Fibonacci
BTC headed to 75k? dead cat at 77.7k then 73-75k support comingBTC was holding well against the market's Tariff-Tantrum.
But a significant dip is starting on a Sunday (as often does).
If sentiment continues into Monday, we should see 75k soon.
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Previous Charts below
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$ 105k cycle Top call:
$ 82K Bounce call:
$ 73K previous cycle top (and current retest target):
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Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
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NIFTY50.....Here is the crash! Hello Traders,
yesterday, I wrote the following words:
"If not, the index has the possibility to crash to new lows. From my view, I need to see a final "sell-off" in the coming one or two weeks, to clear the market and banish those shaky hands! !"
That is what exactly happened this morning! A CRASH! Shaking off the shaky hands!
The markets are on the verge of being cleaned up! But!!! NOT yet!!!
Chart analysis!
First thing to know. This morning's move and massive gap-down was probably a wave 3. These waves are the most powerful waves during an impulse and (in this case), and they destroy the most gains in some minutes, i.e.hours!
The second possibility is given that we have seen a "V.-turnaround", and the market has seen the low!
To me, the structure is not clear, and I expect one lower low in the coming days ahead below 21743.6!
The most important thing for a trader is, to believe what you see! Not to believe what you like to see!
Following the idea of a wave 3 (which could be done), we should see a wave 4, morph into an a-b-c or a triangle! Keep in mind, that triangles are the most unlikely patterns to see!
Anyway! If so to come, the next hours will show us the pattern, and probably we will get one a-b-c structure! After, i f so to come, new lows are ahead in the following days!
But. If this low was the final low for this crash, the index is able to set the stage and skyrocketing!
For now, there is no fact, to support this idea, and we handle with patient and care!
Don't catch a falling knife!!!
I will follow the market closely and update it constantly!
For now.....have a great week!
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
ECAP - Egyptian stock#ECAP timeframe 1 DAY
created 2 Bullish pattern ( Gartley and AB=CD ) , so we can see action price in this point .
Entry level at 22.70 ( price now 22.40 )
Stop loss 22.00( loss may go to up -3% )
First target at 24.45( with profit around 7.60% )
Second target 25.97( with profit around 14.70% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY ,
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#EKHOA Egyptian stock - great opportunity - great fundamental.#EKHOA time frame 1 DAY
created 3 Bullish Gartley patterns ( patterns by time frame 1 day and anther one by time frame 1 hour ) , so we can see action price in this point but in anther hand we are in a downtrend targeted 27.00 .
Entry level at 30.10 to 30.30
Stop loss 29.00 ( loss may go to up -3.70% )
First target at 31.95 ( with profit around 6% ) , resistance at 31.20
Second target 33.50 ( with profit around 11% )
Third target 34.50 ( with profit 15% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
BTC HTF ThoughtsChart from end of Dec/early Jan. Idea back then was that the top is in, and we'll revisit at least 51.5 levels. IMO low will be between 41.5-32.5, with potential to reach 23s.
However, it won't happen in one day and it's finally at prices i want to scale in and hold for the next weeks/months incase i'm wrong with the macro idea.
I'm a buyer between 74-62, levels in between are 72, 69, 65 and 62.
BTC vs Gold at a Critical Support – Bounce or Breakdown?📊 Weekly Chart Analysis – BLX/GOLD (Bitcoin to Gold Ratio)
📉 Current Price: 25.90
Price is sitting at a key support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline (green).
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (26.47) from the full impulse move (8.35 → 37.67) is being tested.
The 200-week MA is also nearby, adding strength to this support area.
🔍 Indicators:
MACD (Weekly):
Still bearish, with a confirmed downward crossover.
No visible bullish divergences yet — bearish sentiment persists.
RSI:
Hovering near 40 — not oversold but approaching the zone.
Room for further downside, but also potential for a bounce from oversold conditions.
Stochastic RSI & Momentum:
Stoch RSI is bottomed out, suggesting a possible upside reversal.
Volume is declining on the sell-off — a possible sign of seller exhaustion.
🧠 Market Structure:
The overall pattern resembles a rising wedge, potentially broken to the downside.
However, price is now retesting the bottom of a long-term parallel channel — a historically favorable zone for long entries.
🧭 Possible Scenarios:
📈 Reversal & Bounce Holding 25–26 support, Stoch RSI reversal Medium-High
📉 Break to 20–23 Failure to hold Fibonacci & trendline Medium
⚠️ Sharp Drop to 15–20 Only if BTC crashes or gold rallies hard Low
🟢 Summary:
Price is at a critical confluence zone: Fibonacci, horizontal support, trendline, and oscillators all align here. A bounce is likely unless this level is decisively broken. If it holds, this may be a strong mid-term long entry signal.
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility.
A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets.
Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase.
On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar
Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010
Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811
If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010.
Regards R. Linda!
Long SLVThis is a long term trade which may take longer time to develop and contingent on positive price action through key resistance levels.
First level to watch is the 30 handle, which is currently being tested. Break above 30 should take us close to the most recent high in Oct-2024, just below the 35 handle.
Assuming price action advances past the 35 handle, we'd likely see a quick move to new highs around the 52 handle.
Additional rate cuts in 2025, as well as increased deficit spending would likely be the fundamental monetary catalyst to drive prices higher.
Gold - Bullish Trend Faces a Break – A Deeper Pullback Incoming?Gold has been enjoying a strong and steady uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel. However, we’ve now seen a break of structure, with price closing below the lower boundary of the channel. This signals that Gold might be in for a short-term pullback, as the market seeks to rebalance before the next potential leg up.
A break of an ascending channel often suggests that bullish momentum is cooling off, at least temporarily. While this doesn’t necessarily mean a full reversal, it does indicate that buyers may be taking profits, allowing the market to correct before continuing higher. This is a normal and healthy phase in an overall bullish market.
Why a Drop to $2960 Makes Sense
One of the key reasons to expect a pullback is the large imbalance zone that remains unfilled below current price levels. Imbalances in the market occur when price moves aggressively in one direction without creating proper structural support on the way up. More often than not, the market likes to come back and fill these inefficiencies before continuing in its primary direction.
In this case, we have an important confluence around the $2960 level, where the unfilled imbalance meets the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (golden pocket). The golden pocket is a high-probability reversal zone, where price tends to react strongly due to the presence of large institutional orders waiting to be executed.
This area becomes even more significant when combined with psychological levels and previous price action support. If Gold pulls back to this level, it could be an optimal entry point for buyers looking to ride the next bullish wave.
What Comes Next?
Once Gold reaches the $2960 region, we will need to watch for strong bullish reactions. If buyers step in aggressively, we could see Gold resume its uptrend and potentially push towards new highs. However, if buyers fail to hold the line at this level, things could get more interesting.
A failed bounce at $2960 would open the door for a deeper correction, possibly extending down to the $2860 - $2900 zone, where we have additional technical support levels. While this is not the primary scenario, it’s important to remain aware of the possibility in case bearish momentum increases.
Final Thoughts
At the moment, Gold is showing early signs of a pullback after breaking out of its ascending channel. The $2960 level is my primary target for this retracement, as it aligns with both the golden pocket and the unfilled imbalance zone. If price reaches this level and reacts bullishly, it could provide a strong buying opportunity before Gold continues its march higher.
However, if $2960 fails to hold, we need to be prepared for a larger move downward before the uptrend resumes. Either way, the next few days will be crucial in determining Gold’s next big move.
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USD/CHF Price Action Update – April 5, 2025📊 USD/CHF Price Action Update – April 5, 2025 🎯
🔹 Current Price: 0.85399
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
📌 Key Support Level (Demand Zone):
🟢 0.85110–0.85324 – First Support Zone (Liquidity Area / Demand Rejection Zone)
📌 Key Resistance Level (Target Area):
🔴 0.86177 – Major Resistance (Potential Upside Target)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price respected the demand zone between 0.85110–0.85324, showing signs of bullish rejection.
If momentum holds, the next upside target is 0.86177, as shown in the risk-reward setup.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A break and close below 0.85110 would invalidate the demand zone.
Downside continuation could push price toward 0.84700 or lower.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Enter long positions only after clear rejection or confirmation candle inside the demand zone.
✅ Monitor price closely as it approaches 0.86177 – partial profits can be taken there.
✅ Set stop loss below 0.85110 to maintain favorable risk-reward.
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #LiquidityZone #TechnicalAnalysis #DemandZone #RiskReward #SmartEntry #ForexSignals #BreakoutStrategy
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 17100.00
- PR Low: 16550.00
- NZ Spread: 1231.0 ⚠
No key scheduled economic events
AMP margins remain increased due to tariff news
- Continue high volatility value decline, 2.45% weekend gap
- Weekend gap fills above 17417
- Overall sentiment: anxiously hesitant in hopes of a nearby bottom
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 4/7)
- Session Open ATR: 593.15
- Volume: 131K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -25.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
S&P 500 Long Term Bullish ContinuationWith the current uncertainty regarding the global economy and fears of recession, VANTAGE:SP500 has already dropped approx. 20% in the last few weeks.
However, currently price has retraced to the long term support trend line which perfectly aligns with the 2020 top, turning it into an attractive S&R level where price could find support.
Even if price does not find support here, current market price is still a very good accumulation area for long term buyers and investors!
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it:
Technicals:
(1) Horizontal Levels of support
(2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence
(3) exDiv1
(4) extreme indicators
(5) Chikou span testing cloud support
(6) 28% drop is SPX
All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
SNA eyes on $310: Major fib cluster support to start buying?SNA looks headed to a major support zone around $310.
Most of its products are US made so tariffs are less scary.
Auto Repair industry will gain so Snap-On should benefit.
$ 309.63 - 311.13 is the exact zone of interest.
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