Gold Short: Completed 5 waves of wave 1 (higher degree)I believe that Gold has completed the 5th wave. Here are the evidence:
1. Drawn out 5-wave structure with breakdowns.
2. Fibonacci measurement: wave 5 is almost equals to wave 1.
3. RSI is lower at the 5th wave compared to 3rd wave although price is higher (price-rsi divergence).
Stop is $3272.
Take Profit is $3285.
Fibonacci
MooDENG price analysis😭 How “fun” you can live trading memecoins!)
First, -97% dump, and then +1600% if from the absolute bottom, or +800% of a rapid pumping)
And with all this, the capitalization of #MOODENG is only $275 million, and at the maximum it was around $600 million.
🕯 Moreover, on the OKX:MOODENGUSDT chart, they “draw” as if they want to give another upward momentum. Here's the question: to $0.40 or $0.70?
❗️ But this is an idea for spot holders!!!
Because as you can see on the chart, a -50% correction "It's not a big deal" at all, and it can liquidate longs even with x2 leverage.
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GBPJPY Bulls wake Up! Clean swing buy opportunity ahead! Price after the recent swing high as indicated on the chart (yellow circles)
It has since retraced to to 61.8 retracement level and has rejected with one bullish candle and currently rejecting again. There is a high probability to see some buy pressure ahead of next weeks trading sessions to the up side to target of 195.78 and beyond.
Neutral - GLD (Short-term) & Short (Long-term)A. Short-term: NEUTRAL
Daily chart pattern: Double top
RSI: Close to 50. Needs to cross 50 to turn bullish momentum
1. Double top confirmation
- Fib 0.382 rejects at $299.85
-> Enter PUT option for PT: ~$280.5
2. Failed double top
- Pass fib 0.382 at $299.85 to gap up
-> Enter CALL option for PT1: ~$303
PT2: ~306.5
B.Long-term: PUT
Overall long-term opinion: LEAP PUT for GLD with expiration date more than 1 year. PT: ~200
KDA - to the moon?Huge upside potential @ 4,600% to ATH (ignoring the "random" wick May 2021) vs -80% to ATH
Next leg down would be:
$0.24 (also the 786 fibbonachi)
Followed by the ATL @ $0.126
I think anything between current price - ATL is a good spot buy.
TP1 @ $28.00
TP2 @ $81.00
It would be interesting to see if the "random" wick is actually forecasting the end price for Kadena - it's worth a try 🤷♂️ ride price in the latter part of Q4 and see what happens.
2 x attempts to break out of downtrend.
Bullish div on weekly RSI
ETH — Bull Flag or Trap? Trade Plan with TargetsETH is setting the stage for its next major move — and the chart is packed with clues.
After completing Wave 3 at $2738.50, ETH has entered a corrective phase, forming what looks like a bullish flag. But beneath the surface, smart money levels are aligning: VWAP, Fibs, key levels, and liquidity traps are all converging around one high-probability zone.
This analysis breaks down both the long and short setups, backed by real confluence and clean R:R opportunities. Whether you’re planning to snipe the reversal near support or fade the rally at resistance, you’ll walk away with a clear trade plan and deeper insight into how price reacts at precision levels.
Let’s get into it.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Long Setup with Deep Confluence
After a fakeout pump into the golden pocket of this minor downtrend (typical for a Sunday), ETH rejected cleanly at the upper resistance of the bull flag channel.
We're now watching for the swing low at $2406.63 to be swept, setting up a potential SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) at a highly confluent support zone:
🔍 Confluence at the $2390–$2360 Zone:
Anchored VWAP from the Wave 3 origin at $1752 is sitting at $2390
Trend-Based Fib Extension 1:1 of the correction lands at $2386.84
Liquidity pool just under the recent swing low
0.382 Fib retracement of the entire Wave 3 at $2361.66
0.618 Fib Speed Resistance Fan intersects this zone
Lower bull flag support line also aligns
This makes the $2390–$2362 zone a high-probability bounce area.
📌 Plan:
Laddered long entries between $2390–$2362, watching closely for a clean SFP or reversal signal.
Target 1: $3000 psychological level
Target 2: 0.618 Fib retracement at $3067.71 (potential Wave 5 top)
Stop-loss: Below previous yearly open (can be tightened after confirmation)
R:R: 1:5 or better after SL adjustment
🔴 Bearish Scenario: Short Setup at Key Rejection Zone
If ETH makes a move up to complete the 5th wave, we monitor $3067.71 — the 0.618 retracement of the entire corrective leg — as a key resistance.
If price rejects here with momentum loss or bearish structure:
📌 Plan:
Short on confirmed rejection of $3067.71
Stop-loss: Above $3211 (above 0.666 Fib)
Target: Previous high near $2700 or lower
R:R: 1:2 or better depending on entry and structure
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Increases Probability
Many traders chase setups based on single indicators. Real edge comes from stacking independent tools: VWAPs, Fibs, FVGs etc... When they align, the setup isn’t random — it’s high conviction.
This strategy gives you a framework to anticipate where price is likely to move and why, rather than reacting emotionally.
Patience and preparation will always outperform panic and reaction. Trade the plan — not the impulse.
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HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + ConfluenceHBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process.
Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why.
Elliott Wave Context
HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction:
✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low
✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A
🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside
Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure.
🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone
By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket:
0.618 Fib → $0.19212
0.666 Fib → $0.18926
But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence:
📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361
📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229
📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135
📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17)
Together, they form a tight support band between:
🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926
📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target
Here’s where the magic of planning comes in.
If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move:
📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654
This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target
📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter
In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone.
This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup.
🟢 Long Trade Setup:
Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926
Stop-Loss: Below $0.185
Take-Profit: $0.28654
R:R: ~10:1
Potential Gain: ~+50%
🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension):
If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered:
Entry: ~$0.286
Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3)
Target: $0.2622
R:R: ~2:1
HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built.
Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you.
In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike.
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NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher.
🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift?
The next high-probability long zone lies between:
$3.026 – $2.94
Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move)
Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in).
Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739)
Target: $4.00
R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured
This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume.
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00)
Entry: ~$4.00
Stop-Loss: Above $4.25
Target: Yearly open (~$3.65)
R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation
🎯 Summary
NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support
Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80)
Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only)
Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be.
Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈
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ADA Correction Nearing Completion — Trade It Like a ProADA is respecting structure beautifully and currently consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move. The key question now is: where are the next high-probability trade setups?
Let’s break it down step by step.
Market Structure & Elliott Context
ADA has completed a full 5-wave bullish sequence, and—as expected—is now in a correction phase. This appears to be forming a classic ABC correction.
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool:
0.5 retracement of the entire move sits at → $0.7534
This aligns perfectly with the previous swing high at $0.746 — a level that has yet to be retested
The 1:1 trend-based Fib extension of a potential ABC correction puts Wave C at → $0.7492
Confluence Check:
This entire support zone (~$0.75) is stacked with technical alignment:
✅ Previous swing high: $0.746
✅ 0.5 Fib retracement: $0.7534
✅ 1:1 extension: $0.7492
✅ Daily 21 EMA: $0.7455
✅ Daily 21 SMA: $0.7347
✅ Point of Control (POC): ~$0.7318
✅ Anchored VWAP: Also sitting in this zone
✅ Pitchfork golden pocket: Aligns as dynamic support
All of these support indicators point to one thing: this ~$0.75 zone is a high-probability long entry area.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry zone: Ladder between $0.77 – $0.75
Average entry: ~$0.76
Stop-loss: Below $0.7318 (under POC)
Target: $0.9212 (0.618 retracement of the recent down wave)
R:R: ~5:1
Potential upside: +22%
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection Only)
Entry: $0.9212 (0.618 Fib retracement of downtrend)
Stop-loss: Above 0.666 Fib → ~$0.958
Target: previous swing high or yearly open
R:R: ~1.4:1 (it can be adjusted tighter upon confirmation)
This short setup isn’t ideal in terms of R:R unless we see clear rejection. But with confirmation — like an SFP, bearish engulfing, or divergence — the stop can be tightened, making the risk-to-reward much more favourable.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Structure Beats Emotion
In trading, the strongest setups occur where multiple tools converge—Fib levels, EMAs, VWAP, volume zones, and past price action. When these align, it’s not about guessing—it’s about preparing.
The key is to wait for structure to come to you, not the other way around. Patience allows clarity. Clarity allows precision. And precision pays.
💡 Final Thoughts
The plan is clear. Levels are set. Now it’s just observation and discipline.
Good trades don’t chase attention — they present themselves to those who wait.
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PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend.
What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS).
Now comes the real opportunity.
Wyckoff Accumulation Structure
Following the long consolidation range:
🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS)
🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS)
The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand.
🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown
0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312
Previous highs: ~$0.14
Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level)
These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup.
🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312)
Entry: $0.1312
Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen)
Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694
R:R: ~16:1+
Potential upside: +100%+
📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci
This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure:
SOS breakout signals strength
LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone
Previous highs now acting as support
When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait.
📌 Summary
✅ 70+ days of accumulation
✅ SOS confirmed
🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131
🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation
🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694
💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+
Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose.
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XRP Correction Complete? — Long Setup Aligned with Fib & OBXRP has completed a 5-wave impulse move. As expected, XRP is now in a corrective phase, pulling back after rejecting from a key resistance — and it’s doing so with technical precision.
The question now: where is the next high-probability long setup? Let’s break it down.
🧠 Market Structure & Key Zones
Using Fibonacci retracement from the base of the 5-wave impulse, we now have a potential golden pocket target aligned with major confluence.
🔽 Support Zone
🔹 0.618 Fib retracement: $2.2982
🔹 Daily Bullish Order Block: $2.2949
🔹 Daily 21 EMA: $2.329
🔹 Daily 21 SMA: $2.301
🔹 Liquidity pool
🔹 0.786 Fib Speed Fan (only if price drops between May 17–18)
This creates a high-confluence support cluster at ~$2.3 — a prime candidate for a long re-entry.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder between $2.32 and $2.28
Stop-loss: ~$2.21
Target: $2.7175 (0.618 Fib retracement of the corrective downtrend)
R:R: ~5:1
🔴 Short Setup (Conditional)
Trigger: Rejection at $2.7175
Entry: ~$2.7175
Stop-loss: Above $2.8033 (0.666 Fib) → set at ~$2.811
Take Profit: ~$2.56 or lower
R:R: ~2:1+ (dependent on entry confirmation and PA behaviour)
Shorts only valid if a clear rejection or SFP pattern emerges. If momentum is strong, this level may break — so wait for structure to confirm.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters
Too often, traders chase single-indicator signals. But real edge comes from confluence — when multiple tools (Fibs, MAs, Order Blocks, Liquidity, VWAPs, FVG, Speed Fans etc.) agree on the same zone. This alignment not only increases confidence in your entry, but also sharpens your risk management.
Think of it as building a case — the more aligned evidence you have, the stronger your trade thesis becomes.
📌 Summary
XRP is in a corrective phase after a 5-wave impulse
Clean rejection from weekly resistance → continuation of bearish trend
Long zone: ~$2.3
SL: ~$2.21 | TP: $2.7175 | R:R ~5:1
Optional short: $2.7175 rejection → SL $2.811 | TP $2.56
Precision isn’t about predicting — it’s about being ready when the chart speaks with clarity. Patience makes probability powerful.
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FILECOIN - A less risky bet to make $$$FILUSD shows to be a good bet for the below reasons.
a. All time low reached on 07th Apr 2025 and will support the price.
b. Started showing Higher High and Higher Low on daily charts.
c. It is still the #1 decentralised storage network.
d. A huge potential for upside movement with current marketcap of $2B when compared to $12B at all time high.
e. Organisation adoption is significant. For example - The Internet Archive, a non-profit digital library, uses Filecoin for archival data storage (1000TiB). OpenSea, an NFT marketplace, uses it for NFT storage. Shoah project Starling Labs, an academic research lab, uses it for archival data (6000TiB)