High on the Channel Up pattern. We are entering a new buy on the current market price, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 16,500). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by InvestingScope
2
29062023 - #DAXYesterday's speech has no impact. Basically it was a simple basing at PZ then rally day. Lowest price was at open as it rallied then base then rally. There was some resistance during US session but it did not do much to DAX, finding support at the BZ and moving higher. I was much bullish indices yesterday except for the unknown speeches by BOJ and price action is just playing out as it is. Price is much overbought which is a "concern" but other than that today could be another strong up day with 16130 as a possible target/strong resistance.
OANDA:DE30EUR
by FadeMeIfYouCan
28062023 - #DAXI was bullish DAX yesterday based on price action but was expecting a dip, but instead it went up first, perfectly to a multi-confluence strong resistance and made a triple top there before it came down. PZ was an initial support and gave an initial bounce but sold off to new lows but with bullish divergence and that was when market gave the huge rally. But what was interesting is how market, especially the US futures opened and came down with bearish divergence for SPX. Another sell down like last Friday? I am quite neutral overall on this TBH. But price action points to further upside. Any dip above 15830 (could reach there) should be bought up for a move higher. Of course, there are 2 BZ above acting as resistance but IMO once those break can see 16032 and above.
OANDA:DE30EUR
by FadeMeIfYouCan
27062023 - #DAXDAX made me most of the money yesterday, it did not hit the sell limit level provided but we managed to go long then down it down to 15730 before catching the long moves. See how price perfectly capped the lows yesterday. On DAX, it is somewhat more bullish yesterday compared to the US indices and yesterday's candle could be a sign of bottoming. But, I would be more convinced if US indices did not falter rather badly yesterday towards the end. Still, DAX could end green today but we need to look at strength of US indices too. For now market is above the PZ. IMO, price could still dip to 15716, and in that case, would look for a possible divergence to go long for a move to 15780 and even 15890. If price holds PZ, 15780-15800, look for a basing move to go long to target 15890 and possibly 15940, then look for short there.
OANDA:DE30EUR
by FadeMeIfYouCan
DAX: Two buy entries for the long term.DAX turned technically bearish on the 1D time frame (RSI = 42.479, MACD = 3.900, ADX = 32.769) with the RSI approaching the lows of March 17th. This is our first long term buy entry as the price is not only at the bottom of the (blue) short term Channel Up but also testing the 1D MA100 for the first time since March 20th. If the price closes a 1D candle under the 1D MA100, it will most likely fail to hold the S1 and S2 supports as well and instead go for a full -6.70% decline extension to 15,350 such as the mid March and mid December correction legs. That will be the second buy entry. In both cases our target is the short term Channel's HH (TP = 16,500). Pay attention to the RSI also where the bottom of the Channel Up will be an additional buy signal. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by InvestingScope
13
26062023 - #DAXLast Friday, market sold off after Thursday's somewhat bearish close. It sold perfectly to support before an equally fast recovery. Market closed near the mid point. Weekly chart looks bearish with price below weekly BZ. Also, looking at how the monthly candle at this point of time, my thought was that if price trades below May's low, that could trigger downside. But at the same time, we also had the Russia news over the week end which probably seem to indicate a gap down but no it did not. Having said so much, we should see further downside today. But let's see what premarket brings. Price is now basing above PZ, thus short term wise, could see a move to 15890 and even 15924 first before a rejection; looking for a move to 15710 or so, where we look for any long opportunities. If market did not trigger the above 2 levels, look for a move below 15824, test and rejection for the move lower.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by FadeMeIfYouCan
DAX Sell signal but gets invalidated on this levelDAX is on a 2-day pullback with a new (dashed) Channel Up emerging. The index is already inside two long term Channel Up patterns. The RSI (1d) crossed under its MA level, calling for a technical pullback inside the borders of these Channel Up patterns. Trading Plan: 1. Sell as long as the price remains under Resistance (1). 2. Buy if it breaks above it. Targets: 1. 15740 (bottom on two Channel Up patterns). 2. 16950 (top on two Channel Up patterns). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has a Rising Support. Keep that in mind as if it holds you might consider closing the short position earlier. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by TradingBrokersView
8