XAUUSD update: Are done with this bullish cycle?Given the current wave structure looks like we are yet to complete the bullish phase. Now I am expecting a short term pullback for lower degree 4th wave where I expect price to find support at 50% fib then continuation to the upside. Overall we are bullish but we should expect periods of price to pullback to gain momentum.
Fibonacci
Gold is crazy again
How can it not rise? This is my most real complaint at this moment.
Now don't think about the 3300 problem, because it doesn't matter, and it may even give you an illusion and cause you to chase the rise. . Look at it openly. If you can't do it after the callback, just take over and look for a short-term rebound. If you want to short, then wait for a rebound after a drop of 30 US dollars, then try to intervene. Otherwise, what else can you do? There are no other tricks. I'm really not a bad guy. How did I touch the top of 3160 before? It came like this. There is indeed a luck component, but this is the only way to enter the market.
A big rise will see a big fall, there is no doubt about it, so this article cannot give you a specific point reference. If I give it to you, it means that I am perfunctory. Do you understand? Who can't guess? A little rhetoric can make a lot of sense. Remember, when it pulls back to 30 US dollars, and it rebounds to near the previous high, go short. It doesn't matter if you don't know, I will do it.
There is no market chart today, because I have mentioned all the trading skills above. The price has gone up so much that there is no need to analyze the pressure, and no one can specifically know where the pressure is. Guessing is meaningless. Let us wait for the decline and then wait for the opportunity to move. Without further ado, watching the downward fluctuation of 30 to 50 US dollars is the goal.
GBP/JPY - Resistance into fibonacci golden pocketGBP/JPY 1H Technical Analysis - Key Levels
Price action shows clear resistance zones marked by Lift indicators at 0.28 , 0.08 , and 0.06 levels. The market appears slightly overbought with Lift readings of 0.01 to 0.05 , suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation.
Key observations:
- Resistance cluster between 0.06-0.28 may cap upside moves
- Overbought conditions warrant caution for longs
- Monitor Lift indicator for trend continuation signals
Trading approach:
Consider short opportunities near resistance with stops above 0.28 , or wait for pullback to support for long entries if momentum sustains.
for more FX analysis. Comments welcome!
EWTSU 6E1! subminuette wave v developping
Elliott Wave trade analysis
micro wave ((5)) of subminuette wave v developping
look at kennedy channels technique to monitor wave ((5)) of ((v))
confirmation: price break over 1.1470 and rise with a motive 5 waves pattern
invalidation: price break below area 1.1300
#ATQA - Egyptian stock#ATQA timeframe 1 hour
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 10.00
Stop loss / reentry 10.20 (estimated loss -1.65%)
First target at 9.60 (estimated profit 4.20%)
Second target 9.25 (estimated profit up to 7.70%)
NOTE: this data according to timeframe 1 hour.
NOTE: stock remains positive for long term.
It's not an advice for investing, only my vision according to the data on chart.
Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
EURUSD – Pullback before a new move?EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since breaking above the 1.1150 level, momentum has started to slow down and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and reevaluates.
What catches my attention now is how weak the price action looks during this consolidation. The candles are getting smaller, wicks are getting longer, and there’s not much follow-through on the bullish side anymore. This kind of price behavior typically shows indecision or exhaustion buyers are no longer driving price with the same force and sellers are starting to creep back in.
So instead of chasing this move higher, I’m positioning myself for a pullback into a key demand zone that I think will offer a much higher probability long setup.
The Level I’m Watching – Golden Pocket with Imbalance Confluence
The zone I’m targeting for a potential entry sits in the 1.1070 to 1.1170 area. This range covers the golden pocket retracement zone, between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels measured from the recent impulse low to high, and overlaps with multiple technical factors that make it extremely attractive.
First off, this zone contains three separate unfilled imbalance areas (or fair value gaps), created by aggressive bullish candles on the way up. These are areas where price moved too quickly to fill all orders on both sides, which leaves inefficiencies in the market. The market tends to revisit these areas to rebalance before continuing in the prevailing direction. So from a pure price action perspective, the unfilled imbalances create a natural magnet for price to retrace into.
Second, we’ve got historical resistance right in this same zone. If you look back a few sessions, price rejected this level multiple times before finally breaking through. Now that we’re above it, there’s a strong chance this area flips into support. This concept resistance turning into support is a classic and reliable price action behavior, especially when it lines up with other tools like fibs and imbalances.
Trend Structure Still Intact
What’s crucial to me here is that a pullback into this zone will not break the overall bullish market structure. We’re still printing higher highs and higher lows, and a retracement into the golden pocket would simply be another higher low within the current uptrend.
There’s also a clean ascending trendline from early April that hasn’t been breached. If price respects that trendline again while dipping into this demand zone, that would add further confluence to the setup. It would mean the trendline, golden pocket, unfilled imbalances, and historical support are all lining up at the same point that’s a textbook area where I want to be a buyer.
Entry Triggers and Execution Plan
I’m not looking to blindly set a limit order in this zone. I want confirmation that buyers are stepping in and that we’re getting a shift in momentum. Ideally, I’ll drop to a lower timeframe like the 1H or even the 15M and wait for a clear change of character — something like:
A break of a local lower high
A bullish engulfing candle at the base
A sweep of liquidity below recent lows followed by a strong push back above structure
Once I see that kind of reaction, I’ll consider entering a long position. My stop will go just below the structure low or the lowest point of the zone, depending on the entry signal. I’ll give it enough room to avoid getting wicked out on a false break.
As for targets the first obvious one is the current range high around 1.1350. If we get a strong reaction, I’ll trail part of the position and look for continuation into new highs. This pullback could set the stage for the next leg of the broader bullish trend, especially if DXY starts showing weakness again.
Why I’m Not Shorting Here
Even though price looks weak and a retracement seems likely, I’m not interested in shorting this setup. We’re still firmly in bullish structure and shorting into a healthy uptrend just doesn’t make sense to me unless I’m scalping. The risk to reward just isn’t favorable on the short side right now I’d rather wait for price to come to my zone and then look for confirmation to go with the trend.
Final Thoughts
EURUSD is consolidating after a strong move up and I’m expecting a pullback. The golden pocket zone, stacked with unfilled imbalances and previous resistance, looks like the ideal place for a bullish reaction. As long as we stay above that zone, structure stays bullish and I’ll be looking for long opportunities once price confirms the bounce.
Patience is key here. I’m not rushing into anything, but if price gives me the reaction I’m looking for in that zone, I’ll be ready to execute. The setup aligns well with both technical structure and market behavior and I’ll continue to monitor price action closely over the next few sessions.
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A&B Scenario $117K - $130k📊 Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
🔁 Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K –$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
📐 Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
📉 Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
🔺 Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
🧠 Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
📈 Target: $103K – $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K –$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
🔻 Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 15 April 2025- FTSE 100 index broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 8450.00
FTSE 100 index today broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 8170.00 (which stopped the previous sharp upward correction at the start of this month) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp downward impulse (C) from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone should accelerate the active primary impulse wave 3 from the start of April.
Given the improving sentiment across the equity markets, FTSE 100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 8450.00, the former support from January and March.
EURGBP Wave Analysis – 15 April 2025
- EURGBP reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.8460
EURGBP currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance levels 0.8735 (former strong resistance from 2023) and 0.8625 (which reversed the price twice from the start of this year September.)
This resistance zone was strengthened by the upper weekly Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci correction levels of the downtrend from 2022.
Given the clear daily downtrend, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8460, the former top of wave A from the start of 2025.
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.
Bitcoin - 2025After a long consolidation around $100,000, and a correction of ~32% from the top, it seems we are preparing for a new move.
In the previous idea, I mentioned that there could be either consolidation or a healthy correction, but both happened.
I will describe several scenarios that I see.
I will describe only positive, super-positive and ultra-positive ones.
Since the negative sounds like this - we have already reached the peak, there will be a small over-high, and we will go bearish.
Positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $150,000-$200,000
Super-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $200,000-$300,000
Ultra-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $300,000-$400,000
Now you must ask - can we really reach $400,000, how is this possible, with the current price of $84,000, and April outside the window?
I will tell you that there is nothing complicated or incredible here, that is why it is ultra-positive.
But you should focus only on positive and negative scenarios, and not float in the clouds hoping for a miracle.
As for altcoins, in this scenario, I don't think Bitcoin dominance will last long, so high, in any case, soon there will either be an overflow and altcoins will start shooting, or we will all die from the paws of bears
HOLD YOUR BEARS, IT'S NOT OVER
Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 10th I shared this idea "EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Bullish Bat Harmonic Forming – Breakout Imminent!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) then reached $85,500 , as I expected in my previous post .
Today, I want to share with you a short-term analysis of Bitcoin , and Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line !
Bitcoin is trading near the Support zone($83,880-$82,380) and Support lines .
Bitcoin is likely to start rising again with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again either with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern or near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($82,426-$81,439) . The first target could be the important resistance line , and if it breaks, it looks like Bitcoin could break the resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ) as well.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,624-$85,486
Note: To break the Important Resistance line , we need a candle with high volume at least on the 4-hour time frame , like the Bullish Marubozu candle ; otherwise, it is probably we will see fake break . Since this line is of great importance, it is better to look for a confirming candle on the 4-hour time frame as well ( even a Doji candle with a small green body ).
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line!?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Let us wait together for gold to break 3200
In terms of operation, short selling is still the main strategy, and short selling is still maintained near 3235. It is expected that gold will continue to adjust in the future, and 3200 will most likely be broken today.
Today's detailed operation strategy
Gold will go long at 3185, defend at 3175, and target 3200-3220
Gold will go short at 3235, defend at 3245, and target 3210-3180
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
COCORO. Do Only Good Everyday.Cocoro price is hold above moving average and if you use the basic strategy through Fibonacci retracement - now is an excellent entry point with 400% potential gain.
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