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Fibonacci

Bitcoin BTC price analysis BTC.D and events calendar for JulyToday is the last day of the month and the last day of the second quarter, so there may be some volatility in the markets between 🐂 VS 🐻 💰 The CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart shows an interesting picture — the price has reached the upper limit of the consolidation channel, and now: 1️⃣ The scenario with an upward breakout is quite clear: a breakout from the channel upward and consolidation above $108-110k= a move to $125k during July. 2️⃣ A correction to $99k will mean that buyers have taken control of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, preventing it from updating its lows. This will be a clear signal to buy, because further growth is inevitable. 3️⃣ A deep correction to $91,660 (filling the GAP that formed on the CME BTC chart) or slightly lower. This is the last “unclosed” GAP, which, according to TA rules, should be filled for a full-fledged growth trend to begin. So which scenario is closer to your heart, which one do you believe in? Or write your version of events in the comments. Interesting observations to think about: ◆ Over the past two weeks, the inflow of funds to #BTCETF has exceeded $5 billion, but the price of #BTCUSD on CEX exchanges has not been able to “break out” upward. Is this just ETF "property of numbers", or are spot #Bitcoin sales that strong? ◆ The BTC.D indicator has reached a critical level of 66%, and it will be interesting to see whether it will give altcoins some breathing room next month. (If there are a lot of likes and comments under the idea, we will additionally describe our thoughts on BTC.D and USDT.D.) ◆ SP 500, by the way, has updated its highs, and the last few months on the stock market are very similar to the beginning and middle of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. ◆ And in principle, July promises to be very eventful: 👉 By July 9, Trump is expected to make a statement regarding the tariff wars with the rest of the world, which he has put on hold. 👉 July 18 marks the beginning of Mercury retrograde, which “influences” people's behavior and ‘superstitions’ and forces them to be “more cautious” when making trading decisions (and trading bots don't care about emotions and beliefs) 👉 And on July 30, there will be a FOMC meeting, where Mr. Powell may announce a rate cut, as the US is in a recession, which is time to acknowledge. If we have forgotten anything, please add it in the comments!
by P_S_trade
12
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22842.50 - PR Low: 22751.50 - NZ Spread: 202.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | Chicago PMI Weekend volatility taking auction into new ATHs Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/30) - Session Open ATR: 345.85 - Volume: 33K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: +0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23239 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
NZDJPY Technical + Fundamental Short Alignment = Short SetupToday, I want to review the NZDJPY ( OANDA:NZDJPY ) pair short position from a fundamental and technical perspective . It seems to be in a good zone for a short position. Do you agree with me? ---------------------------------------- First, let's look at the fundamentals of NZDJPY. New Zealand (RBNZ): The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the OCR by 25bps in May and hinted at further easing if inflation continues to cool. Recent CPI data has shown clear disinflation trends, increasing the likelihood of more rate cuts in the second half of 2025. Consumer confidence is also declining, and retail sales have been weaker than expected. Japan (BoJ): The Bank of Japan is under growing pressure to tighten monetary policy. Inflation remains above 2%, and market expectations for a rate hike later this year are building. Any shift from ultra-loose policy supports JPY strength, especially against weaker yielders like NZD. Macro Summary: Diverging monetary policies: RBNZ easing, BoJ possibly tightening. NZD weakened by soft data, JPY strengthened by policy expectations. Risk sentiment is currently neutral-to-negative, favoring safe-haven JPY. Conclusion: Short NZDJPY is fundamentally justified. The pair aligns with macro forces: NZD is pressured by rate cuts and weak growth, while JPY is poised to strengthen with upcoming policy shifts. ---------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the NZDJPY chart on the 4-hour time frame . NZDJPY is currently trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . In terms of classic technical analysis , it appears that NZDJPY has successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. Based on the above explanation , I expect NZDJPY to drop to at least 87.159 JPY if the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern and the Support zone(86.50 JPY-87.00 JPY) are broken, the second target could be 86.043 JPY . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 88.378 JPY Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. New Zealand Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analyze (NZDJPY), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
BNB/USDT 1D🕵️‍♂️ General context • Steam: BNB/USDT • Price: 649.52 USDT • Time: 1D (daily interval) • Currently, the reflection is underway after the inheritance, but the technical situation remains uncertain. ⸻ 📈 Trend and market structure • You can see a previous strong drop (visible long red candles). • Currently, reflection is underway to the level of technical resistance (approx. 650–672 USDT). • A medium -term inheritance trend is still in force - marked with an orange interrupted line of decreasing (inheritance) trend. ⸻ 📊 Technical levels 🔹 Opora (green levels): 1. 651.01 USDT - the first tested resistance (current price right next to it). 2. 672.68 USDT - another resistance, above SMA (2), historically strong level of sales. 3. 700.81 USDT - strong psychological and technical level, tested in the past. 🔻 Support (red levels): 1. 636.40 USDT - short -term support (price maintaining just above this level). 2. 625.65 USDT - key support - if it is broken, a possible test of lower levels. 3. 607.62 and 595.27 USDT - subsequent support, where purchases appeared earlier (Long Knoty). ⸻ 📉 Technical indicators 🔵 MacD • Histogram comes out of red - a potential signal of Momentum change to upward. • The MacD line begins to turn up to the signal line - possible Bullly Crossover soon (buy signal). 🟣 RSI • RSI oscillates around line 40-50-it is a neutral zone with a slight tilt down, but RSI-Based has a possible reflection. • Lack of purchase or sale - suggests that traffic can go both ways. ⸻ 🔃 Medium walking (SMAS) • The price is tested by several medium (green, red, blue line): • SMA (1) and SMA (5) are similar and flat - no clear short -term trend. • SMA (2) acts as a strong resistance at 672 USDT. • Need to break out over 672.68 to recognize that the trend can turn around. ⸻ ✅ Applications - technical scenarios 🔼 Bullish (upward) scenario: • Crossing the level 651–672 USDT and closing the daily candle above. • Confirmation by RSI> 50 and MacD crossover. • Target: 700–710 USDT. 🔽 Bearish (inheritance) scenario: • Price rejection with current resistance and descent below 636 → 625 USDT. • If 625 falls, a possible drop in around 607/595 USDT. • RSI may then fall into the sale zone. ⸻ 🧠 Neutral / swing strategy • Currently, the market in potential consolidation between 625 and 672 USDT. • You can consider: • Buying at the lower consolidation limit (625–636) with a stop-loss below 620. • Short or Take Profit at the upper limit (670+) until it breaks out.
by cryptodailyuk
1
PGY - Watching for a Pullback to Previous High or 20EMAWhy This Setup Has My Attention: Strong uptrend , but currently looks overextended Approaching the 1.618 fib level — often a profit-taking zone Heavy green volume recently on the daily chart = demand still present I’m looking for a pullback to $20.60, which aligns with the previous high and the 0.382 fib retracement — a healthy spot for price to reload if bulls are still in control. Plan: Entry Zone: $20.60 area or bounce off the 20EMA Stop: Below the most recent swing low at time of entry Profit: Wherever 1.618 fib is, using the high and low of the wave down. If $21+ breaks and holds: I’ll look for a retest entry on strength
NASDAQ:PGYLong
by PennantTrading
AEVA – Planning a Pullback Entry in a Strong UptrendWhy I Like This Setup: Powerful daily uptrend — momentum clearly to the upside Buyers stepping in on every dip — strong demand showing up consistently Game Plan: Entry Zone: Watching the 1.618 fib level for a pullback and bounce Stop: Just below that 1.618 fib — clean invalidation point Target: Previous high, but with this strength, I’ll likely use a trailing stop once price moves in my favor Letting the trend do the heavy lifting on this one
NASDAQ:AEVALong
by PennantTrading
3
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
1
QFIN – Eyeing a Pullback Entry Near $44 Trendline SupportWhy This Caught My Eye: Consistent green volume > red — demand remains strong June 24: Big green candle on high volume Last 3-day pullback = low volume → likely healthy retrace 0.618 fib lines up with the uptrend support — strong confluence My Plan: Entry Zone: Around $44 after a bounce off the trendline Stop: Below the trendline and the prior resistance (now support) Target: 1.618 fib extension (measured from expected entry point) Clean price action + volume story makes this one worth watching.
NASDAQ:QFINLong
by PennantTrading
UTI on WatchWatching for a Breakout Above 52-Week High – $36.65 Why I'm Watching: Strong weekly uptrend Heavy green volume on Friday = buying interest MACD curling up – possible momentum shift Bear Flag? Maybe… But The current flag has lasted 13 days with no breakdown attempt — that hesitation leans more like consolidation than weakness. I’m leaning bullish unless we lose key support. Plan: Entry Trigger: Break and close above $36.65 (1.618 fib extension + retest of 52wk high) Stop: Below the previous 52-week high (potential support level) Sharing my thought process — not financial advice. What’s your read on this setup?
NYSE:UTILong
by PennantTrading
XAUUSD Elliot wave update: Is wave 4 still in play?From our previous count we were anticipating a drop for 4th wave completion. We can see now we have been dropping as anticipated. Given the current wave structure I am expecting a double 3 (wxy) to complete this 4th wave. If we are correct then we should expect price to continue down from current position before pulling back up and fall one more time. To take advantage of the move if not caught at the top, one should find areas where price will find resistance to short the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal