WIFI: Bangkit dari Koreksi! Rebound atau Dead Cat Bounce?Trading langsung melalui TradingView x STAR!
Teknikal:
• Last: 1935
• Resist: 2170 : 2730
• Support: 1825 : 1550
• Cutloss: < 1550
Sales Note:
• WIFI through its brand Surge is a co providing internet connecticity through a fiber optic network along railroad tracks on Java island , partnering with local ISPs via revenue sharing system.
• Surge offers affordable (start from IDR100k/month), high quality and unlimited internet access to households located within 1-5km from KAI railroad – this has achieved so far an solid 90% take-up rate.
• WIFI owns 6,972km of fiber optic lines along railway tracks and highways in Java. As of 9M24, WIFI owner fixed assets in the form of project equipment worth IDR890bn and more than IDR800bn worth of fiber optic lines .
• In 9M24, Surged booked revenue growth of 46% y-y to IDR505bn. The company aims to roll out up to 40mn homepasses in 2025 – this coupled with a conservative 45% EBITDA margin, could translate to more than IDR250bn in profit .
• B/S is also manageable, with net gearing of 1.4x in 2024; with potentially increasing debt but reasonable given the exponential revenue growth.
• PT Investasi Sukses Bersama (ISB) owns 50.4% stake in WIFI, whereas around 45% of that is owned by PT Arsari Sentra Data (co owned by Hashim S Djojohadikusumo) .
• The stock trades at 7x EV/EBITDA 2025E , which is lower than global telco, especially fiber optic names avg of 8x.
Anthony Yunus
Head of Sales
PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia
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PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia berizin dan diawasi oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan
Fiberoptics
ADTRAN (ADTN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
ADTRAN NASDAQ:ADTN is a leader in broadband access, fiber optics, and 5G technologies, providing high-speed connectivity solutions for service providers. The company is positioned to benefit from expanding fiber deployments and emerging defense and government contract opportunities.
Key Catalysts:
Enhanced Short-Term Unit (ESTU) Module ⚙️
ADTRAN’s new ESTU timing module is a game-changer for securing high-margin contracts in defense, space, and metrology. This innovation taps into a $700 million U.S. military communication market.
5G and Fiber Expansion 📶
As telecom operators accelerate fiber and 5G deployments, ADTRAN’s OSC-52v3 timing solution targets a $1.2 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) through 2027.
Defense Contract Favorability 🛡️
Department of Defense (DoD) supply chain audits that prioritize domestic suppliers could further boost ADTRAN’s growth potential in the U.S. defense sector.
Sector Tailwinds 🌬️
The ongoing expansion of broadband infrastructure, driven by federal and private investment in fiber and high-speed networks, provides long-term tailwinds for ADTRAN’s core business.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on ADTN above the $9.00-$9.50 range, supported by product innovation, expanding defense market opportunities, and strong fiber/5G sector growth.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $16.00-$17.00, reflecting confidence in ADTRAN’s ability to leverage sector tailwinds and capitalize on defense and fiber deployment opportunities.
📢 ADTRAN—Advancing Connectivity with Fiber, 5G, and Defense Innovation. #Broadband #FiberOptics #ADTN