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Fear Index: Potential Investments BTC📉Hey there, fellow crypto enthusiasts! 🚀 Let's dive into the intriguing world of the "Fear Index" and how you can leverage it to make well-informed investment decisions in the realm of Bitcoin. Buckle up as we decode the mysteries behind this index and its impact on your investment strategy. 🔍 Understanding the Fear Index: Imagine having a gauge that measures the level of fear and uncertainty in the market – that's precisely what the Fear Index, also known as the VIX (Volatility Index), does. It's a numerical representation of investor sentiment and market volatility. 📉 Fear as a Market Indicator: The Fear Index is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it tends to rise during periods of market turmoil and decline during calmer times. It's a reflection of how traders perceive risk and uncertainty in the market. 📊 Using the Fear Index for Bitcoin: While the Fear Index is widely associated with traditional markets, its principles can be applied to Bitcoin investments as well. When the Fear Index is high, it suggests heightened fear and potential market downturns. Conversely, a low Fear Index might indicate a sense of complacency and potential overvaluation. 💡 Investment Strategy: How can you use the Fear Index for your Bitcoin investments? High Fear Index readings can signal potential buying opportunities, as extreme fear often leads to oversold conditions. Conversely, low Fear Index readings might be a time to exercise caution and consider risk management strategies. 🚀 Fear as Your Guide: Remember, the Fear Index isn't a crystal ball, but it provides valuable insights into market sentiment. By incorporating it into your investment toolkit, you can better navigate the waves of uncertainty in the crypto world. So, what's the bottom line when it comes to using the Fear Index for Bitcoin investments? 📊 It's about recognizing that fear isn't an obstacle; it's a navigational tool that can guide you towards strategic decisions. By understanding market sentiment, you position yourself to make more informed choices. Stay curious, stay vigilant, and remember – whether it's fear or opportunity, the Fear Index is a resourceful ally in your quest for successful Bitcoin investments! 🚀🛡️
by AlexWhale
2
Until the VIX breaks this level, it remains range-boundA quick look at our VIX chart shows us that we are range-bound since June. Exactly, as I expected and have stated numerous times in past posts. But now, with the U.S. credit rating downgrade, fear has spiked. Will we break this range and move up? We could, yes. But to do so, we need the VIX to move above that 15.94 level with confirmation. As of today, the VIX can still be technically classified as range-bound at all time 2-year lows. Of course, when the VIX remains low, the market will remain relatively positive. This is bullish. Stay tuned for further updates here. Stew
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
Dollar EXACTLY on Target as Predicted!Traders, It is always amazing to see properly researched TA play out as it indicates it will. In this case, the target seems to be following precisely the previously drawn arrows. Now, we will be testing that neckline on our H&S pattern again. My expectation is that we may incur another slight bounce there before finally breaking our long-held strong support, that neckline. Continued pause by the FED could help the dollar incur this crash. Inflation will be on and the stocks will continue the blow-off top I have been predicting for over a year! Take advantage of this dollar weakness for the intermediate time because once the dollar disintegrates to a certain point of future unknown weakness, the market will absorb the gravity of our economic predicament and could turn down, dropping fast and hard. We have some time before the latter occurs in my view (if it occurs) but only so much. Remain alert or follow me and I will attempt to keep you all up to date on the broader economic outlooks from the charts. Remember, this all helps us to make better trades in both the stock market and in crypto! Best, Stew SPY Chart
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
Market Psychology and Your Trading Decisions✨ Unlocking the secrets of market psychology is vital for successful trading. Here's why: 🔹 Emotions at Play: Fear, greed, and herd mentality significantly influence your trading choices. 🔹 Rational Thinking: Being aware of market psychology helps you maintain a calm and logical approach to decision-making. 🔹 Trend Spotting: Recognizing market psychology enables you to identify potential market trends and reversals. 🔹 Tackling Biases: Self-assessment must consider three biases: 1️⃣ Confirmation Bias: Avoid favoring information that confirms pre-existing beliefs. 2️⃣ Overconfidence Bias (Dunning-Kruger Effect): Beware of overestimating your abilities as a novice trader. 3️⃣ Loss Aversion Bias: Recognize the inclination to avoid losses more than seeking gains. 🔹 Prospect Theory: Understand how prospect theory shapes decision-making, where individuals take risks to evade losses rather than pursue equivalent gains. 🔹 Stay Informed: Stay updated with market news to avoid impulsive reactions to short-term fluctuations. 🔹 Empower Your Trades: An understanding of market psychology empowers you to make informed and rational trading decisions. ✨ Harness the power of market psychology for long-term trading success! 📈💪
TVC:DXYEducation
by Moon_SmartMoney
Crypto fear and greed & the bull market support!Hi fellow traders and investors. If your still on the fence about the market, I'm not sure why, but, I'm about to show we are in a full fledged bull market even if it doesn't feel so to you. This is the crypto markets fear and greed indicator. It came out in early 2018 and in my opinion is very accurate. It's based on human psychology and the emotions fear and greed. The MOST important levels on this chart is the 45 to 50 level and even more specifically , the 47-48 area. This 47-48 area is the support and resistance level for crypto since this indicators inception. When crypto is in a bull market it will sit above and it will serve a s resistance in the bear market like we see in the in the chart before the crypto crash of 2022. We can notice, before the ultimate fall in June of 22 that it broke above this level ever so slightly but, could not hold. During the bear market greed only reached this level once and was faced with a stiff rejection. However as we can see after this rejection the greed stayed higher even in the FTX fear of November. Although prices fell lower and there was fear everywhere the story was a little different, smart money got greedy. This lead to the initial thrust in January, it then retested the uptrend in the mid March dip before bursting through out of the bear market. Now, I'm also looking into time frames as well, although nothing is confirmed yet. 55 days cycles of movement or push before a change in pattern, but, it's too early to tell. Although, I think it could be worth looking into. The important thing here is the 47-48 area, I do believe going forward this area will hold while we are in a bull market. A substantial break especially if not followed by a quick recovery like in mid March could be a spell for disaster. Eventually it will get to extreme greed, this is where you would want to take profits. However it can stay at extreme greed for weeks at a time. Once it gets there we will have another look at it and asses it further. If you find this informative or interesting, please and follow for future content. Kind regards WeAreSat0shi
BNC:BLXLong
by WeAreSat0shi
6
Extreme fear in $SPY at close yesterdayIf you track the CBOE:SKEW index, it reveals when put options on the S&P500 ( AMEX:SPY , FX:SPX500 ) are at high levels relative to calls. Sometimes that means there is a big event ahead and the market participants are buying "insurance" against a sharp drop in the market over the life of the options contracts. So, I think it is important to track CBOE:SKEW and to show you what that high CBOE:SKEW looks like in options prices, I have pulled up the prices of one month options on AMEX:SPY from the close yesterday (I did this work at the open today and posted it at my Key Hidden Levels chat room here at TradingView). I have plotted just 3 different options for calls and 3 for puts to show you. The green boxes are the call options that are just "out of the money". The bottom of the box is on the strike price and the height of the box is the option premium which means the top of the box is the "breakeven price" where the AMEX:SPY would have to rise to at expiration to be worth exactly what you pay for it (in this example). I plotted the boxes at the expiration date as shown by the black line at May 19th. 410p = 410 put option = $492/contract ($4.92 per share, but a contract is 100 shares). The 400p is $2.77 or 277 dollars for 1 contract which is 15 points down from the close yesterday. That compares to a 430c or 430 call option at $1.34 or $134/option contract. So the result is the market is willing to pay twice as much to protect against a decline in the market and only half as much to participate in an advance. If you track this data day-to-day and week-to-week or after a large move in CBOE:SKEW you can see how the market is thinking ahead of key news like the Fed Meeting Date on May 3rd. I graphed the Fed Meeting Dates with red-dotted lines to show you some key risk dates ahead. We are also in earnings season here and plenty of fears of recession or inflation, but mostly of the Fed hiking further. I hope this graph is useful to visualize and understand options prices and how the market is positioned at the moment. Cheers, Tim 12:06PM EST, April 19th, 2023
AMEX:SPYLong
by timwest
18
Dollar Got it's 50 day MA touch and should continue it's descentTraders, As you know everything is about the dollar rn. What it does determines what the rest of the U.S. market does. And, so far, what the U.S. market does has been helping us determine what Bitcoin will do. Bitcoin, being the lead dog, shows us what the remainder of the alt space will eventually do. This is how we follow the breadcrumbs to our next projected bull move. As you know if you have been following me for any length of time, I have been calling for a blow-off top in the U.S. stock markets. This will be followed by a more serious recession that very well could become hyper-inflationary in nature, meaning that it will take many, many more dollars to buy a thing. This "thing" would include anything from eggs to shares. The market is smart (but sometimes a little slow) and will eventually price this inflationary pressure (or dollar weakness in). When the dollar goes up, it's strong. It takes less dollars to buy a thing. So, markets generally go sideways or down. When the dollar is up and the VIX (fear index) is up, the markets almost always trend down. When the dollar is down and the VIX is down, the market will fly. The VIX is down currently. So now, we simply need to determine which way the dollar could continue. From my perspective, the overall trend remains descending. We have now touched the 50 day moving average, which, as you know, I had been hoping for for some time. The price movement is completed and we can now expect further downside and a retest of that larger Head and Shoulders neckline. Should that neckline break? Bye bye U.S. dollar. It is at this moment you will know the blow-off top has truly begun. We can expect new highs in our market to come before our recession. Best to you all in your trades during these times, Stew
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
Unleashing the Power of Sentiment Indicators in TradingChapter 1: Introduction to Sentiment Indicators In the world of trading and investment, understanding market sentiment is essential for making informed decisions. Market sentiment refers to the overall attitude, emotions, and opinions of market participants towards a particular financial instrument, sector, or the market as a whole. It is a key factor that influences price movements and can provide valuable insights for traders. The role of emotions in trading is also crucial. Emotions such as fear, greed, optimism, and pessimism can significantly impact trading decisions and market behavior. Understanding and analyzing these emotions can help traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. Sentiment analysis is the approach used to measure and quantify market sentiment. It involves extracting subjective information from various sources such as social media, news articles, and options markets to determine the prevailing sentiment. The goal is to understand and interpret the collective emotions of market participants. Sentiment indicators play a vital role in sentiment analysis. These indicators are tools and metrics that provide quantifiable measures of market sentiment. By incorporating sentiment indicators into their analysis, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market psychology and make more informed trading decisions. In the following chapters, we will explore different types of sentiment indicators and their applications in trading. We will delve into social media sentiment analysis, news sentiment analysis, options market sentiment, and more. Through real-life case studies and examples, we will demonstrate how traders can effectively leverage sentiment indicators to enhance their trading strategies and navigate the markets with greater confidence. So let's dive into the exciting world of sentiment indicators and discover how they can empower traders to make smarter trading decisions in various market conditions. Chapter 2: Social Media Sentiment Analysis Social media has become a powerful platform for expressing opinions and sharing information, making it an invaluable source for understanding market sentiment. Platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, and Reddit provide real-time insights into the thoughts and emotions of a wide range of market participants. Traders can harness the power of social media by analyzing sentiment expressed in posts, comments, and discussions related to financial instruments or markets. This can be done through the use of sentiment analysis tools and platforms. These tools employ natural language processing and machine learning algorithms to analyze and quantify sentiment. When analyzing social media sentiment, it is crucial to identify the influential platforms for each specific market. Different financial instruments and markets have unique social media platforms where participants share their views and opinions. For example, Twitter might be the primary platform for discussions related to cryptocurrencies, while LinkedIn could be more relevant for the stock market. By focusing on the platforms that hold more influence, traders can gain more accurate insights into market sentiment. Real-time sentiment analysis of social media involves monitoring conversations, identifying relevant keywords, and applying sentiment analysis algorithms. This process enables traders to gauge the sentiment as positive, negative, or neutral. By tracking sentiment shifts in real-time, traders can make timely trading decisions and take advantage of emerging trends or sentiment-driven price movements. To illustrate the effectiveness of social media sentiment analysis, let's explore some case studies. In one example, a trader monitors sentiment on Twitter for a particular cryptocurrency. By analyzing the sentiment expressed in tweets, the trader identifies a surge in positive sentiment accompanied by an increase in trading volume. This information serves as a signal to enter a long position, anticipating a price increase driven by bullish sentiment. The trader successfully profits from the sentiment-driven rally. In another case, a trader uses sentiment analysis of social media discussions to identify a sudden increase in negative sentiment towards a stock. Recognizing this shift in sentiment, the trader decides to exit their position or tighten their stop-loss level to protect their profits, anticipating a potential price decline. This proactive risk management based on sentiment analysis helps the trader avoid potential losses. By incorporating social media sentiment analysis into their trading strategies, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and improve their decision-making process. However, it is important to remember that social media sentiment analysis should be used as one piece of the puzzle alongside other forms of analysis to build a comprehensive trading strategy. Chapter 3: News Sentiment Analysis News plays a significant role in shaping market sentiment. Positive news such as strong earnings reports, positive economic indicators, or favorable regulatory developments can create a bullish sentiment, leading to increased buying interest. Conversely, negative news such as poor economic data, geopolitical tensions, or negative corporate announcements can generate a bearish sentiment, resulting in selling pressure. News sentiment analysis involves analyzing the sentiment expressed in news articles, press releases, and other sources of financial news. The goal is to extract the overall sentiment conveyed by the news and understand its potential impact on market sentiment and price movements. There are various tools and techniques available for news sentiment analysis. These tools employ natural language processing and machine learning algorithms to analyze the sentiment of individual news pieces. They assign sentiment scores, such as positive, negative, or neutral, to quantify the sentiment expressed in the news. Financial news headlines are particularly important as they often convey the key sentiment of an article. Traders can focus on analyzing sentiment in news headlines to quickly gauge the overall sentiment without delving into the complete article. This allows for efficient scanning of multiple news sources and provides traders with timely insights into market sentiment. Incorporating news sentiment analysis into trading strategies can be done in several ways. Traders can use sentiment-triggered trade entries, where they initiate trades based on significant shifts in news sentiment. For example, a trader might enter a long position in response to overwhelmingly positive news sentiment regarding a particular stock, anticipating a price increase. Alternatively, news sentiment can serve as a confirming factor for technical analysis. If technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, positive news sentiment can provide additional confidence in the trade. Let's examine a case study to further illustrate the application of news sentiment analysis. Suppose a trader is analyzing the sentiment surrounding a company's earnings announcement. Through news sentiment analysis, the trader identifies a strong positive sentiment across various financial news sources. This positive sentiment indicates high market expectations for the company's earnings results. Based on this analysis, the trader decides to enter a long position before the earnings release, anticipating a favorable outcome. When the company exceeds expectations and reports stellar earnings, the positive sentiment is reinforced, resulting in a significant price increase. The trader profits from the sentiment-driven rally by making a well-timed trade based on news sentiment analysis. Chapter 4: Options Market Sentiment Options trading provides valuable insights into market sentiment as it reflects investors' expectations and sentiment towards the underlying asset. By analyzing options market sentiment, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and potential price movements. One commonly used sentiment indicator in options trading is the put/call ratio. The put/call ratio compares the volume of put options, which give traders the right to sell an asset, to the volume of call options, which give traders the right to buy an asset. A high put/call ratio suggests bearish sentiment, indicating that more traders are betting on a price decline. Conversely, a low put/call ratio indicates bullish sentiment, with more traders anticipating a price increase. Another important indicator is implied volatility. Implied volatility is derived from options prices and reflects the market's expectation of future price volatility. Higher implied volatility suggests increased market uncertainty and potentially heightened bearish sentiment, while lower implied volatility indicates lower expected volatility and potential bullish sentiment. Traders can also analyze options-related metrics such as open interest, the skew index, and the volatility skew to gauge market sentiment. Open interest represents the total number of outstanding options contracts, providing insights into trader positioning and sentiment. The skew index measures the perceived risk of extreme price moves, while the volatility skew indicates the difference in implied volatility between options with different strike prices. To illustrate the application of options market sentiment, let's consider a case study. Suppose a trader observes a high put/call ratio in a particular stock, indicating bearish sentiment. This signals a potential price decline. The trader combines this information with other technical indicators pointing towards a bearish trend and decides to enter a short position. As the market sentiment unfolds, the stock experiences a significant price drop, validating the initial bearish sentiment and resulting in a profitable trade for the trader. Chapter 5: Fear and Greed Index The Fear and Greed Index is a sentiment indicator that measures market sentiment on a scale of extreme fear to extreme greed. It combines various factors, such as stock price momentum, market volatility, junk bond demand, and safe-haven flows, to gauge overall market sentiment. The components and calculation of the Fear and Greed Index can vary, but the index generally assigns a numerical value or category to represent the prevailing sentiment. Extreme fear levels suggest a highly pessimistic sentiment, often associated with market downturns or significant price declines. On the other hand, extreme greed levels indicate excessive optimism and potentially overbought conditions, signaling a potential market correction. Traders can incorporate the Fear and Greed Index into their trading strategies in several ways. It can serve as a confirming factor for technical analysis, where extreme fear or greed levels align with other indicators pointing towards a potential trend reversal. Additionally, contrarian traders may use extreme sentiment levels as a signal to consider taking opposite positions, capitalizing on potential market reversals. Let's explore a case study to demonstrate the practical application of the Fear and Greed Index. Suppose the Fear and Greed Index reaches an extreme greed level, indicating excessive optimism and potentially overbought conditions in the market. A trader who closely monitors the index recognizes this as a warning sign and starts analyzing other technical indicators. They observe overextended price levels, declining trading volume, and bearish divergence on oscillators. Taking all these factors into consideration, the trader decides to exit their long positions or initiate short positions, anticipating a potential market correction. As the market sentiment shifts from extreme greed to fear, the market experiences a significant decline, validating the trader's decision and resulting in profitable trades. Chapter 6: Conclusion and Future Outlook In conclusion, sentiment indicators provide valuable insights into market psychology and can significantly enhance trading decisions. By understanding market sentiment through sentiment analysis tools, traders can gain an edge in their strategies. Social media sentiment analysis allows traders to tap into the real-time opinions and emotions of market participants, while news sentiment analysis helps traders assess the impact of news events on market sentiment. Options market sentiment and sentiment indicators such as the Fear and Greed Index provide additional perspectives on investor expectations and sentiment towards the market. As technology and data analysis techniques continue to advance, sentiment analysis is expected to evolve further. Integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms can enhance sentiment predictions and improve the accuracy of sentiment analysis tools. This will empower traders with even more robust insights into market sentiment. To harness the power of sentiment indicators effectively, it is essential to integrate them with other forms of analysis, such as technical analysis and fundamental analysis. By combining multiple perspectives, traders can make well-informed trading decisions and increase their chances of success. In the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, sentiment indicators will continue to play a crucial role in understanding market dynamics. By staying abreast of emerging trends and advancements in sentiment analysis, traders can adapt their strategies and stay ahead of the curve. Ultimately, by leveraging sentiment indicators, traders can enhance their trading success and capitalize on market opportunities.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Julien_Eche
$BTCUSD SOPR, BFX Longs and Shorts, Greed, Liquidations. This is one of the multi-chart evolving dashboards I use daily for crypto trading. This dashboard attempts to distill a broad scope of data and sentiment into glance value charts. The goal with such dashboards is to seek to stack probabilities to be on the right side of the percentages in every trade. -- The top panel chart shows the SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio, (grey line, using the symbol $BTC_SOPR) overlay vs $BTCUSDT (Binance, in blue). The SOPR is a very simple indicator. It is the spent outputs expressed as a ratio and shown as an oscillator on the chart. The Bitcoin SOPR is the realised dollar value divided by the dollar value at creation of the output. Or simply: price sold divided by price paid. SOPR showing under value 1 means that the on chain data has recorded a net realised loss for "spent" Bitcoin. SOPR showing over value 1 means net profit. Renato Shirakashi appears to be the inventor of SOPR for BTC, and he writes about SOPR: "In this analysis two important psychological turning points that significantly change the supply of bitcoin are going to be described by introducing a new oscillating indicator that signals when these major supply changes occur, using blockchain data." I interpret this reference to the psychology of "weak hands" getting flushed out of the market by selling at a loss as shown when SOPR sits below 1 for extended periods of time (bear), and when all the weak hands have left the market, we find a bottom. Because I am an impatient learner, I needed further examples to understand fully. If someone sells you 1 Bitcoin at $50,000USD, that transaction is recorded on the blockchain. If you then sell it for $25,000USD, that is now a spent output which is obviously a negative 0.5 ratio, and would contribute to a SOPR lower than the value 1. Interestingly the SOPR tends to be very close to the value 1 nearly always. Which means that the aggregated data of all spent outputs is nowhere near as extreme as the example I gave (although I'm sure there are plenty of retail traders who bought the high and sold the bottom at a 50% loss). If we rewind to extended periods of low points in the SOPR ratio, extended negative ratio periods coincide with low points. In the past 5 years the lowest ratio was around 0.88, which was December 2018, when the price of Bitcoin was heading lower than $4k USD. That particularly brutal bear market lasted 18 months and you can see that the SOPR was below value 1 for nearly the entire time, indicating that there was a long tail of weak hands realising losses the entire time. --- Also present on the top chart is a brilliant little free indicator called Liq.Levels , wtf is all I can say, this a masterpiece of long/short liquidation data based on market maker behaviour in this case Binance's perpetual BTC/USDT leveraged futures (one of the most active retail leverage platforms). On this layout I have hidden all but the 25x liquidation points both short and long as it captures the widest spread and for the simplest visual as this is a glance-dashboard, on a single panel layout you can view the 50x and 100x which are tighter spreads. Liq.Levels also filters for a minimum of one million USD, so this is real value the market makers are getting out of bed for, essentially these levels are where the market maker really wants to push the price to. If you're new to leverage (don't do it! just buy at spot!), the reason they do this is to hunt the longs and the shorts and cause maximum liquidations (are you still trading with leverage?!). --- The second panel is the famous Bitfinex Longs (green) and Shorts (red) . You can see currently the longs, since around the $39000 level went parabolic. The shorts are just tiny in comparison. The data from Bitfinex seems less erratic than those from other exchanges, so if you find looking at longs and shorts ratios useful, I'd suggest also looking at other websites to see the other major exchange long and short activity, liquidations, and ratios. This info is used to monitor large moves by leveraged traders. While Bitfinex is not the best measure here (ideally you would want all major exchanges aggregated longs vs shorts, but I have not found such indicators on TV, only Bitfinex), you can check the data by comparing it to another exchange, for example Binance you can see that parabolic move the Longs made from the 11th of July to around the 14th of July (while the BTC price fell off a cliff from $30k to $20k), where the ratio of Longs vs Shorts on Binance also skewed heavily to the Long side. This is another way to stack a probability. As the Longs level off and get flushed out (usually by mass liquidation!), this is another variable to find support or resistance. For example you can see the levelling off around 12 May 2022, Bitcoin's price found a short term bottom at $29k. Similarly and most recently you can see as the Longs levelled off from a hectic run up in the mid June 2022 selloff, the price found a short term bottom around $20k. You could say that recently or commonly this is a contrarian indicator, assuming that smart money is seeking to liquidate the maximum possible leveraged positions, so we can assume that generally these leveraged retail traders will largely make incorrect bets most of the time, hence historically as soon as Shorts leave the market, the price spikes up, and vice versa. So, another thing to watch. --- Next we have a Crypto Fear & Greed Index , which as you can see nearly always oscillates in a tight rhythm with Bitcoin's price action. Above 75 (green dotted line) is extreme greed, below 25 (red dotted line) extreme fear. There are quite a few websites that attempt to measure crypto Fear & Greed, and even a variety of different indicators on TradingView, but this was the clearest visually I could find here. The inputs on this version according to the coder are stable coin flows (flight to safety), coin momentum (top 18 coin price relative to 30 day averages), and top 18 coin price high over the previous 90 days. So, it's interesting that despite this being at face value a rather complicated set of data with many inputs, that it just looks like a carbon copy of the Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin has a gravity that is inescapable for all things crypto right now. The difference between looking at this indicator and simply looking at Bitcoin's chart is that it flattens out the action and has a set floor and a ceiling. You can see historically that the best buy times were when fear was at its "height" (where the yellow line is at its lowest). Another way to stack probabilities. At time of writing, is this a great time to buy? Fear appears to be leaving the market, we haven't had a commensurate price move up, so I'd be cautious. Like all these indicators, you can just overlay Bitcoin's price line and backtest the correlation in a few seconds. Buying when fear is at a maximum is usually easier said than done, though! --- Lastly we have Liquidations by Volume , as per the coder this "shows actual liquidations on a per-candle basis by using the difference in volume between spot and futures markets." Blue line is futures volumes, yellow are spot volumes. The code for this indicator shows that it is the same BTCUSDT Perpetual Future's contract from Binance that we have in the Liq.Levels indicator, perfect. Worth noting is that the community of coders at TradingView is a trader's dream. These sorts of customisable dashboards you can build are high value. Having worked for the largest international institutions I find many of these indicators are institutional grade and they have just a few hundred users sometimes, pretty crazy how early in the adoption curve we are with this. If you haven't experienced the "other side" of trading, compared to regular equities forex futures etc the TradingView tools and the crypto data and exchanges are just lightyears ahead. Back to why look at liquidations? As institutions come into the market, and retail wallets on exchanges like Binance and many others continue to use leverage, the action in the derivative (in this case $BTCUSDTPERP) can and often does drive the price of the underlying. Market makers hunt the maximum liquidations, always. The market context is highly relevant here. During volatile periods it is a swinging contrarian indicator. If there has been massive green bars showing short liquidations pushing the price up, then we could be forming/hitting resistance levels and can see reversal/selloffs, and vice versa if there are massive red bars showing long liquidations pushing the price down, this can be hammering out support levels and we look to bounce. The longs and the shorts really do seem to be taking turns getting liquidated right now. Also of relevance is the price action relative to the liquidations. Obviously if an institutional candle pushes the price up or down, there will be mass liquidations. But another scenario that occurs is when are light volumes on the derivatives such as $BTCUSDTPERP we have under the microscope here, but we have large Bitcoin price movements, then the reasons for the move can be understood differently, and we can use this and other contexts to draw conclusions such as for example a scenario where price goes up with light liquidations and derivative action, which could be interpreted as much stronger hands holding coins rather than simply margin calls. --- Good luck!
BEducation
by dreamalittle
10
🌸HOW YOUR BELIEFS SHAPE YOUR TRADING🌸 🌺Trading is not just about making money. it's also about understanding yourself and your beliefs. Your beliefs can shape the way you approach trading and ultimately impact your success. It's important to identify what we believe and how these thoughts influence our decision-making. 🌼The role of beliefs in trading is often underappreciated. A trader's beliefs can influence their perception of risk, their ability to handle losses, and their willingness to accept new information. Beliefs can also impact their emotional state and motivation, affecting their overall approach to trading. 💐Beliefs can be positive or negative, and they all play a crucial role in shaping our trading behavior. For instance, it is commonly believed that trading requires an intuitive sense, and that success comes from the "gut feeling." While this intuition is essential, it's also vital to think logically and systematically. As a trader, you should evaluate your methods and actions based on logic and data. 🌻Another belief that may impact trading is the 'fear of loss.' This belief comes from a reaction to the thought of losing our hard-earned money. Traders who may be influenced by this belief may avoid loss by being too cautious and missing promising opportunities in trading. Additionally, they may move too quickly and sell out too soon, taking small losses instead of giving trades a chance to earn enough to cover their expenses. 🍀Moreover, some traders believe they can't make money consistently. However, such a belief is likely to result in a failure mindset and a lack of effort to learn and develop skills. Failing to learn about risk management and technical analysis may lead to bigger losses, which will, in turn, affirm the belief that consistent profits are impossible. 🌸To turn negative beliefs around and transform them to suit favorable outcomes, a trader may need to replace negative thoughts with positive ones. Additionally, it may help to find influences that align with your trading goals, whether that's finding a mentor or joining a relevant trading community. Working with like-minded people helps keep your focus on your goals and learn from others' experiences and mistakes. It can boost your confidence and reinforce the belief that consistent profits are attainable, which can impact positively in your trading. 🌵In conclusion, a trader's beliefs heavily impact their trading. It's essential to examine and understand the positive and negative beliefs that influence one's trading behavior. By identifying negative beliefs, traders can have better control of their emotional state and approach to trading. Replacing erroneous beliefs with positive behaviors and working with like-minded traders can provide a path to a positive and successful trading journey. 🌺Hope u like my article. Please let me know what you think💋 Love, Anabel❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
5
Mastering the VIX on TradingViewThe VIX, also known as the CBOE Volatility Index, is a widely-used financial instrument used to measure market volatility and investor sentiment. In this article, we will explore how to use the VIX on TradingView to improve your trading strategies. Before we dive into how to use the VIX, let's first understand what it is and how it works. The VIX is based on the S&P 500 index options, and measures the implied volatility of those options over the next 30 days. Essentially, the VIX provides a gauge of how much the market is expected to move over the next month. Now, let's discuss how to use the VIX on TradingView. To begin, open up the TradingView platform and search for the VIX symbol, which is typically denoted as VIX. Once you have located the VIX, add it to your watchlist and open up the chart. On the chart, you will notice that the VIX moves inversely to the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 goes down, the VIX goes up, indicating that market volatility is increasing. Conversely, when the S&P 500 goes up, the VIX goes down, indicating that market volatility is decreasing. So how can we use the VIX to improve our trading strategies? One strategy is to use the VIX as a hedging tool. For example, if you have a portfolio of stocks and are concerned about a potential market downturn, you could buy the VIX to protect yourself against losses. This is because the VIX tends to increase in value when the market is experiencing volatility. Another way to use the VIX is as a contrarian indicator. When the VIX is at a very low level, it may indicate that investors are overly complacent and that the market may be due for a correction. On the other hand, when the VIX is at a very high level, it may indicate that investors are overly fearful and that the market may be due for a rebound. In conclusion, the VIX is a powerful tool that can be used to measure market volatility and investor sentiment. By understanding how the VIX works and using it in conjunction with other technical indicators, you can improve your trading strategies and better navigate the unpredictable world of finance. Remember, always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Julien_Eche
1
MILLIONARES ARE MADE IN THE BEAR MARKETS! 🐻Hello Team this is for long-term investing ONLY! As we enter MAX PAIN ZONES that we warned of on May 21, 2021, & on our Socials make sure to keep your psychology straight. - Remember one thing: "Millionaires are made in the bear markets." meaning this is the time to start planting seeds. - The Lower we go the Better: Looking at Bitcoin from a macro view of a long-term holder we have started to enter the top of the accumulation zone. Bitcoin can continue lower down towards 10-15K, along the way is a great time to start adding to your Bitcoin & Crypto positions. Bear markets tend to last a long-time with a lot of price volatility and sideways movement. Our Strategy: 1) Have a HODL portfolio with some positions you believe in (BTC/ETH & Some main alts) that you never sell & keep on the Blockchain. 2) Swing positions that you enter during the bear markets & exit during the bull markets. These usually consist of speculative alt-coins. 3) Trading account. This is the account you use the scalp/swing trade the markets on the daily basis. 4) THE HEDGES against the markets. You know what they are :) Remember Crypto is still highly speculative do NOT put your lifesaving in DEFI or any Crypto. Only invest what you can afford to lose... there were many lessons in this crypto cycle. Wish you all the best! Be ready for more MAX PAIN and do not fear. Following us, you were well prepared for this outcome and played it perfectly! Have cash reserves ready and plant small seeds along the way.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by GenesisGo
Keep a close eye on this breakout!Traders, Keep a close eye on this breakout on our fear index. So far, nothing significant has followed to the same level of price movement: the dollar is still under its macro-uptrend resistance, the US500 is still using its macro-uptrend for support logarithmically, and the US10yr/US2yr remains under resistance. But we want to track this closely to find out the legitimacy of this spike in fear. Confirmation can be had if one of the indicators mentioned above follows and breaks its support/resistance (see yesterday's video for more). Best, Stew
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
Humans are not perfect- Very Basically SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) measures the price bought versus price sold. ( but it's more complex than that ) - Negative SOPR typically means people are selling for a loss. ( red dotted Lines columns ) - Positive SOPR typically means people are selling for a win. ( Blue dotted Lines colums ) - So what we can notice and deduct from this graph ? - Simply that we are not perfect. - The Fear and The Greed. - We scare when the price goes up too much. - We fear when the price goes down too much. - Most of the time we sell to early. - Most of the time we sell when it's time to buy. "Human being is the fact to be imperfect anyway" Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by thecryer
16