LITECOIN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 91/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Fibonacci
Crude Oil Futures Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 67/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
JUP L0NG TRIGGER JUP facing resistance at consistent levels the past days, a sharp retraction chasing liquidity just below the average stops is imminent followed by a just as quick bounce. Average entry price with multiple limit orders in the range indicated, TP is open for debate and to be managed as the trade plays out.
The Real Magic Behind Fibonacci Retracement Levels and StatisticProfessional Analysis: The Real Magic Behind Fibonacci Retracement Levels and Statistical Models in Financial Markets 🌟
In the world of financial market trading, where chaos intertwines with opportunity, talking about "real magic" might sound a bit strange. But let me clarify what I mean. Real magic isn’t just an optical illusion or a random guess—it’s mathematics and numbers when used systematically and thoughtfully. One of the most striking examples of this is the combination of Fibonacci retracement levels and statistical models to analyze price movements. If you doubt it, let’s take a look at the chart in front of us and see how these tools unfold in reality. 📊
Fibonacci Levels: Order Within Chaos 🔢
Fibonacci retracement levels, derived from the famous mathematical sequence, are a powerful tool for identifying potential support and resistance zones in markets. When we apply these levels to a price chart, such as that of the BNB coin, for instance, something astonishing emerges: the price reacts to these levels repeatedly and noticeably. Why? Because these levels aren’t random lines—they reflect natural ratios that the market tends to respect, based on traders’ behavior and underlying mathematical dynamics. ✨
Take a close look at the chart. You’ll notice how the price bounces or pauses at levels like 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. This interaction isn’t a coincidence—it’s evidence that numbers, when used intelligently, can reveal hidden patterns in market movements. 👀
The Fair Price and the Black Line: The Statistical Compass 📈
Now, let’s move to another element in the chart: the black line representing the "fair price" of BNB over a 12-hour timeframe. This line isn’t just a visual decoration—it’s the result of an advanced statistical model that considers price averages, volatility, and historical trends. What’s truly remarkable is how the price moved toward this line, as if drawn to it magnetically. This reflects the power of statistical analysis in predicting equilibrium points that the market strives to reach after periods of fluctuation. 🧲
Why It’s Not Easy, But Not Impossible Either ❓
Let me be clear: predicting price movements in financial markets isn’t an easy task. The market is full of variables—news, sentiment, and unexpected interventions. But that doesn’t mean prediction is impossible. By using tools like Fibonacci levels alongside advanced mathematical and statistical models, we can narrow the circle of uncertainty and identify probable trends over specific periods, such as 12 hours in this case. ⏳
What I want to emphasize is that success in this field doesn’t rely on luck or guesswork, but on a deep understanding of mathematical tools and their logical application. The chart before you is living proof of that: a blend of Fibonacci and statistics reveals a stunning connection between numbers and price action. 💡
Watch the Chart and Enjoy 😊
In conclusion, I invite you to look at the chart again. Enjoy the beauty of numbers manifesting in market movements. The real magic isn’t in mystery—it’s in the ability to decode chaos using mathematics. Whether you’re a professional trader or an enthusiast, always remember: the tools are there, the knowledge is accessible, and the results are achievable. All you need to do is watch, learn, and enjoy the journey. 🎉
Dialogue on Determining the Fair Value of CryptocurrenciesDialogue on Determining the Fair Value of Cryptocurrencies 💬📊💰
Analyst: "Hello! 👋 Today, let's discuss how to determine the fair value of cryptocurrencies, especially BNB and BTC, using statistical and mathematical models." 📈📉
Investor: "That's a very important topic! 🤔 I've heard that market volatility makes it difficult to pinpoint fair value." 🎢
Analyst: "That's true, but statistical and mathematical models help us mitigate those difficulties. 🛠️ For instance, we can use time series models like ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) to predict BNB and BTC prices based on historical data." 🕰️📈
Investor: "And how exactly does the ARIMA model work?" 🧐
Analyst: "The ARIMA model analyzes patterns in historical data, such as seasonality and fluctuations, and forecasts future prices based on these patterns. 📝 We can apply this model to historical BNB and BTC price data to determine a potential price range." 📊
Investor: "Are there other useful models?" 🧐
Analyst: "Of course! Regression models are also beneficial. 📊 We can use them to analyze the relationship between various factors and their impact on BNB and BTC prices. For example, we can analyze the relationship between trading volume, market news, and other cryptocurrency prices to determine their effect on BNB and BTC." 📰📈
Investor: "What about machine learning models? Can they be used?" 🤖
Analyst: "Yes, machine learning models, such as neural networks, can be very powerful in analyzing large amounts of data and discovering complex patterns. 🧠 We can train these models on historical BNB and BTC data to determine the most influential factors on prices and estimate fair value." 💻
Investor: "Can you give me a concrete example?" ✍️
Analyst: "Let's say we analyzed BNB data using an ARIMA model and found that the model predicts BNB's price will move within the $600-$850range next month, with an 80% probability. 📈 This gives us an estimate of BNB's fair value based on historical data." 💰
Investor: "And what about BTC?" ₿
Analyst: "For BTC, we can use more complex models due to the large data volume. For example, we can use Monte Carlo models to estimate the probability of different outcomes by simulating multiple scenarios based on factors like trading volume, hash rate, and market news." 🌐🔮
Investor: "How do we verify the accuracy of these models?" ✅
Analyst: "We can use techniques like model validation and performance evaluation to ensure the models provide accurate predictions. 🔬 We can also compare model results with actual data to assess their accuracy." 📊✔️
Investor: "Thank you, this clarifies how statistical and mathematical models can be used to determine the fair value of cryptocurrencies." 🙏
Analyst: "You're welcome! 😊 Remember that these models are useful tools, but they're not perfect. 🛠️ They should always be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis and an understanding of market factors." 🧠📈
IBM Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- IBM reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 253.00
IBM recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level 240.00 (former multi-month high from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji – strong buy signal for IBM.
Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 253.00 (which reversed the price twice earlier this month).
AUDNZD Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- AUDNZD reversed from key support level 1.0930
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0985
AUDNZD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1.0930 (former multi-month from December), support trendline of the daily down channel from February and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star – if the pair closes today near the current level.
Given the strength of the support level 1.0930 and the oversold daily Stochastic, AUDNZD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0985.
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA
Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal.
The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior.
Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control.
Extended Rounding Top Pattern
Price crosses above the rounding top
Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout.
Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses
Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions.
FUNDAMENTALS
Catalysts of Bearish Swings
A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel.
Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low
(Early January 2025)
After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop.
Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction.
The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks.
The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China.
Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low
(Late January to February 2025)
While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections.
Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel.
AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector.
Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low
(Mid to Late February through Early March 2025)
Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025.
In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook.
Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety.
Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds.
Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy):
Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025
Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction.
U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI)
Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends.
U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025
Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks.
Semiconductor Industry Conferences
・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall
・Semicon West 2025 – typically July
Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon.
This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method.
Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts.
Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH:
______________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame.
Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact.
Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 .
Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure.
So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
ETH BUY ZONE / ACCUMULATING LEVELBINANCE:ETHUSDT is looking bullish after retracing to 1900-2000 region. It should be noted that the same region was previous resistance which ETH broke in Dec 23' before making a new swing high.
This is a great buying zone technically for someone who does not trade and wants to buy/hold BINANCE:ETHUSDT for the long term!
ONDO finance price analysis Today we're talking about #ONDO, which we took into copytrading according to our preliminary analysis, although the price has been pushed lower than we would like over the past 1.5 months.
Now the critical zone for OKX:ONDOUSDT is $1.10 - $1.20
Fixing above this zone can give a quick rise to $1.50 and medium-term to $2.70
👀 By the way, #ONDOfinance is made in the USA, is in the Trump Foundation's portfolio and is directly related to #Ethereum
Is this 🆒 promising or a red flag 🚩 ?)
[ TimeLine ] Gold 14-17 March 2025Hello everyone,
I will be using the high and low price levels formed on March 14 and 17, 2025 (Friday and Monday), as entry points for my trades.
We will wait for the price range from these candles to form, as indicated by the green lines.
The trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with an additional buffer of 60 pips.
If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut or switch the trade accordingly and double the position size to recover losses.
📉📈 Below is the chart with the estimated Hi-Lo range of March 14-17, 2025:
x/K6XSMnfZ/
MSFT morning analysisI don't normally apply Elliott Wave Theory to individual stocks, but MSFT is about as clean as it gets.
Wave 2 is a zigzag of long duration, wave 4 is a triple-three of relatively short duration.
RSI with bearish divergence.
If this proves to be correct, the ultimate buy/long would be back towards the March 2020/COVID low (white rectangle).
$SPY March 20, 2025AMEX:SPY March 20, 2025
15 Minutes.
For the extension 559.07 to 566.3 to 562.05 100% move is done yesterday making a high 570.95.
For the last rise 562.05 to 570.95 holding 565 is important else i expect a side moving average consolidation around 562 563 levels so that 50, 100 and 200 gets sorted out in order.