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Fibonacci

S&P500 Searching for a BottomExecutive Summary The S&P 500’s Elliott Wave structure suggests the current downtrend is incomplete, with a high-probability target near the 4,300 level based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Global stock markets remain under pressure amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, and Elliott Wave patterns across various indices continue to point to more downside. Current Elliott Wave Analysis Today’s upward volatility is likely a small-degree wave four, with another leg down expected to retest today’s lows in the coming sessions. There is an impulse wave that began in October 2022 and topped in 2025. We are now seeing the after effects of that completed rally. A standard 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of that move places a high-probability support zone around 4,300—a logical target for a ‘normal’ correction of the 2022–2025 rally. Currently, price has paused near the January 2022 high at 4,662, and also sits near the 38.2% retracement level of the 2022 rally, which lies around 4,950. While a move to new highs cannot be fully ruled out, the probability of such a rally is currently low. Given the brief nature of the current decline in both price and duration, a more meaningful correction is still likely. Bottom Line The S&P 500 appears to be in wave ((iii)) or ((c)) of a downward move, with the structure still incomplete. A decline toward 4,300 remains the higher-probability scenario in the near term. We will reconsider the medium-term outlook if the index rallies above 5,488, which would overlap the March 31 low and suggest a possible low is in place.
TVC:SPXShort
by JWagnerFXTrader
1
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high. At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63. Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509 Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9 The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
23
CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range. The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures. Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline. Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74 Support levels: 104.525, 103.56 There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market. The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth. The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86 Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86 Support levels: 0.793, 0.666 If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
EURUSD Sell We see a strong impulsive move to the upside, breaking through previous resistance levels. The upward push suggests bullish dominance, but price has now entered a corrective phase, retracing from recent highs. Key Areas of Interest Resistance Zone at 1.1150 - 1.1160: This area, marked as an "Area of Interest," aligns with previous swing highs, making it a potential reversal point or continuation area. Support at 1.0919: This level aligns with the Asian session low and is reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, making it a crucial support zone. Fibonacci Retracement & Potential Buy Zones Price is currently retracing within the Fibonacci levels, particularly testing the 0.382 level at 1.1020. If a deeper retracement occurs, the 0.5 and 0.618 levels around 1.0960-1.0919 could act as strong demand zones for potential long entries. Liquidity The chart indicates areas where liquidity may reside, such as above the recent highs and below the Asian session low. A stop-hunt scenario could see price dipping into the 1.0919 region before resuming the uptrend. EUR/USD remains in a bullish structure but is undergoing a corrective phase. Key support and resistance levels should be watched closely for trade opportunities. A break above 1.1100 could signal further upside momentum, while a drop below 1.0960 might lead to deeper retracement before any continuation. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels and consider confirmation signals before entering trades. TRADE Entry: 1.10328 Stop Loss: 1.10630 Take Profit: 1.08892
Short
by xrpbilbs
2
Gold still has the potential to bounce back to 3070!Gold has been experiencing significant volatility driven by fundamental factors. While bearish sentiment appears to remain dominant, the recent downside move has already priced in much of the negative risk. As such, traders should avoid an overly one-sided bearish bias in the current environment. After bottoming out near the 2970 level, gold staged a strong rebound. During the ensuing consolidation phase, the 3010–3000 zone has provided consistent support, signaling the emergence of a short-term demand zone. This indicates that the bulls have not completely capitulated and may attempt to stage a corrective rally toward the 3050 level, or potentially even as high as 3070. From a short-term trading perspective, we may consider initiating long positions within the 3015–3005 range, aiming for an upside target of 3050, with a possible extension toward the 3070 resistance area. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026! tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaveTradesLive
Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory Do we go Deeper Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends. Date and price range and trend line . Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video . In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks. VS Today March 2025 Correction: As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this. This downturn has been attributed to several factors: Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq Comparison of the Two Corrections: Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns. Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history. Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects. In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while. This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date. We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at. Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now. Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
NYSE:QBTSLong
by LeapTrades
Ethereum: The biggest Opportunity in 2025!Ethereum is following Bitcoin—but with way worse performance. While BTC is still holding up relatively well, ETH has dropped all the way back to March 2023 levels, wiping out the entire rally. Since its top, Ethereum is down over 63%. 😮‍💨 Still—or maybe because of that—I’m beginning to slowly scale into spot positions here. Yes, we could fall further. I’ve got limit orders set lower, specifically around $1,260, which aligns with the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement and the midpoint of the monthly order block. That’s a key zone I’ll be watching if price keeps dropping. That said, this Wave (2) should be nearing its final stage. The sell-off has been steep, and if we lose $804, that would flip Ethereum’s entire monthly structure bearish—a scenario I’d consider extremely negative. I don’t expect ETH to suddenly blast past $5,000 from here, but at these levels, I see a clear opportunity to build longer-term spot exposure—and that’s exactly what I’m starting to do now.
Long
by stromm
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
1