AUD/USD 4H | Wave 2 Pullback in MotionAUD/USD is currently completing a corrective Wave (2) within a larger impulsive structure. After the peak of Wave (1) at 0.65145, price has been in a healthy retracement phase, now nearing key fib confluence zones.
🟣 EMA Confluence:
Price is reacting near the 100 & 200 EMA (0.6373–0.6394), which has acted as dynamic support throughout this structure.
We are currently holding above the 0.382 level, with the golden zone (0.618–0.705) sitting just below.
🔄 Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If the pair holds above 0.6285 and we see bullish confirmation candles, we may begin the next leg higher — Wave (3) — targeting 0.66250–0.66766 as initial projection zones.
📊 RSI:
The RSI is hovering just below the 50 level, showing temporary bearish pressure, but has room to recover if structure holds.
🧠 Plan:
📍 Watching 0.6285–0.6214 for final support
📍 Wave (3) target zone: 0.66500+
📍 Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.6015
🔔 Wave (2) entries are where the patient traders shine. Eyes on structure, and let price do the heavy lifting.
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
Fibonacci
ETHEREUM → Consolidation. Which way will the distribution go?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P has moved into a consolidation phase after the distribution phase. Focus on the 2414-2725 range. A retest of support is possible during the current phase. Despite the bullish trend, there are risks of a reversal...
ETH has been a fairly unprofitable project over the past few years, with the price hitting one bottom after another. While Bitcoin and altcoins were flying high, ETH has only shown itself to be a bull in the last few days.
In the current phase, the focus is on the consolidation boundaries, as well as the 2550 level. If the bulls keep the market above 2550, then the coin could strengthen to 2725, which would be a positive sign for us that buyers are interested in continued growth.
If ETH continues its correction towards support at 2414, then we will need to monitor the market's reaction to this level. I remain skeptical about ETH due to its weak long-term performance despite a strong fundamental backdrop.
Resistance levels: 2550, 2725
Support levels: 2414, 2260
Further movement will determine the price's exit from consolidation: a breakdown of support means a fall, a breakout of resistance means growth. But the current scenario is trading within the range. If ETH trades near 2725 and forms a pre-breakout consolidation, then we will have a chance for growth.
The opposite scenario is if the price falls below 2550 and begins to test 2414. In this case, sticking to the support level and numerous retests will indicate that the bull market has exhausted its strength and we can expect a correction to 2260-2065.
Best regards, R. Linda!
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LINK/USDT is Nearing The UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring LINK/USDT for a buying opportunity around 15.20 zone, LINK/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 15.20 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Where does the tumble stop for $UNHUNH has been in a free fall been absolute chaos for..reasons.
I see a possible Shark. Sharks can complete at the 886 or the 113. This happens to be around the 236 and 382 of the Macro fib retracement. We also have the 200 Monthly SMA.
So where does it stop tumbling? The 236, the 382 or the 200 Monthly SMA? I am betting it goes to the 236 and bounces sometime around earnings. Notice that trendline that goes back to 1998 that acts as support. I am betting it bounces around where the trendline and 236 intersect sometime around the next earnings. That's a good spot to go long.
USDJPY – Potentially More Volatility AheadUSDJPY experienced a significant move higher at the end of April/beginning of May, as first, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) started to indicate caution towards further interest rate hikes due to the uncertainty caused by the introduction of President Trump’s trade tariffs, a potential negative for the JPY. This was followed by dollar demand linked to Monday’s announcement by US and China trade representatives of a significant de-escalation of tariffs on imports from each country for a 90 day period.
This upside squeeze saw USDJPY trade from a low of 139.89 on April 22nd to a high of 148.65 on Monday May 12th, as FX traders were forced to pare back weak short positions as short term upside resistance levels were broken.
Since then, however, the rally has come to an abrupt halt with USDJPY falling to a low of 145.60 on Wednesday, with a potential catalyst for this drop being a news report outlining currency policy discussions between US and South Korean governments at the start of May which may have led to increased speculation that President Trump’s administration may be open to a weaker dollar.
Looking forward, this pick up in USDJPY volatility may not be finished as traders now have to digest 2 scheduled events today and one overnight that may impact where this popular currency finishes the week.
The first 2 events, includes the earnings and forward guidance from the US retail colossus Walmart (due today before the open) and US Retail Sales data (1330 BST today), which will provide FX traders with an important update on the current appetite of US consumers to spend through the recent trade war upheaval.
Then, overnight the Japanese Preliminary Q1 GDP growth update is due at 0050 BST (Friday). This release could either support the current BoJ caution over further rate hikes, or lead to a potential resurgence of market rate hike expectations, if it comes in stronger than anticipated, with knock on implications for USDJPY volatility into the weekend.
Technical Update: Being Prepared For Further Volatility
It has certainly been an impressive rally in USDJPY, with traders perhaps focusing on the recent close above 145.92 as a potential positive. This level was equal to the May 2nd session high, which might be viewed by some, as opening further attempts to extend recent price strength.
However, within financial markets, psychological round numbers in price can influence trader sentiment, meaning as impressive as latest upside may appear, it might still have to close above 150.00, equal to the round price number evident just above recent activity.
What if the 150.00 resistance holds and fresh weakness emerges?
This week’s activity has so far, seen a price high established at 148.65, posted on Monday, which coupled with the 150.00 psychological resistance, may be an area traders could be focusing on as next possible resistance. They may feel, this 148.65/150.00 range could continue to hold price strength, even attract selling pressure.
A pattern for USDJPY activity in 2025, has been attempts at price strength failing under the previous recovery price highs, as indicated by the pattern of lower highs since the January 10th upside extreme, highlighted on the chart below.
It is far too early to say if this is the case again, but the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May price strength, which stands at 145.31, might prove an important support.
If this 145.31 level were to give way on a closing basis, it could point to a possible phase of more extended declines, and potential weakness towards 144.28, the deeper 50% level, even 143.24, the 61.8% retracement.
What if 145.31 Support Holds?
If the 145.31 support holds current price weakness, it could be argued, the 148.65/150.00 range is a resistance area we should perhaps watch on a closing basis, if it is challenged over coming sessions.
While not a guarantee of a more sustained phase of price strength, if closes above 148.65/150.00 were to materialise, traders might then look for potential to test higher resistance levels.
Focus could for instance then turn towards tests of the next price failure high, which is represented by 151.21, posted on March 28th 2025, possibly further if this in turn gives way.
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Gold's Rally Resumes (Elliott Wave)Gold's decline to today's low has satisfied the minimum requirements to consider the correction over.
The April to May decline corrected in a double zigzag labeled ((w))-((x))-((y)). There are 3 geometric relationships pointing to today's low as an important bottom.
1. Wave ((y)) was equal to wave ((w)) at today's low, a common wave relationship.
2. Additionally, wave (c) of ((y)) was 61.8% times wave (a) of ((y))...another common wave relationship.
3. Lastly, the previous all-time high from early April clocks in at 3,167...the broken resistance acts as new support holding up prices.
The runway is cleared for gold to take off to new all-time highs again.
In the unexpected event of a decline below today's low, the next cluster of wave relationships appears near 2,950.
BTC Bulls Defend Key Zone Eyes on $123K Breakout ExtensionBitcoin has successfully completed a breakout above the prior weekly high structure, followed by a healthy pullback which is currently unfolding into a bullish pennant formation. The key highlight is how price is retesting the neckline zone with precision, which now doubles as a strong immediate buyback zone.
The reaction from this level is already showing strong bullish momentum, with price gearing up to challenge the previous ATH. A breakout above that resistance should unlock the path toward the projected $116.5k and $123.4k targets as shown on the chart. Failure to hold the Immediate Buyback Zone opens the door toward the Strong Demand Zone, which remains a valid re-accumulation point within this bullish cycle.
Stay sharp. The structure remains intact unless the neckline fails decisively.
#OTIS #OTIS timeframe 1 day
Created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level around 93.50
Stop loss 90.00 ( estimated loss -2.56% )
First target at 97.43 ( estimated profit around 4.36% )
Second target 101.00 ( estimated profit around 8.25% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I day
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
Today's analysis is full of scribbles...Well, we've got a clean setup with a range box, indicating a weakening bearish trend. There's an Elliott correction that seems to have completed and now the overall bullish trend is likely to resume.
We're seeing a strong uptrend on the weekly timeframe. The bullish BOS (Break of Structure) has been touched several times and looks exhausted now.
We've got a key Fibonacci level, which is the most important area right now. There are multiple order blocks around as well.
In short, I gave you a simple breakdown — go ahead, analyze it yourself and look for entries.
Wishing you all success and green trades!
Ethereum - Short Term Buy IdeaH1 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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GOLD → Correction ahead of news. Will the decline resume?FX:XAUUSD has been buying back all the losses from the Asian and Pacific sessions since the opening of the European session, but this looks more like a catapult being loaded...
GOLD broke through the global consolidation base of 3200, which only confirmed the bearish market structure. Investors are waiting for PPI and retail sales data in the US, as well as Fed Chair Powell's speech.
Expectations of fewer Fed rate cuts and optimism surrounding trade talks with China and South Korea continue to weigh on gold. However, weak macro data and a growing US budget deficit could revive interest in this safe-haven asset.
GOLD is in a correction phase and is heading towards the zone of interest: the liquidity zone and previously broken support of global consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3187-3190, 3200
Support levels: 3123, 3100
Gold may test the indicated resistance, but based on the nature of the market, this situation may end in a false breakout and a fall. Target 3123 - 3100.
However, unpredictable data may temporarily change the market, which could lead to momentum towards 3220-3230.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDT.D Dominance analysis👨💻 Today, we'll talk about the USDT.D Dominance index, as two 3-day candlesticks are forming with shadows from below, which suggests that a rebound upwards is possible.
If USDT Dominance is growing, it means that people are "leaving" CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins for stablecoins, which means that the crypto is being sold = the price is falling.
🔴 The fall in crypto prices can be rapid and severe if BTC.D grows, or it can be moderate in the form of a logical correction if BTC.D also falls along with crypto prices.
🟢 That is, in the next month, a trend will be formed until the end of 2025. And it will be possible to see this in advance by some metrics (if you don't see it, we will tell you - so you need to subscribe and follow the posts!)
I want the capital to finally start flowing into altcoins, at least a "decent of them" part, and not into all the "garbage" that is created in 30 seconds.
💰 Returning to USDT.D - it is necessary that the rebound of this index is weaker, then its future dive will be deep.
👆 5.40% is the maximum critical level for a rebound
👇 In turn, we would like to see a global drop in USDT.D in the range of 2.44-2.72%.
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