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Fibonacci

Gold may drop to 2800, follow me and short gold!!Brothers, yesterday was "Black Friday". Gold went up and down, but it broke through many supports, so the trading rhythm next week will still be mainly shorting gold. At present, gold stopped falling and rebounded after hitting around 2830, and finally closed at around 2858. Although it has recovered most of its lost ground, gold is not considered strong as long as it is below 2860, and the rebound can only be regarded as a technical rebound repair. Over the weekend, there was another unstable news from Russia and Ukraine. Gold may have room to continue its upward trend due to the influence of the news. However, I predict that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still encounter obstacles at 2880. Gold may have room to continue to rise with the help of the news, but I expect that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still be blocked at 2880. So in terms of trading, we first consider ambush gold short trading below 2880. If gold can fall below 2830, then gold will inevitably continue to the 2820-2810 area, or even 2800. There is no luck in the market. We need more time to find opportunities and be good at seizing them. I spend a lot of time studying the market and making profits from it. I also make more detailed trading plans and trading signals based on the market every day. The article has a certain lag. In order to grasp the market dynamics and trading plans in time, you can follow the bottom of the article to master the wealth code and create your own wealth!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
Sorry, I choose to short gold in this round!!!Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends who read it can gain something. Gold fell again on Friday to a new low. Gold fell sharply again on Friday and hit a new low. In the 4H cycle, it bottomed out and rebounded due to the news at the end of the day. Although gold prices hit a low of 2832 in late trading, they ushered in a wave of rebound. However, because the price is still running in the middle of the Bollinger Bands and below the short-term 10 moving average, it has driven the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area. In the domain, other cyclical indicators maintain a short position, and the overall downward trend of Bollinger Bands intensifies. However, the macd indicator fast line turns upward, failing to give short sellers downward momentum, and the RSI indicator intentionally strengthens the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, at the 4-hour level, the overall downward trend of gold prices after short-term correction can still be seen. As long as the rebound is not strong, gold still has room to fall. Then next week's opening will focus on the resistance near 2880, but as long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2880, then gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will do further analysis on Monday. Finally, whether you are a novice trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to get more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and wish all of us all the best in trading! Have a good weekend, brothers!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
BTC/USD – 1H Timeframe🚀 BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📉 Price Action Update: 🔹 Key demand zones at 90,924 - 91,580 🔹 Potential support at 92,323 - 92,523 🔹 Upside target at 94,919.59 📈 Trading Plan: 🔹 Watch for a bounce from demand zones for potential long entries 🔹 Break and hold above 92,523 could confirm bullish continuation 🔹 Targeting 94,921 - 96,918 if bullish momentum sustains #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #LiquidityZones #BTC
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
GBP/NZD: let's take profit occur before buying againWith strong bullish momentum, GBP/NZD remains attractive for long positions. Fundamentals favor the GBP over the NZD, while technicals suggest room for further upside. Fundamentals: - GBP Strength: Hawkish Bank of England and resilient UK economy. - NZD Weakness: Recession in New Zealand and dovish RBNZ policy weigh on the NZD. Trade Idea - Buy Zone: 2.1945-2.2200. This level corrispond to 0.5 Fibo and also 4h demand. - Targets: 2.2440, then 2.2800. - Stop Loss: Below 2.1800. Important: enter just in case of rejection! it means that price will need to go in the buy zone area and then have a strong upside (CHOC, COS on lower TF). If you follow me, you will receive updates so you know when and where I enter, close, TP.
Long
by zito82
2
EURUSD Elliotwaves updateAfter completion of a triangle with an overshoot price made a clear impulsive wave to the downside. This means we have resumed the down trend. Currently price is pulling back for wave 2 before continuing down. High probability area to take a short is on the 4hrs supply zone which is aligned with the zone created with fib 61.8% and 78.5% I expect price will find resistance at this area and continue down. Confirm your entry if it aligns with your trading plan before taking a trade. Cheers and have a great week. #elliotwaves #forextrading #elliotwavesglobal
Short
by Elliotwavesglobal
AAPL Trade PlanHere’s a potential trade setup for AAPL based on key levels: 📌 Entry Points: 229 / 219 / 208 (Scaling in) 🎯 Profit Targets: 236 / 243 / 256 (Scaling out) 💡 Strategy: If AAPL holds above 229, consider entering with a first position. If it drops to 219, it could be a good second entry. A dip to 208 might be a strong buy zone. Take profits gradually at 236, 243, and 256 to lock in gains. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 📊✨ What do you think? 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Robert_V12
Nikki to enter bear market? wheres the bottom? 16,260? Fib 61.8 Bearish scenario - selling at the top - using TA - Fib based projection suggests a danger zone possible top around 40k specifically 40,379 - Overlaying the 2008-10 bear price structure coincidences with BAGL (bottom ascending grind lines) trend lines which could act as support. - Assuming this is major bear, from the top 50% or 61.8% fib retracement is appropriate and looking where the fib touches the BAGLs tells you where the bottom is in time. It suggests Summer 2026 following historical precedent we know bear markets are fast 18 months to 2 years are typical for corrections and fits to the KLOS too - There are no bears left - Retail is on record levels of margin - the 18.6 housing cycle is about to roll over - Trump put on tariffs - There is trillions of debt that needs to be rolled over we are out of control - Carry trade unwind leads to 3-4 T that will have to be written off as bad loans guys will keep this in Cayman islands and retire - US debt is being bought up by Cayman island accounts - no money left - China and oil countries are not buying US treasuries - All world indices divided by Gold are in down trend, topped out previously so if Gold is real money then we are already in a world wide bear market - The advances and decliners lines have broken BAGLs just like they did in the start of the last bear markets - The Nifty fifty Indian market is leading us down so is Malaysia & Turkey - NVDA looks weak as 14% of Nasdaq is it a canary ? - The old drivers of the bull become the bear targets? - USDJPY at KLOS going back 20 yr chart could be the breakdown signal - Trump wants weaker dollar to make USA great again for manufacturing This is quick look - you need to calculate out the exact bottom with care and accuracy as time moves closer
TRADU:JPN225Short
by William_Playfair
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level). From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision. What’s Next? 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline. 📢 Risk Management Reminder: The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SpicyPips
3
Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea 1 March 2025Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea Fib drawn from high to low of the rane were currently in. Obvious rejectioon at 0.5 and forming a Triangle Pattern if you will. Day idea 1: Possible 0.236 support with monthly as a backup at that level or S1 at 0.0000748. Trend reversal from suppoort with a possible high between 0.382 and 0.888 or R1 at 0.0000838. If S1 is hit be aware of the monthly being resistance at 0.236. Day idea 2: Possible S2 at 0.0000703 which fulfills the larger range Butterfly Gartley depicted in previous post posted here for reference. For S and R levels I'm using the "Day Trading Booster BY DGT". Great indicator for day trading levels.
by hmaroudas
6
BITCOIN FILLED CME GAPToday BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap. OPPORTUNITY : Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP. We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert. General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April . TARGETS : Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07). Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August . MAXIMAL $ TARGET : - There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$ , profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint. MINIMAL $ TARGET : - A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react). MAXIMAL time TARGET : - All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025. Based on Chart Tools : - Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension - Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun - Regression over time of said periods - Percent change of said Expansions periods Statistical Arguments : - Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality - Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top Fundamentals : - Optimistic US inflation - Peace negociations - Pro-business policies - Blockchain technology usage growth - Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance Bias : - Up-trend intact - No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun - I guess i could use some profit
CME:BTC1!Long
by LOKEN94
ETHEREUM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030125Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 2080/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
by fibonacci6180
1
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
NMR with potential for growthHello everyone, let's look at the NMR chart in hand at USDT, taking into account the 1W interval. As we can see, the prices are moving under the designated inheritance trend line, and what is more, you can see here when we entered a strong support zone from $ 11 to $ 7, which can potentially be a good shopping zone for Long position. In a situation where BTC stabilizes at the current price or the valuation increases again, we can see an interesting increase on NMR. It is worth considering several output levels like T1 = 12.36 $ T2 = 14.98 $ T3 = 19.59 $ T4 = 22.77 $ T5 = $ 26.74 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see the traffic below the lower limit, which may also indicate a potentially upcoming growth movement.
Long
by cryptodailyuk