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Fibonacci

RGTI false floor entry (theory)the floor is made by a gap up candles projection of a slanted resistence. The top floor is hard, the bottom floor is a vaccum, if it breaks that bottom floor it will fill the gap then requires re-catalysing with the next earnings to see if the stock is legit. Just a theoretical explanation for what could happen, not a behaviour I've noticed yet. But it's already retraced on a fib and started ranging and created an adam and eve structure, not imo a breakout looking structure.
NASDAQ:RGTIShort
by kd3213
1
NZDUSD 1H BUY IDEANZDUSD price has entered a range. The price has tested the range high four times before and is now testing it again. However, from a price action perspective, it seems to be holding below the upper resistance without breaking through. If the price breaks above the 0.57400 level, I expect it to rise by the range’s height. Interestingly, if it moves exactly by the range’s height, it aligns with the upper point of the trendline. On the other hand, if the price fails to break above 0.574, I anticipate it will test the Fibonacci 0.618 level before making another attempt to push higher. Additionally, there is notable volume around the 0.618 level, which could support a potential bounce.
Long
by Tellmenn_TrADeR
Gold Price Briefly Surpasses $3,000 / oz in a Historic MomentGold prices recorded a historic milestone during today’s trading session by briefly touching $3,000 per ounce, consolidating its role as a safe-haven asset amid a global scenario marked by intense trade tensions and expectations of relative changes in U.S. monetary policy. However, despite the psychological significance of the level reached, the yellow metal has been unable to sustain trading above $3,000 due to moderate relief observed in global stock markets toward the weekly close. This relief in equities comes after days marked by uncertainty over trade escalations—particularly among the U.S., the EU, and China—fueling fears of a possible economic recession. The easing of inflation data in the U.S., both in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI), has been an additional supportive factor for gold this week. Especially noteworthy was the CPI’s return to a disinflationary trend, which could lead the Federal Reserve to relatively soften its monetary stance. Currently, the market anticipates up to three rate cuts in 2025, contrasting with the single adjustment suggested by the Fed in December. In the short term, although resistance at $3,000 is evident, from an operational perspective there remains the possibility of an additional advance toward $3,040 per ounce, particularly if the Fed adopts a more accommodative tone in its upcoming meeting on Wednesday. However, any further developments in trade conflicts will be decisive for the yellow metal. An escalation in tensions would further bolster its haven appeal. On the other hand, a potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine could bring marginal relief to the market, although sustained physical demand from central banks and global uncertainty would continue to provide solid support for gold prices. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
Bitcoin is Headed to $36K And It’s Happening NOW!This might not be the most popular opinion, especially among those who still believe the current Bitcoin bull cycle hasn’t ended. However, I encourage you to take a few minutes, approach this with an open mind, and let me know whether you agree or disagree. Understanding the Previous Cycle (2020–2021) The last Bitcoin bull cycle began in March 2020, when BTC bottomed at approximately $3,810. It then surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $69,870 in November 2021, marking the cycle top. By applying a Fibonacci retracement to this entire range, we can see that the golden pocket (0.618 - 0.786 Fib)—often a key support zone during bear markets—fell between $17,700 and $28,690. Looking at the chart, BTC beautifully retraced into this zone, even dipping slightly below it to form a cycle bottom at $15,500 in November 2022. The key sign that the bear market had ended and a new bull market had begun was when Bitcoin broke above the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the previous cycle and established a higher high on the weekly chart. This marked a clear shift from a bearish to a bullish market structure. The Current Cycle (2022–2025) From the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin rallied, setting a new ATH at $73,600—just slightly above the previous peak. After some consolidation, it found strong support at the 0.236 Fib level of the previous bull cycle, signaling that the uptrend was still intact. The real breakout came when BTC surpassed the psychological $100,000 level and consolidated around the -0.5 Fib extension of the previous cycle. The cycle top appears to have been put in after Donald Trump took office in January 2025, marking an approximately 26-month bull run—longer than previous cycles. However, a major bear market confirmation signal has now emerged: BTC has decisively broken below the 0.236 Fib retracement of this cycle, which historically signals the end of a bull market and the beginning of a new bear phase. Where is the Next Bottom? By analyzing the Fibonacci levels of both the previous and current bull cycles, we can identify key potential support zones where Bitcoin may bottom out: 1. $51,370 - $53,700 • This range aligns with: • 0.236 Fib of the previous bull cycle • 0.618 Fib of the most recent bull cycle • This zone has confluence, making it a high-probability support level. 2. $35,600 - $36,500 • This range aligns with: • 0.5 Fib of the previous bull cycle • 0.786 Fib of the most recent bull cycle • If BTC breaks below the first support zone, this is the next key level to watch. Historically, Bitcoin bear markets last around one year, so we can expect this downward trend to play out over a similar timeframe. How to Position Yourself? For long-term investors, these support zones offer prime buying opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin at discounted prices before the next bull run begins. While the market won’t move in a straight line down—expect bounces and fake-outs—the general expectation is that BTC will find its next higher low within one of these zones. Looking Ahead: Next Bull Cycle Target If we use the same -0.5 Fib extension strategy that predicted the previous cycle’s top, we can estimate the next bull market peak. Based on the current cycle’s Fib range, the projected ATH for the next bull run would be around $157,000. Final Thoughts While nobody can predict the future with certainty, historical price action, Fibonacci levels, and market structure provide strong clues about where BTC is headed next. As always, flexibility is key—if market conditions change, so should our expectations. But if history repeats itself, these levels offer a solid framework for identifying the best entry points and positioning for the next major bull run. What do you think? Do you agree with this analysis, or do you see it differently? Let me know in the comments!
Short
by bigcheese421
4
BTC/USDT Reversal scenariosThere is bear mood in market, its exactly what is needed for reversal, lets have a look closer. I see 3 options. 1) Manipulation is over, we reached the target of local FIBO 1.618 at 77055$ 2) Level 73764$ - its the target of Double TOP , the edge/high of the last block and 0.618 level of grand FIBO 3) POC level of last accumulation block which lasted for 255d at 67436$ - we could reach this level only with fast squeeze and fast buy back, leaving long needle on higher timeframe
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HeavyLT
GOLD → Distribution phase. One step away from $3000. Up!FX:XAUUSD breaks upward and reaches the intermediate target. After strong growth there is no pullback at all. A consolidation is forming which shows us strong levels. Gold updates ATH to +2990, preparing to overcome $3,000. Growth is being fueled by Trump's trade war and expectations of a Fed rate cut. Investors are cautious ahead of the Fed meeting. A stronger dollar and hopes for a US-Canada trade truce may temporarily cause a correction, but it is not the strongest factor. However, recession risks and escalation of trade and geopolitical conflicts may increase demand for protective assets, supporting the growth of gold prices Technically, the price is in consolidation, relative to which there may be a breakthrough of resistance and further growth. Or a local false breakout, correction to support at 2980 and continuation of growth after support retest Resistance levels: 2993, 3000, 3008 Support levels: 2981, 2956 Thus, if the bulls are able to consolidate above 2993, the price may continue its aggressive growth. BUT! There is a possibility of correction to the risk (liquidity) zone 2981 - 2977 before gold resumes its growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉 🔹 Market Bias: Bearish 🔹 Key Zones: Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance) Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 40,500 (First support) TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone) TP3: 39,920 (Final target) 🔹 Analysis: Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉 Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️ 🔹 News Event Consideration: If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉 If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄 🔹 Risk Management: Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news. If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias. 🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment! #US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
Us30 Reversal / Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉 🔹 Market Bias: Bearish 🔹 Key Zones: Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance) Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 40,500 (First support) TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone) TP3: 39,920 (Final target) 🔹 Analysis: Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉 Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️ 🔹 News Event Consideration: If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉 If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄 🔹 Risk Management: Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news. If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias. 🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment! #US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
Ethereum ETH price analysis CRYPTOCAP:ETH price has dropped to the most critical point, where the upward trend is still in place and the structure is not broken. Below $1700, personally, we will lose the desire to look towards #Ethereum 📈 In the meantime, we stick to positive thinking and expect the OKX:ETHUSDT price to move along the blue route: $3800 - $2600 - $6200 - $4200 - $7700 - $9700 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
2
GOLD → Testing ATH. High chance of a breakout 2954FX:XAUUSD in the distribution phase of the previously formed consolidation. The price is testing ATH and the market has all chances for a breakout and further update of the high. We are close to 3K Gold price continues to rise, approaching a record high of $2,956, amid fears of a global trade war. Lower US inflation has weakened the dollar and bond yields, boosting demand for gold. Markets now await PPI data, but escalating trade conflict remains key. Technically, gold is testing global range resistance a month after last touching it. I don't like to trade primary breakouts in such a case and the ideal scenario would be to wait for a small consolidation near the level or a correction to 2945 - 2935 before the metal starts to tetse 2954.5 for a breakout Resistance levels: 2954.5 Support levels: 2945, 2935, 2930 As a first move I expect a pullback after resistance test. A retest of 2954.5 (retest) will mean that buyers are ready to break the resistance and go higher. BUT, we have important news today. Gold could break the level without a pullback. A close above 2954.5 will trigger a rally. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19382.00 - PR Low: 19296.75 - NZ Spread: 190.75 No key scheduled economic events Maintaining Tuesday's range, rotating back to Wednesday's lows - Constant intraday swings has overall sentiment frustrated Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/14) - Session Open ATR: 481.32 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 264K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
Gold is about to plummet, double short gold!Brothers, gold accelerated to around 2985, but it could not cross 2990. The closer it is to the 3000 mark, the greater the resistance it faces. After the news is digested by the market to a certain extent, it is difficult for gold to have enough momentum to continue to break through the 2990-3000 market psychological mark in the short term, so a retracement will inevitably follow! The accelerated squeeze of gold has been separated from the technical side. After the news returns to normal, gold will inevitably have a technical retracement demand, so we can boldly short gold again in the 2985-2990 area! Tomorrow, Friday, will definitely be a turning point. Gold will at least retrace to the 2950-2940 zone tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2935. So in short-term trading, I still insist on using double trading lots to short gold at 2985-2990! Looking forward to making a profit of 400-500 pips in the short term!Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
USDJPYWeekly 1. Historically extreme COT in trade positioning; the trend usually turns in favor of the dollar on trade position changes. 2. MACD has bullish convergence. 3. The 2021 trend line has been touched at the 61.8% Fibo. 4. Possible formation of an ABC wave 4 triangle. The possible next wave will be a 5 and the target level is 175, the extreme target is 206 Daily and hour timeframe 5. The last movement is a higher high and higher low, this could be a new channel 6. The invalidation level for my arguments is 147.350 What do you think?
Long
by Manzanex
Apple Wave Analysis – 13 March 2025 - Apple broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 200.00 Apple recently broke the support area between the strong support level 220.00 (which has been reversing the price from October) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of upward impulse from August. The breakout of this support area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the sharp downward impulse wave (C) from February. Apple can be expected to fall to the next round support level 200.00 – which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FxProGlobal
US02Y hidden bearish divergence and RSI rejection from level 40 US02Y could be repeating a pattern from August 2024. Hidden bearish divergence (continuation of lower highs) and rejection of RSI from level 40. Following the rejection, the yields went lower. US02Y going lower is bullish for risk assets. In addition, US02Y could be on the verge of a fifth Elliott wave to the downside. The second wave overshot a little the textbook 0.618 fib level. The fourth wave retraced a little less than the textbook 0.386 fib level. Given the RSI analysis above, the fifth wave could be starting now leading US02Y lower. This would be bullish for risk assets such as stocks and crypto.
TVC:US02YShort
by t3rmin4t0r
1
VW - stock may have turned around (?)VW - has had its fair share of bad news lately, however, panic and fear often times is at its peak when price is close to find the bottom. Looking at price action and price targets it seems the wave C of II could be over which is also indicated that price bounced from the 161.8 fib expansion of wave 4 of C. Ever since then the stock has seen a steady rise that was also supported by good volume. Now it has reached the 61.8 retracement of wave 5 and usually around that fib level price will stall and consolidate. I can even see a 5 wave motive wave up. Now, we need to see how the price action looks like in the coming days and weeks. Hopefully it will make a higher low at around 50-61.8 % fib retracement and from there I would be looking to long the stock. The upside is quite impressive as the price may rise with over 300%. For now, we remain neutral and are watching what happens next.
XETR:VOW3
by Staggi10