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Fibonacci

PEPE price trading plan🐸 The OKX:PEPEUSDT price is moving quite nicely between the dynamic fib levels on the chart. But given that in a few hours there will be an announcement of a “fresh” Fed rate (forecast of a decrease of -0.25%), the crypto market may be volatile!) Therefore, we highlight the critical level of $0.0000184 for the CRYPTOCAP:PEPE price, from where: 🐳 if the price is kept above - growth according to the blue scenario, at least to $0.0000332 💔 in case of failure and breakdown, a protracted corrective red scenario will be activated, somewhere to around $0.0000106 What do you prefer?)
by P_S_trade
3
3 Scenarios for BitcoinWhen a trend of the peaks that Bitcoin has made since 2016 is taken, we see that after each peak that uses this trend as resistance, Bitcoin enters a correction process up to the HP filter. Bitcoin, which has done this 3 times in history, is doing it right now. In addition, when I apply a Fibonacci analysis to each correction, I clearly see that Bitcoin is currently in the Fibonacci target area of ​​the last bear season. There are 3 options for Bitcoin right now. Either it will break this trend for the first time and run without any corrections until at least $120k, or it will be rejected from the trend and pull back to $90k, which the HP filter will reach, and then try the trend once more. On the contrary, the worst case scenario is that it will close below the HP filter for the week and fall to $60k, which means bear season. Even if the bear season comes, I will switch to the buying side since I think Bitcoin will eventually reach $1m. Therefore, it does not matter how many dollars it is for me.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by YavuzAkbay
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level. Trade Setup: Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection. Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup. Take Profit Target: Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits. Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002. Risk-Reward (R:R): Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%. Additional Notes: If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position. With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements. This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.
Short
by SiDec
7
GOLD → Ahead is the Fed and the rate decision. What to do?FX:XAUUSD tested strong support on Tuesday at 2633 before traders moved into a buying phase, hoping a possible rate cut would support their intentions There is a 93% probability that the Fed may cut interest rates by 0.25%. But the thing to pay attention to here is the general backdrop - the Fed's stance. Hawkish hints about 2025 could have a much bigger impact than a rate cut, which is partially already factored in by the market. Any hint of fewer rate cuts next year could be a growth driver for the dollar. Powell's comments play an important role in assessing the situation for next year against the backdrop of Trump's policies Downside risks for gold are quite high due to the controversial situation in favor of the Fed's hawkish stance. Technically, the emphasis is on the local channel. A price exit beyond 2658 or 2633 will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2658, 2675 Support levels: 2645, 2633, 2620 The situation is very controversial and complicated, that's why several directions relative to the key zones are indicated on the chart. Everything depends not only on the actual rate numbers, but also on the Fed comments, namely we are interested in the tone and stance for next year. Recommendation - skip trading before the event and wait until volatility decreases to be able to adequately perceive the market position Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
AUDUSD - What message will the Federal Reserve's dotplot have?!The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. If the downward momentum decreases, we will look for buy positions on the midline and bottom of the channel. Investors are cautiously anticipating the key decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. It is widely expected that the central bank will announce its third rate cut of the year and provide projections for 2025. Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, noted that market participants are eagerly awaiting updates from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and any hints regarding the trajectory of future rate cuts. He stated, “We expect the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point rate cut this week, followed by four additional cuts next year.” The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting is anticipated to confirm a quarter-point rate reduction while also providing updated projections for potential rate cuts in 2025 and possibly 2026. Meanwhile, the U.S. services sector has expanded at its fastest pace since October 2021, injecting fresh momentum into the economy, even as the manufacturing sector faces a deeper downturn. The S&P Global services index rose from 56.1 to 58.5 in December, while the manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3, marking its lowest level in 55 months. These figures highlight a widening gap between sustained growth in the services sector and further declines in manufacturing. Factory output and order volumes have dropped at a faster pace, while the cost of imported raw materials from China has risen due to concerns over potential tariffs from the Trump administration. Following the release of this data, projections for real private gross investment growth in the fourth quarter dropped from 2.4% to 1.2%, while forecasts for real government spending growth in the same period rose from 2.4% to 2.6%. Additionally, U.S. holiday retail sales for 2024 are expected to reach a remarkable $979 billion. According to a recent report by Fitch Ratings, declining demand poses the most significant risk to global commodity markets if the U.S. imposes new tariffs and affected countries retaliate. Fitch has warned that potential U.S. tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico could weaken global economic growth, particularly in China, the world’s largest consumer of commodities. This could exert significant pressure on base metals, chemical products, and oil markets. However, Fitch also noted that China’s economic stimulus measures could offset some of this pressure. At the same time, new tariffs on specific goods, such as steel and aluminum, could increase price volatility and disrupt trade routes. Bloomberg reported that J.P. Morgan believes the upward trend in European government bonds is nearing its end. The firm now views Australia as the next promising market for stronger performance. Kim Crawford of J.P. Morgan explained that there is limited room for further gains in Europe, as swap markets have already priced in the potential rate cuts by the European Central Bank. He also highlighted that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s stance, which has yet to reduce rates in this cycle, positions Australian bonds for stronger growth compared to other developed markets.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USDJPY → Consolidation of price in the sell zoneFX:USDJPY reaches a strong resistance at 153.87 within an uptrend. Will this direction continue, as the Fed rate meeting is ahead.... Fundamentally, today is a big day for the markets. At 19:00 GMT the Fed rate meeting, where with a 93% probability the decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% will be made, which will make the dollar less attractive, but for how long, given Trump's policy? Accordingly, the dollar is in a consolidation phase, traders are waiting. If the dollar starts a downward correction, it will affect the currency pair accordingly. But I do not exclude that on the background of high volatility the price may form a retest of resistance and a false breakout. Resistance levels: 154.95, 156.75 Support levels: 151.44, 159.69 At the moment, after the retest of 0.79 fibo and the key resistance at 153.877, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The fundamental background may increase the pressure, which may lead to a fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. - Double Formation * 9.50 USD | Uptrend Bias | A+ Settings | Subdivision 1 * Pennant Structure | Survey Valid | Subdivision 2 - Triple Formation * Retracement 1| Bias On hold | Entry Settings | Subdivision 3 * Retracement 2| ((50)) & 0.236)) | Hypothesis * Retracement 3| 0.382)) & 1.618)) | Hypothesis Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:MD
by TradePolitics
AKT Trade Setup: Risk-to-Reward Ratio 4AKT Trade Setup: Risk-to-Reward Ratio 4 Entry: cmp Take Profit (TP): 4.27 Stop Loss (SL): 3.567 Timeframe: 4H Technical Confluences: Fibonacci Golden Pocket: Price aligns within the golden pocket zone, increasing the probability of a reaction. 4H Order Block Tap: Entry is based on a retest of a high-probability demand zone. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 4 Trade Plan: Enter at cmp after confirming bullish reactions from the order block. Target profit at 4.27, aligned with resistance Protect capital with a stop loss at 3.567, just below the order block and invalidation level. Disclaimer:This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may result in the loss of your invested capital. Ensure proper risk management and trade only with funds you can afford to lose. This setup is not financial advice.
Long
by karmatseringhyolmo
2
Vistra Energy Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Vistra Energy Stock Quote - Double Formation * 130.00 USD | Survey Area Valid | Subdivision 1 * (Neckline) | Entry Bias Valid - Triple Formation * Pennant Structure | Uptrend & Continuation At 115.00 USD * Retracement | 0.382)) | Retest | Hypothesis | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Valid Area & Entry Settings | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:VSTLong
by TradePolitics
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/18/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 22309.25 - PR Low: 22206.00 - NZ Spread: 230.75 Key scheduled economic events: 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections - FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference AMP raised margins for expected FOMC volatility spikes - Retraced 50% of Monday's ATH breakout range - +100 point value decline at session open - Auctioning long above previous session close Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/18) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 287.63 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 196K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5