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Fibonacci

USD Under Pressure: Impact Retail Sales and Trade TensionsThe U.S. dollar faces another challenging session, with the DXY index dropping 0.4% in the end-of-week session and posting a weekly decline of 1.4%, bringing the greenback to levels unseen since early December. This performance is largely attributed to disappointing January retail sales data and trade tensions stemming from the potential implementation of more “meticulous” tariffs than initially expected, some of which may not take effect until April. Retail sales, one of the key indicators of U.S. consumer strength, fell 0.9% month-over-month in January, significantly below the -0.1% expected by analysts. This marks the sharpest contraction since March 2023, reflecting the impact of adverse weather conditions and specific factors such as the Los Angeles wildfires. Sectors such as sporting goods, vehicles and parts, and e-commerce experienced the largest declines. This deterioration in domestic demand is further reinforced by the drop in “core” sales for GDP calculations—which exclude food, automobiles, building materials, and gasoline—coming in at -0.8%. In terms of monetary policy, this data supports the likelihood of a second rate cut in 2025. Futures markets are now pricing in approximately 38 basis points of easing before year-end, a notable adjustment from the 26 basis points anticipated just the day before. The scale of this market revision reflects the relative shift in the economic outlook following weak consumer data. Naturally, this expectation of lower returns on dollar-denominated assets, with the U.S. Treasury yield falling 6 basis points to 4.47%, exerts downward pressure on the U.S. currency. Looking at the short- and medium-term outlook, the dollar’s performance will continue to be shaped by the evolution of trade tensions. The recent executive order signed by President Donald Trump includes the adoption of “reciprocal tariffs”, though the final scope of these measures remains uncertain. If the administration continues to adopt a “surgical” approach to counter what it considers unfair trade imbalances, the market may find further reasons to dismiss the scenario of a stronger greenback. Should this bearish trend for the USD persist, the next key level for the DXY index is around 105. The dollar’s trajectory will depend both on expectations for additional Fed rate cuts and tariff decisions, both of which will be critical in shaping the next few months. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
Profitable trading methodsDear Traders, Since yesterday, I have maintained my short strategy on gold, entering small positions at 2919, 2927, and 2939, with a TP set at 2916. Gold faced resistance near the 2940 zone and has since retraced, hitting the TP of 2916 as expected. All of our short positions were closed with a profit when the TP was reached. Based on the current structure, the 2940 region remains a significant resistance zone for gold in the short term. If gold fails to break this resistance, it could potentially form a double top pattern, which would favor further downside movement. We should first focus on the support at 2915-2910, and then monitor the 2900-2895 region for additional support. If gold manages to hold above 2900 during the pullback, we should avoid aggressively chasing short positions, as a potential liquidity increase could attract more buying interest. For the upcoming trades, there are two possible scenarios: 1. If gold rebounds above 2930, we can consider shorting again. 2. If gold maintains support above 2910-2900 or fails to break below this range, we could look to take long positions. Bros, have you followed me to short gold and made a profit? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
XRP levelsXRP went on a parabolic bull run in November 2024. Since December 2024 it traded in an uptrend channel with a peak on January 15th - 16th 2025. Followed by a drop on February 2nd & 3rd. Since then, XRP is trying to get back in to it's uptrend channel. Right now, it's trading slightly bullish, just above neutral 50 on the stochastic indicator with a break above it's .5 YTD fib retracement level. If there's a rejection at it's previous uptrend channel of 2.85 that's bearish and could hit SMA100 again. If there's a breakout above it's previous uptrend channel of 2.85 that's bullish and could hit the top of it's previous uptrend channel. XRP levels: SMA100 = 2.21 SMA200 = 1.38 6 month low = .38 6 month high = 3.40 6 month fib retracement .5 = 1.89 YTD low = 1.73 YTD high = 3.40 YTD fib retracement .5 = 2.56 December - February uptrend channel high = 3.85 low = 2.85
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by Options360
AUD/USD Gains Momentum but Will It Last ?!The Australian dollar has recently performed positively against the U.S. dollar, despite the U.S. dollar losing around 1.45% in the past few days. This decline came even after positive inflation data, as the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the U.S. rose to 3.0%, marking its highest reading in seven months. Today's daily close for AUD/USD will determine the bullish momentum for the upcoming week. If the daily candle closes above 0.63296, the bullish trend remains intact. In this scenario, a pullback to 0.61429 could present a buying opportunity to resume the upward move toward 0.62853. However, this outlook will be invalidated if the price drops below 0.60872 and records a daily close beneath this level.
by CFI
LTC Ready to Surge ! A Potential 200% Opportunity AwaitsHello Traders 🐺, In this idea, I want to take a closer look at LTC . As you might know, the first step in our analysis is always to check the higher time frames like the weekly or even monthly charts. Once we get a clear picture of the bigger trend, we can zoom in on the daily or 4H time frames to identify the best entry points—whether for a solid spot trade or even a leverage position ! 👇🔥 As you can see in the weekly chart , LTC is clearly in an uptrend and currently forming a bull flag . If the price breaks above this pattern, we could expect a move at least toward the 0.618 Fib level. Also, during the last market dip , LTC held strong above a major monthly support , represented by the blue trend line , which reinforces its importance as a key support level. With all these bullish signals lining up, it’s time to zoom into the daily chart and look for a solid long entry ! 🚀 In my opinion , if the price breaks above the yellow resistance line and closes at least one 4H candle above it with strong volume support , this could be a great confirmation to open a long position . The next key target? The 0.618 Fib level , which serves as the next major resistance! 🚀 " 🐺Stay sharp, trade smart! – KIU_COIN 🐺 "
Long
by Kiu_Coin
GOLD → ATH retest - 2942. A step away from a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is testing ATH, which generally increases the chances of growth continuation. The 3000 target is getting closer and closer. Retail sales data is ahead Metal is consolidating after the rally, remaining in an uptrend. Supported by Trump's tariff plans and expectations of Fed easing. PPI data reinforced dovish sentiment, weakening the dollar and bond yields. Markets reacted to the delay in tariffs and comments from Trump and Powell on the need to cut interest rates (without specific dates), which supported gold. Ahead is possible profit taking and the impact of US retail sales data Resistance levels: 2942.6, 2950 Support levels: 2929, 2922, 2908 Emphasis on key supports. There is a possibility of support retest before further growth. If this does not happen and the price heads towards ATH, the scenario for a pullback to the support at 2929-2922 before further growth will remain Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Notcoin NOT price analysisYesterday's “surge” in the #NOT price is associated with the entry into the US market through the listing on the Kraken exchange. Looking at the OKX:NOTUSDT chart, we can assume that growth to the triangle area of 0.006-0.007 will be a good result for now... ❓ But maybe this is a “multi-move” and “probing” of the market, before CRYPTOCAP:TON enters the US market, what do you think? _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
MPCC - MPC container ships - ready soon (?)Another very interesting candidate especially giving the high dividend yield that the company pays to their share holders. My analysis indicates a wave 2 of wave 3 (one degree higher up) will soon come to an end. The price action doesn´t look like it is ready just yet though price is inside my designated target area where a turn could happen. I would like to see a clearer divergence and the RSI to break out of the RSI range between 45-55 on the daily time frame. Also, the price didn´t bounce from the 50% fibo level but instead stopped in between 38-50% which indicates that more downside will come. Stay patient and wait for a very good chance to buy the stock for cheaper prices.
OSL:MPCCShort
by Staggi10
HAUTO - inching closer to a potential buyShort update on HAUTO The stock continues to correct down and becomes more attractive by the day. As price approaches the low of wave A it might bounce but the momentum is clearly bearish for now and one should remain patient and wait for prices below 80 NOK and even better so 65 NOK. Right now price is an the wave c of 2 and we want to trade the wave 3 which will be a great chance for all of us. The RSI is clearly below 50 on the daily time frame but potentially a divergence is forming on MACD which indicates that a small rally may come before continuing further down.
OSL:HAUTOShort
by Staggi10
GBPUSD → Attempting a trend change. 1.257 - triggerFX:GBPUSD is trying to take a chance for a trend change amid the dollar correction. The price is testing consolidation resistance for a breakout On the daily timeframe, the price is consolidating above the previously broken trendline and the attempt to break the resistance is generally indicative of the market sentiment. A dollar correction could favor the pound if the index breaks 107 and heads towards 106-105. Technically, the focus is on 1.257, a key resistance trigger. A break and price consolidation above this zone could trigger a rally. Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1. 2718 Support levels: 1.250, 1.2377 I do not exclude the possibility of a retest of 1.250 support in order to accumulate liquidity before further growth. The dollar is likely to continue its correction after Trump's and Powell's comments on rate cuts Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 22103.25 - PR Low: 22070.00 - NZ Spread: 74.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) Previous session print advertising momentum above 22000 daily pivot - Holding auction just above previous session high - Next key level in sight is ATH 22450 Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 2/14) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 375.09 - Volume: 27K - Open Int: 277K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
$SPY February 14, 2025AMEX:SPY February 14, 2025 15 Minutes. As expected, once box was broken yesterday AMEX:SPY continued to make upward movement. For the rise 598.52 to 607.49 to 605 61.8% extension was nearly done. Once 611 is crossed we can expect some resistance around 612-614 levels. 611-612 will be a good number to short as 4SPY in 15 minutes is getting away from 200 and 100 moving averages. If uptrend continue today, then near close short around 612 +-1 will be good for Monday SL 614.5. At the moment there is slight oscillator divergence in 15 minutes so need some more uptrend to short. So, for the day for the last rise from 605 to 609.94 holding 606-607 is important for 610-612 as target. Below 606 at the moment target is 603-604 levels.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
Ready for 6.5% on the 10Y T-Bill?It’s been a while since I’ve posted an Idea, however since the market may be at a pivotal point I thought I’d do a quick analysis on the $US10Y. Using elliott wave and fibonacci ratios as my base logic, I predict that we could see a 6.5% or higher 10 year T-bill in the near future. The fib extension above is based off 1.00 of Primary waves 0-3. I’m counting that we are in the early stages of the 5th and final wave, which is commonly 61.8% of waves 0-3 in length. My wave count is supported by the DMI indicator and the 50sma (Blue) & 100sma (yellow). The yield is still above the moving averages, signaling a continuation to the upside. Primary wave 4 was a zig zag (A-B-C) pattern in a slightly descending channel, which has a tendency to break to the upside. With inflation proving stubborn and a looming trade war providing a backdrop that is concerning to investors, it is time we get back into the mindset that the inflation battle isn’t quite over yet. Yields are rising across the world and the US is no exception.
TVC:US10YLong
by ap769
AIRSWAP Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 021325Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 0.07/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
COINBASE:ASTUSD
by fibonacci6180
#KRDI - Egyptian stock#KRDI time frame 1 hour created a bullish Gartley pattern Entry level around 0.59 Stop loss 0.575 ( estimated loss -2% ) -5% from currant prices First target at 0.611 ( estimated profit around 4% ) achieved Second target 0.633( estimated profit around 8% ) Third target 0.659 ( estimated profit 12% ) Note : First target already achieved so it will be good chance if prices fall back into entry zone. NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing Thanks and good luck
EGX:KRDILong
by tfcgeorge