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Fibonacci

US Dollar Into Resistance on China Tariff Agreement- First TestNews of a preliminary trade agreement between the U.S. and China fueled a rally of more than 1.1% in the US Dollar with the index surging into confluent downtrend resistance today at 101.77/92 - a region defined by the objective September high and the high-day close (HDC). A topside breach / close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / invalidate the February downtrend. Near-term bullish invalidation now raised to 99.96 with a breach here exposing 102.95/99 and the 200-day moving average into 104.04/30 . Keep in mind we have U.S. CPI on tap tomorrow. Review my latest US Dollar Short-term Outlook for a closer look at the near-term DXY technical trade levels. -MB
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
Is Citigroup (C) the Most Undervalued Big Bank Right Now?🔥Let’s talk numbers: 🧮 P/E: 9.78x 💸 P/S: 0.66x That’s deep value — Wall Street’s sleeping on this one. While everyone's chasing AI, Citigroup is trading at garage sale prices. 🧠 The Setup: If you're into swing plays with strong R/R and macro upside, C is worth a look. 🔑 Entry Zones: 1️⃣ Market price — for early bulls 2️⃣ $55 — breakout confirmation 3️⃣ $48 — bargain bin steal 🎯 Targets: TP1: $70 🟢 TP2: $78 🚀 TP3: $84 💰 💬 Why it matters: Citi has been lagging behind peers like JPM, but it’s still a beast. If the Fed holds or cuts, banks could catch a serious bid — and this one’s ready to pop from a value base. 📌 Watching volume at $55 and any macro shifts as catalysts. 👀 Don’t ignore this one just because it’s not trending. That’s where smart money hides. 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing ideas and setups I’m watching. Always do your own research and manage your risk. #Citigroup #C #Undervalu #Citigroup #C #UndervaluedStocks #SwingTrade #TradingSetup #DeepValue #Banking #PEratio #SmartMoneyMoves #StockMarket #Financials #Watchlist
NYSE:CLong
by Robert_V12
1
BTC - long squeezeI'll be truthful I don't think the expression "long squeeze" is a real thing - but it should be! Daily TF Next level down i think is 98K should the local support @ 102K break. 0.5 fib puts us at 89K / a touch on a macro uptrend / touching a key price point where BTC has oscillated for several months. This move would accomplish a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap. If this happens it could be a fantastic long opportunity. If prices sees continuation to the downside the 618 would be the next natural retracement level but would result in a break below said macro uptrend and thus could create a macro bearish move - 67K would be my guess.
by Strength_in_numbers
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance. Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k. Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588. Trade Setups Short – SFP Breakdown Trigger: 4H close below $103 345 Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest SL: $105 500 (above swing high) TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586  RR ≈ 0.7 TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613  RR ≈ 2.6 Long – Fib Rebound Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613 SL: $99 300 (below FVG) TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145  RR ≈ 2.7 TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588  RR ≈ 6.8
Long
by mikavehns
5
SUI Pullback in Motion — Here’s Where the Smart Money Loads UpSUI is showing signs of exhaustion after failing to convincingly reclaim recent highs. Today’s price action delivered a strong clue: a sweep of the key high at $4.274 followed by a sharp rejection — Swing Failure Pattern (SFP). Momentum is fading as volume dries up, and bulls have lost control of major levels: ❌ Yearly Open at $4.1225 ❌ Weekly Level at $4.0921 This suggests a deeper correction may be underway before SUI can attempt another leg higher. 📌 Liquidity & Fib Levels in Focus There’s still significant liquidity resting below the $3.80 zone — and the market often seeks to sweep such areas before reversing. Taking the Fib retracement from the $3.12 low to the $4.2989 high, we can identify two critical zones for a potential long entry: 0.5 Fib Retracement → $3.7095 This level not only sits just below the $3.80 liquidity shelf but also provides a strong technical anchor. If SUI finds support here, it could offer a solid long opportunity. 🎯 Trade Setup from the 0.5 Fib ($3.7095) Entry: Around $3.71 Stop-Loss: $3.612 Target 1: $3.90 → R:R ≈ 2:1 Target 2: $4.587 (0.786 Fib Retracement) → R:R ≈ 9:1 Key Note: Watch the volume on the bounce — strong reaction = continuation potential; weak reaction = deeper retrace risk 🔸 Golden Pocket (0.618–0.666) Zone → $3.57-$3.52 If the 0.5 Fib bounce fails or lacks volume confirmation, price may dig deeper into the golden pocket — a historically strong reversal area. This zone becomes your next high-probability long setup to monitor. 🧠 Summary & Strategy SUI showed rejection via SFP at key high ($4.274) Lacking volume for immediate continuation Next key long opportunity: $3.71 (0.5 Fib), SL at $3.612 If weak, watch $3.57 (golden pocket) as secondary entry R:R potential ranges from 2:1 up to 9:1 depending on bounce strength Let price come to you. Monitor reactions at each zone and don’t trade blindly into weakness. This is where patience and precision pay off. 💡 ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
10
Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward. Current Context Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high. HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177. Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce. The Golden Support Zone All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725: The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17. The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies. The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor. Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP. This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long. Long Trade Setup Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014. Aim to average in around $0.1725. Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17 Scaling Your Exits First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R. Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R. Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader. Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume. Short Trade Setup For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy: Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339. Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone. Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence. Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high. By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts! Key Takeaways Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone. Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry. Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly. Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing! With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline. Happy Trading! ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
14
Stock Watch: AXP (American Express Co.) 🚨 We're eyeing AXP for a strategic multi-entry swing trade based on strong technical structure and long-term potential. Here's the plan: 📌 Entry Points: 1️⃣ $248 – First touch on short-term support 2️⃣ $234 – Healthy correction zone 3️⃣ $219 – Strong base of demand 🔻 Deeper Load Zone: $195 – Long-term trendline + major accumulation area 💰 Profit Targets: ✅ $285 – Previous resistance / key breakout level ✅ $300 – Psychological barrier & momentum zone ✅ $310+ – Blue sky potential 🚀 This laddered entry strategy gives us great risk management while maximizing upside. AXP remains a solid name with strong fundamentals, making it a low-volatility winner in volatile markets. 📊 Ideal for patient traders and swing setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All investments involve risk. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NYSE:AXPLong
by Robert_V12
3
The Hidden Gem of 2025?🚀 LUMN: From Legacy Telecom to AI Powerhouse Once dismissed as a dying telecom dinosaur, Lumen Technologies (LUMN) has staged a jaw-dropping comeback. With a 700%+ rally since early 2024, the company has caught fire — not from hope, but from $8 billion in AI-related infrastructure contracts with the likes of Google, Amazon, and Meta. Now trading around $4.39, LUMN has flipped the script. It’s generating real free cash flow ($1.39B), trimming massive losses, and leveraging one of the largest fiber networks in the U.S. to fuel the AI boom. With analysts slowly waking up (Citi just upgraded it to Buy), the window for smart entries is still open — but closing fast. 📊 Suggested Trade Setup 🎯 Entry Points (based on volatility and fib levels): ✅ $ market price ✅ $3.60 – Strong technical & breakout retest zone ✅ $2.90 – Deep correction buy (high risk/high reward) 🏆 Profit Targets: 📈 TP1: $5.50 – short-term resistance 🚀 TP2: $6.80 – 2023 volume node 🌕 TP3: $8.50+ – AI sentiment & asset monetization rally 📌 Final Thoughts LUMN isn’t a safe blue chip — it’s a high-volatility, high-reward AI infrastructure sleeper. But if you're willing to embrace the risk, the upside could be explosive. With real contracts, real cash flow, and a transformative story, this may just be one of 2025’s most unexpected comeback plays. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future result
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Robert_V12
SOL Hits Major Resistance — Patience Over FOMOOne of the most common mistakes traders make—especially in fast-moving markets—is jumping into trades impulsively at major resistance. It feels exciting when price is surging, but ironically, this is often where risk is highest and reward is most limited. Why? Because historical resistance zones—like the $175–$183 region on SOL—tend to attract heavy sell pressure. These are levels where many past buyers look to exit, where smart money hunts liquidity, and where false breakouts are most common. Without volume confirmation and a proper retest, breakouts through such zones often fail. That’s why experienced traders wait. The smarter approach is to let the market come to you, and only act when one of two things happens: A pullback into a well-defined, confluence-rich support zone A clean breakout above resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation SOL has respected structure beautifully, but now is not the time to chase. Either wait for a healthy correction into support, or let price prove its strength through a confirmed breakout. No trade is also a trade — and capital preservation is the foundation of long-term success. Patience isn’t passive — it’s a strategy. Let the market come to your desired levels. You don't need to catch every move, only the high-probability trades and there aren’t born from impulse — they’re built on patience, structure, and right timing. 💎 Technical Breakdown SOL has entered a major resistance zone between $175 and $183 — a historically significant level respected for over a year. Within this zone lie two key highs: $179.85: Recently swept with a clean Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) $180.52: Still untested — if broken, it would confirm a strong bullish continuation Breaking through such a well-established resistance on the first attempt is uncommon — it typically requires momentum and structure. A rejection here would suggest that SOL needs a healthy correction before mustering the strength for a true breakout. 📉 Elliott Wave Count Looking at the structure, we’ve completed a 5-wave sequence — signaling the potential end of this impulse leg. According to Elliott Wave Theory, a corrective phase is now expected before continuation. 📐 Additional Confluence: Fib Speed Fan The 0.618 Fib Speed Fan — drawn from the all-time high at $295.83 to the swing low at $95.26 — aligns perfectly with this resistance zone, adding more weight to the idea of a potential rejection or pause. 🟢 Long Setup: The Next High-Probability Entry Zone We now shift our focus to where the next long opportunity could arise. Here’s the technical confluence: Anchored VWAP from the recent low at $141.41 sits at $164.70 4H bullish order block around $164.46 0.382 Fib retracement of the full 5-wave impulse: $165.42 0.412 Fib retracement: $164.25 All these levels converge in a tight band, providing a solid long entry zone between: Long Entry Zone: $165.50 to $164.25 Stop-Loss: Below $160 (to protect against any deep wick) Targets: TP1: $171.75 (Point of Control from the range) TP2: $180.00 (resistance retest) TP3: $200.00 (psychological level) Estimated R:R: ~6:1 — High-conviction setup Bonus: If price returns to this $165 zone within 24 hours, it will also be supported by the 0.618 Speed Fan — adding one more layer of support. 🔴 Short Setup: Reversal Play at $200 For those watching from the sidelines or looking to fade the rally, the psychological level at $200 presents a strong short opportunity — but only on confirmation (e.g., SFP or bearish engulfing). Short Entry: On rejection at $200 Stop-Loss: $206.10 Target: $187.00 Estimated R:R: ~2:1 🧠 Summary: Completed 5-wave structure → potential correction phase underway Strong resistance at $175–$183 with SFP and speed fan alignment High-probability long setup at $165.5–$164.25 with multi-layered confluence Potential short at $200 on confirmation ⚠️ Key Takeaway: Don’t Chase the Highs This is where many traders slip — FOMOing into trades at major resistance. Please, don’t do it. Instead, wait for: A pullback into well-defined support (like the $165 zone), or A clean breakout above $180, followed by a confirmed retest ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Short
by SiDec
24
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757 The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal. Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement. Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
Short
by AndeWave
14