Fibonacci
Research: Retracement VS Exponential GridIn this research idea I'll test which of those two tools would be a more effective way for projecting future key levels to which price may react best.
While both of them are chart-based and run on fibonacci with progression rate 0.25 showing exponential spacing between levels, there are differences:
TradingView's Fibonacci Retracement (2 chart points)
Levels are derived from distance 0-1 which measures the -86% decline.
Exponential Grid (1 chart point)
Levels are derived just from the historic lowest price.
Historically, in both cases price movements have respected these exponential levels.
This experiment is essential for various reasons:
Understanding better parabolic growth patterns.
Improving the indicator for a better performance and user experience.
ENDGOAL
Accurately map support, resistance, and market reactions ensuring better predictive accuracy for future price action.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 17240.00
- PR Low: 16971.00
- NZ Spread: 601.5 ⚠
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Mechanical pivot off Monday's high
- Rotating back into 16700s inventory
- AMP margins and volatile session open indicates we're still in the volatility storm
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 4/9)
- Session Open ATR: 692.29
- Volume: 84K
- Open Int: 256K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -24.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nio Limited Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Nio Limited Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* (Reversal Argument)) At 8.00 USD | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ABC Wave Feature | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 3.50 USD
* Entry At 3.00 USD
* Take Profit At 2.50 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
No Trades on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD bounced off 1,0885 and climbed back above the 1,1000 level.
This move offered some short-term buying opportunities.
However, there’s no clear reason to enter new trades at the current levels.
Keep an eye on how the price reacts to the resistance zones.
Tomorrow, U.S. inflation data will be released, which is likely to trigger some market movement.
Tyree Thomas Jr Buy GBP/CAD Bias 4/8/25I looked at GBP/CAD and checked the pair with the key points of my trading strategy. My trade idea is to enter a buy when the pair breaks out of the Fibonacci Retracement tool and then take profit at the first green line of the Fibonacci Extension tool. My name is Tyree Thomas Jr, and this is my bias of GBP/CAD for a buy.
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
$MES1! Could Drop to Oct 2022's Fib 0.618 Level @ 4,520Monthly (April 2025)
- #TheStrat: 2u-2d-2d continuation
- Price stopped at the monthly 0.50 fib (Oct 2022 - Feb 2025)
Weekly (Mon April 7 - Sat, April 12)
- 2u-2d-2d continuation
- 4072 - 4520 is the range of 0.786 and 0.618, respectively.
- 4834 is the 0.5 fibonacci, short term reversal
Daily (Wed, April 9)
- 2u-2u-2d reversal
- potential support is 0.5 fib @ 4834
- RSI at 20 (low) and MACD still red
Nasdaq Pending Short: Completion of Wave 1 of CLike I mentioned in the video, we have completed a 5-wave structure for wave 1 of C. We are currently in wave 2 of C. And while this is a long-then-short idea, I feel that the risk to go long at this point of my posting is too risky, so it's better to wait for a short opportunity.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
LULU watch $268: Double Golden fibs to end bounce or Bottom IN? LULU bounced a bit into a tight confluence of Golden's.
Golden Genesis at $267.70 and Golden Covid at $268.74.
These mark a major landmark in the lifetime of any asset.
Rejection here would point to lower lows.
Break and Retest would be long entry signal.
Likely is an "orbit" of these before any move.
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Trading Plan for DXY Elliott Wave View:
Large correction marked as Wave 4 in progress.
Inside it, a (A)-(B)-(C) zigzag structure is unfolding.
We’re currently in a sub-Wave B of C, expecting a short dip before a bullish move into the 104.80–105.60 supply zone (red box).
Invalidation level sits at 108.247, confirming the correction is valid below that.
2. Price Levels & Zones:
Strong support zone around 101.50–102.00, projected as a potential base for the next leg up (Wave C).
Resistance (target) is clearly the red supply zone near 105.
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Correlation with EUR/USD Chart:
If DXY is expected to rise in its Wave C, then EUR/USD should fall (as seen in your earlier chart).
Your EUR/USD analysis targets the 1.06924 demand zone — this lines up perfectly with DXY's Wave C rise.
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Trading Plan for DXY (or correlation play):
If trading DXY directly (if possible via CFDs):
Buy setup: Wait for minor correction (Wave B) to bottom around 101.80–102.00.
Entry: Near support with confirmation candle.
Target: Red zone 104.80–105.60.
SL: Below 101.50.
For EUR/USD traders:
Watch for EUR/USD Wave B to complete.
Once DXY starts impulsing up (Wave C), EUR/USD will likely drop hard.
That’s your sell opportunity on EUR/USD, aligned with DXY strength.
What You Can Do (Trading Plan):Wait for Completion of Wave B:
Monitor if price shows rejection or reversal signs (like bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.) near the recent high.
2. Entry for Wave C:
Once reversal is confirmed from the top of Wave B, you can:
Enter a Sell trade targeting the red zone (1.06924 to 1.06700 area).
Use confirmation from 1H or 30min timeframes (bearish structure, momentum loss).
3. Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL just above the high of Wave B.
Example: If B ends around 1.0990, keep SL near 1.1005.
4. Take Profit:
TP in the middle to bottom of the red zone (1.0700 – 1.0670).
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Optional Smart Additions:
Use Fibonacci retracement on wave A to confirm wave B top (61.8%–78.6% is common).
Watch news events around April 10–12 (shown in icons), could bring volatility.
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CADCHF Wave Analysis – 8 April 2025- CADCHF reversed from pivotal resistance level 0.6050
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5935
CADCHF currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 0.6050 (former monthly low from March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of April.
The downward reversal from resistance level 0.6050 continues the active impulse wave iii of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of November.
Given the clear daily downtrend and the strongly bullish Swiss franc sentiment seen today, CADCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5935.
ADAUSDT 0.5$ is strong enough to pump the price As we mentioned before we are looking for long from 0.5$ and now support hit and we can expect range market or rise at least here to our first target which is around 0.75$ to 1$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Will the support zone keep BTC falling?BTC has once again bounced off the upper border of the downtrend channel. Here, it is worth remembering the long-formed gap around $74,500, which was closed during the last decline.
Here, you can see how the price fell into a strong support zone from $77,742 to $73,980, but if this zone is broken, we can again see a strong decline around also very strong resistance and the lower border of the channel at $68,590.
Looking the other way, you can see that the increases were stopped by the resistance zone from $84,000 to $86,700, only breaking out of this zone at the top will give the possibility of growth towards strong resistance at $94,300.
The RSI is still in the lower part of the range and is again heading towards the lower borders, but here the price has formed a lower low, which can still give another reaction.
Bitcoin - Bears are winning: is $72k next?After holding strong above $81,000 for a while, Bitcoin has finally broken its critical support zone, diving as low as the $74,000 region. This move signals a clear shift in short-term momentum and brings us closer to a significant imbalance zone that has yet to be tested or filled. The drop wasn’t exactly unexpected, especially with the growing macroeconomic pressure weighing on all markets right now.
Last week’s tariff announcement triggered a wave of uncertainty, and we’re now seeing that impact ripple across crypto, equities, and commodities alike. Risk-on assets are feeling the heat, and BTC is no exception.
Why $72K Is So Important Right Now
Looking at the chart, there’s a large imbalance zone sitting just below current price, right around the $72,000 level. This is an area where price previously moved up very aggressively, leaving a gap in the market structure that now needs to be filled for a healthier market. Markets tend to come back to these areas to rebalance before making the next major move.
What makes this zone even more interesting is the fact that it aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci level also known as the golden pocket. This confluence makes $72K a very strong support zone, and a likely area where buyers could start stepping back in.
Because of this, I’m expecting another short-term bearish leg into this zone to complete the imbalance fill and tap into the golden pocket. From there, if we see strong reaction and volume kicking in, this could mark the beginning of a new bullish wave.
But What If $72K Doesn’t Hold?
Of course, no level is guaranteed to hold especially in shaky market conditions. If Bitcoin fails to defend the $72K area and breaks down with conviction, the next major target to watch will be the lower imbalance zone at $64K. That would be a deeper correction, but still within the broader context of a bullish cycle rebalancing phase.
A drop to GETTEX:64K would likely shake out more weak hands and allow for a stronger, healthier base to form before BTC attempts to reclaim higher levels. It’s not the primary scenario, but it’s one we need to keep on the radar if things escalate further.
What Comes Next?
In the short term, eyes are on that $72K zone. If BTC finds support there and gives us bullish confirmation such as higher lows, increasing volume, or a strong engulfing candle we could see a swift move back toward the $85K-$95K range.
But with macro uncertainty still looming, caution is key. Monitor how price reacts at support, keep risk in check, and be prepared for both scenarios a bounce from $72K or a continuation to fill the imbalance at $64K.
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Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend.
I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later).
Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride!
Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do).
Good luck!