end of btc correction? in 1hr and 4hr time frames we can see a clear downtrend.
we can now see the speed of our downtrend (in 1hr &4hr timeframe) has now has decreased with infiltrating the orange trendline or even ended we don"t have the confirmtion yet i"m bullish on the market but we can still see more dumps. actually we have handful reasons to dump even more but on the other hand we have handful reasons to pump its up to you to choose what you want to see as technical analysis is subjective you see what you want to see doesn"t matter if its right or wrong yeah what im trynig to say is don"t take side in any market. as you can see we have a bullish standard divergence in 1hr timeframe if the scenario is bullish for BINANCE:BTCUSDT we can expect to btc to make a low and then brake the high its has made (blue line) if its bearish we should wait for the green line to be broken note that( if you want to open a short be very careful its the prebrakeout line you should take momentum and other things like rsi into account ) last thing i want to note is the we have reacted to 0.618 fib level i wish good luck for everyone these days with love ❤️
Fibonacci
EURUSD Trade Setup1. Time Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0380 - 1.0466
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0422- 1.0480
3. Trend Confirmation:
Price has break support at 1.0453 with massive net sell volume.
Price has rise back to Daily & H4 FVG area.
4. Position:
Entry: 1.0430
Stop Loss : 1.0480
Take Profit: 1.0345 & 1.0240 (fibo 161.8 & previous low)
RRR : 1:1.7x - 1:3.8x
-------------
Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 DEC 23 -27 MARKET BREAKDOWNAnalysis Based on the Chart:
1. Bullish Context:
The overall trend is bullish, and the market has recently pulled back to a key support zone:
• The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with both historical support and a daily bullish order block (OB).
• Price action respecting this level suggests a potential continuation to the upside.
2. Daily Break of Structure (BOS):
The BOS on the daily timeframe confirms a shift to bullish momentum, indicating that higher highs could be the next target.
3. Liquidity Sweep:
The sharp pullback appears to have cleared out liquidity (stop-loss clusters from retail traders) below the recent swing low. This is a common pattern before a bullish push.
4. Confluences for Entry:
• The pullback to the Fibonacci 50% level gives a high-probability entry point.
• The price has respected both dynamic support (trendline) and horizontal support at the bullish OB.
Will XRP stay in the sideways trend channels?Hello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the XRP to USDT chart on the 12H interval.
As we can see, the XRP price is moving in a sideways trend channel in which the price bounce did not effectively overcome the resistance at $ 2.27, the next resistance is at $ 2.47, but then we have visible resistance at $ 2.61, another strong resistance is at $ 2.78, and only when we have a positive exit from the channel, the price can get a strong upward impulse around the resistance at $ 3.29.
In a situation where the market will have a further reaction and the price will start to fall again, we have visible support at $ 2.22, then strong support at the lower limit of the channel at $ 1.94, however, if the price leaves the channel at the bottom, it may get a drop to around $ 1.72, and further, taking into account the height of the channel, there may be a price reversal to $ 1.39.
The RSI indicator has room for continued growth, but a lot depends on the behavior of BTC itself.
Update on PENGU buys.Upon careful reassessment, I saw the possibility of market moving from the higher OB.
Structure has been broken, so a retest to the old low, is quite unlikely.
At least, that’s what I feel.
It could be one or the other, but this trade defines which stands true..
Lower OB vs New Structural OB
PENGUUSFT buy idea.Change of character, followed by a pending sweep. PENGU is relatively new to the market, so there’s not so much info to work with, but the 15m,30m chart gives us that info we’d need.
It dumped temporally following BTC’s dip, and is now in recovery (or, at least it looks like it).
I believe this region would be a good range for buys
Hope this is helpful, let’s watch.
SkyWater Technology, Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# SkyWater Technology, Inc.
- Double Formation
* (Neckline) At 8.00 USD
* Retracement Numbered | Subdivision 1
** 1.272))
** (1)
** ((50))
** (0)
- Triple Formation
* 12.00 USD | Area Of Value
* Pattern Recognition | Head & Shoulders | Subdivision 2
* Retracement Not Numbered | Daily Time Frame | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.
- Double Formation
* (Triangle Structure) | Survey | Subdivision 1
* 12.00 USD | Area of Value
- Triple Formation
* 1)) & 0.382)) | Uptrend Bias
* ((50)) & (1) Retracement | Survey | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Entry Settings | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
KJELL GROUP AB | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# KJELL GROUP AB
- Double Formation
* Pattern Confirmation | Left, Head & Right | Subdivision 1
* Retracement 1 | Survey Valid | Not Numbered
- Triple Formation
* Trend Line 1 & 2 | Triangle Structure | Subdivision 2
* 012345 | Wave Count | Wave 3 Ongoing
* Retracement 2 | Daily Time Frame | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
BTCUSDT - Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Targeting $115,000 Market Overview
- BTC is unfolding a classic Elliott Wave impulse, currently correcting in Wave 4.
- This correction has established strong support near the $94,500-$96,000 zone, aligning with the 38.2%-50% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3.
- The Wave 5 target is projected at $115,000, based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Wave Count Breakdown:
- Wave 1: Initiation of bullish momentum with a strong breakout.
- Wave 2: Healthy retracement establishing a higher low.
- Wave 3: Extended bullish rally, peaked at $108,000, showing typical impulsive strength.
- Wave 4: Ongoing corrective phase, respecting key Fibonacci retracement levels.
- Wave 5 (Projected): Anticipated bullish rally toward $115,000, potentially extending to $118,000 under strong momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Zones:
- $93,000-$94,000: Key demand zone where buying interest is evident.
- Break below $92,000 invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure.
- Resistance Levels:
- $108,000: Wave 4 high, pivotal for confirming a bullish breakout.
- $115,000: Projected Wave 5 target based on 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3.
- $118,000: Secondary extension level if bullish momentum sustains.
3. Fibonacci Analysis:
- Wave 4 Correction:
- Aligns with the 38.2%-50% retracement of Wave 3, a standard correction zone.
- Wave 5 Projection:
- Targets 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, landing near $115,000.
4. Trendline Analysis:
- A rising trendline connecting Waves 1 and 3 provides structural support.
- Parallel projection supports the expected upward movement toward Wave 5.
Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- Wave 4 correction shows RSI consolidating in the 40-50 zone, indicative of oversold conditions.
- A bullish crossover above 50-60 will confirm the start of Wave 5.
2. MACD (12, 26, 9):
- MACD histogram flattening during Wave 4 indicates diminishing bearish pressure.
- A bullish crossover on MACD lines will serve as a strong signal for Wave 5 initiation.
3. Volume Profile:
- Accumulation in the $93,000-$94,000 zone reflects strong institutional interest.
- Wave 5 should see a notable rise in volume as price approaches $108,000 and breaks out toward $115,000.
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions in the $94,500 - $96,000 support zone.
- Add on breakout confirmation above $108,000 for conservative entries.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place below $92,000 to limit downside risk and invalidate the current wave structure.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: $115,000 (Wave 5 Fibonacci extension).
- Stretch Target: $118,000 if momentum sustains post-breakout.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 1%-2% of capital per trade.
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the $94,000-$96,000 zone and breaks above $108,000 with volume confirmation.
- Wave 5 achieves $115,000, with possible extensions to $118,000.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold $92,000 invalidates the current Elliott Wave structure.
- Price may retrace deeper, targeting the $88,000-$90,000 zone.
Pro Summary
BTC is setting up for an impulsive Wave 5 rally, with $115,000 as the primary target. A breakout above $108,000 will confirm the next leg of the bullish trend. Maintain a disciplined approach with stops below $92,000 and adjust positions as the price action unfolds. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
Revolutionize Your Bitcoin Trading: Top Price Action TechniquesBITSTAMP:BTCUSD @Alexgoldhunter
Analysis Using Price Action Techniques
Key Technical Elements
Break of Structure (BOS):
The chart shows multiple BOS annotations, indicating significant changes in market structure. The first BOS is marked around the 16th, showing a bullish breakout. The second BOS is marked around the 18th, indicating a bearish breakout.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from a recent high to a recent low. The key levels are:
0.786: 103910.11 USD
0.705: 103376.675 USD
0.618: 102795.43 USD
0.5: 102012.5 USD
0.382: 101229.97 USD
These levels can be used to identify potential support and resistance areas.
Volume Analysis:
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart show the trading volume. Higher volume bars indicate stronger buying or selling pressure.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is shown with a value of 44.80, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
The MACD indicator is shown at the bottom, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum.
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a buy position near the 0.618 Fibonacci level (102795.43 USD), especially if the price shows signs of reversal with increasing volume.
Confirmation:
Look for a bullish BOS and RSI moving above 50.
Target:
Aim for the 0.786 Fibonacci level (103910.11 USD) or higher. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels (0.705 and 0.618).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the recent low or the 0.5 Fibonacci level to minimize risk.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a sell position near the 0.786 Fibonacci level (103910.11 USD), especially if the price shows signs of reversal with decreasing volume.
Confirmation:
Look for a bearish BOS and RSI moving below 50.
Target:
Aim for the 0.5 Fibonacci level (102012.5 USD) or lower. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels (0.618 and 0.382).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the recent high or the 0.786 Fibonacci level to minimize risk.
Summary
Buy Strategy: Look for a bullish BOS, high volume, RSI above 50, and enter near support levels (Fibonacci 0.618).
Sell Strategy: Look for a bearish BOS, high volume, RSI below 50, and enter near resistance levels (Fibonacci 0.786).
Simple VIP Signal
ENTRY: 102795.43 USD
TP1: 103376.675 USD
TP2: 103910.11 USD
SL: 102012.5 USD
By using these price action techniques, traders can develop a strategic approach to buying and selling based on key levels and market structure. Remember to always manage risk with appropriate stop loss and take profit levels. Happy trading! 📈📉
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Master Silver Trading: Profitable Price Action Strategies!CAPITALCOM:SILVER @Alexgoldhunter
Price Action Analysis and Strategy
Key Levels and Zones
Support Levels:
28.500 USD: A crucial support level where the price has found buying interest before.
28.700 USD: Another significant support level indicating strong buying pressure.
Resistance Levels:
29.400 USD: A strong resistance level where the price has faced selling pressure.
30.480 USD: Another notable resistance level suggesting potential selling interest.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS annotations on the chart indicate significant shifts in market structure, highlighting potential areas of interest for traders.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 Level: 29.108248 USD
0.5 Level: 29.222 USD
0.618 Level: 29.33552 USD
0.705 Level: 29.4162 USD
0.786 Level: 29.497704 USD
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes are visible, indicating periods of high trading activity, which can be used to confirm breakouts or reversals.
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a buy position if the price breaks above the resistance level at 29.400 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, look for a bounce from the support level at 28.500 USD with a bullish candlestick pattern and increasing volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the recent swing low or support level, for example, below 28.500 USD.
Take Profit:
Set take profit levels at the next resistance levels, such as 30.480 USD or use Fibonacci extension levels for further targets.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a sell position if the price breaks below the support level at 28.500 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, look for a rejection from the resistance level at 29.400 USD with a bearish candlestick pattern and increasing volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the recent swing high or resistance level, for example, above 29.400 USD.
Take Profit:
Set take profit levels at the next support levels, such as 28.500 USD or use Fibonacci retracement levels for further targets.
Simple VIP Signal
ENTRY: 28.500 USD
TP1: 29.108248 USD
TP2: 29.497704 USD
SL: 28.500 USD
Conclusion
This chart shows a detailed technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) using price action techniques, highlighting key support and resistance levels, break of structure points, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These elements can be used to develop a buy and sell strategy based on market behavior and volume analysis.
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Unlock Hidden Profits: Expert Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis!FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Price Action Analysis and Strategy by @Alexgoldhunter
Key Levels and Structures
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS annotations indicate significant shifts in market structure. These are key points where the price has broken previous support or resistance levels, suggesting potential trend changes.
Equal Highs:
A region marked as "Equal Highs," indicating a resistance level where the price has repeatedly failed to break above. This is a potential area to watch for a breakout or reversal.
Strong High:
A "Strong High" is marked, indicating a significant resistance level that has held firm. This is a critical level for potential sell opportunities if the price approaches it again.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart includes Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.705, 0.786) from a recent high to low. These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas.
Indicators:
Volume:
Volume bars indicate the trading activity. Higher volume on up moves suggests strong buying interest, while higher volume on down moves suggests strong selling interest.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is currently at 44.81, which is below the 50 level, indicating bearish momentum but not yet in the oversold territory.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line is at 1.265, the signal line is at -5.079, and the histogram is at -6.344. The MACD is below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum.
Buy Strategy:
Support Levels:
Look for buying opportunities near strong support levels, such as the recent low around 2,580.000 USD.
Watch for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing) near these levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Consider buying near the 0.382 (2,607.921412) or 0.5 (2,615.847) Fibonacci retracement levels if the price shows signs of reversal.
RSI and MACD:
Look for the RSI to move above 50 and the MACD to cross above the signal line for confirmation of bullish momentum.
Sell Strategy:
Resistance Levels:
Look for selling opportunities near strong resistance levels, such as the "Strong High" or "Equal Highs" around 2,640.000 USD.
Watch for bearish reversal patterns (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing) near these levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Consider selling near the 0.786 (2,635.056476) or 0.705 (2,629.61603) Fibonacci retracement levels if the price shows signs of reversal.
RSI and MACD:
Look for the RSI to move below 50 and the MACD to cross below the signal line for confirmation of bearish momentum.
Simple VIP Signal:
ENTRY: 2,580.000 USD
TP1: 2,607.921412 USD
TP2: 2,635.056476 USD
SL: 2,540.000 USD
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The analysis and strategies provided here are based on historical data and technical analysis techniques, which do not guarantee future performance. Before making any investment decisions, please consider your financial situation, level of experience, and risk tolerance. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
Unlock Hidden Profits: Proven WTI Crude Oil Trading StrategiesTVC:USOIL
Price Action Analysis and Strategy by @Alexgoldhunter
Key Levels and Structures
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS annotations indicate significant shifts in market structure. These points are crucial for identifying potential trend reversals or continuations.
Change of Character (CHoCH):
CHoCH is marked at multiple points, indicating shifts in market sentiment. These points can be used to identify potential entry and exit points.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels at:
0.382: 69.49558 USD
0.5: 69.695 USD
0.618: 69.89442 USD
0.705: 70.01445 USD
0.786: 70.17294 USD
These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas.
Volume Profile:
The volume profile on the left side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. High volume nodes can act as support or resistance.
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for a bullish CHoCH near a significant support level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes.
Confirm the entry with a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing) and increased volume.
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss below the recent swing low or a significant support level to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
Set the take profit at the next resistance level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for a bearish CHoCH near a significant resistance level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes.
Confirm the entry with a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star, engulfing) and increased volume.
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss above the recent swing high or a significant resistance level to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
Set the take profit at the next support level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels.
Simple VIP Signal
entry: 68.500 usd
tp1: 69.49558 usd
tp2: 70.17294 usd
sl: 67.500 usd
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The analysis and strategies provided here are based on historical data and technical analysis techniques, which do not guarantee future performance. Before making any investment decisions, please consider your financial situation, level of experience, and risk tolerance. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
Long dxyCurrently believed that dxy is or has started a wave 5 impulse to new highs.
I believe that this will cause corrections across stock and crypto markets, potentially for next two years.
Bitcoin may have toped, I, a, looking for a pull back to low 70 this next 12months being a A wave on a large scale corrections, with a push up before failure and settling around 40k regions before a few impulse out to 180k.
I will monitor for sideways accumulation around 45-40k.
This is my current bearish plan 21.12.2024
Polkadot Elliot Wave - Daily and WeeklyThe analysis shows a completed 5-wave impulse, followed by an ongoing A-B-C correction. Key support at 7.500: a bounce here could trigger Wave 3, with ideal targets between 17.300 and 23.150 based on Fibonacci levels. Watch for volume and breakout confirmation!
What's next for BTC? Will the correction go lower?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC, which has currently had a -15% price correction. This is a natural correction in the growth cycle, and what's more, much larger corrections at 20% or 30% levels often appeared in bull cycles.
Let's start with how the price moved in the local growth trend channel, in which we can see how dynamically we went down to the lower zone of the channel, which translated into a further drop in price reaching the support level at $ 91,712. In such a situation, it should be taken into account that very often leaving the channel gives a movement close to the channel height, which could cause the BTC price to drop to the support level at $ 84,072.
If the current rebound from the level of around $92,000 ends the current correction, however, here we see how the level of $95,004 poses effective resistance for the price, only when it is broken again will it go further to the area of $101,000, and then again move towards the strong resistance zone from $106,000 to $108,000. On the RSI, taking into account the 12H interval, we have a visible descent with crossing the lower limit, which in previous situations gave rise to renewed price increases.