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Fibonacci

EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors: 1. Upper FVG Zone: Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment. 2. Lower FVG Zone: A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces. 3. Projected Scenarios: - Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher. - Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000. This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
by Louigi_24
21
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around. Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly! Resistance levels: 1.400 Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets. But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
My Directional Bias on GBPJPY for the long run {29/03/2025}Educational Analysis says that GBPJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis. Broker - FXCM So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range. So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap 1) Break of structure on weekly range is down trend for the long run period of 10 years, may be it switch to new character or change its direction to bullish. 2) External pushback structure is the trading range where it trades on the smaller time frame, On this structure range market on inside trading or smaller time frame is bullish towards fib of 1.618 and make turn to fill the fair value gaps of it. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
by VishalBudhrani
USDCHF I Weekly CLS I Daily OB, Model 1, CLS 50% TargetHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Hit the like if you like trading !! David Perk ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
22
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - CLS Range I Continuation SetupHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
Short
by David_Perk
42
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups. Short Trade Setup Resistance Zone: The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63. Setup Details: A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high. Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1. Support Backup: Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open. This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky. Long Trade Setup When to Consider a Long: If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77. Support Confluence: Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area. Additional Layers: The monthly level at $1.5988. The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351. Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level. And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5. Setup Details: This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark. XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions. If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Long
by SiDec
2
[ TimeLine ] Gold 24-25 March 2025Hello everyone, I will be using the high and low price levels formed on March 24 and 25 , 2025 (Monday and Tuesday), as entry points for my trades. We will wait for the price range from these candles to form, as indicated by the green lines. The trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with an additional buffer of 60 pips. If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut or switch the trade accordingly and double the position size to recover losses. 📉📈 Below is the chart with the estimated Hi-Lo range of March 24 and 25, 2025. You can copy the unique code and add it to the TradingView URL. TV/x/hjaa6bzW/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
MSFT Short to Neutral: Last Wave 5 of 3 (Target: $364)A video update to Elliott Wave Counts and Price target for MSFT (and Nasdaq). A summary: 1. Intermediate wave 3 of 3 has ended. 2. Intermediate wave 4 of 3 has ended in a double combination. 3. We are in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5 of Primary wave 3. 4. Using Fibonacci Extension from Minor wave 1 of against overall Intermediate wave 5 gives us a target of $364, which is within a support zone. This is the Primary Wave 3 completion target. 5. Using Nasdaq, we also noted that we still have a little bit more to our final target.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by yuchaosng
2
AMD Wave Analysis – 28 March 2025 - AMD reversed from pivotal resistance level 115.00 - Likely to fall to support level 100.00 AMD recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 115.00 (former support from January, acting as the resistance after it was broken in February) standing near the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from January. The downward reversal from the resistance level 115.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star. Given the predominant downtrend, AMD can be expected to fall to the next round support level 100.00 (former support from February).
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by FxProGlobal
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 28 March 2025 - Ethereum reversed from the resistance level 2120.00 - Likely to fall to support level 1800.00 Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance level 2120.00 (former multi-month support from August and February) standing near the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. The downward reversal from the resistance level 2120.00 stopped the previous ABC correction ii. Given the strong daily downtrend, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 1800.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i).
Short
by FxProGlobal
SUI Swing: The Art of Patience in TradingSUI has been playing nice with the technicals lately, giving us some really neat swing trade opportunities. Remember that short trade we talked about—from $3 down to around $2? Well, here's why that setup was a winner. After that initial short trade, SUI bounced off $2 and then traded in a tight range between $2.5 and $2.2 for about two weeks. Then it broke higher to test the monthly open at $2.83—and it hit that level right on the dot. That’s where all the magic happens. Why This Short Trade Worked Fibonacci Confluence: When you draw a Fibonacci from the high at $3 to the low at $1.9626, the 0.786 level comes in at about $2.778. This is right near the monthly open, and we know that price tends to reverse between the 0.618 and 0.786 zones. Trading Range POC: The $2.8 area was our previous point of control, so it adds extra weight as a resistance level. Anchored VWAP: The VWAP from the high at $3.8999 sits just above the monthly open at around $2.855, giving us another nod that this level is important. Fib Speed Resistance Fan: Even the speed resistance fan at the 0.618 level lines up with the $2.8 zone. All these factors lined up to form a solid resistance area. That’s why short entries between $2.778 and $2.855 made sense. Trade Setup Recap Short Trade: Entry Zone: $2.778 to $2.855 Target: The bullish order block at about $2.4745, which also lines up with the 0.618 fib retracement from the low at $2.2358 and the high at $2.8309 Risk-to-Reward: This setup gave us a risk-to-reward of 4:1 or even better, depending on where you set your stop-loss. There’s also a possible long trade at the bullish order block, but that one’s only for when you see the confirmation. Wrapping It Up The takeaway? Confluence is your best friend. Waiting for that high-probability setup can really pay off. Let the trade come to you, don’t force it, and stay calm and focused. Thanks for reading this SUI analysis. If you liked it, please leave a like and drop a comment. Happy trading!
Short
by SiDec
5
BTC/USD 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the downward trend channel, in which we turn back at the top edge of the channel. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = 87100 $ T2 = 89945 $ Т3 = 93556 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 81739 $ SL2 = 77307 $ SL3 = 74353 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we came again to the center of the range at which we could again experience the price of price.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Official Trump price analysis$Trump coin will probably only go off when and if Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize. And for this to happen, his activities and rhetoric must change completely... at the moment, it looks "on the verge of fantasy." Meanwhile: A major investor lost money on TRUMP again - this time $3.3m, he sold 743,947 TRUMP for $7.92m, but did so at a loss. The irony is that at the very beginning of trading this token, he earned $11.82 million. However, a series of unsuccessful trades resulted in serious losses - now his total loss on $TRUMP has reached $15.7 million. 1️⃣ If by some miracle OKX:TRUMPUSDT manages to break out above the trend price, then we can dream of $14.26 and $17.36 2️⃣ А if, again, he writes, or says, or does something stupid, which is more likely for this personality.... then #Trump at $7-7.2, why not. Ten times less than the highs... that's where the success is!)
by P_S_trade
1
OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern. The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume. Key levels to watch: - Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance) - Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50 This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Louigi_24
15
XRP - Ascending Channel: Will bulls stay in control?XRP continues to trade within a well-established ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, maintaining a bullish structure as long as it respects this formation. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, signaling that buyers are still in control. However, recent price action suggests that XRP is at a critical decision point, with strong support below and short-term resistance above. 4H Timeframe – Golden Pocket and Imbalance Providing Strong Support One of the key areas to watch is the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level (0.618 - 0.65), which aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone. This confluence has already provided two strong bounces, confirming that buyers are actively defending this area. The golden pocket is a key retracement zone where price often finds strong support before continuing the trend. Additionally, the imbalance zone represents an area of unfilled liquidity, which price often revisits before resuming its move. The fact that XRP has reacted twice from this level suggests that it remains a critical demand zone. As long as price remains above this level, the bullish structure is intact, and XRP could continue pushing higher within the ascending channel. The next target for bulls would be the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. However, if this support fails and XRP breaks below the golden pocket and imbalance zone, the structure could shift bearish, leading to a potential breakdown toward lower support levels. 1H Timeframe – Bearish Rejection from Imbalance Zone While the 4-hour structure remains bullish, the 1-hour timeframe presents a short-term bearish case. Recently, XRP was rejected from a significant imbalance zone, suggesting that sellers are stepping in. This rejection indicates a potential short-term pullback before the next major move. When price fails to break through an imbalance zone, it often signals that there isn’t enough liquidity to sustain the uptrend. This could lead to a retracement back to lower levels, possibly retesting the golden pocket on the 4H timeframe before another push higher. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: Golden pocket (0.618 - 0.65) + 4H imbalance Resistance Zone: 1H imbalance rejection area Bullish Target: 0.618 Fibonacci extension, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel Bearish Breakdown Level: A break below the golden pocket and imbalance could trigger a deeper retracement Final Thoughts – Bullish Structure, but Short-Term Weakness The 4H ascending channel remains intact, and the golden pocket support has held twice, indicating that the uptrend is still in play. However, the 1H bearish rejection from an imbalance zone suggests that XRP could face short-term weakness, leading to a possible retest of support before the next major move. If XRP holds the golden pocket, the bullish bias remains strong, and we could see a continuation towards 2.80 – 2.90 in the coming sessions. However, if support fails, the structure could shift bearish, bringing lower retracement levels into play. This setup presents both bullish and bearish scenarios, making it crucial to monitor key levels and wait for confirmation before making a trading decision. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
49
US Equities Fall Amid Inflationary Pressures and Trade TensionsUS equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors. The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED. At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis. Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea. At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors. The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment. In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone