Gold Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025
- Gold reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00
Gold recently reversed up from the support area between the upper trendline of the daily up channel from January and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse 3 from last month.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous minor downward correction 4 which started earlier from the key resistance level 3500.00.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise in the active impulse wave 5 toward the next resistance level 3500.00.
Fibonacci
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025
- EURUSD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1510
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 1.1300 (which also reversed the price at the start of April) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction iv from the middle of April.
Given the clear multi-month uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.1510, which stopped the earlier impulse wave iii.
USDT.D (Tether Dominance) AnalysisUSDT.D, which stands for Tether Dominance, shows the share of the stablecoin USDT in the total cryptocurrency market. This metric is an important indicator for understanding investors' risk appetite. When USDT.D rises, investors typically move from risky assets to stablecoins. This is considered a negative signal for the crypto market. Therefore, there is an inverse correlation (negative relationship) between USDT.D and Bitcoin.
The upward trend that has been ongoing since January has now been broken. This break indicates that the market's risk appetite has increased and investors have shifted from stablecoins to risky assets. Bitcoin's recent rise can also be seen as a result of this break.
Currently, USDT.D is trading close to a support zone. According to Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the peak, the 0.5 level is a notable area. This point appears to be a technically suitable level for USDT.D to react and potentially continue its decline.
BTC heads up at 95.2k: Covid Stimulus Fib should cause a DipBTC has been running nicely with risk-on sentiment.
Nearing a significant Covid fib at 95,176.28 (Coinbase).
Covid Stimulus nodes resonate most with monetary policy.
It is PROBABLE that we Orbit it a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we get Rejected completely.
It is PLAUSIBLE to blow through it then come back.
If EXACT Rejection, look to sister fib below at $89,592.30
If ORBIT Capture, look to get flung in either direction.
If BREAK Easily, pay more attention to the Genesis fibs .
.
The other major fib series for BTC, the "Genesis Sequence":
These two sequences, the Genesis and Covid fibs, helped call "the TOP":
They also called the dip/bounce at 75k:
==============================================================
FETUSDI sold every single FET I had at around 2.50s in May 24 and I've not been really interested in it since then, apart from a few short term traders. It's always been a terrible asset to trade frequently, a pain to wait for it to do its thing and then everything happens in a matter of few weeks. As if it's not enough, the merger made it even less attactive.
Anyway, this chart is from December and finally it's in my buy zone. If the qFVG doesn't hold, then i think it'll go down to htf golden pocket for a 98% retrace from ATH. The team behind is relentlessly building and making partnerships, so i think its time can come again.
TRUMP price analysis✊ At the end of March, we last wrote about #Trump and “looked like water” predicting a price drop to $7-7.20 if the “great and brilliant leader” did not stop doing stupid things.... but then came the April sanctions...
We can comment and discuss it for a long time, but it's no use - you can't get the rust out of the metal or out of your head...
It was interesting on 19.04 - when a large unlock of 40 million #Trump coins took place and participants expected the price dump to continue.... but no...
and already on 23.04 - the news comes out that #Trump will have dinner with the largest holders of his token and, oh, miracle = 75% of the OKX:TRUMPUSDT price pump
There are already jokes on Twitter that the TOP-5 holders will be able to choose to who will be the next to set or remove abnormal taxes during dinner)
But seriously, there is every chance that the #TRUMUSDC price pump will continue and God grant us patience to keep and hold this small amount of #Trump coins to $24-$32 or maybe to $40...
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Gold – How Important Could the Fibonacci Support Levels Be?Even by recent standards, the price action seen in Gold this week so far has been extreme. For those that may not have seen it all, here we go. Gold opened at 3331 on Monday, traded to a new all time high of 3500 on Tuesday, then dropped all the way back down to 3260 on Wednesday before recovering again to current levels around 3330. A round trip of circa 14%.
The drivers appear to be comments from President Trump and US Treasury Secretary Bessant. With President Trump seeming to challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve at the start of the week (Gold higher) and then pulling back from his most outspoken criticism on Wednesday (Gold lower). Alongside President Trump and Secretary Bessant both commenting on the potential for a de-escalation of the trade war with China on Wednesday (Gold lower), but then suggesting it may take some time to agree (Gold higher).
All of this at the same time that a potential US brokered peace detail between Ukraine and Russia may be moving a step closer to becoming a reality and you can possibly see why Gold prices have moved so much.
Right now, as traders take a pause for breath, its may be a good time to consider the charts and identify some potential support and resistance levels that may come into play into the Friday close.
Technical Update: 3292 Fibonacci 38.2% Support in Focus
Let’s be honest here, when a market is accelerating higher into new all-time high ground, as an almost ‘panic’ rush to get long of an asset is seen, it is very difficult to establish upside resistance levels that may or may not be able to hold the advance, let alone reverse it.
As technical analysts, we can only really focus on 2 things in such a condition, psychological round numbers and Fibonacci extension levels.
Therefore, it’s interesting where the recent acceleration higher in Gold stalled this week, at 3500.
Obviously, this is a round number that may have drawn traders’ interest from a psychological perspective, but this also represented a test of 3468, which is equal to the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 sell-off.
With weakness developing from 3500, this extension level held on a closing basis, from which further declines have materialised.
So, we might suggest after the recent weakness in Gold prices, that an upside resistance area has now been established between 3468/3500.
If that is the case, what might the support levels be for us to monitor to gauge if current weakness has further to carry of not?
Potential Support Levels:
The latest phase of price strength in Gold was seen between April 7th to April 22nd 2025, and calculating Fibonacci retracement on this price strength, may highlight some interesting support levels.
The latest downside move has tested, and is so far being held by support at 3292, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest strength. Traders may now be watching how this level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might see a more extended phase of price weakness emerge.
Much will of course depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but closing breaks below 3292 could suggest further declines to 3228, the 50% level, possibly even 3165, which is the deeper 62% retracement.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As we have already said, the latest price activity may well be suggesting the 3468/3500 range is an area that may prove to be a resistance focus. However, if the 3292 retracement support continues to hold, focus could then be on 3380, as a possible lower resistance level.
This is equal to half of the latest declines, with closing upside breaks of this resistance possibly suggesting positive themes are re-emerging, which could lead to further pressure being placed on the important 3468/3500 resistance range.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.