Get started

Fibonacci

Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫 Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation. But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor? 🧠 A Quick Historical Detour Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21... When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include: 0.618 (the “golden ratio”) 1.618 2.618, and so on. While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move. 📊 Fibonacci Extensions To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points: The Start of a Trend (Point A) The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B) A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C) This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues. Common Extension Levels Include: 1.272 1.618 (golden ratio) 2.0 2.618 Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react. 🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes. The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle. Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash) to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak) From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph. 🔍 Why This Matters Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market: Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5 Panic at 0.618 Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025 This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis. ⚖️ Final Thought Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative. And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
Education
by WhiteBIT
Start buying goldTechnical aspects: Gold has bottomed out and rebounded after a rapid decline today. It has now stood above 3330. When gold breaks above 3330, it has to some extent broken away from the technical repair structure and began to tend to a bullish pattern in terms of form. Although gold is currently under pressure in the 3350-3360 area, as the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support below has gradually moved up to the 3325-3315 area. So I think there is still room for gold to rise, and it may continue to rebound to the 3345-3365 area. Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, TP: 3345-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Has the EUR/USD Uptrend Ended?After trending upward since early 2025 on a weaker dollar, EUR/USD saw a notable pullback this week. For the first time, we can technically say that the uptrend has ended. But what are the reasons? The price dropped below the 1.12640 level, which represents the most recent higher low recorded by the market, and closed the day below it, forming a new low. This signal on the daily timeframe is negative and indicates a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. The 1.14931 level represents potential selling pressure, from which the price may decline after testing it, targeting the 1.12860 level. As for the 1.15734 level, it is considered an important resistance line that keeps the bearish scenario valid. However, if the price rises and records a daily close above it, this would indicate a return to the bullish trend and the failure of the bearish scenario.
by CFI
Solana Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025- Solana is approaching the resistance level 177.50 - Likely to rise to resistance level 200.00 Solana cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 150.00 (which has been reversing the price from March) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of March. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave c from the start of April, which belongs to wave B. Solana can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 177.50 (previous monthly high from March) – the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 200.00.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts: 🔑 Key Levels & Confluences 1. Higher-Timeframe Opens Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone 2. Fibonacci Support Zones 0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry 0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support 3. Order Block Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support 4. Volume-Weighted Average Price Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance 5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range) Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support 📈 Long Trade Setups 1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block Entry: $141-138.78 Stop-Loss: $137.5 Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones) R:R ≈ 9:1 2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open) Stop-Loss: $142.5 Target: $165 R:R ≈ 3:1 • Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up. 📉 Short Trade Setup Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4 Entry: $153.4 Stop-Loss: $154.3 Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147) R:R ≈ 6:1 • Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens. 🎯 Summary & Game Plan Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166. Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support. Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups. Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts). Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
52
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
2
Hexatronic - why I bought the stockHexatronic seems to be in an uptrend in my opinion and it has retraced very deep every single time it made new all-time highs. In EWT wave 2s are the ones that retrace very deep and if we take into account that there might be several wave degrees with 1-2 setups it means the stock might rise to new highs again. Considering the retracement from the very bottom of the price history is already approaching the 88.7% fib level The risk is fairly low in comparison to the upside. Based on the assumption of several 1-2 setups that need to unfold as 5 wave cycles the company has a bright future ahead and as far as I´m aware this is shared by the fundamental analysts as well. Please, comment if you have questions and support my idea if you like it.
OMXSTO:HTROLong
by Staggi10
Golden stage low area: 3285-3275！Fundamentals: 1. Focus on Trump's dynamics and tariff-related issues; 2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc. The current expectation of interest rate cuts has declined, and the tariff storm has cooled down. At the same time, the market is betting on a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls! Technical aspects: As I expected in my previous article, gold is expected to fall below 3300. Sure enough, gold has shown signs of falling below 3300. In the current structure, gold may further extend to the 3280-3270 area, which is also an important support area of ​​primary concern in the short term; and as gold fell sharply, the market was bearish, and short-term resistance also moved down to the 3315-3325 area. Trading strategy: 1. Consider the shorting opportunity after gold rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, TP: 3300-3290 2. Consider the longing opportunity after gold falls to the 3285-3275 area, TP: 3300-3310
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H🏛 1. Current Market Structure 📈 After a strong upward impulse, gold has now pulled back into a Bull OTE zone, aligned with a key trendline acting as a dynamic support. 📐 This setup could indicate a potential bullish rebound, especially if the market views this pullback as a healthy retracement before a larger continuation. 🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook 🔍 The recent rejection at the Bear OTE highlights the presence of strong supply at higher levels. ⚠️ However, the current bounce from the Bull OTE could either be the start of a larger bullish leg targeting the Bear OTE again – or just a technical bounce before a deeper correction, especially if the FED hints at rate cuts in June or July. 🔍 3. Key Technical Observations 🟦 Bear OTE: Clear rejection, confirming this as a key resistance for now. 🟦 Bull OTE: Providing initial support, coupled with a trendline bounce, adding confluence for a potential move up. 📐 Trendline Support: Critical for maintaining the current bullish structure, a break here could signal a deeper retracement. 🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations 📉 Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the Bull OTE Break below the trendline Deeper pullback towards the Supply Zone or even the 50% retracement level 📈 Bullish Scenario: Clean break above the Bull OTE Retest of the Bear OTE (~$3,500) Possible breakout if volume supports the move 🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts 🕰 FED rate decision in June/July – potential rate cuts could shift sentiment. 💰 Inflation and economic data: Key drivers for gold’s short-term direction. 🔎 Volume and order flow: Crucial to confirm any true breakout. ✅ Conclusion 👉 Gold is at a critical junction, testing a Bull OTE with a supporting trendline – a key moment for determining the next major leg. 📍 Key levels to watch: Bear OTE (~$3,500) Bull OTE (~$3,300 - $3,320) Trendline support – a break here could invalidate the bullish thesis ⏳ As always, stay alert for fakeouts and liquidity grabs around these levels.
TVC:GOLD
by BenMcyInsights
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 20182.50 - PR Low: 20137.00 - NZ Spread: 101.5 No key scheduled economic events Auction maintaining week range, holding in the highs Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/9) - Session Open ATR: 555.12 - Volume: 33K - Open Int: 260K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
104.2k was BTC top for a REASON: Golden Covid fib calling itHere we are again testing the ATH levels. This time we got an EXACT hit on the fib. Golden Fibs are always strong as proven. $104,235 (Coinbase) is the exact level $ 95,176 is a possible retrace target. $120,295 is next target if we break out. It is PROBABLE that we Orbit this fib for a while. It is POSSIBLE that we break and run to next fib. It is PLAUSIBLE to be a Lower-High TOP for a while. Please hit the BOOST to encourage more posts. ========================================= Previous Plots below ========================================= $105k top call: 75k Retrace targeted EXACTLY 97.8k Breakout Call =========================================== .
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
1
$GRAB Long Term Trade IdeaTaxi and delivery service stocks all look bullish at the moment. Lyft and Grab are both a couple of my favorite longer term swing trade/investment plays just based off risk/reward and how beaten down both the stocks are. If shown patience this trade could work wonders. I like it a lot because it gets me a little exposure to assets outside the U.S. and from a chart perspective its hard not to love a setup like this. 1. The buy side volume shown here is the highest its ever been for the stock by a long shot. 2. Price has been in a descending wedge type formation for several months now and is attempting to make a breakout, though this month's candle still has a lot of time left. 3. That hammer candle, especially considering it being printed on the 1M timeframe, is incredibly bullish in my eyes. This chart reminds me a lot of NYSE:BABA but a bit earlier in its breakout stages. To me it is clear that accumulation has been taking place for over 2 years now and a big markup is upon us. I have 3 take profit areas marked based off a few different Fibonacci levels I like that also have confluence with supply/demand dynamics present on the chart. multiple daily/weekly candles below $4 could be a a good stop loss area as that would invalidate a lot of the bullish structure. Based off the current price this provides you with a minimum 2.75x RR trade and a maximum of 7x RR. My average price is $4.25. Any pullbacks below $4.50 I will be looking at as great buying opportunities. Will do my best to update this idea periodically over the next year or so.
NASDAQ:GRABLong
by ChazzyFreshh