Fibonacci
Pepe - Elliot Wave UpdateTrying to keep this clean and not had much time to study the theory exactly!
What's drawing me to this pattern the most is the trend lines (brown/orange)
IF, 1,2,3,4,5 (Blue)and we've hit wave 5 already. We're very much in the corrective phase (Green).
B to C I've drawn the fib highest high to the lowest low (This is trading logic, not sure this is how waves are measured for correctve waves).
Just to provide an idea given so much uncertainty in the market. :) Need more time to check the technicals, for me this is a good start.
If I had to commit, and I will. Nothing to me at the moment looks bearish! That's my point of view. Just not spot on yet!
QQQ Call (Big Picture)Just marking up QQQ to look for an entry long-term. Looking at the big picture from the monthly, pulled out the Fibster to get my retracement levels. After breaking the trendline, looks like it can head down to 38.2% and head back up or further down to the 52W L. My prediction is that it will bounce from the support I see in the past, which is where I have it marked as an entry point. Let me know your thoughts if you see this.
TON Long TrrigerTONUSDT | Bullish Retest & Fibonacci Confluence 🚀
TON has recently pushed into new highs, forming a strong uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe. The price is currently pulling back into key Fibonacci retracement levels, creating a potential long entry opportunity.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Trendline Support: The price is respecting an ascending dashed trendline, indicating bullish structure continuation.
✅ Fibonacci Levels: The 0.382 ($4.0286) and 0.5 ($3.9923) levels align with key support zones.
✅ EMA Confluence: Price is interacting with the 7, 25, and 99 EMAs, suggesting a possible bounce.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Immediate Support: $4.0286 (Fib 0.382)
🔹 Stronger Support: $3.9923 (Fib 0.5)
🔹 Breakout Resistance: $4.0740 (Fib 0.236)
🔹 Major Target: $4.1486
🚀 Long Setup Confirmation:
A strong bounce from the Fibonacci retracement levels ($4.0286–$3.9923) with increasing volume could confirm a long entry. A break above $4.0740 would signal bullish continuation towards $4.1486 and beyond.
🔻 Invalidation & Risk Management:
A break below $3.9563 (Fib 0.618) could invalidate this setup.
A stop-loss can be placed below this level to minimize risk.
If the trend holds, TON could be gearing up for another leg up! Watch for a strong reaction at key Fibonacci levels.
#TON #Crypto #Trading #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis 🚀
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal
Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price.
This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech
Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels
Resistance levels: 3127
Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085
We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction
The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets.
The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change
Regards R. Linda!
BTC eyes on 82k: Pit Stop en-route to 75k? or bounce into 85k? BTC at a significant fib cluster going into Sunday evening.
Bulls must hold 82k til Monday US open for a hopeful bounce.
Bears will try to snap it and cascade down towards 80k then 75k.
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Range ExceededFor 2 1/2 Weeks we have been trading within a range of 19 % with no direction.
Today we have exceeded the range together with the broad market.
As we had declined for over 1 month this may be seen as the beginning of an upward correction.
The window that had been opened at March 5th has been closed today. Thus may be we we will see a littledecline first to retest the range before the price ma go up.
Expect gold to retreat to the 3100-3090 zoneOn a crazy Monday, gold fell back to around 3076 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3128. It has now fallen back slightly and is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3120!
Although gold does maintain a strong position at present, what makes me more alert is that once gold retreats $3-5, it will be enough to make more buyers crazy and actively rush into gold long transactions. This is an extremely dangerous signal in my opinion! Because if with the withdrawal of large funds and panic selling, more bulls will be defeated.
So I explicitly refuse to chase long gold above 3120, because as gold rises rapidly, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating, so the liquidity of gold is gradually weakening, so gold may need to retreat more to increase liquidity before continuing to rise! And if the tariff policy introduced on April 2 is carried out in a more moderate way, then market sentiment will be greatly eased, and gold may also collapse.
So I think in short-term trading, we can still short gold in batches in the 3125-3135 zone, and expect gold to at least fall back to the 3100-3090 zone.
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 31 March 2025
- USDCAD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.4500
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone located between the support level 1.4255 (which has been reversing the pair from the start of March), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the strong daily uptrend and the bullish US dollar sentiment, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.4500 (which has been reversing the price from January).
NAS100 EYESI am honestly intending to see some buys, so I did not draft for this video hence my mind was all over the zones and the gaps, I wannit to talk bias but I ended up analyzing to trade. I am sorry about that but we will fix it as soon as possible. Happy Trading.
Lastly, if your plan fail, don't reconsider another entry, especially on the same day.
AUDUSD I Monday CLS Range I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
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