Gold Hits Key Support – Reversal Ahead or More Fall?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has entered a Correction phase after losing its ascending channel . Now, if you are in a Short position , this post will help you know where to take profit on your position or if you are looking for a Long position for gold , what area is suitable .
Gold is approaching an important Support zone($2,956-$2,917) that I don't think can be broken within a first attack . What do you think?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 , which appears to be able to complete at the Support zone($2,956-$2,917) .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Support zone($2,956-$2,917) and to at least rise to $3,000 again and get close to the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,021) . It is likely to fall again after this move .
In your opinion, has Gold started a major correction, and to what price can this correction continue?
Note: If Gold can touch $2,890, we can expect further declines.
Note: Because the downward momentum is currently high, it is likely that wave 5 will also complete near $2,913, and we will see a fake break of the Support zone($2,956-$2,917).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Fibonacci
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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AAL Trade Plan – Strategic Entry & Profit Targets📊Analyzing AAL, potential entry points are identified at $11.8, $11.0, and $10.0, with profit targets at $13, $14.8, and $18. This setup considers both short-term opportunities and longer-term potential, depending on market conditions and individual risk tolerance.
🎯 Strategy:
First profit target: $13 – A reasonable short-term exit if momentum supports a rebound.
Second target: $14.8 – A mid-term level where resistance may be tested.
Final target: $18 – A more extended target, assuming a strong uptrend develops.
This plan allows for flexibility, whether you prefer to secure early gains or hold for potential larger movements. As always, market conditions and external factors should be monitored closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, assess risk carefully, and consult a professional if needed before making investment decisions.
Bullish or BearishDollar Weakness: Tariffs could undermine the U.S. dollar’s global dominance as trading partners seek alternatives. Analysts like Zach Pandl from Grayscale argue this creates “space for competitors like Bitcoin,” potentially driving its adoption as a hedge against a weakening dollar. If inflation spikes and the Fed pivots to looser policy (e.g., rate cuts), BTC could rally, as seen in past cycles.
Digital Gold Narrative: While BTC hasn’t fully proven itself as a safe haven (sliding alongside stocks recently), some, like Columbia’s Omid Malekan, note its “digital gold” appeal could grow if traditional systems falter. Gold has soared amid tariff news, and BTC might follow if investors shift perception.
Crypto-Friendly Policy: Trump’s pro-crypto stance—evidenced by his meme coin and regulatory reform promises—could offset tariff downsides. If his administration pushes a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve or eases regulations, institutional inflows (e.g., via ETFs) might propel BTC past its $109,000 peak from January.
Projections vary wildly. Bitwise’s Jeff Park sees BTC hitting $150,000 if tariffs spark a trade war and inflation surge. Others, like Arthur Hayes, predict $250,000 by year-end if the Fed resorts to quantitative easing. However, a bearish scenario could see BTC crash below $20,000 if tariffs trigger a recession mirroring 2008 or 2020, though this seems less likely given current resilience.
What to Expect in April 2025
For the rest of this month, BTC’s trajectory hinges on how markets digest the latest tariff fallout:
Bearish Case: If global trade fractures deepen (e.g., EU retaliates with $23 billion in tariffs, as reported), BTC could dip toward $74,000-$80,000, reflecting a broader sell-off in risk assets.
Bullish Case: If Trump softens the tariff stance (he’s hinted at pauses, like with Mexico), or if “Liberation Day” fears prove overblown, BTC might rebound to $87,000-$92,000 resistance levels, as suggested by technical analyses on TradingView.
Most Likely: Sideways movement around $80,000-$85,000 as investors recalibrate. The crypto market’s $2.75 trillion valuation suggests stability unless a major catalyst—positive or negative—emerges.
Ultimately, Trump’s tariffs introduce a mixed bag for BTC: short-term pain from volatility and risk aversion, but potential long-term gains if they destabilize traditional finance. Keep an eye on macroeconomic signals (inflation data, Fed moves) and Trump’s next policy steps—they’ll dictate whether BTC pumps or dumps this month. What’s your take—do you see tariffs as a net positive or negative for BTC?
Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025)🟠 Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025)
📌 Background
After the wide-range spinning top on April 8, all eyes were on the RBI MPC event today. While markets typically react to such key announcements, Nifty surprised everyone with its muted response and a rangebound session.
📌 Today’s Price Action
🔹 Nifty opened slightly negative and formed its Initial Balance (IB) early on.
🔹 After the IB, the index remained stuck in a very tight range – a structure we’ve seen repeating over the last few weekly expiries.
🔹 Today’s total range was just 115 points (high to low) – the lowest in the past 14 sessions!
📉 On an MPC event day, such low volatility was quite unexpected.
🔹 With no momentum and no breakout from IB, our system didn’t trigger any trade signal, and we stayed on the sidelines.
📌 Technical Outlook
Today’s candle lacks momentum and conviction.
Key resistance still holds at 22,668–22,720, and support rests near 22,337.
A breakout from this compression zone could decide the next trending leg.
📌 Important Levels to Watch
🔼 Resistance Zones
22,590
22,668 – 22,720
22,805
🔽 Support Zones
22,337
22,270
22,082 (Previous Swing Close)
🧠 Strategy Ahead
As of now, no directional bias without a confirmed breakout.
✅ Wait-and-watch until the IB range breaks
✅ Avoid forced entries in low volatility setups
✅ Let price lead—don’t anticipate
📋 Quick Recap
✔️ IB formed, post-IB rangebound
✔️ 115 pt range – lowest in 14 sessions
✔️ MPC event day, but no buzz
✔️ System = silent = No trade
✔️ Sitting tight is also a position
🧘 Final Thought
"Markets often give profits to those who master patience."
Let the levels guide you — trade with calm and clarity.
GBP/USD Is About to Explode – Here’s Why This Level Matters🚨 GBP/USD at a Critical Zone – Breakout or Reversal?
Let’s break down the price action from a technical perspective 👇
📊 Daily Technical Analysis – GBP/USD (April 2025)
The GBP/USD pair is trading near a key inflection point, with price action hinting at a potential breakout — or a deeper correction.
📈 Trend Overview:
The broader trend remains bullish, following a steady rally from the 1.2300 area back in February. The pair has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong underlying demand.
However, we’re now seeing signs of bullish exhaustion as the price struggles near the 1.2850 – 1.2900 resistance zone — an area that previously acted as a strong supply level.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2850 – 1.2900: Major resistance zone; a daily close above this level would likely accelerate bullish momentum.
1.3000: Psychological round number and the next natural target.
1.3140: Historical swing high from mid-2023, could serve as the next upside objective.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.2680: Previous higher low and potential first line of defense.
1.2520: Strong structural support — a break below this zone may shift the medium-term outlook to neutral or even bearish.
1.2300: February’s key low and the base of the current trend.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price appears to be forming an ascending triangle — a classic bullish continuation pattern — with flat resistance at 1.2850 and rising higher lows from below. This supports the idea of an impending breakout if bulls regain control.
Additionally, the pair is moving within a rising price channel, offering clean structure for both trend-following and breakout traders.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed close above 1.2900 would likely open the door toward 1.3000, followed by 1.3140. This scenario aligns with the current market structure, assuming continued weakness in the USD or sustained risk appetite.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Failure to break the resistance zone, especially with bearish reversal candles, could trigger a drop toward 1.2680, and possibly 1.2520. A daily close below 1.2520 would be a strong technical warning for bulls.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is sitting at a technically significant level. The prevailing trend favors the bulls, but the outcome at 1.2850–1.2900 will be decisive. Watch price action closely for confirmation — breakout or rejection, the next move could be sharp.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Do you see a breakout or a reversal ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
XAUUSD Buy projection Hey everyone if you check my last post I was waiting for price to break above that resistance zone and give me a nice retest and some confirmations to take buys so now trade is playing out perfectly let’s see if price give us a retest or a pullback to my support zones the one below and above too and if we get a confirmation I will execute and update you guys…..Let’s see how it goes…
Will gold hit a new record high again?Gold rose to the 3040-3050 area as expected. The tariff issue also stimulated the bullish sentiment in the gold market. The current price is not a good entry point for both long and short parties.
Another point that everyone must be more concerned about is whether gold will rise again and break through and set a new high! I think it is not easy to draw a conclusion at present, because there is still resistance in the 3060-3075 area above. Only if gold successfully breaks through this resistance area, then gold will have the possibility of continuing to rise and set a new high;
At present, the gold bull-bear dividing line is in the 3060-3070 area. When gold touches this area, we can start to try to short gold; the first focus below is the 3025-3015 support area. If gold falls back to this area first, we might as well try to go long gold again in small batches.
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Ethereum - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 8th I shared this idea "Ethereum - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation Lower"
I expected retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
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GBPUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks.
Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain.
At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057.
Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057
Support levels: 2996, 2981
The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher.
The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013
Regards R. Linda!
ADAUSDT → Correction to the liquidity zone before the fall ↓BINANCE:ADAUSDT is in a bear market, under pressure. An exit from consolidation and a pullback with the aim of retesting the resistance (liquidity zone) before further decline is formed
The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is extremely negative. Bitcoin on yesterday's manipulation related to the 90-day tariff break, which was later denied by the White House began to form “helicopters” and high volatility. As the market calms down, the price returns to the selling zone, which creates pressure for Cardano as well.
Technically, a false breakdown of 0.5 fibo is formed and the price is consolidating near the local support at 0.5800. The breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.58 will provoke the continuation of the fall. A retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 0.6300 is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.63, 0.6661
Support levels: 0.581, 0.5092, 0.4564
The market structure is exclusively bearish. A False breakout of resistance or breakdown of 0.581 will provoke a further fall, but the level of 0.5092, if broken, will finally drive the coin into the zone of emptiness, which may lead the price to fall to 0.45- 0.42.
Regards R. Linda!
Get Rich: Buy Cheap GoldAfter a sharp decline, gold seems to have insufficient bullish momentum compared to before, but this is only in comparison. In fact, after gold hit the low point near 2957, the low and high points of gold are gradually rising. We can see that the bulls are gradually and implicitly picking up cheap chips.
So now we can't blindly short gold. According to the current gold structure, gold may continue to rebound above 3030, or even around 3050. These two positions will be the target areas for long traders and will also be the entry prices suitable for short traders.
So for short-term trading, I will adjust my trading strategy and plan in time. If gold falls back to the 3000-2990 area, I may first tend to go long on gold!
It must be noted that the current gold price fluctuates frequently and violently, so you must be particularly patient first. Because once there is no good entry price, it is difficult to set the psychological SL, and setting a relatively small SL is easy to be hit in market fluctuations!
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