SOLANA → Resistance level and free zone for growth up to 180.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is holding steady and consolidating near the resistance level of the global price range of 152.85–111.85. Thus, the market has signaled that it is in a positive mood. A trigger is ahead...
SOL is forming a flag consolidation near the upper border of the trading range of 152 - 111, which indicates the accumulation of pre-breakout potential. A breakout from the flag, a break of resistance, and consolidation above 152.85 could provide support and growth. The cryptocurrency market is reviving after yesterday's news and relatively positive data in the tariff war. Countries are gradually beginning to agree, which is generally supportive for the crypto market.
Resistance levels: 152.85
Support levels: 144.6, 141.2
A breakout of the resistance range of 152.85 and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the readiness for further growth. Further on, there is a free zone and the price can easily reach 180.00.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Fibonacci
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave + AO Analysis (1H Chart) – 10 May 20Overview:
This 1-hour chart on XAUUSD highlights a clear 5-wave Elliott impulse, confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and the Awesome Oscillator (AO). Current structure suggests Wave (5) is in play, offering a high-probability short opportunity from the Wave (4) retracement zone.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Initial bearish leg
Wave (2): Minor corrective pullback
Wave (3): Strong impulse confirmed by AO convergence
Wave (4): Corrective structure that respects the top of Wave (1) — valid Elliott structure
Wave (5): Now in progress, supported by AO divergence → momentum weakening
📌 Note: Wave 1 and Wave 3 are commonly measured using AO convergence, validating the strength of the impulse waves. Conversely, Wave 5 is often identified by AO divergence, signaling trend exhaustion.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Measured from Wave 4):
Expected zone for Wave (5) termination:
1.618 Fib: $3,312.17
2.618 Fib: $3,280.25 (most common)
4.236 Fib: $3,255.05
4.886 Fib: $3,241.30 (extreme extension)
📉 Wave (5) often terminates at 2.618 or 4.236 Fibonacci levels, especially when supported by AO divergence.
📊 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights:
✅ Wave (1) to (3): Clear convergence validates impulse
🚨 Wave (5): AO showing divergence = weakening sell momentum
Confirms Wave (5) status and end-stage trend behavior
🛠️ 🔴 Short-Only Strategy: Trade Wave (5) From Wave (4)
Entry Criteria:
Short initiated near the Wave (4) zone (~$3,330–$3,347)
Strong rejection candle (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) or breakdown confirmation
AO turning from green to red or histogram weakening
Stop Loss:
Above Wave (4) high = ~$3,347
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $3,312 (1.618 Fib)
🎯 TP2: $3,280 (2.618 Fib)
🎯 TP3: $3,255 (4.236 Fib)
🎯 TP4 (optional final target): $3,241 (4.886 Fib)
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing to align with stop above Wave (4) and TP zones at Fib targets.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
✅ High-probability bearish structure from Wave (4)
🚫 No bullish setups considered — focus is only on shorting Wave (5)
🔍 AO confirms both impulse strength and trend exhaustion via convergence/divergence
📐 Fibs align with standard Wave (5) projections
📈 Chart Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H timeframe
Indicators: Elliott Wave, AO, Fibonacci
Analysis Date: 10 May 2025
Bias: Bearish only
Lucid Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 050925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 2.5/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Trump Coin Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025
- Trump Coin reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 16.000
Trump Coin recently reversed up from the strong support area between the round support level 10.00 (which also reversed the price in March) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the ABC correction (2) from April.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term impulse wave 1.
Trump Coin can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 16.000 (which reversed the previous correction (2) at the end of April).
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025- USDCAD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3980
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the support level 1.3800 (which has been reversing the price from April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily down channel from March.
The upward reversal from this support area started the active short-term ABC correction 4.
USDCAD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3980 (target price for the completion of the active ABC correction 4).
Bitcoin Smashes $103K: Is $150K Just Around the Corner?Bitcoin's Resurgence: Navigating the $100K Breakthrough and What Comes Next
In a remarkable display of market resilience, Bitcoin has reclaimed the coveted $100,000 level, just three months after dropping below this significant psychological threshold. The flagship cryptocurrency's powerful comeback has sent shockwaves through financial markets, triggering a massive short squeeze and reigniting debates about Bitcoin's long-term potential. As the asset pushes beyond $103,000 and approaches its previous all-time high, traders and investors are scrambling to position themselves for what many believe could be the next phase of an extraordinary bull cycle.
The Historic Reclamation of $100K
Bitcoin's journey back to $100,000 represents more than just a numerical milestone—it's a testament to the asset's remarkable resilience in the face of significant headwinds. After briefly touching six-figure territory in early 2025, Bitcoin experienced a substantial correction that saw prices retreat below $90,000, triggering concern among market participants and no shortage of bearish predictions from skeptics.
What makes this recovery particularly impressive is the speed with which it occurred. Historically, Bitcoin has often experienced extended consolidation periods after major corrections, sometimes lasting months or even years. The rapid three-month turnaround suggests underlying strength in Bitcoin's market structure that distinguishes this cycle from previous ones.
On-chain data reveals fascinating dynamics behind the recovery. Throughout the correction, long-term holders continued accumulating Bitcoin, with wallet addresses holding more than 1 BTC increasing by 5.2% even as prices declined. This pattern of "smart money" accumulation during periods of retail fear often precedes significant upward price movements.
The reclamation of $100,000 also coincided with several favorable macro developments, including renewed expectations for central bank easing and diminishing concerns about regulatory crackdowns. These factors, combined with Bitcoin's post-halving supply dynamics, created ideal conditions for a powerful recovery.
The Massive Short Squeeze
A key accelerant in Bitcoin's surge beyond $100,000 was an extraordinary short squeeze that forced bearish traders to cover their positions at increasingly higher prices. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives platforms reveals that over $850 million in short positions were liquidated during a 72-hour period as Bitcoin broke above key resistance levels.
The mechanics of a short squeeze are particularly powerful in cryptocurrency markets due to the prevalence of leverage. Many platforms offer leverage ratios of 10x, 20x, or even higher, meaning relatively small price movements can trigger automatic liquidations. As these liquidations occur, trading algorithms automatically purchase Bitcoin to close the short positions, creating additional upward pressure on prices and potentially triggering more liquidations in a self-reinforcing cycle.
What made this particular short squeeze especially impactful was its timing relative to market sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been hovering in "Neutral" to "Fear" territory for weeks, indicating widespread caution among market participants. This cautious positioning resulted in a market structure where relatively few traders were positioned for upside, creating the perfect conditions for a powerful squeeze when momentum shifted.
Is $150,000 Now Conservative?
In light of Bitcoin's powerful resurgence, price predictions that once seemed ambitious are being reevaluated. Earlier this year, several major financial institutions and research firms issued year-end targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin—forecasts that were met with skepticism by many market observers. Now, with Bitcoin already above $103,000 and demonstrating strong momentum, these once-ambitious targets appear increasingly conservative.
Technical analysts point to several factors supporting the case for higher prices. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the recent surge, remains below extreme overbought levels that typically signal exhaustion. Additionally, volume profiles show relatively little resistance above the previous all-time high, suggesting potential for rapid advancement if that level is breached.
The most bullish analysts have begun floating targets of $170,000 to $200,000 for this cycle, basing their projections on Fibonacci extensions, comparative analysis with previous bull markets, and on-chain metrics indicating strong holder conviction. These projections represent a dramatic shift in market sentiment compared to just a few months ago when many were questioning whether Bitcoin would reclaim $100,000 within the year.
Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin pushes beyond $103,000, the perennial question resurfaces: is it too late to buy Bitcoin? This query, which has appeared at virtually every significant price level in Bitcoin's history, reflects the challenge of evaluating assets in price discovery mode without extensive historical reference points.
Historical perspective offers valuable context for addressing this question. Investors who asked whether it was "too late" to buy Bitcoin at $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000 and chose to remain on the sidelines missed substantial returns. However, those who purchased at local tops often endured extended drawdowns before seeing their investments return to profitability.
On-chain data provides additional perspective for evaluating current price levels. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, currently sits around 2.8—elevated compared to bear market conditions but significantly below the extreme readings above 4.0 that characterized previous market tops.
Similarly, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit currently stands at approximately 93%, approaching but not yet reaching the 98-99% levels typically seen at cycle peaks. These metrics suggest that while Bitcoin isn't in "bargain" territory, present valuations haven't reached the extreme overvaluation levels that preceded major corrections in previous cycles.
Bull Run Warning: Navigating the Path Forward
While enthusiasm surrounds Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000, experienced market participants recognize the importance of maintaining perspective during periods of strong momentum. Several potential warning signs merit attention as traders navigate the current environment.
The rapid nature of Bitcoin's ascent to $103,000 has created technically overbought conditions on shorter timeframes, suggesting the potential for near-term consolidation or pullbacks. The daily RSI has reached levels above 80, a zone that has historically preceded at least temporary pauses in uptrends, even during the strongest bull markets.
Additionally, funding rates on perpetual futures contracts have reached extremely positive levels, indicating traders are paying significant premiums to maintain long positions. This condition often occurs near local tops as market participants become overly enthusiastic about near-term prospects.
Risk management becomes particularly important during such periods of strong momentum. Many professional traders reduce position sizes when volatility increases, recognizing that while potential returns expand during such phases, so do potential drawdowns.
Next Price Targets: From $106K to $1M
As Bitcoin pushes into record territory, analysts have begun identifying potential targets for the next phase of the bull cycle. The immediate focus remains on the previous all-time high around $106,000, which represents both a psychological and technical resistance level. Beyond this point, limited historical price action creates a potential vacuum that could allow for rapid advancement if bullish momentum continues.
Technical analysts have identified several key levels through Fibonacci projections and extension analysis. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous major correction projects a target around $122,000, while the 2.618 extension suggests potential toward $170,000. These levels represent natural points where the market might experience resistance or consolidation during continued uptrends.
More ambitious predictions extend considerably higher. The stock-to-flow model, which relates Bitcoin's scarcity to its market value, suggests potential long-term valuations approaching $1 million per Bitcoin. While such forecasts remain highly speculative, they illustrate the wide range of potential outcomes for this emerging asset class.
Support levels are equally important to monitor, particularly for traders managing risk in leveraged positions. The psychological $100,000 level now represents initial support, followed by the $94,000-$96,000 zone where significant buying emerged during the recent advance. The 50-day moving average, currently around $92,000 and rising, provides an additional technical reference point for potential support during pullbacks.
Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Dynamics
Market sentiment indicators provide valuable context for understanding Bitcoin's current positioning. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted into the "Greed" zone after spending much of the previous month in "Neutral" territory, reflecting improved market sentiment following Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000.
This transition marks an important psychological shift but also signals increasing risk of overexuberance. Historically, when the index reaches extreme readings in either direction, it has often served as a contrarian indicator. Extreme greed readings have typically occurred near local tops, while extreme fear has often presented buying opportunities.
Social media activity metrics reveal a significant increase in Bitcoin-related discussions, with sentiment analysis showing predominantly positive expressions. Google Trends data indicates search interest for "Bitcoin" has reached its highest level since January, suggesting renewed attention from retail participants who typically enter during periods of strong price performance.
Institutional sentiment provides a contrasting perspective to retail excitement. Surveys of professional investors indicate a more measured outlook, with many maintaining Bitcoin allocations but expressing concern about near-term volatility and the potential for consolidation after the recent surge. This divergence between institutional caution and retail enthusiasm creates an interesting dynamic that may influence price action in the weeks ahead.
Trading Strategies for the Current Environment
For traders navigating Bitcoin's volatile price action, adapting strategies to current market conditions is essential. Different approaches suit varying risk tolerances and time horizons, particularly during periods of expanded volatility and strong directional momentum.
Trend-following strategies have performed exceptionally well during Bitcoin's recent advance, with systematic approaches based on moving average crossovers or momentum indicators capturing much of the upside movement. These strategies typically involve entering positions when short-term momentum aligns with longer-term trends and using trailing stops to protect profits.
Countertrend strategies face greater challenges in the current environment but can still prove effective when applied with appropriate risk parameters. These approaches involve identifying potential exhaustion points where trends might temporarily reverse, typically using oscillators like RSI or Stochastic indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
For longer-term investors, dollar-cost averaging continues to demonstrate effectiveness in navigating volatile markets without requiring precise timing decisions. This approach involves regularly purchasing Bitcoin in fixed dollar amounts regardless of price, mathematically ensuring better average entry prices during periods of volatility.
Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's New Era
Bitcoin's resurgence beyond $100,000 represents a significant milestone in cryptocurrency market development, potentially signaling the beginning of the next phase in this remarkable asset's evolution. The speed and magnitude of the recovery from below $90,000 to above $103,000 demonstrates both the volatility inherent in this emerging asset class and the powerful market forces that can drive prices when technical breakouts coincide with favorable fundamental catalysts.
For traders and investors, the path forward requires balancing enthusiasm about Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience with pragmatic risk management appropriate for an asset capable of significant price swings in both directions. While the backdrop appears favorable for continued strength, history suggests the journey will include both exhilarating advances and challenging retracements.
As market participants position themselves for what may come next, maintaining perspective on both historical precedents and the unique aspects of the current market cycle provides the most sustainable approach to navigating this dynamic landscape. Bitcoin's breakthrough beyond $100,000 creates both opportunity and risk—the traders who successfully balance these competing forces while maintaining disciplined execution will likely find the greatest success in capturing the potential of this extraordinary market.
The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, but rather how far beyond this once-unimaginable milestone the current cycle might extend. For an asset that began trading at fractions of a penny, the reclamation of six-figure territory serves as a powerful reminder of cryptocurrency's capacity to challenge conventional financial assumptions and create paradigm-shifting returns for those willing to embrace both its potential and its risks.
Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)Introduction
We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion.
Simple Price Analysis
For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea.
In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low.
Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here
Indicators
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up.
Battle Plan
In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC.
Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart.
Wish me luck.
Linked Idea
Chainlink (LINK) Update (12H) – Bullish Structure StrengthensIn our previous analysis, I outlined multiple technical reasons suggesting that LINK was preparing for a major bullish phase. Since then, LINK has surged over 25% from the level I initially highlighted.
Upon reassessing the chart from a broader perspective, I’ve identified a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the higher timeframes — a classic bullish reversal signal. This has also prompted a revision of the Elliott Wave count on the macro structure.
Updated Technical Insights:
Wave Count: LINK is currently in Wave 3 of a larger bullish impulse, based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Breakout Confirmation: The neckline of the reversed Head and Shoulders pattern is being breached, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension — a typical target zone for Wave 3.
If you entered based on the prior setup, you’re likely sitting on a 20–25% gain even on a 1x position. There’s no need to add or chase the price at this point — the optimal move is to secure profits by moving stop-loss to break-even and continue managing your position with discipline.
Updated Target:
The mid-term projection for LINK now stands around the $25 mark.
— Thanks for reading.
BTC/USD – 4H Quick AnalysisBTC just broke above the bearish OTE zone from the major retracement between 109K and 74K, confirming a strong bullish breakout.
📈 This aggressive move has shifted the market structure firmly to the upside, with momentum clearly in favor of buyers.
🔎 If we extend the Fibonacci levels from this breakout, the next major targets could be around the 130K region and potentially higher, assuming the current momentum holds.
💥 This breakout also indicates that liquidity has been reclaimed without a deep pullback, suggesting that buyers are confidently stepping in without waiting for lower prices.
⚠️ Key observations:
No significant liquidity sweep below recent lows before the breakout – a sign of aggressive buying.
Strong rejection of the FVG 4H, now acting as support if retested.
Clear break of the bearish OTE, removing a major supply level from the market structure.
👉 As long as the price holds above 100K, the path to 130K+ seems increasingly likely, with minimal resistance in the way.
BTC Dominance Rejected Perfectly at 65.48%CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hi everyone,
In my previous idea, I highlighted the 65.48% level as a key resistance — and today, we’ve seen a sharp and clean rejection right from that zone. The reaction aligns perfectly with the levels and path I mapped out earlier, reinforcing the idea that BTC Dominance may be topping out.
This update confirms the original thesis. No need to overcomplicate — the plan is in motion, and unless the structure changes significantly, the outlook remains the same.
Best regards,
Stealth
TRUMPUSDT – Daily Technical AnalysisTRUMPUSDT – Daily Technical Analysis
The price has reached a key daily support level at $10, showing potential signs of a bullish reversal.
If the support holds, we may see a move toward the resistance area around $14, offering a decent upside opportunity.
In a more bearish scenario, the price could extend its correction to the $9 support zone, which may serve as a stronger foundation for the next upward impulse.
🟢 Key Support Levels: $10 (daily), $9 (secondary support)
🔴 Resistance Zone: $14
Stay tuned for more technical insights and updates.
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement.
Consolidation Structure
The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K.
Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs.
Price Target and Expectations
If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically.
Current Stance
Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones)
---
Key Concepts on Chart
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal.
✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box)
H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand.
✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow)
1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500
2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply)
✅ Elliott Wave Context
Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias.
Entry Idea:
> Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260)
Target 1:
> 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone
Target 2:
> 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone
Invalidation (Stop Loss):
> Below major demand (
XPEV: Setting Up for a Breakout
Consistent high/mid double-digit quarterly sales and earnings growth, along with high annual EPS growth estimates.
Weekly volume indicates substantial institutional accumulation.
Price has been tightening around the 10-week moving average on decreasing volume, with tight weekly closes (a good sign of accumulation)
As long as the price holds above the April 21 lows, I anticipate at least a mid-term bounce in the coming weeks. Or, potentially, a start of a new macro uptrend to retest 2021 highs.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!