The dangers in listening to the newsI'm sharing a chart to give my sentiments about listening to the news. New traders especially tend to listen to the news and website opinions about where markets are heading. I show a bit on how I approached a particular situation on the US30.
A lot of news is late and people who create news items or blogs have their own biases, based on the information they have.
The news can be dangerous to trading as it can cause a trader to become apprehensive, doubtful and stay out of trade setups that may be quite sound for entry.
News can be depressing and cause a trader anxiety.
Some very important earthshaking news may be useful e.g. some major monetary policy change in Europe or America. But on the whole, listening to or reading news is fraught with problems.
I've found that I make better decisions when I approach the markets with a kind of fearlessness described by Mark Douglas . The fearless state of mind is not 'recklessness'. It is about calmly making decisions and accepting risks in a reasonable way, based on a tested strategy.
None of the above or the video is advice to traders.
Fear
BITCOIN_M30_The fear index: V_As i said in the last 2 BTC's analisys, where i've build a levels map to identify the interesting levels area as dynamic support and resistance,
i've a clear short view from 10.800 based on several long period patterns which are showing much more realative weakness than relative strenght.
Long period approaches presenting a nice and wide bear channel coming from the last bull-run where most of the small investors has bought, and lost money.
As shown in the chart, let's look about the historical volatility increasing, we know that the fear index is mean-reverting, so the V use to increase and decrease during the time, but it tends to come back to the average. That's a simple concept, but it works.
For this reason, as the previous analisys published, i prefer to consider each kind of ONLY SHORT pattern starting from M15 to Daily frames.
All the levels are published, and could be taken as a "green or red light" to place/close a buy/sell order following your personal method's rules.
I will update soon all the levels map, adding much more financial instruments, starting from simple and forecastable Cryptos crossing Forex Maj,
global indices, bonds , commodities closing with Economic indicators overview .
I'm glad to announce that i've just started a project based on data analisys, business analitycs and the merging with trading approaches.
Our target is to spread, share, write and design what we love and what we do day by day with passion and ethics.
E-CHAOS (www.instagram.com)
BTC, The moon is in the well.Have you ever read the story about the fox, the wolf and the moon?
It was written by La Fontaine. To sum things up, the wolf wanted to reach the moon but an optical illusion made him chase it down a well...where he drawned.
This tale is both simple to understand and actual since people are still trying to chase a "moon" that could definitely hurt them.
Aside from that, the analysis shows a bear market. No news in that. The 8k support level I identified on Jan 17th (see related ideas) still holds, with a second support at around 5500$ in case the first one is broken with supporting volumes.
Notice the "death cross" on the 12,26 MACD...this fall is not supposed to stop soon.
The entire Bitcoin cycle is definitely into the "fear/capitulation" phase. No wonder things escalated pretty quickly.
Best trade here is no trade and keep liquidity.
As usual this is not a trading advice, merely my idea.
Stay safe out there!
$VIX Will History Repeat itself under 9.40 ?I like to look at potential patterns in market cycles.
The VIX has touched 9.40 three times since 1990.
December of 1993
December of 2006
June 2017 to present
What is interesting about these dates? They all precede the build up of a financial crisis of some kind.
Take December 1993, the VIX briefly touched a low of 9.31,
3 years and 7 months later the East Asian financial crisis took place.
5 years and 8 months later the Ruble Crisis leading to Russia defaulting on its debt.
7 years and 3 months later the $QQQ hit an all time high which ended the Dotcom Bubble.
The VIX surpassed the low of December 1993, hitting 8.60 on December 2006,
10 months later the Sub-prime mortgage crisis was beginning as the $SPY peaked.
1 year and 9 months later Lehman Brother collapsed.
I know the VIX as the fear index. In respect to that could it be that a lack of fear in the financial markets drives poor risk-management and inevitably leads to a crisis?
For Trump, it was the lost art of the dealMexico and the Mexican Peso are the "silent" winner. Europe and European Stockmarkets should be same.
Quote: "For President Donald Trump, the collapse on Friday of his first legislative priority, a healthcare reform bill, was an embarrassing loss of face ....
It brings into question the neophyte president’s ability to move big-ticket legislation through Congress.
Source: www.investing.com
XIV important breakoutThere is an important resistance level in the area of 40$ and the stock can't seem to break it. It tried many times but it remained unsuccessful. On top of that, we can see an important RSI divergence which can give us a hint on which way the breakout will be. The fear of the elections will also drag the price down below the triangle.