Fibonacci
GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell.
Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech
Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055
Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055.
Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout
The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility.
Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone.
Resistance levels: 0.84600
Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396
The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout).
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bulls Defend Support: Is a Sell-Off Still Possible?A Major Support Zone Holds Once Again
Bitcoin just tapped into a key 4-hour support level, a zone where price has repeatedly bounced in the past. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, with buyers stepping in each time price reaches it. What makes this level even more significant is that it perfectly aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical area where price often finds support before continuing its trend.
As expected, BTC reacted strongly upon reaching this zone, showing a sharp rejection and bounce to the upside. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this area, and as long as we hold above this level, the probability of a move higher remains strong.
A Huge Imbalance Zone Above – Where Is BTC Likely Headed?
Looking ahead, the most interesting aspect of this setup is the large imbalance zone sitting above the current price. When price moves rapidly in one direction without much consolidation, it creates an inefficiency or imbalance in the market. These imbalances tend to get filled over time as price naturally retraces back to these areas.
In this case, there’s a significant imbalance above us, making it highly likely that Bitcoin will push higher in the coming sessions to correct this inefficiency. I’m targeting at least a 50% fill of this imbalance zone, as this is typically where price starts to show some reaction. This would put BTC at a critical decision point where we could either see further upside or a rejection back down.
If buyers remain in control, we could see Bitcoin fully filling this imbalance, which would push price towards the 84-85K range, a key area to watch for potential reversals.
What If Bitcoin Loses This Key Support?
While the current reaction from support looks promising, we always need to consider the bearish scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold this golden pocket level and strong support zone, it could open the door for a much deeper retracement.
In this case, BTC could drop significantly, with the next major support sitting around the $72K level. This area represents a critical demand zone where buyers would likely step in more aggressively. A breakdown toward $72K would also signal a much larger corrective move within the broader trend, possibly shifting market sentiment in favor of bears.
What Comes Next?
Right now, Bitcoin is at a crucial point. The bounce from support suggests bullish strength, but the key test will be whether BTC can sustain this momentum and push into the imbalance zone. If we see a clean move into this area, I’ll be watching for potential short setups, as price often struggles to break through these zones in one attempt.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold above this golden pocket and key support, the next logical move would be a retest of the $72K region, where buyers will have another chance to defend the trend.
For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting at least a partial fill of the imbalance before any major rejection. Let’s see how price action develops in the coming sessions!
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EOS price analysis⁉️ Do you know which asset has been growing instead of falling for 3 weeks now?)
Yes, it's #EOS
You will say that its price simply has nowhere to fall, and you will probably be right again!)
Although it is still very far from 0, it was once the largest ICO in 2017, if memory serves, it raised $4 billion.
8 years have passed and #EOS capitalization does not even reach $1 billion.
In general, the price of OKX:EOSUSDT moves quite well between levels, so you can use them from the chart for your trading.
Or just continue to wait patiently for the #EOSUSD price to reach $0.70, $1, or even $1.40 again.
🤑 But with even the most optimistic forecasts, we have very little faith that the price of #EOS will reach more than $6 in this growth cycle.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025 📉
🔹 Current Price: $83,131.28
🔹 Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones (Resistance Levels):
🔴 $83,688.08 – Immediate resistance
🔴 $85,287.31 – Major supply zone
📌 Key Demand Zone (Support Level):
⚫ $81,523.24 – Potential downside target
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC faces rejection at $83,688.08, it could trigger a sell-off towards $81,523.24, making it a crucial level for further movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $85,287.31 could lead to further bullish momentum and new highs.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for confirmation at $83,688.08 before entering short positions.
✅ Use proper risk management strategies.
✅ Keep an eye on $81,523.24 as a potential reversal zone.
#FXFOREVER #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
Nifty 50 - Potential Reversal or Further Weakness?The Nifty 50 index has formed a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, which generally indicates a bullish reversal. However, there are key levels to watch before confirming the next move.
Key Observations:
Support Levels:
The 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 22,937 is a crucial support.
The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 22,717 is another key demand zone.
A break below these levels may invalidate the bullish setup and push Nifty towards 22,400 or lower.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is near 23,157 (38.2% Fib level).
A strong breakout above 23,430 (23.6% Fib) could open the door for a retest of 23,870 and beyond.
Volume & Confirmation:
Increasing volume at the lows suggests strong buyer interest.
A confirmed breakout with volume above 23,200-23,400 will strengthen the bullish case.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario: If Nifty holds above 22,717, we may see an upward move towards 23,400+.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 22,700 could accelerate selling pressure, with 22,400-22,000 as the next support zones.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 18698.00
- PR Low: 18588.25
- NZ Spread: 245.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
11:25 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
AMP margins remains increased but lowered to 25%
- Value decline continues, dipping into 18400s inventory
- Auction holding just below previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 4/4)
- Session Open ATR: 482.31
- Volume: 48K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -18.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18106
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
TECHM | can be buy with a tight stop-loss.If the stop-loss hits, no worries, we just have to follow the plan and try again.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in stocks can be risky and may result in loss of capital.
Jasmy to rally to between $0.35-$0.50 at the peak of bull cycleJasmy token has been caught between 2 pivot zones. The price is currently in the support zone between $0.008 and $0.012 . This zone must be defended on a weekly closing basis.
To the upside is resistance between $0.048 and $0.07. Breaking above this resistance, on a weekly closing basis, will likely result in Jasmy pumping up to test the 100% Fib retracement at $0.35 and target 2 at $0.50 . Both targets are over 100x from the 2022 bear market bottom at $0.00273. At a price of $0.35, the FDV market cap will be $17.5 billion.
In order to resume the bull market,
Bitcoin and Ethereum must reach new ATH. Altcoins will follow.
Global M2 money supply has recently hit ATH. This is bullish for crypto.
Tariff fears will subside. Nations will make deals with the US and tariffs may be dialed back.
The federal reserve tentatively plans to cut rates 2 times in 2025.
4 sentiment metrics show historic levels of fear, which have resulted in major market bottoms. When too many people think the same thing, price likely reverses to the other direction.
The Alternative BKNY AnalysisHere is the alternative analysis for my earlier BK Assessment.
Instead of being near the end of a Primary wave 1 in Cycle A of a Supercycle set to last into 2027, we could be in:
Wave 3 of C of a corrective wave
---- or ----
Wave 3 of 3 of A of a corrective wave that will completely (waves A-C) finish within a year
---- or ----
Wave 3 of 3 of 1 of A of a large corrective wave that will complete in or after 2027.
This stock is currently triggering wave 3 signals which means more near-term downside is highly likely.
ETH/USDT:UPDATEHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had, a head and shoulders pattern has formed within the specified support range, indicating the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
DOGE/USDT:BUY...Hello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, considering the price growth indicates the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
SEI/USDT:BUY LIMITHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, the price has been able to create higher ceilings and floors.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Will start longs at 516I think SPY is going down to 516 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) and could go down to 485 (0.500 Fibonacci retracement). I will start taking long positions again at 516. Back in 2022 there was a 0.500 Fibonacci retracement where SPY went from 479 to 348 but I know people have short memories.
More downside for BK?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 5 and around the end of Minor wave 3.
The overall target bottom for Intermediate wave 5 and simultaneously Primary wave 1 is below Intermediate wave 3's low of 79.2315 from 12 March 2025. A movement extension to target is 78.00738 (114.59%) or 77.3584 (123.607%) and is depicted by the far right levels and percentages. Intermediate wave 3 was 31 trading hours long. The application of Fibonacci percentages to 31 trading hours is displayed by the vertical lines. The green vertical line represents the start of wave 5. The solid yellow line is 31 bars (100% of wave 3's trading hours). 161% and 261% are the light blue dotted lines thereafter. The current target bottom is around midday on 10 April.
If we are currently in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5, the target bottoms are 80.2234 (114.59%) or 79.5333 (138.197%) and depicted by the middle levels and percentages. The hourly chart is currently in the middle of signaling wave 3 which likely means we are looking to finish Minor wave 3 with today's close or within the first hour of trading tomorrow. As of the open tomorrow Minor wave 3 would only be 13 hours long which is shorter than wave 1. This likely means Minor wave 5 will be 13 hours or less whenever it begins.
I will begin more specific calculations on Primary wave 2's top once we finished Primary wave 1 likely next week. The very preliminary estimate if Primary wave 1 ends around 11:30 on 10 April would have seen Primary wave 1 last 198 trading hours and drop nearly 13.00 points. Primary wave 2 could top around 85.38 around 7 May.
EUR50 Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- EUR50 index broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 5000.00
EUR50 index recently broke the support zone between the support level 5130.00 (which stopped waves 4 and iv at the end of Jan airy), intersecting with 50% Fibonacci correction of the extended upward impulse (3) from November.
The breakout of this support zone should accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (4) from February.
EUR50 index can be expected to fall to the next round support level 5000.00 (target price for the completion of the active C-wave).
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from resistance level 87785.00
- Likely to fall to support level 78650.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance level 87785.00 (which stopped wave A at the end of March), intersecting with the daily down channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 87785.00 will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – if the price closes today near the current levels.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 78650.00 (which has been reversing the price from February).
XAUUSD: Buy or Sell?Today's gold market can be said to have the largest intraday volatility since 2025! After experiencing violent fluctuations, the current trend of gold has once again become anxious.
However, from the perspective of range conversion, it is certain that gold is currently operating in a weak position, and after the brutal and violent fluctuations, the market also needs to recuperate. And there will be NFP tomorrow. It is expected that before NFP, it will be difficult for gold to form a new unilateral market again. So in the process of shock, I think both long and short sides have a certain profit space.
First of all, pay attention to the resistance of 3125-3135 area on the top. If gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still short gold;
And the first focus on the 3095-3085 area on the bottom is that if gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still consider going long on gold.
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Is gold going to be eclipsed?
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Timeframe: 240 Min
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The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics.
Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.