BTCUSD final of 5th wave, longWe got a divergency on the squezze, telling us this is the end of the 5th elliot wave, is now matter of time till go back up. We know btc is a strong comodity, if not a "currency". Japanese and Chinese investors are taking great interess in buying large quantities of btc when the prices go to 161.8% on short. Then they rally up with huge leverages on buying orders, that is why we got the cangoroo tails.
Fibo
Possible Long Target Areas for GoldLets assume Gold can continue the uptrend here are my possible Target Areas for the next couple of Weeks.
1. First Daily Cycle from possible ICL (1122 to 1220)
That first upmove lasted for around 22 days and reversed with a double Top down into a half DCL that only took 4 days. We bounced at Fibo 38.2 (1182) and this opend up target area -38.2 (1257). Marked by red arrows in the chart.
2. Second Daily Cycle (1182 to 1264)
Our second upmove lasted 21 days and reversed into a sharp DCL this lasted for 8 days to and bounced on daily above Fibo lvl 78.6 (1198)
Reversal Facts
- The reversal happend on good NFP Data (normaly bearish for Gold)
- FED Rate Hike Bets are now at 100% for next Week (15th March)
- Very nice bullish Volume that took out the last 2 bearish Candles Volume
This could indicate that the USD (DXY) will fall more on a rate Hike (maybe Gold spikes down a bit but it should reverse after that and start to rise again)
Possible Target Areas:
1. Shortterm Downtrendline Turkis (Target around 1240-1250)
This would not be good for a bigger bullish view cause of a lower low. Could indicate that we will retest the December 16 Lows at 1122 or dip even lower.
2. Multiyear Downtrendline Red (Target around 1280-1290)
This would produce a higher high we might reverse there again. After that it depends a lot on Stocks and when they are going to reverse into ICL
3. Fibo Target Area (Target around 1330)
This would be strongly bullish Scenario for Gold. If we achieve this level its most likely that we will reverse around that Level and testback the Multiyear Downtrend Line again.
Your Comments are appreciated
Cheers
Matryoshka doll or 'fibo' inside of a 'fibo'Upward move on XAUUSD started in mid-December.
Firstly, reached 0.5 of large fibo ~1208$/oz then 0.618 of large fibo ~1247$/oz.
In my opinion price of XAUUSD will go down then retrace back to finally move downwards.
If that scenario will happen then, it may create Head and Shoulder pattern.
Breakage of the neck line will cause XAUUSD to go down to ~1010$/oz.
EURGBP soon to go for UPmy time projection gives me an additional clue that a change of direction at the red vertical line is in the making.
i look at the corrective structure as one that may likely prepare the way for up move.
it is likely that the already saw the first whole move down in that corrective structure (you may call it A to B wave + B to C) and now up (light blue arrow scenario)
another scenario is that we only hat the A to B and again measure the 1.272 extention of A to B down and then up.
let a flag above the correction's trendline confirm your long / buy entry.
in any case your stop should be below the lower ascending longerterm trendline to be save for this long idea in general.
target may be around 0.90
(this is not a trade call. you are responsible for what you do. dont risk more than 2% of your trading account's money for your stoploss!)
good luck!
XAUUSD Short Trade SetupXAUUSD bearish trend line from Sep 2012 was hit at 1219. Now that trend line will be hit again at 1196. Which identifies two time-frame fibonacci 38.2 levels. I consider shorting XAUUSD at 1195.8, first target 1184, second target 1171. Risk/reward 2.82.
This is not a trading advice. I do not recommend using this setup, as I published it for my paper trading education. I will not invest real money into this.