Ethereum - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Fibonacci
HLI: Four Boxes, One TruthEvery chart tells a story, but sometimes... you need boxes to make sense of the chaos. Here's how the price action of HLI unfolded through four carefully framed boxes, each revealing a new chapter of this market narrative.
Box 1: The Fall Begins
The first act opens with a classic five-wave impulse decline from the high of $191.99 to $164.05. Textbook.
Every wave fits: clean subdivisions, sharp acceleration in wave 3, and a modest wave 4.
This structure confirms one thing: this was no correction — it was the beginning of something bigger.
I labeled it as Wave A of a possible zig-zag. Or… maybe the start of a complex W?
Box 2: The Deceptive Pause
Enter Box 2: a tricky A-B-C correction (3 waves up) peaking at $187.93 .
Classic fakeout setup — just enough strength to draw in bulls, but not enough to erase the previous drop.
The form and proportion suggest it was just a connector, not a trend changer.
I tagged this one as Wave B — or the (X) in a WXY structure. A pause, not a pivot.
Box 3: The Deep Cut
Next, the market tumbles in another five-wave impulse, bottoming at $137.99.
This leg confirms the pattern: it mirrors Box 1, creating the signature 5-3-5 of a zig-zag — or the W-Y of a complex correction.
Final labeling:
If Box 1 was Wave A, this was Wave C — and together they form a Zig-Zag .
If Box 1 was Wave W, this became Wave Y, closing a potential WXY correction .
A clear bearish tale. Or was it?
Box 4: The Mystery Unfolds
The current rally — from 137.99 to 182.99 (and counting) — is the real wildcard.
Structurally, it’s looking like a clear 5-wave impulse, with sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv-v all marked and playing out.
But wait — if this is just another corrective X wave, it's way too aggressive… isn't it?
Here’s the plot twist:
If price gets rejected below $191.99, this might be Wave X2 in a massive WXYXZ correction.
But if it extends beyond 192 and pushes toward $200, then forget the correction — this rally is likely a new trend, and Wave Z may never arrive.
Key Invalidation Levels
$191.99: The upper limit for X2 — breach it, and the entire corrective scenario collapses.
$161.00: The lower guardrail for the impulse — drop below this, and the impulsive interpretation gets voided.
Indicators I Trust (But Still Watch Closely)
MACD: Momentum slowing.
RSI: Hovering near 50. Neutral, but bears need a breakdown.
Closing Thoughts
Four boxes.
Three corrective legs.
Two competing counts.
One impending breakout — or breakdown.
The price may lie, but the structure doesn’t.
So traders — keep your wave counts tight and your invalidation levels tighter.
Part of the ongoing #WaveTracker series
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21597.00
- PR Low: 21489.00
- NZ Spread: 241.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- GDP
12:00 | Crude Inventories
Open session with momentum break beyond 21600
- 2% value increase before London hours
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 5/29)
- Session Open ATR: 455.84
- Volume: 81K
- Open Int: 267K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
ETH.usd eyes on $2613/23: Major Resistance break may be VIOLENTETH up against two major fibs in tight confluence.
Break should result in a violent explosion upward.
Ether's last chance to prove its not a "has been".
$ 2613-2623 is the exact zone of concern.
$ 2463.42 is first support but probably spent
$ 2125-2133 is the strongest support below.
Rejection here could be disastrous.
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Previous Plot that caught the last TOP
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US CRUDE OIL PIVOT AREAUS OIL has formed a good base of support after the decent decline in the previous weeks.
The break of our intraday pivot area could keep the Bullish bias with targets of 63.67 and 64.57 in the near sight.
However failure to break above could bring prices down to 61.57 and 60.67
Waiting for the Golden Reversal!After a clean 5-wave bearish impulse, gold has finally tapped into a high-probability reversal zone! Here's what I'm seeing:
🔹 Break of structure confirmed at 3337.46
🔹 Price extended all the way to the 4.236 – 4.786 fib zone (3244–3228)
🔹 Landed perfectly in the SNR zone (3238–3231)
🔹 Bullish divergence spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🔹 Now printing a bullish engulfing right at demand? 👀
📍 This is a textbook reversal setup.
💡 Waiting to Buy:
If price shows continued bullish intent or lower timeframe confirmation, I’m looking to enter long from the 3238–3231 area, targeting back to the Fib retracement zones and potentially the structure break at 3337.46.
🛡️ SL just below the 4.786 fib extension for safety.
🔥 Summary:
✅ Structure broken
✅ AO divergence
✅ Engulfing at SNR + fib confluence
🎯 Buy zone activated – now waiting for confirmation!
📌 Let the market come to you. No rush. Just watching for that golden reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldReversal #FibExtension #AOdivergence #ElliottWave #BullishSetup #BuyZone #SmartTrading #ForexAnalysis
10YR US Treasury Note Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052825Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 112/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
XRP Is Quiet—But This Calm Is Deceptive!Yello Paradisers—have you noticed how #XRP isn't on anyone’s radar right now? It’s not trending, no one’s hyping it, and to many, it’s just another slow mover. But here’s the thing: this type of silence often comes before the real storm, and the technical are quietly lining up.
💎#XRPUSDT is seeing now a period of consolidation The 1D bullish trend structure has been broken, and since then, price has entered into a tightening consolidation phase. While this may seem like indecision, it’s more likely a preparation for a potential high-probability upside expansion.
💎Price is now hovering just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~$2.25), which has started acting as a soft support. This is not a level to blindly trust, but one to monitor for reactions. If price manages to hold here, the next high-probability target lies at the short-term resistance around $2.5917, followed by major resistance at $2.9480, which aligns with a broader liquidity zone.
💎One key factor to keep in mind: the descending trendline liquidity has not been swept for a long time. That uncollected liquidity still sits just overhead, and markets usually don’t leave such inefficiencies behind forever. A spike toward that zone becomes increasingly probable the longer we range here.
💎At the same time, the MTF EMA on the daily chart is acting as a soft dynamic resistance, pushing the price down gradually. This setup increases the probability that we may see another touch of the 0.786 level. If that fails to hold decisively, the next likely area of interest will be the major support zone around $2.00.
💎Still, that major support remains unbroken and continues to act as a probability-backed structure for potential bullish defense. Until we get a clean daily candle close below $1.791 (invalidation level), this entire zone remains technically favorable for a potential reversal or liquidity sweep to the upside.
We are playing it safe right now, Paradisers. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
$ZB - 30y Treasury Futures Sell off in Equity Risk OnThe 30-Year Treasury Bond Futures (ZB) sold off notably, driven by a combination of macro headlines and technical positioning. A key catalyst was the European Union’s decision to postpone the implementation of retaliatory auto tariffs until July 9th, which temporarily eased geopolitical tensions and triggered a risk-on rotation into equities — at the expense of duration-heavy fixed income assets.
From a technical standpoint, ZB fell sharply from the upper 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band and found support near the 2 standard deviation band, where it stabilized. It then retraced roughly 50% of the move, tagging the 20-period simple moving average. Market participants are now closely watching whether the contract completes a full measured move lower to 111'19, a level that represents:
The 100% Fibonacci extension of the prior decline
A test of the lower 3 standard deviation band
A notable inefficiency zone on the hourly chart
While the MOVE Index has declined and is now tracking sideways — signaling reduced bond market volatility — traders remain focused on long-end supply, fiscal slippage, and global rate re-alignments. Until these themes settle, technical levels like 111'19 may continue to act as magnets for price discovery in long-dated Treasuries.
LTC/USDT 4H ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H LTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a specific yellow triangle, in which we can see an attempt to exit from the bottom. On the other hand, the blue lines mark the main channel of the downtrend and here we can see how the price is fighting with its upper limit, but it is a strong resistance.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 101 USD
T2 = 111 USD
Т3 = 124 USD
Т4 = 147 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 90 USD
SL2 = 80 USD
SL3 = 63 USD
The RSI indicator shows a rebound, but the movement remains around the middle of the range, which further leaves room for a potential deepening of the rebound.
BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities — especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs).
🔍 What Just Happened?
Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level — a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons:
1️⃣ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster — above highs or below lows — creating a magnet for price.
2️⃣ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply — giving you strong follow-through.
4️⃣ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup.
📏 Current Confluence:
Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement
SFP confirmed on high volume
1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410
That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement
Anchored VWAP around $105K
Liquidity pool right at that zone too — a likely magnet
🎯 Trade Idea:
Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs.
✅ Key Takeaway:
In ranges like this, you don’t need to guess direction — you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips.
Let the market show its hand — and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Summary:
This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, it’s a major area to watch for reaction — or to take partials if you’re in a short.
The best trades come from patience + precision.
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If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Bitcoin soon above 114K and market there would be nonstop pumpAs we can see price is near our possible ATH resistance zone which soon can break and any breakout there cause a bullish market which Alts will pump hard after a years of sleep.
Major supports are also mentioned on the chart too and previous ATH resistance zone now is strong support which retest also completed.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Outbreak with HesitationAlready on May 12th we had left the trading range since 23rd April but then the price has fluctuated around the outbreak level.
After the last backtest of the upper band of the edge it seems that we can go ahead now.
As we could not fall back into the range we seem to get momentum now. A new high would confirm the willingness of the market to try to correct the large fall since mid January.
WATCH OUT FOR VERITASKAPFrom around 0.83, VERITASKAP created an all-time high of around 1.81. This happened between August 2024 and September 2024. Then, price dropped into the discount level where is currently. The current price action shows that price is in a discount level, at a demand zone and within a falling wedge.
From a chart pattern perspective, falling wedge can be seen on the chart and a break out of the downtrend and resistance level around 1.06 with a bullish candle closing above these levels will serve as a strong indication that the stock is ready to rally up as much as the all-time high.
From a technical indicator perspective, awesome oscillator is below 0, showing that the stock is oversold. In addition, there is a bullish indication on the awesome oscillator as shown by its colour and upward movement. This is pointing to the fact that the value of the awesome oscillator is moving towards 0 and can cross over it which can be a good indication for a rise in price as well.
From a smart money concept perspective, a break of the last high (around 1.27) that led to the last bearish internal break of structure will as serve as indication of a bullish trend. Hence, the target will the all-time high.
Either way, the stock has a good potential. An aggressive trader or investor may buy at the current market price. While a conservative trader or investor may wait for a breakout.
Watch out for the confluences indicating potential rise in price so as to not miss out on the benefit.
QBTS eyes on $17.86: Golden Genesis fib a "lower high" of top?QBTS and all quantums have been on the rampage.
This one is currently testing a Golden Genesis fib.
Rejection here could mark a "lower high" of the top.
Break-and-Retest would start the next leg of uptrend.
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Previous Analysis that caught the Break Out:
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BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public.
(Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.)
I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd.
The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them.
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We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments.
One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down.
Bad Signs
- Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8%
- PMI below 50
- Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs
-> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022
- FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation
Are we heading towards a recession?
People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system.
This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much.
Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets.
In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index.
A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs.
But this is where it gets interesting:
According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst.
Where is BTC headed?
Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k.
To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets.
Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise.
However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief.
About to test a most important zone of its lifetime.
Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair.
Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare.
It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click).
The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high.
It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after.
It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C".
I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP.
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Previous Plots below
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5901 TOP warning:
5668 Tariff warning:
5100 Tariff Relief Entry:
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BTC - the trendline no-one is watchingDaily TF / logarithmic chart
A trendline has been in play since September 2023 where Bitcoin has found support on multiple occasions (thick white line). With a brief breakthrough in April.
Currently looking a bearish div. on 4H chart which would signify a move down. Using the fib chart, a break below said trendline could take us to the 618 which is also a liquidity-rich zone (around 66-68K price range).
The trendline could begin to act as resistance if this scenario plays out.
Based on previous Bitcoin halving cycles the "peak" always occurs in Nov-Dec of the year following the halving event 2013 / 2017 / 2021... 2025?