Fibonacci
ULTA watch $370 above, 349 below: Golden fibs to define key zoneULTA holding up reasonably well compared to the market.
Bound by Golden Genesis above and a Golden Covid below.
Watch for break of either Golden to determine next move.
$370.57 above, $349.27 below are the exact levels to watch.
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GBP/USD Long using Fib levelsI will keep analysis brief. I believe we will raid the lower channel then sweep above liquidity and then let the dollar decide it's move based on equity sentiment in the US market.
2.23 R:R trade. I will not be continuing to trade FX - I want to attempt given gold has been so volatile and that is usually the only asset which I trade.
Dark purple lines are major weekly Fib levels.
Dashed light red / pink lines are Fib levels on shorter time zones.
Trade set up is marked out in the picture shown here.
Best of luck if you take this set up and please give feedback on what you think of the idea or the market itself. Big week ahead for the dollar - we will see whether SPX takes a further dive or capital is introduced and market starts to recover.
Best of luck and remember once you get stopped out walk away. This is not a casino!
#ETEL- Egyptian stock#ETEL timeframe 1 hour.
Created a Bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level at 35.13 - price closed at 35.05
Stop loss 34.70 (-1.20% estimated loss)
First target at 36.00 (2.65% estimated profit)
Second target 36.90 (5.00% estimated profit)
NOTE: this data is according to time frame 1 hour, also there is a positive divergence on MACD.
It's not an advice for investing, only my vision according to the data on chart.
Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
#ALCN- Egyptian stock#ALCN time frame 2 hours
Created a Bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level at 21.00
Stop loss 20.80(-1.30% estimated loss )
First target at 21.70( 3.18% estimated profit )
Second target 22.30( 5.30% estimated profit )
NOTE : this data according to time frame 2 hours,
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
Will ETH finally change direction?ETH is approaching support at $1,559, but here you can see how the price has fallen below the upward trend line, which could have resulted in a stronger rebound. When support is broken, you can still see a strong support level at $997, to which we can see a decline.
Only when the trend changes direction will ETH have to face resistance levels at $1,889, then $2,151, and then $2,560 before we see any major upward movements.
The Stoch RSI indicator shows us moving along a line where we could previously observe strong price rebounds, while the RSI indicator itself, taking into account the interval of one weekend, shows us approaching the level we last touched during the bear market bottom.
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time
Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices...
The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable:
First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom.
Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse.
Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840.
Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500
Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN I H1 CLS within Daily CLS I Model 2 I 50% TP1 and HoldHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
LTC Targets $70: A High-Probability Reversal SetupLitecoin (LTC) has just broken below the critical $80 low, signaling that bearish pressure is firmly in control. Currently trading at $79—just beneath the swing low at $80—LTC is also sitting below the monthly open at $82.98. With the bears flexing their dominance, traders are left wondering: Where does the price head next? What’s the target for the bears, and where can bulls find an opportunity to re-enter the market? Let’s dive into the charts, pinpoint the key levels, and craft a plan that could turn this downturn into a golden opportunity.
The Current Market Picture
LTC’s recent breach of $80 confirms the bearish momentum that’s been brewing since its peak at $147.06 on December 5, 2024. Litecoin enjoyed a stellar 122-day bullish run, soaring +195% from $49.80 to high at $147.06. Now, we’re on the 122nd day of a downtrend—a poetic symmetry that hints at a potential turning point. The question is: where will this descent find its floor, and how can we position ourselves for what’s next?
Support Zone: The $70 Fortress
To identify a robust support zone, we need confluence—multiple technical factors aligning to form a level that’s tough to crack. Here’s what the chart reveals:
Fibonacci Retracement: Using the Fib tool from the 2024 low at $49.80 to the high at $147.06, the 0.618 retracement at $86.95 has already been lost, turning our focus to the 0.786 level at $70.61. This deep retracement is a classic spot for reversals, making it a prime candidate for a support zone.
Yearly Level: At $70.14, this pivot is nearly identical to the 0.786 Fib level, adding significant weight to the area.
Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC) from a 1.5-year trading range sits right around $70, just above the Fib level. This is the price with the highest traded volume over that period—a natural magnet for price action.
Yearly Order Block: Visualized as a green channel, this order block reinforces the $70 zone, suggesting past institutional buying interest or significant support.
Together, these factors create a $70 support zone that’s brimming with confluence. It’s not just a random level—it’s a fortress where bulls could mount a serious stand.
Long Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy: Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to build your position. Start with small buys around $75, laddering down to $70, and increase your position size as price nears the core of the support zone. Aim for an average entry of $73/72.
Stop Loss (SL): Set it below $68 to protect against a deeper breakdown while giving the trade room to breathe.
Take Profit (TP): First Target: $80 (the swing low and monthly open not far off). Main Target: $100 (a key psychological and resistance zone).
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With an average entry at $73 and SL at $68, you’re risking $5 to gain $27 (to $100)—a stellar 5:1 R:R or better. This is a high-probability setup that rewards patience.
Execution Tip: Watch for bullish signals in the $70-$75 range—candlestick pattern, volume spikes, or RSI divergence. This isn’t about chasing; it’s about precision.
Resistance Zone: The $100 Battleground
If bulls reclaim control and push LTC higher, the $100 psychological level looms as a major resistance zone. Here’s why it’s a HOTSPOT:
Yearly Open: At $103.28, this level is close enough to $100 to bolster its significance.
Anchored VWAP: Drawn from the 2024 low at $49.80, the VWAP currently sits around $102.4, adding another layer of resistance.
Historical Context: The $100 mark has been a recurring battleground, with bulls and bears clashing repeatedly. It’s a price that carries weight.
A rally to $100 wouldn’t just be a recovery—it’d be a statement. A clean break above could hint at a broader trend reversal, but until then, it’s a ceiling to respect.
What’s Next? Bears vs. Bulls
For now, the bears are driving LTC lower, with the break below $80 opening the door to the $70 support zone. That’s their likely target—a level where selling pressure could exhaust itself. For bulls, $70 isn’t just a floor; it’s a launchpad. The DCA long setup offers a low-risk, high-reward entry.
Wrapping It Up
Litecoin’s drop from $147.06 to $79 has been brutal, but the chart is screaming opportunity. The $70 zone—backed by Fibonacci, levels, volume, and order blocks—is where bulls could turn the tide. With a DCA entry at around $73/72, SL below $68, and a main target at $100, you’ve got a trade setup that could deliver a 5:1 payoff. Meanwhile, $100 stands as the bears’ next big test if momentum shifts.
So, will you wait for LTC to hit $70 and strike, or watch the action unfold? The levels are clear—now it’s your move. Use this analysis to sharpen your edge, and let’s see where Litecoin takes us in the days, weeks, and months ahead.
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If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know, I’m here to break down the charts you want to see.
Happy trading =)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis
This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C.
Current Market Structure:
Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone.
Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102–100, which could serve as a decision point.
Two scenarios are in play:
1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher.
2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00–92.50, completing Wave C.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893
Immediate Support: 100.00–102.00
Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00–92.50
Current Price: 102.892
Elliott Wave View:
The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse.
Conclusion:
The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100–102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90–92.50 zone.
Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low)
Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target)
Current Price: 1.0959
Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350
Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management.
Current Scenario:
Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress.
If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
SGDMYR Short: Completed 3-waves correction upThere are a handful of macroeconomic reasons for Singapore dollar to weaken against the Malaysian Ringgit, but I'll point out only the First EW counts here. As you can see, I've drawn the wave down in 5 waves and the wave up in 3 waves. That is the wave A and wave B respectively. And so I will be expecting a 5-wave wave C down. A 1-to-1 measurement will bring this currency pair below 3.0.
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction.
Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Has Bitcoin completed its multi-year leading diagonal?When we look at the all-time history index, could it be that we've reached the end of a 15-year journey with this last peak?
If the last peak represents our 5th wave impulse and is part of a larger leading diagonal, we can consider the entire diagonal—from Bitcoin's starting point at zero to the final peak—as the first impulse. After that, a correction labeled as wave 2 should follow. This correction would likely unfold in an ABC structure over the years and, if it retraces to a possible 0.236 Fibonacci level, we could accept the bottom price to be around $26,000.
I can almost hear you asking, "Could it really drop that much?" In a global environment of uncertainty, with stocks taking such a hit, why not? Perhaps this is just the beginning—who knows?
On the weekly chart, our potential swing high price is the last peak at $109,500. The confirmed swing low is at $49,500. If the price closes below $49,500 on a weekly basis, it would indicate a change of character, which would be one of the strongest signals that we could see lower prices. After that, I'm not sure whether we will stop at the 0.382 Fibonacci level of $42,000 or the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $26,000. This expectation is for the long term. The price won't drop to these levels immediately, of course. Currently, we are in the A part of this ABC correction. The B wave upwards may come when the price reaches $49,500, and then we will discuss the $42,000 and $26,000 levels during the C correction. As time goes on, it will be easier to pinpoint the exact levels using micro Elliott wave counts.
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS , KL - Order Block, Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
GBP/USD: The Make-Or-Break Zone”GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, pushing toward the key resistance zone between 1.33000–1.36000. However, a short-term correction may occur before the next leg higher.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.27983
Resistance Zone (Target): 1.33000–1.36000
Invalidation Level of Bullish Trend: 1.22544
Bearish Scenario: If 1.22544 breaks, eyes on 1.13843
The structure supports bullish continuation unless price breaks below 1.22544. Stay patient and look for clean entries post-correction.
EUR/USD Ready Again?EUR/USD looks set for a bullish continuation as it moves into wave 5 of wave C. After completing wave 4, price is expected to rally toward the 1.18000–1.20000 zone.
Wave Structure Outlook:
Wave 3: Completed
Wave 4: Correction in progress
Wave 5 Target: 1.18000+ zone
Invalidation Level: 1.04216
As long as price holds above the invalidation level, the bullish count remains valid. Watch for price action confirmation to join the rally.