USDJPY → A rebound following a rising dollarFX:USDJPY is growing following the dollar. A local reversal is being formed due to US politics and economy
The price stops in the zone of 149.4 - 148.6 after a strong fall. Long-term consolidation is forming a reversal setup, the situation is also supported by the reversal and strengthening of the dollar. Against this background, the Japanese yen is losing positions.
The focus is on the resistance 150.3, if the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, then in the short to medium term the price may strengthen to the trend resistance.
Resistance levels 150.3, 150.95
Support levels: 149.4, 149.15
At the moment we have a downtrend and the potential for counter-trend correction. Everything depends on the dollar and the upcoming news. If the outcome is positive for us, the price may reach 152.3
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci
Forecasting Dynamic Fibonacci MA w/369 theoryAt first, it was a theory. Now as I continue to craft and tweak my dynamic MA I’ve come to discover a special symbol that performs well with this indicator, XRP. XRP’s Bitcoin-like volatility mixed with Link-like stable trends gives it the opportunity to perform extremely well. This indicator was made, tweaked and utilized for and on XRPs market. So it is best to use it on =<30min with 0 offset (forecasting). To get the best forecasting predictions, use 1hr and above with at least 1 offset or as many as you need to add until the line is just one point ahead of the current candle. I’ve found these predictions to be extremely accurate for XRP
Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders,
When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.
Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first. Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self.
Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.
XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so. The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017 25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!! The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
XRP- Golden Pocket or Death Drop? Critical XRP Decision ImminentCurrent market structure shows XRPUSD consolidating at a critical support zone around 2.17, where a confluence of factors could drive the next significant move.
📌 Key Zone:
The 2.17 price range aligns with the Golden Pocket (61.8%-65% Fibonacci retracement) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG), creating a strong liquidity zone. This area has been tested several times, showing signs of demand and accumulation 🔍.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
If the Golden Pocket holds and price shows bullish confirmation with a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or an inverted FVG, the probability for a reversal increases.
🎯 Target:
The first upside target would be the unfilled imbalance (FVG) between 2.36 and 2.39, offering a clean liquidity grab and potential continuation to higher levels.
Entry Confirmation:
✅ MSS on lower timeframes (5M/15M)
✅ Inversion of bearish FVG
✅ Bullish candlestick patterns
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the Golden Pocket without bullish confirmation, the next liquidity target lies at the 2.06 price range — a level where the market could sweep lows before a possible reversal.
Entry Confirmation:
❌ Clean break and close below 2.17
❌ Retest of the broken level as resistance
❌ Bearish order block formation
⚙️ Trade Plan:
Wait for bullish or bearish confirmation
Set alerts at 2.17 and 2.06
Always follow risk management 📊
This setup offers high R:R potential if executed with patience. Let price action dictate the move!
What do YOU think? 👇
Will XRP hold this strong support or are we heading lower?
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: Is $72K the Next Target?Bitcoin has officially broken below the $91,000 support level, a key structural low that previously acted as a strong base for price action. This breakdown is significant, as it signals a shift in market sentiment and opens the door for a potential retest of lower price levels.
The first major area of interest now lies in the green Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $80,000 level. This region represents an imbalance that has yet to be fully filled, making it a likely point of support where buyers could step in. However, the strength of this level will be critical to monitor
if bulls fail to defend it, we could see an even deeper correction.
🚨 Why Is $72K an Important Level?
If Bitcoin fails to hold above the $80,000 FVG, the next major target would be the red Fair Value Gap around $72,000, which also aligns with the golden pocket retracement zone (between the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci levels). This area is a strong draw on liquidity, meaning that large players in the market could be targeting this level to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount.
Historically, golden pocket regions often act as high-probability reversal zones, but if sentiment remains weak, we could even see a deeper correction towards lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 0.786 zone at around $64,000.
🔥 Key Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Recent Drop
Several major events and macroeconomic factors are currently weighing on Bitcoin’s price action:
📉 Loss of Trump-Driven Crypto Euphoria
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market initially surged on speculation that Donald Trump’s return to the political spotlight would lead to favorable regulations for the industry. However, recent developments have dampened this optimism. Policy details remain unclear, and investors are beginning to question whether the market got ahead of itself.
🔓 Major Crypto Security Concerns
A recent record-breaking $1.5 billion hack on crypto exchange Bybit has raised security fears across the industry. This has led to increased outflows from centralized exchanges as investors rush to secure their assets, adding sell pressure to the market.
⚖️ Regulatory Uncertainty & SEC Scrutiny
The SEC has formed a new task force focused on digital assets, signaling more regulatory oversight in the near future. While some see this as a step toward legitimizing crypto, others fear it could bring stricter enforcement actions, particularly against DeFi platforms and stablecoins.
📊 Declining On-Chain Metrics & Miner Sell-offs
On-chain data suggests that miners have been selling Bitcoin at an increased rate, likely to cover operational costs as mining difficulty continues to rise. This has added additional downward pressure on price.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch Moving Forward
✅ $80,000 (Green FVG) → First major support zone
✅ $72,000 (Red FVG & Golden Pocket) → Strong liquidity draw if $80K fails
🚨 Below $72,000 → Potential retracement toward the 64K-65K region
📢 Final Thoughts: What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point whether we hold $80K or drop toward $72K will determine the next major trend. The current breakdown suggests more downside in the short term, but these lower levels could offer an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors.
With upcoming regulatory decisions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and potential geopolitical factors, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely.
👉 Are you buying the dip, or do you think Bitcoin has further to fall? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
BTC. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?If #Bitcoin down trend continues, there is chart area from which a Fibonacci price rebound is highly likely to occur. On the other hand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price may not reach there, experiencing a sideways movement for some time. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?
Bitcoin Threat - Last chance is now! Or crash to 40k! (-63%)Bitcoin crashed by 12% in the past few days to 86,800, exactly to the last available support of the whole bull market! This is the last support; otherwise, the bull cycle is over, and we will have a tremendous crash to 40K in 2025/2026. So why is this the last support?
First, we need to look at the price action because bitcoin has been going sideways since November. We can clearly see an expanding triangle on the daily timeframe. Expanding triangles are very uncomfortable patterns for traders, as the whales take liquidity on both sides (buyers and sellers). And this is exactly what happened recently: Bitcoin crashed to 86.800 below the previous swing low and took all stop-loss orders from traders while remaining in the expanding triangle continuation pattern.
Bitcoin really cannot afford another crash; otherwise, the bears will break the expanding triangle, and the bull market will end. Bitcoin must go up right now! I am bullish until the end, and I still see that Bitcoin is in an uptrend. But if the price falls below 86,800, expect 40k later in 2025/2026, so this is the last chance!
What is also bullish? The price is still above the main green trendline. We want to see this trendline hold until the end of the bull market. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price is starting last wave (5) to finish an impulse wave of higher degree. 125k is a significant resistance because of the 0.618 FIB extension. So, the threat is big for Bitcoin - 125k or 40k? Let me know in the comment section! (write 125k or 40k).
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAU/USD– 30M Timeframe📊 XAU/USD Smart Money Analysis – 30M Timeframe
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Identified
🔹 Key Demand & Supply Zones Mapped
📉 Bearish Outlook Before Potential Reversal:
📍 Supply Zones:
🔺 2954-2956
🔺 2943-2947
🔺 2923.8-2929
📍 Demand Zones:
🟢 2874-2882
🟢 2834-2838
🟢 2807-2816
⚡ Trading Plan:
🔹 Watch for price reaction at demand zones
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation before entering long positions
🔹 Possible short opportunities if price rejects key supply zones
#Fxforever #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #Forex
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20680.50
- PR Low: 20639.75
- NZ Spread: 91.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Strong selling pushed value below 3 month range
- Advertising continued value decline
- Key level 20800
- Holding auction above previous session close
- Last trading day of the month (month end)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/28)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 390.33
- Volume: 61K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
No trades on EURUSD
The pair made several unsuccessful attempts to break past the previous high.
Yesterday, it failed to rise further and dropped below 1,0400.
At the current levels, there is no valid reason to enter a trade.
Keep an eye on whether it gains strength for a new bullish move or forms a lower high and reverses the trend.
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
S&P 500 Index Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- S&P 500 index broke support zone
- Likely to fall support level 5800.00
S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the key support level 5925.00 (low of the previous waves a and c), the support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction ii – which belongs to the higher raves 3 and (C).
S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5800.00, a low of the previous minor corrections a and 2.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- NZDUSD under bearish pressure
- Likely to fall support level 0.5600
NZDUSD currency pair is under bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the support trendline of the daily up channel from the start of February.
The breakout of this up channel continues the active impulse wave 3, which started earlier from the key resistance level 0.5760 (former support from December), intersecting with the aforementioned up channel.
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5600, a low of the previous minor correction b.