Past Rate Hikes suggest an initial sell offInterest rates scale is on the left, plotted in orange.
The last time we started hiking rates from zero, we saw a decent sell-off with the first hike. Then things became bullish with subsequent hikes, until it neared 2% where markets got volatile; and then at 2.5% where we see another sell-off. If history, that could put QQQ near -40% from ATHs. I'll be watching closely next week for bearishness.
Fedfund
Past recessions compared to interest rates+productionTo me its just blaringly obvious that in the coming year(s) theres a recession going to happen, alot of people agree and very many disagree, this however, is bulletproof.
Obviously there isnt a recession until its actually happening so act accordingly, dont trade based on inverse yield lol