GBPUSD Bearish The main trend is down. The price rebounded from IFVG. We are waiting for a liquidity sweep and rebound from FVG.
Target 1.3162
Fibonacci
XRP/USD – Bullish Reversal in Progress After Wave 5 Completion📊 XRP/USD – Bullish Reversal in Progress After Wave 5 Completion
Timeframe: 1H
Structure: Elliott Wave + Divergence + Break of Structure
Indicators Used: Awesome Oscillator (AO), Fibonacci Retracement, Market Structure
⸻
🧠 Wave Count & Structure Analysis
We’ve just completed a clean 5-wave Elliott impulsive structure to the downside:
• ✅ Wave 1–5 clearly marked with strong bearish momentum
• ✅ Wave (3) and Wave (5) show bullish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) – a classic sign of weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal
• ✅ Wave (5) completed at the bottom with confluence from price action and AO divergence
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🔁 Break of Structure & Confirmation
• ✅ Break of structure (BoS) occurred at 2.35064, confirming the end of the bearish impulsive wave and the start of a potential ABC corrective phase
• ✅ The BoS also coincides with a dominant structure break, giving higher confidence in the trend shift
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🟦 Current Price Action: ABC Corrective Wave Forming
We’re now in the early stages of a bullish corrective wave (ABC):
• 🔹 Wave A has likely completed
• 🔹 Currently expecting a retracement to form Wave B
• 🔹 Wave C target is projected based on Fibonacci extensions between 1.618 to 1.88, offering a high-probability take-profit zone (TP1)
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🎯 Trade Setup
Pending Buy Entry:
• 📍 Entry Zone: Fibonacci retracement between 0.382 – 0.618 of Wave A
• 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci extension of Wave C between 1.618 – 1.88
• ❗ SL: Just below Wave (5) low or below 0.618 zone, depending on risk tolerance
⸻
🧩 Confluences for Bullish Setup
• ✅ Elliott Wave completion (Wave 5)
• ✅ Bullish Divergence on AO
• ✅ Break of Market Structure (BoS + Dominant BoS)
• ✅ Retracement into Fibonacci golden zone (0.382–0.618)
• ✅ Measured C wave extension to 1.618–1.88
⸻
📝 Summary
The market has shown strong technical signals for a bullish corrective move after a clean Elliott 5-wave completion. With a confirmed divergence, break of structure, and upcoming ABC retracement, this setup offers a solid risk-to-reward opportunity. Watching the buy zone closely for a pending long trigger.
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🔔 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage your risk accordingly.
Bitcoin – Sweep the Highs, Next Target $98kMarket Overview
Bitcoin has been trading sideways for more than 8 days now, forming a tight consolidation range with no real breakout in sight. This kind of price action typically signals accumulation or distribution by larger players. While it may seem indecisive on the surface, this phase is often where the market sets its trap. What looks like inaction is actually a setup in progress. Price is compressing, volume is thinning out, and both bulls and bears are being lured in. That’s a perfect recipe for a sudden, aggressive move that wipes out one side entirely.
Liquidity Structure
The structure of this range is very clean, which in trading terms usually means dangerous. On the top side, we have a lot of liquidity, just above $105,800. This level has been tapped multiple times but never convincingly broken, and it now acts as a magnet for liquidity. On the flip side, the downside holds multiple clean lows, all clustered under the $100,000 mark. Both ends of this range are packed with liquidity. Smart money doesn’t trade in fair value, it trades where the most liquidity sits, and in this case, both the top and bottom of the range are loaded.
Inducement and Manipulation
The real purpose of this kind of range is not balance, it’s inducement. The market is inviting traders to take breakout positions on both sides, knowing full well that it’s unlikely to follow through cleanly. I believe we are currently in the inducement phase of the cycle. The equal highs around $105,800 are baiting breakout longs and short stop-losses alike. A move above that level would act as the stop hunt, triggering the final wave of longs before the rug is pulled. Once that liquidity is taken, I expect a sharp reversal that targets the lows of the range and continues further toward the real pool of liquidity sitting between $98,000 and $97,500.
Scenario Outlook
The most probable sequence from here is a fake breakout to the upside, followed by an impulsive selloff. A wick above $105,800 would serve as the signal, and once that inducement is cleared, the move down should be fast and decisive. This drop would take out the range lows and sweep the stops of everyone who tried to buy the breakout. If price does hold above $105,800 and shows continuation with strong volume and follow-through, that would be an invalidation of this short setup and a shift in structure, in which case I would reassess and wait for a pullback before considering any longs.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key event is the sweep above $105,800. That’s where breakout traders will commit, and that’s where I expect the reversal to begin. From there, downside targets include the low of the range and deeper liquidity near $98,000 to $97,500. This area aligns with a big imbalance zone, inefficiencies and the golden pocket fib level.. The expectation is for a quick drop once the trap is sprung, with a potential for a reaction or even a new bullish setup forming near that demand region.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has been compressing for over a week, and that usually ends with expansion. But expansion is not always trend continuation, especially when the structure suggests manipulation. The current setup looks ideal for a stop run above the range before dumping into deeper liquidity. The key is to wait for the sweep and watch how price reacts. The more obvious the breakout, the more likely it is to fail. Liquidity is king in this environment, and right now, the biggest pockets lie below.
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LI | Explosive Move Coming to Li AutoLi Auto, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of premium smart electric vehicles. Its products include Li MEGA, a high-tech flagship family MPV, Li L9, a six-seat flagship family SUV, and Li L8, a six-seat premium family SUV, and Li L7, a five-seat flagship family SUV. The firm also offers in-house development efforts on its proprietary range extension system, next-generation electric vehicle technology, and smart vehicle solutions. The company was founded by Xiang Li in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
AAVE Technical Analysis (1W)
🧱 1. Market Structure
Between mid‑2022 and late-2023, AAVE moved within a prolonged accumulation phase, typical of a cycle bottom with extended compression.
This phase allowed the price to build a solid base before launching a first bullish leg, which topped out at the range high in early 2024.
At that point, the price compressed again near the equilibrium (mean price zone) of the previous range before initiating a clear distribution phase (April → December 2024).
At the top, AAVE met strong resistance within a major supply zone, without printing a new ATH a healthy sign for mid-term market structure.
Price then started a controlled correction, retracing 100% of the OTE zone from the distribution move (from equilibrium to supply).
The bounce occurred right on a key breaker block, which had already reacted to the equilibrium level prior to the first impulse.
From that local bottom, momentum has resumed, suggesting that the second phase of the distribution cycle may be underway.
🧲 2. Key Reload Zone
AAVE has recently revisited its BULL OTE zone, aligning perfectly with :
- A precise POI (Point of Interest)
- The breaker block
🟢 This kind of clean reaction from a high-confluence reaccumulation zone supports the idea of a structurally sound bounce and the beginning of a new bullish push.
🎯 3. Technical Targets & Scenario
If this bounce holds, here are the next technical targets :
🔁 Reclaim the supply zone between $340–$460
🚀 If this area breaks with volume, the market could aim for new highs around $700–$1,100
Such a move would confirm a second bullish leg of the macro cycle, with higher breakout potential.
🧠 4. Behavioral Insight
The weekly RSI shows signs of recovery after a long compression, momentum is awakening.
The Accumulation → Expansion → OTE Retest → Continuation structure is textbook for the early stages of a major bull cycle.
👉 Price action around the $340–$460 supply zone will set the tone for what comes next.
✅ Conclusion
AAVE is currently displaying a clean, cyclical structure, ideal for swing traders and mid-term investors :
🔁 Accumulation → Expansion → Retest → Reaccumulation → 🚀
🧨 AAVE may be on the verge of kicking off a new explosive bull cycle.
VIX | Stock Market Correction IncomingVIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It is calculated and disseminated on a real-time basis by the CBOE, and is often referred to as the fear index or fear gauge.
The VIX traces its origin to the financial economics research of Menachem Brenner and Dan Galai. In a series of papers beginning in 1989, Brenner and Galai proposed the creation of a series of volatility indices, beginning with an index on stock market volatility, and moving to interest rate and foreign exchange rate volatility.
Finding BTC Top by Stable coin dominaceI think the next leg could be the final push of BTC in this cycle. However, it seems every time the Dominance of stable coins (in this case USDT+USDC) is dropping to certain point in larger timeframe can be relative to find the next top.
I think at least we can come back to 4.92% which it has been touched numerous time in this cycle such as 11/03/2024 and 09/12/2024.
It has the potential to fall a bit further to 4.64% or even 3.87 to 3.67% as well/
SQQQ | Im Very Bearish the Markets Going into Q1 - 2025How I see It: (The commentary is purely my own thoughts based on my research comparing it to what I've seen in the media and other social media sites)
SQQQ smooths out the noise and shows me if we are in a bearish scenario in the technology sector.
This ETF has been in a bullish divergence for the last 6 months, and it showing signs its time to pop higher.
That equates to the QQQ's going into a correction mode over the next 3 - 6 months.
Be careful as profit taking will come hard, and margin calls will run crazy.
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index. The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial companies listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The fund is non-diversified.
GBPUSDI anticipated buys bit too early before hand on this pair still waiting for price to tap into my zone if not we move on to the next no sweat
GBPUSD in my opinion is bullish from my bias
So I’m only Interested in buys
Bitcoin Long: Wave 3 of 3 of 3; Target $148,000I've previously called to be neutral of Bitcoin after identifying a wave 5 up on 11th May. Now, I believe that it is once again time to long Bitcoin as I am expecting a wave 3 of 3 of 3 up.
The stop loss should be generous at $100,500 if you can afford it.
The price target if wave 3 = wave 1 is $130,000; The price target if wave 3 = 1.618x Wave 1 is $148,000.
Good luck!
ETHUSD Long: Start of Wave 3 UpAs I explained the wave counts for Ethereum, I believe that we have seen the end of a wave 2 correction and the next wave should be a wave 3 up.
I presented the breakdown of the down move using both Elliott Waves and Fibonacci extension.
As mentioned, the stop loss should be below wave C low or if you can stomach more risk, below the low of previous wave 4. The price target is >$3800.
Good luck!
VIRTUAL PROTOCOL Wave 2 Correction in Play After 4x ImpulseFollowing the completion of its previous cycle correction, Virtual Protocol confirmed a bullish reversal via a breakout from a falling wedge, initiating Impulse Wave (1) with an impressive ~4x move. Current price action signals the commencement of Wave (2) corrective structure, aligning with standard Elliott Wave Theory post-impulsive behavior.
The buy-back zone (highlighted on chart) represents the high-probability retracement region based on Fib confluence (0.5–0.618 retracement levels) and prior structural support.
Wave (3) and Wave (5) targets are projected using Fibonacci extensions and historical momentum analogs. Eyes remain on the buy-back zone for optimal re-entry.
ADRI - Egyptian stock market - good for medium term investing #ADRI timeframe 1 DAY
Created Gartley Bullish pattern.
Entry level at 1.08 ( price now 1.07)
Stop loss 1.02 ( loss may go to up -5.50% ) - support 1.05
First target at 1.24 ( with profit around 14.49% ) resistance 1.15
Second target 1.37 ( with profit around 26.60% ) resistance 1.28
Third target 1.52 ( with profit around 40.84% ) resistance 1.45
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , so its may take time up to 3 months .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
$LINK Long Overdue Move on the Horizon
BIST:LINK has shockingly been a very poor performer as well considering their revolutionary tech connecting web2 -> web3
Dump >67% and rebounded 50% since then.
PA has been trapped between the 200 and 50DA, which suggest voilent breakout coming up.
RSI Is still healthy.
ABNB close to huge breakoutABNB is poised to have a huge breakout, this massive wedge reminds me of the Tesla multi year consolidation and breakout. With the new version of ABNB we should see increased cash flows at they attempt to integrate more experiences into the platform. Need a chef for a luxury weekend? They will also have experiences for locals to try to make it a one in all app for many things. My fib extension is at 225. Remember this is a monthly chart and will take some time.
Elliott Wave Analysis – Bearish Wave 5 Setup in Progress 📉 Elliott Wave Analysis – Bearish Wave 5 Setup in Progress 🔍
Watchlist: Short Opportunity at Completion of Wave 4
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✅ Wave Count Overview
As illustrated in the chart, we have a clear impulsive Elliott Wave structure unfolding. Waves 1, 2, 3, and 4 have been successfully completed, as confirmed by the Awesome Oscillator (AO) displaying healthy wave divergence and convergence throughout the formation.
• Wave 3 extended beautifully, and now Wave 4 appears to have completed its corrective phase.
• AO shows classic convergence during this retracement, confirming weakening bullish momentum — a hallmark sign of Wave 4 development nearing exhaustion.
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📌 Key Technical Levels:
• Wave 4 Top: Completed near the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a textbook resistance zone for the end of a corrective wave.
• Critical Resistance / SNR Level: 3202.465 – This zone acts as a major resistance, aligning perfectly with prior structure and fib confluence.
• Important Rule: Wave 4 must not overlap with Wave 1 territory. So far, this rule remains respected. A break below this would invalidate the current count.
⸻
🎯 Wave 5 Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
Looking ahead, I’m anticipating the final leg down – Wave 5 – to unfold from this resistance region. This presents a potential shorting opportunity for high-probability traders.
• Wave 5 Target Zone:
🔻 1.618 - 1.88 Fibonacci extension from Wave 3
🔻 Expect strong bearish momentum to kick in as Wave 5 progresses
🔻 AO should shift strongly red again, confirming impulse resumption
⸻
💡 Summary & Trading Plan:
• ✅ Wave 4 looks completed based on Fibonacci confluence + AO convergence
• 🔥 Resistance at 3202.465 is the key level to watch
• 📉 Enter short once price confirms rejection and momentum shifts
• 🎯 Target zone: 1.618 - 1.88 fib extension below
• ❗ Risk: Setup invalidated if Wave 4 enters Wave 1’s price zone
👉 Let’s ride Wave 5 together! 🚀💥
#elliottwave #tradingviewanalysis #wavecount #shortsetup #technicalanalysis #priceaction #aoindicator #wave5incoming
$JUP is Struggling but shows signs for HOPEwtf happened to LSE:JUP
It was once heralded at the leading DEX in web3 on the premier blockchain, but dumped ~75% from ATH with only a 57% rally.
Couldn't even make a run at the 200DMA, but retesting the 50 soon.
needs to have a big dally soon above the .236 fib to test the 200DMA. A breakthrough is a strong reversal confirmation.
market cap is about 60% cheaper than BME:UNI so im liking the value here.
Silver Long-Term Outlook: Wyckoff, Fibonacci & Volunacci in PlayOn the monthly chart, Silver is showing a strong setup for long-term investors. We can clearly identify two adjacent Wyckoff accumulation patterns, signaling institutional accumulation phases.
Price action is following an ascending Fibonacci channel, reflecting a steady bullish structure. After breaking out of the second Wyckoff pattern, a Volunacci projection has formed—pointing toward a potential move to retest its historical high near $48.
This alignment of classic technical patterns with volume-based projection tools strengthens the long-term bullish case for Silver.
GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200.
The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East...
Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance.
Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257
Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194
The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Return to range. Possible price decline.FX:GBPJPY is forming a local bearish trend amid a correction in the dollar. The price is returning to the range and entering strong resistance.
Amid a correction in the dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening, putting pressure on the currency pair.
GBPJPY is returning below a strong level (within the range) and consolidating in the selling zone, which could trigger a continuation of the decline towards areas of interest. Technically, the global trend is neutral and the currency pair is forming a rebound from strong downward resistance. If the bears keep the price below 193.45 - 193.74, the local downward trend may continue.
Resistance levels: 193.45, 193.74, 194.22
Support levels: 193.04, 192.35, 191.65
Price consolidation below 193.74 - 193.45 will confirm that bears are holding the range resistance. The sell-off may continue, and in this case, the price will head towards the indicated zones of interest and liquidity.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$SOL and Most Major Alts Get Hard Rejection from 200DMAMost of your favorite Alts such as CRYPTOCAP:SOL had hard rejections from the 200DMA.
If this trend breaks into the red box we should see a retest around the .236 Fib and 50DMA ~$140
RSI also looks McDonald's toppy
Not a good time to FOMO.
PS. Normally i dont post TA this late in the night from the US but I'm gonna consider doing more if i get some decent engagement.
Lmk if you think i should post more at these midnight hours 🎃
