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Fibonacci

Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares
Dollar Caught in Mixed SignalsThe US dollar is trading with relative stability this Wednesday, consolidating within a tight range as markets carefully analyze a series of recent economic data that suggest mixed signals about the strength of the world’s largest economy. The latest durable goods orders report for February surprised to the upside, showing an increase of 0.9%, compared to expectations of a 1% decline. Although lower than the robust 3.3% growth recorded in January, this data still reflects some resilience in key sectors such as transportation, machinery, and electrical equipment, which could partially ease concerns over an imminent economic slowdown. However, the optimism sparked by this figure is counterbalanced by a 1.5% drop in non-defense capital goods orders. This indicator, crucial for measuring business confidence and future investment, posted its first contraction in four months, declining 0.3% excluding aircraft. This setback appears to reveal growing caution among US companies, likely driven by uncertainty surrounding trade and tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence showed concerning signs in March. The overall index plummeted to 92.9, reaching its lowest level since 2022. Particularly alarming was the decline in the expectations index, which fell to 65.2, hitting a 12-year low. This drop reflects growing pessimism among American households regarding the economic outlook, worsened by negative perceptions of trade policies and their potential impact on inflation and employment. Inflation, and its anticipated evolution in the coming months, has become a key factor influencing market sentiment toward the dollar. Markets are especially focused on the release of the PCE index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflationary pressures. Should this figure show a significant increase, the Fed may be prompted to maintain a cautious and restrictive stance, thereby supporting the dollar. Conversely, a more moderate reading could lead the central bank to consider less aggressive adjustments, putting downward pressure on the US currency. In conclusion, as markets continue to digest these contradictory signals, the dollar appears likely to remain within a tight range in the short term. Uncertainty over trade policy, combined with mixed signs of economic strength, create a challenging operational environment. As such, caution prevails among investors and businesses, and the market remains on alert, aware that in the current climate, more than ever, clarity on economic and trade policy will be crucial to shaping the near-term future of the US dollar. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 26 March 2025 - WTI crude oil broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 71.00 WTI crude oil recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 68.60 (top of the previous wave 1), resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last month. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (3). WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 71.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
Skeptic | DXY Showdown: Battle at 104.403Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic Today, we're diving deep into the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As highlighted in our previous analysis , the major daily support (0.618 Fib) held strong at 103.303 , with price reacting precisely at this level. Currently, the DXY is testing a critical 4H resistance at 104.403 , which aligns with: A 4H consolidation range breakout zone A potential fakeout trap if price fails to sustain momentum The RSI (65.92) suggests building bullish momentum, but confirmation requires a clean break above 104.403. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 104.403 Confirmation: RSI holding above 65.92 Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 104.000 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 104.403 + drop below 103.936 Confirmation: RSI reversal below 50 + bearish 4H candle close ⚠️ Key Notes: Fundamentals: Recent economic data favors dollar weakness—trade longs cautiously. Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
3
Warning: BCHUSDT Is Approaching a Dangerous Trap ZoneYello, Paradisers! Are you ready for what could be the next classic fakeout setup? BCHUSDT is heading straight into a high-probability reversal zone, and if you’re not paying attention, this could turn into another painful reminder of how quickly things change in crypto… 💎BCHUSDT is currently showing signs of weakness as it moves toward a major resistance zone. This area is reinforced by a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the critical 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level — both of which have historically acted as strong reversal points. 💎Adding to the confluence, we’re spotting clear bearish divergence on the chart, which further increases the likelihood of a downward move from this level. 💎If BCHUSDT taps into our resistance zone, we’ll be monitoring for bearish price action confirmation. 💎Ideal patterns to validate the setup include: M-formation, Head & Shoulders, Inverse Cup & Handle. 💎These patterns can help us reduce our stop-loss exposure and improve the overall risk-to-reward ratio — patience will be key here. 💎On the flip side, if price breaks out and closes above our invalidation level, the bearish setup will be completely invalidated. In that scenario, it’s smarter to wait for new, more favorable price action before making any trading decisions. 🎖This is the kind of moment that separates disciplined traders from the emotional ones. Don’t rush in blindly — timing, confirmation, and strategic entries are everything if you want to win consistently in this game. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
4
MATIC / USD [Polygon] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS WEEKLY TFElliott Wave Analysis for MATIC/USD (Polygon) 1W Time Frame Chart The chart presents a detailed Elliott Wave analysis with corrective patterns, Fibonacci levels, and a long-term price projection. MATIC is currently in a final corrective phase (Wave C of an ABC correction) within a descending channel. A potential bottom formation near the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level (~$0.19 - $0.22) suggests a possible trend reversal. (Strong support zone) The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is in the oversold zone, indicating that selling pressure may be exhausting. The previous bullish impulse (Wave (5)) ended around $2.75 This was followed by an WXY corrective multi zigzag, which appears to be reaching its final stage. The chart suggests that Wave (C) of the correction is nearing completion. Bearish Scenario: If the $0.19 - $0.22 support fails, further downside towards $0.10 - $0.05 is possible. However, this scenario would likely require a broader crypto market downturn. Conclusion: Potential Long-Term Trend Reversal The current zone suggests a possible bottom formation, which could lead to a new bullish cycle. A breakout above $0.42 - $0.50 with strong volume would confirm the trend reversal. Traders might consider accumulation in this range with a stop-loss below $0.17. Overall Outlook: Bullish mid-term outlook once the bottom is confirmed.
CRYPTO:MATICUSDLong
by Anakyn
1
Mastering Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions on TradingView!1. Introduction to Fibonacci in Trading Fibonacci levels are widely used in trading to identify potential reversal zones, support, and resistance levels. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern found in nature and financial markets. Traders rely on Fibonacci retracements to find potential entry points and Fibonacci extensions to determine profit targets. The most critical area of interest is the golden pocket zone, which ranges between 0.618 and 0.65. Price often reacts strongly in this zone, either reversing or continuing its trend, making it a key level for traders to watch. 2. Key Fibonacci Levels for Trading Several Fibonacci levels are commonly used in trading. The 0.5 level, although not an actual Fibonacci number, is often observed as a psychological retracement level. The golden pocket zone, which consists of the 0.618 and 0.65 levels, is considered the most important for potential reversals. The 0.786 level represents a deeper retracement and is frequently used by traders for more precise entries before a strong price move. On the other hand, Fibonacci extensions, such as -0.618 and -1.618, are used to project potential price targets. These levels serve as reference points for identifying support and resistance, allowing traders to make more informed trading decisions. 3. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracements on TradingView To effectively use Fibonacci retracements, traders must first identify a swing high and a swing low on the chart. This process starts by recognizing a strong uptrend or downtrend. Once identified, the Fibonacci tool in TradingView can be used to plot retracement levels. By selecting the swing low and dragging it to the swing high in a bullish setup, or vice versa in a bearish setup, traders can visualize the key Fibonacci levels. It is essential to adjust the settings to only display 0.5, 0.618, 0.65, 0.786, -0.618, and -1.618 for better clarity. This method provides a structured approach to analyzing potential price reactions and planning trades with greater accuracy. 4. Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Levels A. The Golden Pocket Entry Strategy (0.618–0.65) One of the most reliable trading strategies involving Fibonacci retracements is based on the golden pocket zone. When price retraces to the 0.618–0.65 area, traders look for confirmation signals before entering a trade. These confirmations may include bullish or bearish candlestick patterns, such as engulfing candles, pin bars, or hammer formations. Additionally, traders may use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to identify divergences, which suggest a potential trend reversal. A spike in volume at these levels can further validate the trade setup. A typical strategy involves entering a trade within the golden pocket, setting a stop-loss slightly below the 0.786 level for risk management, and targeting Fibonacci extensions for profit-taking. B. Fibonacci Extensions (-0.618 & -1.618) for Profit Targets Fibonacci extensions serve as valuable tools for setting take-profit levels in trending markets. Once price confirms a reversal from a retracement level, traders use extensions to project future price movements. The -0.618 extension is often considered a conservative target, providing an early profit-taking opportunity. Meanwhile, the -1.618 extension is a more aggressive target, generally used in strong trends where price momentum is high. By integrating Fibonacci extensions into their strategy, traders can optimize their exits, ensuring they capture the full potential of a move while minimizing premature exits. 5. Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them Despite its effectiveness, Fibonacci analysis requires proper execution. One common mistake traders make is drawing Fibonacci levels incorrectly by selecting the wrong swing points. Accuracy in identifying the correct high and low points is crucial for reliable retracement levels. Another mistake is over-reliance on Fibonacci without additional confirmations. Traders should always seek confluence with other technical indicators, such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, or volume analysis. Additionally, failing to wait for confirmation signals can lead to premature entries, increasing the risk of losses. Understanding these pitfalls and applying Fibonacci with proper validation techniques can significantly improve trading outcomes. 6. Pro Tips for Using Fibonacci Like a Pro For best results, traders should use Fibonacci analysis on higher timeframes, such as the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts, as these provide more reliable signals compared to lower timeframes. Confluence plays a crucial role in validating Fibonacci levels, so traders should always look for overlapping support and resistance, trendlines, or moving averages. Additionally, backtesting Fibonacci strategies using TradingView’s replay mode can help traders refine their approach and gain confidence in their setups before applying them in live trading. By combining Fibonacci with other technical tools and maintaining discipline in execution, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading success. Final Thoughts Mastering Fibonacci retracements and extensions can significantly improve trade accuracy. By focusing on the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.65) and using Fibonacci extensions like -0.618 and -1.618 as profit targets, traders can refine their strategies and maximize profitability. Understanding how price interacts with these levels and applying additional confirmations ensures more precise trade entries and exits. With practice and proper analysis, Fibonacci can become a powerful tool in any trader’s arsenal. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
41
SYM Technical Analysis: Potential Bullish SetupSYM (Symmetry Group Ltd) is currently in an overall bullish trend and holding above a rising trendline. The price is currently at the Fib Golden Zone. The RSI is synced with price action, which supports the bullish outlook. In addition, there's a potential hidden divergence that could signal continued upward momentum. A possible gap fill towards 11.88 might also present a good buying opportunity. Trading Recommendations: Buy 1 (CMP): 15.05 Buy 2: 14 Stop-Loss: Closing below 9 Take Profit 1: 21 Take Profit 2: 26 Take Profit 3: Open Happy trading!
PSX:SYMLong
by TradeWithParas