Fibonacci
relief pumpSeems like election bull was already priced in, new money got washed.
Bonds are making a comeback, cash is a position.
Expecting more downturn after a relief pump, coinciding with yields retracement.
Yields trending with equity price are usually signs of either economical expansion or economical fears, such as slowdown or recession, during up and downs. The markets just jumped from one narrative to the other:
expansion(trump gets in office) ---> slowdown(tariffs imposed)
I think the expansion narrative will take a while to settle back(end of Q2 at least) after all the executive orders signed.
Although, I'm still long for the month of March, nice opportunity for a relief pump, before resuming of slowdown narrative.
Johnson and Johnson Falling Off a Cliff. JNJA much larger ABCDE formation is complete, not pivoting back to gravity. There is confirmation with MIDAS cross of price action with supporting of RSX exiting OBOS area and VZO/Stoch duo being bearish divergent for some time now. The incoming stream could be a tumultous C Wave impulse to the bears, if Elliott is to be believed.
Reversal To The Long on Meta Platforms. METAThe previous ides on short was very profitable and I believe that we are facing a local reversal here based on price action and volatility , stochastic indicators below. This is a within one candlestick set up, so relatively risky. And yet most pivot setups are.
Gold’s Next Move: A Pullback Before the Breakout?🔵 Current Market Overview: Gold in Consolidation
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range following a strong bullish impulse, as seen in the highlighted zone on the chart. This phase of sideways movement suggests that the market is gathering momentum before the next major move. Consolidation typically occurs when buyers and sellers are in temporary equilibrium, and a breakout or pullback often follows.
Despite this consolidation, gold remains fundamentally strong, largely due to macroeconomic factors and global uncertainties. The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been increasing, which has contributed to its strong performance. However, before continuing higher, gold might seek liquidity at lower levels, triggering a retracement before the next leg up.
📉 Technical Analysis: Why a Pullback is Likely
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Support Line – A rising trendline acts as a strong dynamic support level, aligning with potential retracement zones.
Golden Pocket Zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci Retracement) – A historically significant level where price often reverses.
Local Resistance (Consolidation Range) – The price is struggling to break out of this range, indicating that liquidity may still need to be gathered at lower levels.
🔹 Expected Price Action
Gold is currently consolidating, meaning price is moving sideways after a large bullish impulse.
A retracement towards the golden pocket and trendline support is a high-probability scenario before gold resumes its uptrend.
Once the price reaches this zone, we can anticipate a strong bounce if buyers step in, aligning with the overall bullish momentum in the market.
🔹 Confluence Factors Supporting This Setup
Trendline & Fibonacci Alignment – The golden pocket overlaps with a key trendline, adding extra support.
Liquidity Zones – Large players often push price lower before a continuation to shake out weak hands.
Market Structure – A classic bullish retracement before continuation upwards.
⚡ Fundamental Strength of Gold
While technical analysis points to a short-term retracement, the broader macroeconomic landscape supports gold’s long-term strength.
🌍 Key Fundamental Factors Driving Gold’s Strength
Global Economic Uncertainty – Ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central bank policies are increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Inflation & Interest Rates – Central banks’ policies regarding interest rates significantly affect gold. With concerns about inflation still present, gold continues to attract investors looking for stability.
Stock Market Volatility – As riskier assets experience turbulence, gold remains a favored hedge against economic instability.
Institutional Demand – Central banks and large financial institutions have been increasing their gold reserves, adding to its bullish outlook.
Given these factors, gold’s long-term trajectory remains bullish, but short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market movement.
✅ Trade Strategy & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Plan
Wait for price to retrace into the golden pocket zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fib retracement) before entering a long position.
Look for bullish confirmation signals such as reversal candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing, etc.), increased buying volume, or RSI divergence.
Consider a staggered entry approach, scaling into the trade as confirmation builds.
🔹 Risk Management
Stop-loss placement: Below the golden pocket and key support levels to allow room for volatility while protecting capital.
Position sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Potential invalidation: If price breaks below the golden pocket zone and fails to recover, reconsider the setup.
🔹 Take-Profit Targets
First target: Recent highs around $2,920 - $2,930
Second target: Potential breakout above $2,950+ if bullish momentum continues.
Final target: Depending on momentum and market conditions, gold could push towards new all-time highs.
Conclusion:
This trade setup presents a compelling opportunity for a high-probability pullback and bounce trade. Gold remains fundamentally strong, but a short-term retracement to a key technical level is likely before resuming its uptrend.
By waiting for price to reach the golden pocket and support zone, traders can position themselves for a high-reward trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As always, proper risk management is essential to navigate market volatility effectively.
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Gold is about to plunge, stick to short positions!Bros, Good morning,I made it very clear yesterday that 2935-2945 is definitely a good opportunity to sell gold. I still stick to my point of view and insist on holding my short position.
To be honest, the continuity of the market news stimulating the rise of gold is not strong. After the rise of gold hits 2946, it faces the suppression of the previous high near 2955. With the current momentum of gold, it is impossible to break through the high suppression area in one go. Even if it is to accumulate more momentum for a breakthrough, gold will have a deep need to step back to the 2920-2910 zone. So I remain positive on short positions in the short term.
In addition, it is particularly important to note that gold is facing high pressure, and there may be many temptations to do long signals. Now you must keep a clear mind and not be confused by the temptation signals. When you chase long gold at a high position, once gold retreats, you may be deeply trapped and it will be difficult to get out!
Do you think gold will fall back to the 2920-2910 zone as expected? Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
GOLD → Retest of 2926 before a possible breakout. CPI aheadGold is rising after long-squeeze and consolidating at the top of the 2926 - 2893 range, which is generally a hint that the market is getting ready to break resistance. But it all depends on CPI
Traders awaiting US CPI data. The dollar is partially recovering before the news, which is holding back gold, which continues to consolidate in front of 2921, but weak inflation data may push prices up again.
New trade measures as part of Trump's tariff war and geopolitical tensions are having an additional impact. The negative part for the markets presents the lack of a clear position of the leaders of the countries and constantly changing opinions: then they specify tariffs, then cancel them. Inadequate swings in the markets.
Resistance levels: 2920, 2926
Support levels: 2910, 2905, 2893
Emphasis on 2926, breakdown of this level will trigger a bullish rally. Now the price is trying to get out of the local consolidation to test 2926, from which a small correction is possible before another breakout. The focus on CPI, weak data may support further price growth.
Regards R. Linda!
QUICKUSDT → Pending a false breakout of resistanceBINANCE:QUICKUSDT is forming counter-trend movement to the resistance of the range - 0.02957. A false breakdown of the key level is formed against the background of the downtrend
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing bad times. While bitcoin is testing new lows - 76K, altcoins are cutting through to find another bottom.
QUICK stands out in this picture, testing a strong resistance (liquidity) zone 0.02845 - 0.02957 and forming a false breakout.
BUT! in the morning session bitcoin strengthens after a strong fall and can pull the whole market up with it. Thus, before the further fall another attempt to retest 0.02953 or update the tail of the false breakout at 0.03000 (0.7fibo) is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.0285, 0.02953, 0.0300.
Support levels: 0.0243, 0.02118
If the next resistance retest ends in a false breakdown and price consolidation under 0.02957, QUICK coin may continue its decline in the short and medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Daily Bullish DivergenceAs the bitcoin price made a LL but the RSI on daily TF made a HL, which gives it a very bullish divergence, but as the price still is below the 200 daily MA , it can goes fall to about 76k but Im not expecting the RSI make a LL, which gives us another bullish divergence.
Gold Price Analysis – Elliott Wave PerspectiveCurrent Market Structure
The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse (labeled in blue and red), indicating the end of a bullish cycle.
A corrective W-X-Y pattern is developing, with price action currently in the X wave phase.
A potential retracement towards the 2,882 – 2,877 support zone (50% retracement level) is expected before a strong upward move.
Trading Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If price reacts positively near the 2,877 – 2,882 support area, it could trigger a rally towards 2,950 and beyond.
Bearish Risk: If the correction extends beyond 2,855, further downside may unfold.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a corrective phase, but the Elliott Wave structure suggests an upcoming bullish move. Traders should monitor key support levels and price reactions before making entries.
BTCUSDT Major supports and resistances after FallWe were expecting this fall from 108K$ and now most of target almost hit:
Now we can expect maybe some range here for a while near 77K$ support zone and soon after that more fall is also expected or if the red trendline break to the upside then market is again bullish.
Major supports now:
A. 78000$
B. 72000$
C. 69000$
Major Resistances now:
A. 85000$
B. 89000$
C. 93000$
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Where will gold go after the CPI news? Gold price trends today, The US CPI data yesterday was 2.8%, compared to the previous month's 3%, showing a slight decrease of 0.2%. This has led investors to strongly anticipate that the Fed will cut interest rates twice in 2025.
Our next trading plan, following the successful trading session on March 11th, will be:
Buy when the price has formed a peak and retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (20930-2933). SL (Stop Loss): 5 points, TP (Take Profit): open.
Aggressive Buy when the price is more favorable in the Fibonacci (38.2%-50%) zone (2920-2925). SL: 5 points, TP: Open (maximum of 3 orders for this zone)
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - 1H Market Analysis📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - 1H Market Analysis
🔹 Current Price: $82,867
🔹 Market Structure: Price approaching a key supply zone after bullish correction.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Supply Zone:
🔺 $84,747 - $85,531 (Potential Rejection Area)
🔻 Demand Zone:
🟢 $74,000 - $77,500 (High Probability Buy Zone)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
🔸 If BTC breaks and holds above $85,531, further upside potential may be unlocked.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
🔸 A rejection from the $84,747 - $85,531 zone could trigger a downward move towards $77,554 and $74,002.
💡 Trading Plan:
🎯 Sell Setup: Look for confirmations at the supply zone.
🎯 Buy Setup: Potential long entries at $74,000 - $77,500.
🎯 Risk Management: Set stop-loss based on key structure levels.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #FXFOREVER 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) - 15M Market Outlook📉 Gold (XAU/USD) - 15M Market Outlook
🔹 Current Price: $2,937
🔹 Market Structure: Price testing key retracement levels after a strong bullish move.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support Zones:
✅ $2,932 - $2,925 (Potential Buy Zone)
✅ $2,910 - $2,906 (Strong Demand Area)
🔻 Resistance Zones:
🚀 $2,946 - $2,953 (Next Target if Bulls Gain Control)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
🔸 A bounce from the Fibonacci retracement zones could push gold towards $2,946 - $2,953.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
🔸 A break below $2,925 may trigger a deeper pullback towards $2,910 - $2,906.
💡 Trading Plan:
🎯 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation at key demand zones.
🎯 Sell Setup: A break of $2,925 may signal further downside.
🎯 Risk Management: Use stop-losses below support zones.
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FXFOREVER 🚀
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19637.25
- PR Low: 19567.50
- NZ Spread: 155.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
AMP margins temporarily increased for tomorrow economic events
- Previous session closed as inside print
- Auction returning to previous session low (closed bullish)
- Advertising rotation back to Tuesday's lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/13)
- Session Open ATR: 484.58
- Volume: 37K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
DOLLAR I Weekly CLS, KL - MIFVG, Consolidation to reversalHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
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Bitcoin Full InterconnectednessIn fractal analysis the randomness of price levels can be justified with the chart's historic HL coordinates.
We'll use the old structure below as a base for further cycle breakdown.
There are another two fib lines derived from angled trends, the fibs of which rhyme with chaos behind price action and cycle formation:
Steep fibs determine timing of high volatility change:
Note that they rhymed with other fib local wave measurement:
2013 ATH ⇨ Covid19 low related to pre-covid local high determines exact levels of support and resistance during the correction of pandemic fueled bullrun
What also deserves attention here is that direction of fibs which acted as support around 2019 and covid19 drop produces curve which mimics the support levels of 2023 growth.
So crossing below the support curve would be seen as first sign of bear market. Till that it has a time for growth justified by chart-based parabolic curve.
2 fibs derived from chart shows a decade of price & time interconnectedness which adds validity of the colored base structure.
This is important for scaling the fractal and estimating the boundaries of growth distinctive to the historic cycles.
[EL Gold] Risk-Reward ratio 3 - Bullish Breakout The price has been consolidating between 2,895 - 2,929, suggesting a range-bound movement.
The 0.618 Fibonacci level (2,908 - 2,910) is acting as a pivot area, where the price has reacted multiple times.
If price breaks and closes above 2,930, it could confirm bullish momentum towards 2,956.
Bullish Breakout & Retest (Buy Setup)
Scenario: If price breaks above 2,930, retests as support, and forms a bullish continuation pattern.
Entry Price: 2,930 - 2931 (after retest would be better)
Stop Loss: 2,923
Take Profit
TP1: 2,945 (Minor resistance)
TP2: 2,956 (Previous Swing High)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Risking ~7-10 pips for ~21-30 pips profit)
Check my profile for high win rate trade signals and strategies.