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Fibonacci

GOLD → The rally is intensifying. Growth after false breakdownFX:XAUUSD is breaking upwards and is trying to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of a correction. This would be an ideal support for the bulls. The rally, on the background of political and geopolitical problems only intensifies Tariff escalation pushes up gold demand. Trump rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary named a list of 15 countries that fall under the new measures. This has caused the dollar to weaken and fears of stagflation to rise, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset. Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but corrections are possible before the tariffs announcement on April 2 and the release of U.S. economic data Technically, we have a strong bullish trend, it is risky to sell, we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if the price consolidates above 3127, or after a false breakdown of 3119 / 3111 Resistance levels: 3147, 3155, 3166 Support levels: 3127, 3119, 3111 Before the continuation of the growth there may be a correction to the key support areas to normalize the imbalance in the market as well as to capture the liquidity. Consolidation above the level after a false breakdown will be a good signal for growth. But! News ahead and high volatility is possible! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high. At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63. Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509 Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9 The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
20
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement. The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market. The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571. Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674 Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684 After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Cardano - Bullish Breakout! Can Bulls Finally Take Control? Cardano (ADA) has recently broken out of a prolonged bearish trend on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. This breakout suggests that bullish momentum could be building, paving the way for a move higher. The price action indicates that ADA may now target areas of confluence, where technical factors align to create significant levels of interest. The breakout itself is a strong indication that buyers are gaining control, pushing the price above previous resistance levels. This shift in momentum could be the start of a more substantial rally, especially if ADA continues to attract buyers as it moves higher. The breakout from the bearish trend also marks a change in the broader market structure. Previously, ADA was confined within a downward trend, but now it appears to be transitioning into a more bullish phase. This transition is crucial for traders, as it presents opportunities for both short-term gains and longer-term investment strategies. As ADA moves higher, it will be important to monitor how it interacts with key technical levels, as these will provide insight into whether the breakout is sustainable or if it will be met with resistance. Short-Term Target: Golden Pocket and Fair Value Gap The next logical target for ADA is the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level), which coincides with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence creates a magnet for price action due to several reasons. The golden pocket is a key area where reversals or consolidations often occur after significant moves. It acts as a strong resistance level and is widely monitored by traders because it represents a point where price action tends to stabilize or reverse. Historically, the golden pocket has been a reliable indicator of potential price reversals, making it a critical area to watch for traders looking to capitalize on ADA's current momentum. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) represents an imbalance in price caused by rapid movement, leaving untraded zones behind. Price tends to revisit these areas to "fill" the gap, making this level crucial for predicting future movements. Gaps like these often get revisited before the market decides on a new trend direction, which means that ADA's approach to this zone could be pivotal in determining its next major move. Additionally, liquidity is likely concentrated around this area, as stop-loss orders from short positions could be triggered here, leading to increased volatility. If ADA reaches this level, traders should closely monitor how price reacts. A strong rejection could signal a move back down, while a clean breakthrough could indicate further upside potential. Potential Rejection and Support Levels While the breakout is promising, there remains a high probability of resistance at the golden pocket and FVG zone. If ADA faces rejection here, it could retrace toward key support levels. The primary support zone, which has held firm during recent consolidation phases, will be crucial in determining whether ADA can maintain its bullish momentum. A retest of this area would provide another opportunity for buyers to step in, potentially leading to a continuation of the current trend. In the event of a rejection, ADA might initially pull back to test its recent breakout levels. If this support holds, it would reinforce the idea that the breakout is legitimate and that ADA is poised for further gains. However, failure to hold these levels could open the door for ADA to drop toward secondary support zones. These areas, typically marked by previous lows or significant trading volumes, would be critical in preventing a deeper correction. If ADA fails to find support at these levels, it could signal a broader reversal in the market, potentially leading to a retest of lower support zones. Final Thoughts Cardano’s breakout from its bearish trend presents an exciting opportunity for traders. The golden pocket and FVG alignment around the target zone make it a critical area to watch. Traders should remain cautious as price approaches this resistance level, looking for signs of rejection or continued strength. Monitoring the price action closely will be essential in determining whether ADA has the momentum to push through resistance or if it will be forced back into a consolidation phase. For now, the key levels to monitor include the resistance at the golden pocket/FVG zone and the support at recent breakout levels. A decisive breakout above resistance could signal further upside potential, while failure might keep ADA within its broader range structure. As ADA navigates these technical levels, traders should be prepared for increased volatility and potential trading opportunities. Whether ADA continues its ascent or faces a pullback, the current market conditions offer a compelling setup for traders looking to capitalize on the cryptocurrency's movements. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
36
JPMorgan at a Crossroads Bullish Surge or Bearish Retreat ? Hello, fellow traders! Today, I’m diving into a detailed technical analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) on the 2-hour chart, as shown in the screenshot. My goal is to break down the key elements of this chart in a professional yet accessible way, so whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, you can follow along and understand the potential opportunities and risks in this setup. Let’s get started! Price Action Overview At the time of this analysis, JPM is trading at 243.62, down -1.64 (-0.67%) on the 2-hour timeframe. The chart spans from late March to early May, giving us a good look at the recent price behavior. The price has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows, but we’re now seeing signs of a potential pullback or consolidation. The chart shows a breakout above a key resistance zone around the 234.50 level (highlighted in red on the Volume Profile), followed by a retest of this level as support. This is a classic bullish pattern: a breakout, a retest, and then a continuation higher. However, the recent price action suggests some hesitation, with a small bearish candle forming at the current price of 243.62. Let’s dig deeper into the tools and indicators to understand what’s happening. Volume Profile Analysis The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart is a powerful tool for identifying key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. Here’s what it’s telling us: Value Area High (VAH): 266.25 Point of Control (POC): 243.01 Value Area Low (VAL): 236.57 Profile Low: 224.25 The Point of Control (POC) at 243.01 is the price level with the highest traded volume in this range, acting as a magnet for price. Since the current price (243.62) is just above the POC, this level is likely providing some support. However, the fact that we’re so close to the POC suggests that the market is at a decision point—either we’ll see a bounce from this high-volume node, or a break below could lead to a deeper pullback toward the Value Area Low (VAL) at 236.57. The Total Volume in VP Range is 62.798M shares, with an Average Volume per Bar of 174.44K. This indicates decent liquidity, but the Volume MA (21) at 165.709K is slightly below the average, suggesting that the recent price action hasn’t been accompanied by a significant spike in volume. This could mean that the current move lacks strong conviction, and we might see a consolidation phase before the next big move. Trendlines and Key Levels I’ve drawn two trendlines on the chart to highlight the structure of the price action: Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle formation, with a flat resistance line around the 234.50 level (which was later broken) and an upward-sloping support trendline connecting the higher lows. Ascending triangles are typically bullish patterns, and the breakout above 234.50 confirmed this bias. After the breakout, the price retested the 234.50 level as support and continued higher, reaching a high of around 248.02. Current Support Trendline: The upward-sloping trendline (drawn in white) is still intact, with the most recent low around 241.50 finding support on this line. This trendline is critical—if the price breaks below it, we could see a deeper correction toward the VAL at 236.57 or even the 234.50 support zone. Key Price Levels to Watch Based on the Volume Profile and price action, here are the key levels I’m watching: Immediate Support: 243.01 (POC) and 241.50 (recent low on the trendline). A break below 241.50 could signal a short-term bearish move. Next Support: 236.57 (VAL) and 234.50 (previous resistance turned support). Resistance: 248.02 (recent high). A break above this level could target the Value Area High at 266.25, though that’s a longer-term target. Deeper Support: If the price breaks below 234.50, the next significant level is 224.25 (Profile Low), which would indicate a major trend reversal. Market Context and Timeframe The chart covers 360 bars of data, starting from late March. This gives us a good sample size to analyze the trend. The 2-hour timeframe is ideal for swing traders or those looking to capture moves over a few days to a week. The broader trend remains bullish, but the recent price action suggests we might be entering a consolidation or pullback phase before the next leg higher. Trading Strategy and Scenarios Based on this analysis, here are the potential scenarios and how I’d approach trading JPM: Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the POC at 243.01 and the trendline support at 241.50, I’d look for a bounce toward the recent high of 248.02. A break above 248.02 could signal a continuation toward 266.25 (VAH). Entry could be on a strong bullish candle closing above 243.62, with a stop-loss below 241.50 to manage risk. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 241.50 and the POC at 243.01, I’d expect a pullback toward the VAL at 236.57 or the 234.50 support zone. A short position could be considered on a confirmed break below 241.50, with a stop-loss above 243.62 and a target at 236.57. Consolidation Scenario: Given the lack of strong volume and the proximity to the POC, we might see the price consolidate between 241.50 and 248.02 for a while. In this case, I’d wait for a breakout or breakdown with strong volume to confirm the next move. Risk Management As always, risk management is key. The 2-hour timeframe can be volatile, so I recommend using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, if you’re going long at 243.62 with a stop-loss at 241.50 (a risk of 2.12 points), your target should be at least 248.02 (a reward of 4.40 points), giving you a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your account on this trade. Final Thoughts JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 2-hour chart, with a confirmed breakout above the 234.50 resistance and a retest of this level as support. However, the recent price action near the POC at 243.01 and the lack of strong volume suggest that we might see a pullback or consolidation before the next move higher. The key levels to watch are 241.50 (trendline support), 243.01 (POC), and 248.02 (recent high). For now, I’m leaning slightly bullish as long as the price holds above 241.50, but I’ll be ready to adjust my bias if we see a break below this level. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let the market show its hand before taking a position. What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below, and happy trading! This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NYSE:JPMLong
by wolfchemist
Altseason 2025 is upon us *A different take*Welcome back dearest reader, I've been covering some altcoins i'm bullish on, and a deeper dive into bitcoin dominance is key for their succes. Well the downfall of the dominance that is. On the chart: ~The fibonacci extension has shown gradual weakness throughout the cycles starting at the 1.618 then the 1, now the 0.786 is inbound. I expect it to be hit soon topping at around 66% dominance. We can see what happened next ''1'' ~MFI is hitting an oversold zone like never seen before on the 3 month ''2'' ~Stoch RSI is hitting an oversold zone and is bound to see a cross ''3'' Load up on your favourite alts and enjoy the ride. ~Rustle
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Rustlingjimmies
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19697.00 - PR Low: 19595.25 - NZ Spread: 228.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 10:30 | Crude Inventories Key daily zones updated - 200+ point rotation above Monday's high - Auction back inside previous week range - Retraced 1/3 of Friday's selloff Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/2) - Session Open ATR: 437.34 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 248K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5
House of Cards - $585 before the crashHouse of Cards - $585 before the crash I'm unable to update my previous idea that I originally posted in February when AMEX:SPY was at the top. Going to make this brief and will add screenshots and additional notes once the structure of Wave (B) is confirmed or invalidated. On the 500R chart ($5), the price has risen in a distinct 3-wave pattern labelled A-B-C, with C reaching the 1.236 extension of A and finding resistance at the 100SMA (yellow). The low of Wave (A) respected the boundary of the lower line of the regression trend I have added to the chart. While this trend started prior to what I am considering Wave (A), I still think it provides a good target for the top of the retracement. Wave (c) of A of (B) (still following me?) is not confirmed as complete yet. It could extend as far as $584 without pulling back, however I anticipate the market building more liquidity on the way up while burning options in the process. I bought 3/28 $570p at the end of the day in case we see a 50%-61.8% pullback to $560-$563 by the end of the week. If that happens, we should have enough room to reach the upper band at $585, which would be a little over a 50% retracement of Wave (A). This would also cause the price to touch the 200 SMA (green), which is common in the first major retracement of a bear market. Lastly, from a psychological perspective, the market reached an overwhelmingly bearish consensus from mid-February to mid-March. Sentiment during Wave (a) was mostly bearish, but sentiment has shifted positive since the price entered Wave (c) and gapped up on Monday, resulting in a >+1% day. This sets the stage for a rug pull and subsequent bear trap for late sellers who will assume the downtrend has resumed prematurely. We'll see how this plays out. I'll switch to calls if a higher high is made Wednesday 3/26. Good luck to all.
AMEX:SPY
by ap769
4
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum. Here are two possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+. ❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Louigi_24
22
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point. Here are three possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. ❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows. 📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
by Louigi_24
14
OIL - Key Fibonacci Levels and Potential Market MovesThis chart presents a detailed technical analysis of Crude Oil Futures on the 1D timeframe, highlighting key Fibonacci levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and potential price movements. Key observations: - The price is currently around $71.44, moving towards a key decision zone. - A significant Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618 - 0.65) is marked near $74, aligning with a key resistance area. - The "Golden Pocket" from the greater downtrend remains a crucial area to watch for a potential reversal. - Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG & IFVG) are identified, which could act as liquidity zones. Possible Scenarios: 🟢 Option 1: Bullish breakout, price moves above $74 and continues toward $78+ levels. 🔴 Option 2: Rejection from resistance, leading to a potential pullback below $70. 🔴 Option 3: Strong rejection, price drops back towards the Fibonacci 0 level (~$64). Which option do you think is most likely? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Louigi_24
14
Research: Interconnected Scalable ComplexitiesIntegrating another fibonacci channel into a formerly discovered interconnected structure: Direction defined by HH's: Mar '24 & Dec '24; Mapping to LL Nov '22 Price breaking over this channel is a signal of continuation of bullrun in a bigger scale (like 2016 BR). Interconnected Fractals in respect to Phi: My work revolves around understanding and interconnecting scalable complexities, forming the foundation for a probabilistic framework that accurately models the underlying patterns and relationships driving price movements over time. Achieving this requires analyzing how price historically reacts to key levels and projecting this consistency for a future price coverage. This research will be used to build an indicator that automatically generates these levels in Pine Script. Please, confirm in comment section if you would like me to do traditional subjective TA over objective Fractal Analysis. I highly appreciate your involvement!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
12
AAVE Longterm pickNot going to dive too deep, but I genuinely believe DEFI is set to explode in the future! AAVE is definitely one of my favorites, along with UNI and a couple of others that are on my radar. Anyway, Looking at the long-term Fibonacci targets, they suggest (850-1300-1750) will happen eventually. I’m not sure how long it will take, but I’m all about keeping my eyes on the prize! What are your thoughts? Let’s get a discussion going! Don’t forget to like and share! 🚀💥
Long
by Cosmicbag
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 1 April 2025 - S&P 500 reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 5700.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed from the support area located between the support level 5500.00 (low of the previous wave (A)), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the uptrend from August. The downward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term impulse wave 1 of the downward impulse sequence (C) from the end of March. Given the improving sentiment across the equity markets and the strength of the support level 5500.00, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5700.00.
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Short on XAU USDWe can see gold has been on a ridiculous bullish run given all the uncertainty in the market. I believe if this continues we can see further upside - however I am going out on a limb to say this weekly candle will either brush the 3090 level or close as red. I have entered short positions via market order (in the royal blue colour) and have also set limit orders for shorts all the way up to 3129 (in the lighter blue colour). This analysis can definitely be wrong but I believe the market has made 2 drastically massive moves in the last 2 days which are somewhat unwarranted (yes gold is bullish but last 2 days have hit highs of 40-50 dollar moves. Let's see what the market bring tomorrow with ADP Non-Farm Employment data and also President Trump speaking later in the evening in the US. I have mapped out important levels using the Fibonacci tool and also psychological level of 3100. Key levels Short entries starting from 3119 - Set another order every dollar above all the way to 3129 Stop loss 3136 is my stop loss for this trade - If 3130 is broken with volume then I believe that we may push higher (If this happens likely the trade will be stopped out) Take Profit 3075 is the final TP area (0.5 Fib level using last 2 week high + low) - Given gold is in such a bullish phase it is foolish to hold onto shorts in my opinion (as we can see from the chart typically these bottoms are bought up and can be evidenced by the long candle wicks) - 3090 will be where I start to scale out of this position and adjust SL levels
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Q4Signs
7