NFE | Long-Term Falling Wedge Reversal – 10X Over 39 months📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:NFE (New Fortress Energy Inc.)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: $3.34
📊 Volume: 829K
📈 Time Horizon: 39 months (~Q4 2028)
🔍 Technical Setup:
NASDAQ:NFE has formed a classic falling wedge over multiple quarters and is now attempting a long-term reversal from a compressed base. The structure suggests explosive upside potential if recovery unfolds as mapped.
🔻 Massive wedge complete
🟢 Accumulation phase after capitulation
📐 Breakout path projects full reversion to long-term resistance line
🧠 Targets & Return on Invested Capital (ROIC):
📥 Entry Zone: $3.00–$3.50
⛔ Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $1.65 (wedge structure failure)
🎯 Target 1: $6.89
→ ROIC: +105.6%
🎯 Target 2: $8.26
→ ROIC: +145.5%
🎯 Target 3: $11.10
→ ROIC: +230%
🎯 Target 4: $16.24
→ ROIC: +383%
🎯 Target 5: $24.97
→ ROIC: +643%
🎯 Target 6: $32.48
→ ROIC: +866%
🎯 Target 7: $39.68
→ ROIC: +1081%
⚠️ Key Insights:
Technical compression resolved upward = breakout watch
Price > $4.00 could initiate strong upside wave
Attractive for long-duration swing traders and structured LEAP positions
Rare asymmetric opportunity within energy sector
💬 Will NFE reclaim its prior cycle highs over the next 3 years?
Follow us and track the setup as it unfolds.
#NFE #TechnicalSetup #WedgeBreakout #LongTermTrade #EnergyStocks #TargetTraders #10xOpportunity
Fibonacci
NZDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:NZDUSD is consolidating, but the chart shows signs of readiness to shift to a distribution phase, which could lead to a rally.
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, which is continuing its main trend, the NZD may break out of consolidation in a distribution pattern. Since the accumulation is quite large (taking into account the long squeeze), the trend may be strong.
A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to 0.6080, followed by the price breaking through the resistance of the global trading range. Consolidation above 0.6080 will confirm the breakdown of the structure, which could trigger distribution
Resistance levels: 0.6080, 0.612
Support levels: 0.6062, 0.604
The price may be supported by a bullish trend and a decline in the dollar. A breakout from the 4-month consolidation may be accompanied by a continuation of the uptrend until the intermediate high of 0.6355 is reached in the medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Possible Movement of Silver: Watch the Golden Zone RetestSilver has broken above a two-top downtrend with a strong bullish impulse, marked by a long white candle. Currently, it appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern. A break below the neckline and the supporting uptrend could lead price back to the golden zone—around the base of the breakout candle—before resuming its upward move toward the main target near $39.
Gold Threatens Yearly Support- Bulls on NoticeGold is threatening a break of the yearly uptrend with Friday’s decline clearing the monthly range low. The focus into the start of the month is on technical support at the 5/29 swing low / May low-day close (LDC) 3240/45.
A break / close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant correction is underway towards the 38.2% retracement of the November rally at 3132 and the 100% extension of the April decline at 3072- both areas of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Resistance now at 3355/80 with a breach above the Record high-close at 3431 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.
-MB
GBP/USD Testing Resistance at 2022 HighsSterling marked an outside weekly-reversal through slope resistance last week with the rally trading just below resistance into the close of the month at the 2022 swing high at 1.3749. Look for support at the June high at 1.3633 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach / close higher exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003. Weekly support rests with the 78.6% retracement at 1.3414 with media-term bullish invalidation now raised to the April high-week close (HWC) at 1.3270.
-MB
The Big Banks are in BIG TROUBLEAs you can see on this weekly chart, the XLF has been in this steady up trend since October 2023. It bounced off this upward slopping trendline 3 different times and then finally broke through it on the 4th hit, then came back up to test the underside of the trendline as resistance. It did get back above the trendline briefly last month, but it ended up being a bull trap as it fell back below the trendline and is now testing it as resistance once again and is currently being rejected. A Fibonacci retrace shows the 0.786 fib level also lines up with this area giving added confluence, as well as RSI divergence that I have highlighted. Massive Massive resistance in this area and so much room for potential downside. I see this trade as an extremely high probability of playing out. The options market agrees with me as well.
ethusdt no trade zoneETH is stuck in a range, wait for the sweep of range high, then closing below the range high and take the short, target weekly low. 2nd scenario is wait for to take out the weekly low and any daily candle closing failed to close below this level take the long entry and target the range high. Otherwise expecting this week choppy mean sideways. no major move. Will update if found any good trade.
Monday hitter NQ1!Hey took a little break but I’m back with the end of the month Monday Mark up. Playing a little safe and marking in up both a buy a sell. As of now there is a head and shoulder developing and I’m looking for it to be a sell. SL is at $250 and I’ve set 4 TP. Good luck and always remember to follow your trading plan and take proper risk management.
OTHERS data points to biggest ALT-Season Good Day Investors and traders,
This the OTHERS on the weekly and I have taken some measured moves in what could be expected in time and price.
The OTHERS chart in my opinion is the last form of the higher risk curve which generally happens at the very end of cycles The others does not include the top ten crypto, so it a very good form of risk on.
I have been looking at the OTHERS chart fairly often of recent times because this is the time for it to really outshine Bitcoin and lead the market with fairly explosive gains.
I have marked a couple of possible time lines that could occur and both seem to be lining up in sort of way or another. From what I can see, others has one big wave remaining, and it’s the one you don’t want to miss
The Indicators
Fibonacci retracement
I have placed a potential take profit zone from the 1.272 to the 1.618 levels and anywhere in between. I have added an up trending channel that OTHERS would have to hold to stay somewhat relevant or then could be susceptible to adjustment.
2.RSI
I have measured the first breakout of the RSI from the 2015-17 and 2019-21 bull runs along with this one so far. The one more relevant to us is 2015-17 as this is the cycle we are more closely following. There seems to be a recurring trend of 90 plus bars before a top to OTHERS. One more thing that really stands out to me in the RSI this the first time it has shown a very strong bearish divergence. normally it seems to maintain or gain strength. right to the very end. time will reveal the real issue here.
3. ISO
The average sentiment oscillator to also show very consistent data for us. I have two measurements. The one points to late July and the the other late October. To me this could be the potential ALT-season time frame from July as it fizzles in the October time frame.
My suggestion to you is follow what you have been taught so far, do not get greedy, take profits when they are there and trust your game plan and stick to it. ALT- SEASON can you a lot of money, or lose you a lot of money. By design, its there to take any profits you have may have, or catch any late coming stragglers. Don’t get caught up in the hoopla.
Once again, I ask you for you input, I really want to hear from you.
Check my bio for more links and information
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
GBPUSD PullbackGBPUSD is in an overall bullish market
However, after a large bullish push, I am expecting price to pullback (sell off).
Price met resistance a weekly supply zone and closed as an indecision candle on the Daily.
The lower blue EMA crossed below the higher RED EMA on the 1hr chart.
Expecting price to selloff and find support at the 50.0 Fib level which also correlates with a demand zone, before continuing the overall trend.
Preponderance of (or Preposterous?) Evidence
I was just proposing yesterday staying neutral in SPY (the S&P 500 ETF). The FOMC meeting today (Jun 18th) was a big-nothing burger (so far), which supports my (non)position, but we'll see. I will update that post when the time is right (ATH, 200dma, or bust).
Today, though, the IWM (the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index ETF) and, surprisingly, a potential short position.
First, the IWM (see below) is overbought on a weekly chart, with the Stochastics being above 80 (more on Stochastics and weekly charts at a later date). For now, let's go with IWM being a little overbought, in the longer-term view.
Now, let's switch to the big daily chart at the top and look at the evidence for going short;
- IWM never really got above it's 200-day moving average (purple line),
- That same level was consistent with a lot of resistance ~213 (yellow circles),
- IWM has trailed this whole rally.
- It has broken and somewhat retested a trendline (light blue) from this most recent rally,
- It bounced off it's 61.8% Fibonacci level (orange line, not my favorite indicator for ETFs, but I often sneak a peek),
- It's at its previous resistance high around 209 (blue circles).
On the not-bearish side;
- The daily chart is less overbought (this has to happen on weakness, though),
- There's (a little) support at 199 but not really again until 172,
- I still feel like the All-Time-High (ATH) is a magnet for the S&P (but IWM has trailed).
That's (a lot) more (and better) points for being bearish.
I'll go short (via a ~90 day ITM put position*) if IWM breaks below 207.50, between that and 202. If it opens lower than 202, I'll wait for a pull-up.
The stop will be a close above the 200 day.
The target is 172 (the previous tariff low), but I will lighten/tighten up (by selling OTM puts* and/or moving stop down) as IWM drops (if it drops).
It may seem a bit duplicitous to be neutral on SPY while being bearish on IWM.
But sometimes you have to go with the Preponderance of Evidence (or will it prove Preposterous Evidence?)
An update will be coming.
*Sorry for bringing up options. One can just go short IWM. I will explain my option choice one day.
My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
ETHUSDT WEEKLY UPDATE — PART 1
When Conviction Fails: Apex Rejection, Hidden Redistribution, and the Illusion of Demand
Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you're tapping in from. Now, as always, I’m not here to waste your time with unnecessary waffle. Let’s get straight into it and unpack this mess step-by-step.
THE APEX REJECTION | MORE THAN JUST A WICK
So picking up from last week's update, we find ourselves right at the crossroads, and not the romantic kind either. What we’re looking at right now so far, is a clean yet 100% conclusive rejection from the apex of a key macro structure.
This isn’t just any level. This is the intersection of vertical momentum and horizontal memory, the apex of a triangle that’s been forming for months. This is where bullish intent was supposed to hold, supposed to assert dominance, but instead, what did we get? A strong push into resistance, a failure to fix above it, followed by exhaustion and signs of institutional unloading.
Now, to the untrained eye, this may look like a pullback, or even a healthy correction. But we’re not here to look at charts with retail goggles. We’re here to track the true intent behind the price action, and if you know your schematics, this is screaming redistribution. And not just any redistribution, the kind that happens right before the market changes its personality.
WHERE ARE WE IN THE SCHEMATIC?
If we overlay Wyckoff logic on top of this structure, it's very clear:
We’ve had our PSY (preliminary support).
Followed by a spring, a shakeout, and a fake rally.
Now we’re dancing around what appears to be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution) — but weaker.
This isn’t classic distribution, it’s redistribution masked in macro confusion.
Here’s the thing this range isn’t just price consolidation, it’s behavioural conditioning. This long, choppy sideways movement is designed to wear out both bulls and bears, making them question their bias, mismanage their risk, and either overstay or exit too early.
The market is methodical, not random. These candles aren’t accidents, they are footprints of algorithmic trap setting, and right now, it looks like the net is about to close.
VOLUME TELLS THE TRUTH
Let’s not forget volume. Look at the weekly volume through this recent push:
Decreasing volume on the rallies,
Higher volume on the red closes,
And multiple spikes that failed to carry price past resistance.
That’s your dead giveaway. You don’t need to be a wizard, just follow the clues. Price is being pushed, not lifted. Demand isn’t stepping in, liquidity is being removed. This isn’t smart money accumulation, if confirmed by the endd of this week, this most recent move up cout be doing of smart money unloading, Quietly and Efficiently.
THE MARKDOWN IS PRIMED
Let’s now address the elephant in the room, the range low and point C of the triangle on the 4H.
T hat’s where liquidity is sitting.
That’s where the market’s next objective lies.
We’ve now failed to reclaim the apex, the wick was slapped down, and unless something significant shifts, the next logical move is to sweep that C point, take out the emotional support, and either:
Tap into true demand (if it exists), or
Begin the cascade toward the final green demand zones between 2,150–2,070, which we marked weeks ago.
And don’t forget, this sweep may not be clean. We could get a fakeout bounce mid-range — enough to bait in more longs, only to roll over again.
PSYCHOLOGICAL LAYER
What’s happening here isn’t just technical, it’s emotional warfare. This entire range has been one long gaslight for the average trader. Between the failed breakouts, failed breakdowns, and chaotic intraday behaviour, retail has been turned into liquidity.
And if you’re still trying to long blindly at the top of this, hoping for 3k ETH without a confirmed structure reclaim, then respectfully, you’re the product right now.
Coming next in Part 2:
A full breakdown of the 4H macro setup
Analysis of the internal range mechanics
Recalculated fib zones
Where the liquidity pockets are
What the most probable path is short, medium, and long-term
Stay tuned — I’ll keep the flow coherent, structured, and aggressive. No fluff. No hopium. Just structure, psychology, and execution.
STNE on WatchLooking to buy a breakout above $15.45 (.618 fib level)
Why:
Uptrend
Strong green close on Friday with high volume
Low volume on the pull back, June 25 & June 26
Stop is below 15.24 which is the .382 fib which almost lines up with the high on June 17.
Target is around $16.26 which is just under 1.618 fib level
XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025📉 XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
Entry Zone: Around $3,363–$3,370
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $3,259 (Above recent highs)
Take-Profit 1: 🎯 $3,308
Take-Profit 2: 🎯 $3,302
Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8–2.2:1 depending on entry)
🔍 Technical View
Trend: Bearish below $3,370
Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370–$3,380
Indicators:
RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias)
MACD crossing down on H1
Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302.
⚠️ Notes
Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints)
Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
Short gold, it will fall again after reboundingToday, gold rebounded after hitting a low of around 3245, and rebounded all the way to a high of around 3296, with a rebound of more than $51. Although the strength of gold's rebound cannot be underestimated, since gold fell and broke through, the previous support has become a strong resistance under the top-bottom conversion effect. Under the influence of heavy resistance, the short trend of gold has become more obvious.
At present, gold faces resistance in the 3300-3310 area in the short term. Before breaking through this area upward, gold shorts still have an advantage, and it is possible to test the support of the 3260-3250 area again. Moreover, before the NFP market this week, gold may maintain a volatile trend, so after a sharp rebound in gold, the short force may be more expressive.
Therefore, in trading, we can appropriately consider shorting gold in the 3295-3305 area, and look at the target area: 3275-3265-3255
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Pudgy Penguins PENGU Bullish Reversal Taking Shape🐧 Pudgy Penguins BINANCE:PENGUUSDT has bounced twice from the $0.009–$0.008 buying zone, showing resilience despite the choppy structure. As long as the June low holds, the setup favors a higher low formation next month, potentially setting the stage for the next impulsive leg higher.
Momentum is building — now it’s about follow-through and confirmation.
$MPRC - Beware of the bears trap** EGX:MPRC - 1-Day Timeframe**
A highly complete bearish Gartley pattern is forming.
- **Sell Point:** Around 26.50
- **Stop Loss/Reentry:** 28.17 (estimated loss: -7.00%). A close above 28.17 would signal continued upward momentum.
- **First Target:** 23.70 (estimated profit: 10.40%)
- **Second Target:** 22.00 (estimated profit: up to 16.87%)
**Notes:**
- The RSI shows weakness but remains above 70, indicating strength. A close below 70 would signal a halt to the upward trend. Until then, the stock remains positive for the long term.
- This analysis is based on the 1-day timeframe.
**Disclaimer:** This is not investment advice—only my interpretation of the chart data. Consult your account manager before making any decisions. Good luck!