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GBPCAD will rise soonGBPCAD is oversold at this situation.RSI shows that .so we can see a correctional buy . EDUCATION so to find tha point of reverse in the market we can use out fibonacci tool to high to the low the impulse in that point we can see the 0.382 Fibo level is perfectly matched with the previous support which will become the resistance soon.( SBR ).also the trading is th reacting process it can not project .so we have to see the price action on that fibo level before it makes an rejection USE your own risk management.
Short
by rasindu2003
1
GBPUSD Price AnalysisFX:GBPUSD It is a quiet day for the advance of the FX:GBPUSD GBP/USD. Today there are no economic indicators from the UK to present. A lack of economic indicators leaves GBP/USD risk-averse to economic markets, while weaker economic indicators in China, Europe and the US have rekindled the sentiment as central banks remain They can use it. From the point of view of technical analysis, the GBP/USD is fluctuating in a one-hour time frame in a descending channel that is drawn and according to the upward trend formed from the bottom of the channel, now to The parity ratio seems to be undergoing a corrective trend from the recent rise, and it is likely that as long as the rate above the 50% Fibo support (No hourly candle closes are recorded below it) then the Price is also expected that the rate intends to complete the BEARISH BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern to 1.2807-1.2801, in the meantime, the XA wave roof resistance at 1.2761 is seen will be.
Long
by Daragolbon
From A to D:How to Use the ABCD Pattern to Forecast Market MovesAre you familiar with the ABCD trading pattern? In this article, I will provide a comprehensive explanation of the ABCD trading pattern, including its characteristics, how to identify it, and how to use it in trading. So, sit back, relax, and enjoy the information provided in this article. The ABCD ( AB=CD ) pattern , It's a harmonic pattern that is easily recognizable on a price chart and is composed of four points. This pattern follows a specific sequence of market movements that traders can use to predict potential price swings in the future. The ABCD pattern can be applied in various market conditions, including both bullish and bearish markets, and can be used to speculate on the movement of different forex pairs by simultaneously selling one currency and buying another. However, it's important to keep in mind that the ABCD pattern should not be the sole basis for making trading decisions. It should be used as a tool to inform your decisions. The first step in opening a position using the ABCD pattern is to identify the pattern on a price chart. Multiday charts can provide insight into the behavior of forex markets over an extended period. You can use daily, hourly, or minute-by-minute charts to spot the pattern, but it's crucial to choose a time horizon that aligns with your goals. For instance, traders looking to hold positions for days or weeks may prefer daily charts instead of minute charts. Once you have selected the appropriate chart type, you can search for the ABCD pattern to identify bullish or bearish signals. Let's now take a closer look at how the AB=CD pattern forms and how to spot it: When identifying the ABCD pattern, traders focus on the legs or moves between points. The moves in the direction of the overall trend are denoted as AB and CD, while BC represents the retracement. Once you think you have identified an ABCD pattern on a price chart, the next step is to use Fibonacci ratios to validate it. This process can also help you pinpoint where the pattern may complete and where to consider opening your position. The "classic" ABCD pattern follows a specific sequence of market movements, with the following rules: In a "classic" ABCD pattern, the BC line should ideally be 61.8% or 78.6% of AB. To determine this, traders often use the Fibonacci retracement tool on the initial move from point A to point B. The BC line should end at either the 61.8% or 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of AB. This helps confirm the validity of the ABCD pattern and gives an idea of where to potentially open a position. Once the BC leg of the pattern is complete, traders would typically look for the CD leg to reach the 127.2% or 161.8% extension of the BC leg. At this point, traders might consider entering a sell position if the pattern is bearish or a buy position if the pattern is bullish. The ABCD pattern extension occurs when the CD leg extends beyond the typical 127.2% and reaches 161.8%. This indicates that the price trend may continue in the same direction for a longer period, providing a potentially profitable trading opportunity for traders who have correctly identified the pattern. It's important to note that this extension is not always reliable and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to confirm the validity of the trade. Note: In strongly trending markets, the retracement (BC) may not reach the usual 61.8% or 78.6% of AB, but only 38.2% or 50%. It's important to adapt to market conditions and adjust your analysis accordingly. Moreover: During the move from A to B, the market should not exceed either A or B. During the move from B to C, the market should not exceed either B or C. During the move from C to D, the market should not exceed either C or D. For a bullish ABCD, point C must be lower than A, and D must be lower than B. For a bearish ABCD, point C must be higher than A, and D must be higher than B. To identify an ABCD pattern on your TradingView trading chart, follow these six steps: 1 ) Log in to your TradingView trading account and open a market chart. 2 ) Locate the AB line. Remember that this move should be completely contained within points A and B. 3 ) Locate the BC retracement. This should reach either the 61.8% or 78.6% level of the move from A to B. 4 ) Draw the CD line. Using the AB and BC lines, you should be able to predict where point D will fall. CD will generally be equivalent to AB and either 127.8% or 161.8% of BC in both price and time. 5 ) Keep an eye out for price gaps and wide-ranging bars in the CD leg. These can indicate that an extension is forming, implying that CD may be longer than AB. 6 ) Trade the possible retracement at point D. If you've identified a bearish ABCD pattern, consider opening a sell position. On the other hand, if you've found a bullish one, consider buying. And here are a couple of examples: I hope you found this guide on identifying the ABCD pattern useful. Let me know your thoughts in the comments section below, and don't forget to like and follow me if you found this guide helpful.
Editors' picks
FX_IDC:XAUUSDEducation
by FOREXN1
44
AUDNZDHi AUDNZD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
Bitcoin Important Supp/Res Based on Different Fibo RetracementsHi, I want to point out a few Fibonacci retracement levels to consider in your analysis. Since Drawing different retracement on different time frames and different time zones and waves can give a better vision of the potential stronger and more important support and resistances. Here we start: 1- The Big Run on the Daily Chart: Bottom 3400 Till the ATH 69000 2- Latest Correction on the Daily Chart: Top is 69000 and the bottom is 15500 3- Latest Pump of the new year on 4H Chart: 15500 Till 25200 * These levels can be used along the way further for Bitcoin. Now the following levels can be used for the recent price range. All the following levels are in the 15 minutes chart: 4- The last correction before passing up 24250 as the top and 21340 as the bottom The result of these levels can consider these levels more important as they are in different 5- The last pump in the recent time zone with 21340 as the bottom and 25250 as the top 6- The recent correction since the local top with 25250 as the top and 22730 as the bottom As the result we can see that these price ranges are more important in the recent market: 25260 24248 - 24355 23681 - 23600 23293 - 23096
by NoaTrader
FLOKIUSDT Fibonacci support and more gain💡🚀Hello 🐋 Based on the chart, the price is in the parallel channel close to the triangle support (previous triangle resistance area ) and new volume recognize for the price, and it is close to the Fibonacci support level ✔️ if the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀 otherwise we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨 if breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside ✔️🚀 👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located below the main chart with black colour) 📖💡 Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
3
Wide turbulent ranges for the ZARReferring back to my long-term idea posted in January (linked below “1H2023 USD/ZAR weekly timeframe”) I believe that the pair has started its 5th impulse wave higher towards the 2020 high around the 19.30’s after the failed break below the critical support rate of 16.80. The rand has depreciated for five consecutive weeks since mid-January which has seen the local unit slide roughly 7.65%. The economic calendar for this week is a heavy one with a host of local and international events and data prints which is expected to throw the pair into a wide trading range. Locally, SA’s finance minister will present the updated budget tomorrow. The main point of discussion that investors will look out for is Eskom and it is anticipated that the government will advance their plans to take on a sizeable amount of debt from the ailing power utility. The rand also faces a potential grey listing by the FATF this week. Honestly, don’t expect any local factors that will be rand positive anytime soon. Internationally, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting results will be released which will probably just support the Fed’s recent hawkish sentiment. To wrap up the week, US GDP results for 4Q2022 will be released and on Friday the US PCE price index will be updated, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. It’s difficult to make a call how these data prints will influence investor sentiment. Despite all the above factors that are undoubtedly rand negative, the rand could pull the pair lower towards the 61.8% Fibo rate of 17.84 if risk-on sentiments flow into the markets following the FOMC minutes, US GDP and PCE data prints. The rand tends to pullback aggressively after an uptrend, it overshoots like a rubber band to the top and bottom side. If this pullback materializes, buying at rates around 17.80 may be favourable. The support levels currently sit on the psychological rate of 18.00, 23.6% Fibo at 17.95 and then the critical support at 17.83 which coincides with the neckline of the broken parallel channel. I’m personally looking to leave buy limit orders between 17.75 and 17.85. A break above 18.28/18.30 will invalidate the expected pullback. Technically the daily MACD seems to be rolling over and could cross to a sell signal while the RSI is sitting in overbought zones at 67.85 which supports this expected pullback. Two factors that also support this USD/ZAR pullback is my expected pullback in the DXY and the fact that Platinum is finding support around $920 per oz (ideas linked below).
Short
by Goose96
3
DXY Pre January CPIThe upward momentum on the DXY after January’s positive non-farm payroll print on the 3rd of February seems to have subsided for the time being. The DXY managed to test its 50-day MA and touch the green 23.6% Fibo retracement level at 104 but these resistance levels have held their ground. The 23.6 % Fibo also coincides satisfyingly with the neckline of the previous upward trendline as well as the blue 50% Fibo retracement level. There was a gap down at market open this morning ahead of the highly anticipated US CPI print for January which is negative for the greenback. Last week Friday the BLS quietly revised the CPI higher for four of the past five months, with one month unchanged so always take CPI results with a pinch of salt (CPI is a lie but it influences investor sentiment). The supposed CPI for January is expected to print 6.2%, down from 6.4% in December, yoy. My track record forecasting scenarios from data prints aren’t great but this is how I see the lay of the land; an in line with expectations or a print lower than 6.2% yoy will add fuel to the Fed’s self-proclaimed narrative that they have beat inflation. This scenario will be dollar negative and will spur risk-on investor sentiment. This scenario will allow the DXY to fall below the support at 103 (covid peak) and drop lower towards the critical support at 101.843, blue 61.8% Fibo retracement level). On the flip side, a print at or above 6.4% yoy will have investors running back to the safe haven dollar with their tails between their legs. This scenario is expected to push the DXY above the resistance level of 104 and higher towards 106.00. (I don’t expect a fair CPI print if they can just quietly revise the numbers higher at a later stage without spooking the markets thus, I’m not in favour of this scenario materializing today). Technical indicators: The buy signal on the daily MACD seems to be rolling over which is dollar negative but there is a fair degree of bullish divergence on the RSI which is keeping me on my toes. I’m leaning towards the first scenario I mentioned earlier. Over the longer-term (the remainder of 2023) I’m very much bullish on the dollar and I think the bottom for the DXY is in at 100.90 I believe we will see the dollar milkshake theory play out this year when the economic realities start collecting their debt.
TVC:DXY
by Goose96
2
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways. Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is. Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences. The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it. An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower. The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764. Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading. Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support. Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools. What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade? Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added). Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist. How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined. The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend. The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial. Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance. This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals. Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied. Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading: 23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading. 38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation. 50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger. 61.8 - strong, like 38.2. 76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well. The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles. Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels. These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.). A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend. Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback). When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal. The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly: -Finding the price impulse. -Plotting the grid on the chart. -The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market. -When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema. -In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend. When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position. The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools. Conclusion The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Education
by FOREXN1
15
Some simple DCA idea. Maybe a bit better than the average one ?Hello, everyone. This is my first idea, so please pardon me if anything goes wrong. With the bear knocking at the door a while ago, it seems that everything goes down. So maybe we should embrace the investor side ... The boring but rewarding path. On bear markets, everyone accumulates. The DCA it seems a viable option, as they say : "Time in the market beats timing the market". We could DCA by volume profile, Fibonacci retracements, or several other techniques. But why going so "complex" when we can make everything simple ? On Crypto, it's tested that we will see at least 6 consecutive "30% drops" after the latest "30% drop", if not even more. Influenced on this idea by our regretted mathematician, Mr. Fibo ... And applying it to the charts, I just have a new indicator with an embedded strategy inside. In order to do everything right , I am asking the community to give me feedback. And if there is a real demand for my creation, I will respond accordingly :) The questions will be : 1. Do you think this strategy will bring you profits ? If so, do you want to try my indicator for easier backtesting ? 2. How useful do you think it will be a trading automation website, to be launched in 2023 ? Dedicated to Risk/Reward ratio trades, but also containing this idea ? I am humbly awaiting your response, so ... Let's help each other ! Best regards, Ionuț
Education
by dogaruionut1993
3
Nov2022 - BTC (3D) - Next Peak $200-250k by 2025 + Risk FactorsDear anons, Provided another longterm projections based on past BTC peaks, dated back to 2017 & 2021, respectively. 💡Summary: NEXT PEAK > time target: mid/Dec 2024 > price target: $200k, 220k, 250k **factors affecting targets marked on-chart .. 💬 Extra Note: with various forms of hidden/blatant power wrestles ongoing btw China & US dat includes COVID plandemic aka engineered supply shock & globe-wide inflation Fed rate hikes aka exporting inflation everywhere else by weaponizing Dollar Ukraine war aka engineered gas & food inflation China zero-covid lockdowns aka weaponizing supply chain who knows wats next... Taiwan? CBDC's? Plandemic 2.0? based on above ongoing or potential macro developments, we're likely to overshoot on next peak target, with high certainty. think: $250k in REAL terms w depreciating dollar... ;p See you in 2025! cheers~ 🥂🔥
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by jeanne_k
1