XAU/USD: 3600 PIPS OF POTENTIAL PROFITAs the price goes down XAUUSD we expect a reversal @1310.00 in the Potential Reversal Zone we have:
Major Structure support
Confluence with a 0.382 fib level
Confluence with a 1.618 extension
In other words, looking to get long with the gold !
With this instrument be mindful of your risk
"Eyes on your mind, not on your trade"
Cortes Team
Thanks
Fibo
Dax FiboArc TradingScale your view so that the orange circles intersect with the orange nodes (peak) and with the blue circles. You will notice the arcs act as a support for the waves.
I want to show my approach on how I look at declines after a rally. You can notice a resistance at those arcs. In this case, often the 4th down-move does break the circle towards the next one. Sometimes the circle is hit, sometimes the Fibo-Retracement.
In the short term we should be Long but once we reach the next Fibo-Arc it might be hard to have a quick recovery. Shall we break out of the circle more rapidly then this could be a short signal.
SL is the recent low. If we cross this then this is would be a bad sign as well.
Trade 1 <> 100 Trades Challenge <> only 4hHi guys i am starting a challenge where i will do 100 trades and see what my win trade is after the 100 trades. You can follow if you want.
First trade is a head and shoulder + strong trend line and a bigger pullback to the 0.618 & 0.5 levels. Still waiting to short keep you guys updated
Current trades : 0
Current winrate : 0
GBP/JPY: structure and fib confluenceAs we go down making lower lows, the price is getting close to a very nice point of confluence at @134.000 even handle
At this point we have the following:
61,8% fib retracement
1,272% fib extension
Structure alignment: support
We think we might get filled in this trade next week
Remember Eyes on your mind, not on your trade
Cortes Team
Thanks !
XAU/USD: Closing into a major support !After a dive of the past two weeks finally we are approaching an important level of structure
this support is in confluence with a minor fibonacci (0.50%)
In the higher time frames this could be seen as a Trend Continuation Trade, but for us, we just want to chunk some pips out of this leviathan that is why 61.8% is target 2
Remember guys: Eyes on your mind, not on your trade
Thanks
CortesTeam
GBP/JPY: Closing in to a major reversal areaWe are looking at the GBPJPY approaching a major level of structure (Resistance) in confluence with a major fibonacci level (The 61.8). We will be waiting for the price to show reversal proce patterns, not likely to enter aggressive in this trade,
Of course if it breaks above the resistance, we'll start to look for long opportunities.
Remember guys, Eyes on your mind. not on your trade
CortesTeam
AUD/CAD - Daily Chart Analysis - Waiting a BreakoutAUD/CAD - Daily Chart Analysis - Waiting a Breakout
If the price broke the trend line with a breakout candle, enter LONG .
Take profit 1: @0.99860
Stop loss @0.95160
If the price bounce on the trend line enter SHORT .
Take profit1: 1st support @0.94500
Take profit2: 2nd support @0.93400
Stop loss: @0.9800
Have a nice trading! gg.
The stock market looks very bearish if this happensA channel from the lows of 2009 to now has broken and been re-tested. If the re-test breaks out then we move to fib levels, moves from the 23-38% are very common. If momentum picks up I'll be looking for a move into and below 14,000.
See more about this at our website: www.daytradersfx.com
EURGBP awaiting the BREXIT results (Weekly) PART2On the Weekly we can see the strong bearish bias with the large red candles all over the place. After the price has formed Bearish Engulfing on the 61.8% FIB it then made LH and came all the way down to the Monthly support level. Was a false breakout of the support when the price came back to retest the prior LH. The level 0.79370 is a very strong resistance as we can see that the price couldn't break it and close above. We can see the strength by all those spikes price made every time approaching the level. This time it made very nice Shooting Star out of this level and fall back down to Monthly support area where it is struggling right now. We can see that the EMAs crossed up however the price is still below the 200MA. As I've said in the PART1 (you can find on my page) we're heading down after bouncing back into the channel and off the FIB level unless we will break the channel, retest and continue to go up changing by this the existing trend.
Thanks for taking your time to read all of this) I wish you all profitable trading
EURUSD - Strucuture Trading+++ Don't forget to LIKE & Follow+++Here are my thoughts about EURUSD on 4H.
Price failed to make a higher high higher close above previous minor structure(red line) and if you drop 1 time frame lower you will see a Double Top with RSI being OB on the right Top + bearish divergence - nice trading opportunity for shorting EURUSD. If price goes higher you can take the opportunity for hopping on the bearish move.
If you look left price made a NSH - this NSH confirmed a bullish rotation in price on 4H, so currently I'm looking where I can go long. There is equal measured move(orange lines) that is completing right at previous zone(look where is NSL). There is 1.618 Fibo Extension too - that is almost perfectly aligned with the measured move.
I will be waiting for RSI to go in oversold condition and then I'll be looking for entry reasons based on my trading plan. You can wait for a Double Bottom with stops below structure level(NSL) and target previous minor structure.
Good Luck!
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GBPAUD is going down :D... I hope...GBPAUD
well, there is not much to say, in 15m just broke a nice resistance, it seems that will make a nice shoulder-head-shoulder, also seems like the 1h and 15m 5th elliot wave, and the end of a 4th wave on 4h. It coudn't suppas the fibbo resistance. And well, in the lv2 there are like the HELL of a lot of selling positions right above that is scaring the price away...
Squezze is starting to fall, we have a short aceleration... What else we can ask? Maybe that MA 50 that is like saying "hey dont trusth this dud, go long" but... Naaa, who really cares about that silly MA... (Put some tight stops...) put stops around 1.9913... Or something like that, remember your spread.
Remember if you have a winning position and it goes to a losse position is a mistake that has no forgiveness, please follow your trade with stops and so. This is a daily swing, that could turn into a positioner trade... It might go short for weeks :D
That is what I am aiming for. SELL MY CHILDREN SEELLLLL!!!
Dow Jones forecast week commencing 16th MaySo on Friday 13th May, we have seen the classic head and shoulder topping pattern confirm here on a lot of major indices. You could apply this thinking also to S&P500 and its derivatives Spy etc.
So the head and shoulder neckline break, all in shorts right? Wrong. Note the orderly bearish action, respecting fibs very tightly on the way down. Also note the formation of a downward channel in the process of forming the head and right shoulder. Also note that next week is options expiry (Opex) on Friday 20th May. This chart tells you all you need to know about what usually happens in these weeks northmantrader.files.wordpress.com
So my plan for next week is perhaps initially scalp short, and look for a reversal around the bottom purple channel line. If this plays out well and we see reversal there, you can get long and hold it, perhaps even past opex into week commencing 23rd May. Just keep bringing up your stops to lock in profit, or ride the trend (buy dips) intraday if you prefer.
If all goes according to plan (warning - it usually doesn't :D), we'll hit the upper trendline, and this will coincide with a 61.8 retracement and also a proper retest of the H&S neckline as resistance. If the plan is still in tact at this stage, that could be an excellent place to look for shorts, aiming for the technical target of the H&S, all the way down at 17k on the dow (which also coincides with the big 2000 level on S&P 500)