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Federalreserve

Interest Rates look decently strongThe 2Yr yield has paced itself recently. The 10Yr #yield is picking up steam. Both went from a bearish moving average crossover, circles, to a bullish (Data not seen here, more info in profile) 2Yr is almost @ last years bank failure rates. 10Yr has been trading mostly above. Weekly 2Yr looks like it wants to skyrocket, if breaking out of the ascending triangle pattern. 10Yr has been treading higher, along its trend line. TVC:TNX Fed is in a catch 22. Cannot raise rates, more things will break BUT it but cannot lower, inflation.
TVC:US10Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
EURUSD SHORTEven though this seems incredibly strange, I opted to enter for short on this pair since, after all, stop-loss orders have their place, and I trusted my eyes more than my heart. I'm just waiting for the market to tell me to jump on a sale as the price is already in my value range. Short Bias for the upcoming week. Instead of being stuck with the indicators, trade using Fed Data. - --------------- **First Scenario - Short:** Initial Target: $1.07863 Entry: $1.08692 Stoploss: $1.08740 **Second Scenario - Long:** Initial Target: $1.0935 Entry: $1.0875 Stoploss: $1.0869 - --------------- Take into consideration: Psychological Resistance at $1.090 Psychological Support at $1.075 - --------------- NFA DYOR - --------------- Good Luck! ⚠️Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
Short
by irfanp056
Japan’s Q1 GDP Falls Faster Than Expected• Japan’s Q1 GDP falls faster than expected • Data raises questions about when the BOJ will lift interest rates. • Yen's weakness complicates picture for BoJ • Japan's real wages fell for a 24th consecutive month Japan's economy fell faster than expected in the first quarter. Preliminary gross domestic product data from the Cabinet Office on Thursday showed Japan's economy shrank -2% annualized in January to March from the prior quarter, faster than the 1.5% drop seen in a Reuters poll of economists. In the first quarter of this year, private consumption, which is the largest component of GDP, dropped by an annualized -2.7% from the previous three-month period. Corporate investment fell -3.2%. Exports fell 18.7%, while imports also fell -12.8%, resulting in a decline in net exports. Private residential investment dropped -9.8% from the previous quarter. Downwardly revised data showed GDP barely grew in the fourth quarter of 2023, due to downgrades to capital expenditure estimates. Japan’s GDP Growth. Source: Japan’s Cabinet Office Data raises questions about when the BoJ will lift interest rates The BoJ raised interest rates for the first time since 2007 in March, and persistently high inflation may pave the way for another move. There are signs of a division among ruling Liberal Democratic Party members over whether the central bank should hike again or keep rates low to smooth financing. The BoJ is paying close attention to whether demand-driven inflation, backed by strong wage growth, is taking root in Japan. Yen's weakness complicates picture for BoJ A weaker yen has created a two-speed economy in Japan, with the export and tourism sectors broadly benefiting from a more competitive exchange rate. However, households and small businesses are squeezed by inflated costs of imported goods. The yen's weakness complicates the question of whether the BoJ should maintain its monetary stimulus or continue to unwind it. • Japan's real wages fall for 24th consecutive month When real wage growth remains negative, it's hard to expect strong private consumption. The weakening of domestic demand coincides with inflation outpacing wage growth. This comes despite the annual wage negotiations in the spring between labor unions and management yielding the best outcome in three decades after major companies weighed the impact of the recent bout of cost-push inflation and agreed to hike pay. Real wage growth, seen as crucial for Japan to completely emerge from its long fight against deflation, has lagged behind price hikes, eroding households' purchasing power as prices for everyday goods have continued rising due to high raw material costs and a weak yen. The content published above has been prepared by CFI for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. The information provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and needs of any specific person who may receive it, and is not held out as independent investment research and may have been acted upon by persons connected with CFI. Market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however, CFI makes no guarantee of its accuracy or completeness, and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients.
by CFI
AUDUSD Exposed to Pivotal Support in the RBA AftermathThe Reserve Bank of Australia raised its 2024 inflation forecast on Tuesday and appeared more concerned around achieving its 2-3% target. Despite considering the case for a hike, policymakers decided to hold rates at 4.35% for fourth straight meeting. The Aussie reacted lower, as markets likely expected a more hawkish language from the RBA, given the upgraded CPI projections. At the same time, inflation persistence in the US has turned the Fed cautious towards lowering rates, pedaling the higher-for-longer narrative. Markets have pushed back the timing of such moves to beyond summer and price in just 25-50 bps worth of cuts this year. AUDUSD is now exposed to the critical confluence of supports, provided by the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci of the April low/May high advance. Daily closes below it would shift immediate bias to the downside and open the door to further losses towards 0.6464. However, the policy differential is unlikely to fuel sustained weakness and if anything, it could become supportive. The Fed is still projected to cut this year, whereas markets have priced out such moves by the RBA for around a year more and Governor Bullock did not rule out hikes. Above the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci, bulls are in control with the ability to set higher highs. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
S&P500 (ES) uptrend may still be intactRecent price action on S&P futures suggests a potential rollover happening now, particularly after today's sell-off. This downturn began after the index peaked at 5,333.5 on April 1, 2024. Despite this, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and forthcoming high-profile earnings reports, such as NVDA's in late May, add layers of uncertainty. Notably, NVDA has recently become a pivotal indicator not only for the AI and broader tech sectors but also for the general economy. Taking a longer-term perspective, the S&P futures have maintained an uptrend, connecting a support trendline from a previous low of 4,122 on October 27, 2023, to the April 19, 2024, pullback at 4,963. This suggests that the trend remains intact, possibly ready to rebound from the support line and continue its upward trajectory. In conclusion, while recent market behavior might suggest the beginning of a rollover, the increased market volatility means that stricter interpretation of technical indicators may not be as reliable until the noise subsides. Therefore, a broader perspective might be necessary to accurately assess trend behaviors. But it's important not to continuously adjust this perspective to justify an ongoing uptrend, especially considering the seasonal strategy of 'sell in May and go away,' which could still prove prudent in the coming weeks.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by cch31
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCThe KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’ve had an extremely decent week so far, together with the long that was presented to us earlier in the session today. As it stands, we’re in the 4H order region, which is why price is attempting the intra-day levels of support and resistance, while they temporarily accumulate orders. This now gives us support 2295-90, which if supported on the spike, could give the move upside into the region highlighted on the chart. It’s this level that needs to be monitored closely and if the set up allows with a clean resistance, a move downside breaking the 2300 level again could be available. With events like this, there is usually a flip and it’s unexpected. So expect the market to spike either way collecting liquidity. We would also say, the trade usually comes after the event, so it’s best to wait for them to move the market to where they want, then look for a clean set up. Please note, these are key levels, if broken above, we can correct the move from yesterday and end up closer to 2390 than 2255 end of the week. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13
NAS100 Upbeat after Fed Volatility & Ahead of AppleThe tech-heavy index exhibited two-way action on Wednesday as markets reacted to the Fed outcome. The central bank acknowledged the lack of progress towards the 2% inflation target and Chair Powell added that recent hot reports have not given officials greater confidence towards this goal. Along with resilient labor market and strong economy, the bar for a pivot is high and markets have pared down their expectations, now pricing in just one cut this year, likely in the last quarter. These factors weigh on NAS100, which has moved below the EMA200 and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. It is vulnerable to the 38.2% Fibonacci of the October-March advance, but strong catalyst would be required for deeper correction. On the other hand, NAS100 is upbeat today and has already defended the aforementioned crucial level. It has the opportunity to return above the EMA200, reestablish the bullish momentum and pursue new record highs (18,495). Creeping fears of potential backtrack to rate hikes were assuaged, as Chair dismissed them, along with concerns of stagflation, following some weak economic data. Markets now turn to Friday’s employment data and another strong print would reinforce the higher-for-longer prospects. Investors also await Apple’s earning on the Thursday, which come at challenging period and the stock is close to bear territory. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:NAS100
by FXCM
#Treasury Yields are they going to over 7% !!!Interest rate bull and bear markets can run for many years before they change direction. Currently the yield curve is the lowest it has ever been and is still declining. The long term charts above are strongly suggesting that the bear market in interest rates ended during the pandemic crash low in 2020 after 39 years of decline. This will have major consequences if the #Economy is unable to whether a higher cost of capital and Gives big money managers to park their money in a risk free asset and earn #yield treasury notes are any #bond with a less than 2 year maturation.
TVC:TNXLong
by BallaJi
GOLD XAUUSD SELLGold prices could plummet if the Federal Reserve fails to enact anticipated rate cuts, particularly amidst widespread expectations for such actions. Here's why: Market Expectations: Investors often base their decisions on expectations, including anticipated actions by central banks like the Federal Reserve. If there's a widespread belief that the Fed will cut interest rates to stimulate the economy or combat inflation, investors may adjust their portfolios accordingly, including buying gold as a hedge against potential economic uncertainties or inflationary pressures. Pricing In Expectations: Financial markets typically "price in" expectations, meaning they incorporate anticipated events into current asset prices. In the case of gold, if investors expect rate cuts and buy gold in anticipation, the price of gold may already reflect these expectations. However, if the expected rate cuts don't materialize, the rationale for holding gold as a hedge against potential economic risks or inflation diminishes, leading investors to sell off their gold holdings. Disappointment and Market Reaction: If the Federal Reserve decides not to cut interest rates despite widespread expectations for such action, it could disappoint investors who had positioned themselves for a rate cut. This disappointment could trigger a sell-off in gold and other assets that were bought in anticipation of rate cuts. Additionally, the lack of rate cuts may signal to investors that the Fed is less concerned about economic risks or inflation than previously thought, further dampening demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Shift in Market Sentiment: Market sentiment can quickly shift based on unexpected central bank actions or economic developments. If the Federal Reserve's decision not to cut rates is interpreted as a sign of confidence in the economy or a belief that inflationary pressures are transitory, investors may become less inclined to hold gold as a hedge. This shift in sentiment could accelerate the decline in gold prices as investors reevaluate their investment strategies. In summary, if the Federal Reserve fails to cut interest rates despite widespread expectations for such action, gold prices could decline as investors adjust their portfolios and reassess the need for gold as a hedge against economic risks and inflation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ZILATRADES
EURUSD Struggles at Key Resistance Ahead of the FedThe pair has managed to stage a rebound from its 2024 lows and reacts positively to today’s preliminary data from Eurozone, which showed Q1 GDP expansion and persistence in headline inflation. As such, the common currency continues its effort to surpass the pivotal resistance confluence, provided by the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci of the March-April slump. Successful outcome would negate the downside bias and bring 1.0885 in the spotlight. However, we are cautious around the ascending prospects. The path of least resistance is down, technically and fundamentally. A rejection of the aforementioned critical region would reaffirm the bearish bias and open the door to lower lows (1.0600). The monetary policy differential is unfavorable and EZ core CPI continued to decelerate. The European Central Bank is looking to change tack and slash rates as early as June, dictated by weak growth and progress on inflation. Its US counterpart on the other hand, has adopted a conservative approach due to strong economy, resilient labor market and persistent price pressures that raise the bar for a pivot. The next leg of the move will likely be determined by Wednesday’s policy decision from Fed officials and since no move is projected, investors will be looking for any updates around their rate intentions. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Short
by FXCM
USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160? USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160? The JPY weakened below 158.200 against the dollar. It is the first time since May 1990 we have seen this exchange rate for the USD/JPY. The reason is being attributes to the Bank of Japan keeping interest rates unchanged last Friday. With the USD/JPY comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, a break above 158.500 might propel it towards 160.000. Market attention remains fixed on whether Japanese authorities will intervene in currency markets to stem the yen's decline. Other than this, short-term USD/JPY movements may depend on this week's US and Japanese economic data. In Japan, focus lies on April's consumer confidence, unemployment rate, retail sales, and industrial production, along with insights from the BoJ's meeting minutes. better-than-expected figures could boost demand for the Japanese yen. However, most eyes will be on the US Fed's upcoming decision this week, with expectations for maintaining record-level borrowing costs, potentially pushing the yen further down. The Fed decision will be followed by the non-farm payrolls report, expected to show a rise of 210K jobs in April, though slower than March's 303K. Better-than-expected figures here could affect investor outlooks on a September Fed rate adjustment, and giving the USD/JPY more reason to target the 160.000 level.
by BlackBull_Markets
Bitcoin, The FED, interest rates and Banks CrashingThought I would post this the day after we hear that REPUBLIC FIRST BANK has gone in to receivership in the USA. This is just 5 weeks after the FED's BTFP Banking Suppor tprogram ended. Thsi si likely to be the first of more and the question is now, how will the FED react on Wednesday, 1 st may at their next interest rate meeting. To Pivot now would be an interesting and possibly catastrophic choice and yet, to keep rates as they are, Keeps th epressure on and so we will see more Banks Falling. Why is a Pivot now a bad move ? Because, Historicaly, Markets Crash on Pivots. Will that happen in Crypto ? We have No data to look at, We have Never been in this situation before................ Keep your eyes open on Wednesday
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
$ DXY and FED meeting next week - a push higher ?DXY $ maybe one to watch over the next couple of Weeks as it seems to be approching Strong support. Fundimentals, as ever, Will pay a huge part in this and so we wait. Today we have personnale spending and income Data BUT the real Biggie is on 1st May next week when we have the FED Interest rate decision made public. If that remains the same ....or rises......then the $ will push higher. That in turn will take moeny out of other markets......But maybe not #Bitcoin too much. We shall have to wait and see But watch this later today. DXY usualy tries to push higher on a Friday to close for the weekend on a high.
TVC:DXY
by Orriginal
Fed decision preview: Zero rate cuts and EURUSD parity in 2024? Fed decision preview: Zero rate cuts and EURUSD parity in 2024? Expectations point to the Federal Open Market Committee maintaining interest rates at their current levels in the upcoming decision slated for May 1. However, fixed income markets suggest the possibility of rate cuts surfacing in either the July or September meetings of the FOMC. Nonetheless, Thursday’s economic activity report ushered in another jolt for investors and Federal Reserve policymakers. They had been bracing for lower inflation to pave the way for substantial interest-rate cuts this summer. The core price index for personal consumption expenditures in the United States, excluding food and energy, surged by an annualized 3.7% during the first quarter of 2024. This marks an acceleration from the previous three-month period's 2% increase, surpassing the estimated 3.4%. Recent remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers have solidified the conviction that rate cuts won’t materialize in the near term. In fact, there's been discussion about the potential for further hikes if inflation fails to abate. Given the challenging scenario, where higher interest rates don't appear to be substantially denting the economy, the question arises: What if policymakers opt to maintain current rates throughout 2024 without any cuts? With the divergence in outlook from the Fed and the ECB, can we expect parity to be reached again in the EUR/USD this year?
by BlackBull_Markets
Mighty Dollar Roars Back: A Wake-Up Call for Global MarkeThe financial markets of 2024 have witnessed a surprising resurgence: the unwavering strength of the US dollar. After predictions of a decline at the year's outset, the greenback has defied expectations, surging over 4% according to the Bloomberg dollar index. This unexpected power play by the dollar serves as a stark wake-up call for investors around the globe, forcing a reassessment of global economic dynamics. Several factors are fueling the dollar's dominance: • Resilient US Economy: Contrary to forecasts of a slowdown, the US economy has displayed remarkable strength. Robust economic data, coupled with persistent inflation, has prompted the Federal Reserve to take a more hawkish stance. Rising interest rates in the US make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the currency. • US Exceptionalism Narrative: The perception of the US as a safe haven in a world riddled with geopolitical uncertainties is bolstering the dollar's appeal. Geopolitical tensions, exemplified by the ongoing war in Ukraine, are driving investors towards reliable and stable economies. The relative stability of the US, compared to global turmoil, strengthens the dollar's position as a go-to currency during times of crisis. • Sticky Inflation: The Federal Reserve's fight against inflation is another key driver of dollar strength. The Fed's commitment to raising interest rates, while potentially slowing economic growth, is seen as a necessary step to curb inflation. This hawkish stance stands in stark contrast to the dovish policies of central banks in other major economies, like the Bank of Japan (BOJ), which continues to maintain ultra-low interest rates. This divergence in monetary policy further strengthens the dollar's relative appeal. The Ripple Effects The resurgent dollar has significant ramifications for global markets: • Currency Devaluation: A stronger dollar puts downward pressure on other currencies. This can make imports into the US cheaper but exports from the US more expensive, potentially impacting global trade dynamics. Emerging market economies, particularly those heavily reliant on foreign capital, could face currency depreciation and capital outflows. • Equity Market Volatility: The rising dollar can create headwinds for equity markets outside the US. As the dollar strengthens, foreign investments become less attractive, potentially leading to capital repatriation and reduced liquidity in other markets. This could lead to increased volatility in global stock markets. • Commodities Market Impact: A strong dollar generally translates to lower commodity prices. This is because most commodities are priced in US dollars, so a stronger dollar makes them relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. This could impact countries heavily reliant on commodity exports. The Road Ahead The future trajectory of the dollar remains uncertain. The path of US interest rates, the evolution of global economic conditions, and the persistence of geopolitical tensions will all be crucial factors shaping the dollar's strength. The current scenario presents both challenges and opportunities for investors. A strong dollar can create opportunities in US assets but necessitates careful portfolio diversification to mitigate currency risks. The evolving global landscape demands close monitoring and a nimble investment strategy to navigate the volatility. The resurgent dollar serves as a potent reminder of the US economy's enduring strength and its role as a global anchor currency. As the world grapples with geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the dollar's reign is likely to continue for the foreseeable future, demanding a recalibration of global investment strategies.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
GOLD BREAKS ASCENDING TRIANGLE OUTSometimes, you have to see the things from a different perspective, the chart of Gold against major currencies, writing this on the chart: "" TVC:GOLD/((FX_IDC:CHFUSD+FX_IDC:EURUSD+FX_IDC:GBPUSD)/3) "" you can observe that the price has successfully broken out from a long accumulation inside an ascending triangle and that it's about to break the all time high meanwhile if you look at the gold chart against dollar, there is a 4.5% remaining to reach the All time High. I have been watching gold for a while and in my opinion it can be a good investment for the coming years and taking in to account the recent actions of the FED you can see what is the store of value number one. It always was and It always will be. Just a small point, in December of 1913 the FED was created and one ounce of gold was worth 20.65$ now, today, more than 100 years later it is worth 1990$. You can see this in two ways, the gold went up a 9536.80% or the dollar went down a 98.96%. Imagine if you had keep your savings in dollars for all that time. Now, going back to the idea, as you can see in the chart, the first target of the trade is 2229$ which is the height of the triangle and I think that can be easily reached within this year. About the entry, I would recommend wait for a retest of the breakout point, but taking in to account the current situation the chances of retest are not high so to enter now can be a good option. I recommend to set a stop in 1595 because you can never be sure and the first is to preserve your capital, then grow it. Basing my opinion in the Fibonacci Levels, I think that GOLD can easily reach 4085 in the coming years as level 1.618. I hope that you found useful this idea, I will be happy to see your opinion in the comments and don't forget to give a boost if you agree.
TVC:GOLDLong
by piccard54
lets talk about halving Take your time to readCRYPTO:BTCUSD This is not a trend analysis or signal of any kind just my own speculation about what may come to happen after the halving . as we know the last cycle coincided with the fed cutting rates and the money printing going crazy like brrrrr . although we can expect at least another round of rate cuts in 2024 nothing is really guaranteed this cycle . we've been seeing consolidation in the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart for the last couple months . now I'm not really bearish but what scares me is that last time we had the rate cuts then the halving kicked in and we gone from nearly 3k all the way to 64k before any major correction . If a sell the news event was going to occur after the halving we could expect a few weeks to a couple months of downward selling pressure on bitcoin price before major upside gains . I don't say such scenario will happen but it's better to be prepared incase of such event . what i personally do is just have 50 percent of my capital ready to invest if the markets go down as the result of a black swan event because we do have the institutional support this cycle but at the same time after about 4 years of experience in the markets i know that brokers and institutions love to liquidate the retail before major moves . So i think although the trend is bullish in the long term we might have extra volatility in the short term and it pays to be ready for any possible move . thanks for your time. use this information with due diligence.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Atlas_Tradingclub
ISM Indices vs. GDP YoY% - Leading Economic IndicatorsBoth ISM Manufacturing Index and Non-Manufacturing Index vs. GDP YoY% for the US economy. ISM Manufacturing: Yellow ISM Non-Manufacturing: Blue GDP YoY%: Green/Red ISM Manufacturing currently signaling contraction with a level below 50 and the momentum seems lower. Non-Manufacturing Index is likely to follow the same path although currently signaling growth, but less than before. GDP YoY% could potentially experience a slow-down within the next 6 Months to a Year. The FED has being somewhat more Dovish on the latest speech, as they're seeing a negative outcome in keeping Interest Rates higher for much longer.
ECONOMICS:USBCOI
by Kels