Fibonacci
TSLA watch $253.47 (again) Golden Genesis fib to determine trendTSLA back to the Golden Genesis fib that we keep harping about.
This is a BIG deal, as the most important level of this epoc for it.
Many PINGs (exact hits) have made all traders keenly aware of it.
What happens here will say a LOT to a LOT of traders and algos.
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Full view of the "Genesis Sequence"
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USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading PlanM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting bullish continuation until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Wave 5 Completed – Time to Ride the Correction!"Structure Overview
Wave Count: You’ve marked the end of wave (5), indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
Bearish Setup:
Price rejected the orange supply zone post wave (5), suggesting bearish pressure.
Entry appears to be near the top of the small pullback into that zone.
Target is set near the larger demand zone around 1.12274.
Right-Side Box (Key Idea Summary):
Suggests a range-bound market, followed by:
A lower high into a new supply zone (brown box).
A sharp drop into a deeper demand zone at the base (green zone).
Key Price Levels:
Resistance/Supply: 1.14153, 1.15205
Support/Demand: 1.12274, lower box near 1.11400
Possible Strategy:
Sell setup: Look for confirmation candles or patterns near the orange/brown zones.
Target: Previous demand zone or lower if structure breaks.
SL: Above the orange/red zone to manage risk.
Bitcoin short from 102k regionPreparing for short at around that region.
102k-105k is a short region for me. I will most likely exit 50% from the markets.
I think summer will be just like any other summer season. Bleed and not much volatility . Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 will most likely be bullish.
Lets see what markets will offer this year.
ADA 1-Year EMA Reclaim and Reversal (1D)After a double bottom at ~$0.50, BINANCE:ADAUSDT reclaimed the 1-year EMA (red) with a ~+9% large bodied daily candle, potentially shifting back to a bullish bias.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.50-$0.58: Current support, a break below it would invalidate any bullish setup.
• $0.73-$0.77: Current resistance, 0.236 fib extension, HVN, and key S/R in place since February 2022. This is the most crucial level that the bulls need to reclaim.
• $1.10-$1.30: Main supply zone, with significant weekly and daily sell order blocks, plus 0.618 fib extension.
A daily close above above $0.77 would offer a good chance at retesting 2024's highs.
Panic Selling LINK? Here’s Your Master PlanBuckle up! LINK has been riding a relentless bearish trend for 113 days, ever since it kissed its peak of $30.94 back in December 2024. With economic uncertainty casting a shadow over the markets and fear gripping investors, the big questions loom: Is this the dip to buy while others panic-sell? Or is it wiser to sit on the sidelines? Let’s slice through the noise, dissect LINK’s chart like a seasoned pro, and uncover the setups that could turn this chaos into opportunity. Let’s dive in!
The Big Picture: LINK’s Bearish Blueprint
LINK is currently trading at $13, a far cry from its yearly open of $20. April has kicked off, and LINK has already surrendered the monthly open at $13.5, a critical level now acting as a brick wall overhead. Zooming out, the trend is unmistakably bearish: lower highs and lower lows dominate the chart. Adding fuel to the fire, LINK is languishing below the Point of Control (POC) at $14.32, derived from a 1.5-year trading range. This is a market screaming caution for bulls and whispering opportunity for bears, at least for now.
But charts don’t lie, and they’re packed with clues. Let’s map out the key levels, pinpoint trade setups, and arm ourselves with a plan that’d make even the most seasoned traders nod in approval.
Resistance Zones: Where Bears Sharpen Their Claws
1.) Resistance - The Golden Pocket ($13.6 - $13.7)
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the latest downward wave, the golden pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib) aligns beautifully with the monthly open at $13.5. Oh wait there’s more, this zone overlaps with a Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it a magnet for price action.
Trade Setup (Short):
Entry: ~$13.5 (if price tests and rejects this zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent swing high at $14.4.
Take Profit (TP): First target at $11.85 (swing low), with a stretch goal at $11.
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): A solid 2:1.
The Play: If LINK crawls up to this resistance and gets smacked down, bears can pounce. Watch for rejection candles (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) to confirm the move.
2. Key Resistance - Cloud Edge & VWAP ($15.74 - $16.5)
The Cloud edge of my indicator sits at $15.74, while the anchored VWAP (from the $26.4 high) hovers at $16.5. A break above $16.5 would flip the script, snapping the bearish structure and signaling a potential trend reversal.
Bullish Scenario: If bulls reclaim $16.5 as support, it’s a green light for a long trade. Until then, this is a fortress for bears to defend.
The Play: No bullish setups here yet.
Support Zones: Where Bulls Build Their Base
1.) Support - Swing Low ($11.85)
This is the first line in the sand for bulls. A potential Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), where price dips below $11.85, sweeps liquidity, and reverses—could spark a long trade.
The Play: Watch for a bullish reversal candle or volume spike here.
2.) Major Support Cluster - The Golden Zone ($10 - $11.85)
This is where the chart sings a symphony of confluence:
Swing Low: $11.85.
POC: $11.33 (1.5-year trading range).
Monthly Level: $11.02.
Fib Retracement: 0.886 at $10.69 and 0.786 (log scale) at $10.77.
Psychological Level: $10.
Trade Setup (Long):
Entry: Dollar-Cost Average (DCA) between $11.85 and $10.
Stop Loss (SL): Below $10
Take Profit (TP): First target: $13.5 (monthly open), stretch goal: $20 (yearly open).
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): A monstrous 6:1 or better, depending on your average entry. This is the kind of trade we are looking for!
The Play: Patience is key. Wait for confirmation—think bullish engulfing candles, a surge in volume, or positive order-flow momentum. This isn’t a “hope and pray” trade; it’s a calculated ambush on the bears.
Market Structure: Bears Rule, But Bulls Lurk
Right now, LINK’s chart is a bear’s playground—lower highs, lower lows, and no bullish momentum to speak of. The $16.5 VWAP is the line in the sand for a trend shift, but until then, short trades take priority. That said, the $10 - $11.85 support zone is a coiled spring for bulls. If fear drives LINK into this range, it’s time to load the boat with longs—provided confirmation aligns.
Your Trading Edge
LINK’s 113-day bearish descent is a wild ride, but it’s not random chaos—it’s a roadmap. Bears can feast on rejections at $13.5 - $13.7 with a tidy 2:1 R:R short. Bulls, meanwhile, should stalk the $10 - $11.85 zone for a high-probability long with a 6:1+ R:R payoff. Whether you’re scalping the dips or swinging for the fences, these levels give you the edge to trade with confidence.
So, what’s it gonna be? Short the resistance and ride the wave down? Or stack bids at support and catch the reversal of a lifetime? The chart’s laid bare—now it’s your move. Drop your thoughts below, and let’s conquer this market together!
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know, I’m here to break down the charts you want to see.
Happy trading =)
LINK’s Swing Setup Could Push Past $15LINK bounced right off the $10 mark, charging upward toward the monthly open before slamming into resistance around $13.25. But now what?
Let’s break it down — because the next high-probability setup is taking shape, and it’s one you don’t want to miss.
The Current Situation:
LINK is:
Below the Point of Control (POC) of this trading range (~$11.35).
Below the monthly open at $13.5.
Still in a bearish trend on the 4H, showing lower highs.
Facing decent rejection from the monthly level.
We’re currently trading below the weekly open at $12.62, now sitting right on the Value Area Low (VAL) at $12.36. That puts us in a precarious spot and sets the stage for the next move.
Bearish, bearish, bearish. When bullish sir? Staying patient and waiting for a real shift in market structure is key.
The Bearish Play: Liquidity Grab Incoming?
There’s a liquidity pocket waiting below at $11.68, the most recent swing low. If LINK loses VAL and bearish pressure kicks in, this becomes the next logical target.
But here's where things get interesting...
The Bullish Setup: Confluence-Backed Long Opportunity
This isn’t just any random support zone — there’s a perfect confluence stack forming:
Swing low: $11.68
Daily support level: $11.45
Weekly support level: $11.28
POC of trading range: ~$11.35
0.618 Fibonacci retracement lands in this zone as well
That’s four layers of support in one tight cluster. This is where we want to scale into longs.
The Play: Scaling In
Entry: Ladder long positions from $11.68 down to the 0.786 fib (near $11.2)
Stop Loss: Below $10.35 for invalidation
Target: 0.786 fib retracement of the previous downward wave at ~$14.5
R:R: Approx. 3:1, with a potential +30% gain
The trend remains bearish but the chart is setting up a prime reversal zone. Patience is key here.
🔔 Set alerts. Watch for volume spikes. Look for SFPs or bullish engulfing candles etc.
The next move on LINK could offer one of the best swing setups especially since this trade could extend past the $15 mark, putting you ahead of the curve.
💬 Found this helpful? Drop a like and comment below. Want TA on another coin? Let me know and I’ll break it down for you.
Happy trading everyone! 💪
GBPUSD: UK Data Back in FocusGBPUSD traded to an 8-month high on Tuesday at 1.3424, as a new wave of dollar selling swept across FX markets at the start of the week. This time driven by fresh uncertainty surrounding US economic growth and by a barrage of social media comments across the Easter Holiday period from President Trump that seemed to challenge the independence of the Federal Reserve.
Now, as we look ahead to the remainder of the week, UK economic data is in focus, with the latest April Preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services readings released at 0930 BST on Wednesday. These are potentially the first survey updates that will start to show the impact of US tariffs on UK economic growth, business sentiment and inflation, making them potentially important drivers for the future direction of GBPUSD.
They could also shed some light on whether the Bank of England may be able to cut interest rates, as many traders hope, at their next interest rate meeting at the start of May.
Then, on Friday, UK Retail Sales are released at 0700 BST. This release will be important in showing if UK consumers are still spending despite rising unemployment and stubbornly high prices. If they are, this may be taken as a positive for the UK economy and for GBPUSD, while any disappointment could lead to GBPUSD retesting lower levels again.
Technical Update: September 2024 Highs a Key Resistance Focus
So far during 2025, GBPUSD has seen a price recovery of nearly 11%, although as already discussed, this may be due more to broad based USD weakness, rather than outright GBP strength.
Even so, latest upside has neared 1.3434, the September 2024 failure level, which may prove something of a line in the sand this week. Closing defense of 1.3434 may help determine where next directional risks lie.
Much appears to depend on this week’s UK data and reaction to it, but traders may also be focusing on how the 1.3433 failure high is defended on a closing basis. Successful breaks may lead to a more sustained phase of price strength, but without such moves, risks could turn lower again.
However, what are the levels we may need to monitor over coming sessions?
Possible Resistance Levels:
As we have established, traders after what has already been a strong recovery, may view the 1.3433 high as important, with closing breaks required to suggest risks to continue attempts to push to higher price levels.
If closing breaks of 1.3433 do now materialise, it might be an indication of potential to challenge 1.3640, the February 2022 high, even towards 1.3748, equal to the January 10th 2022 rejection level.
Possible Support Levels:
With the 1.3433 price high remaining intact, Tuesday’s weakness from this area could now see focus shift back to support. If these give way, it might in turn point to possibilities of a deeper retracement of April strength.
The first support may now prove to be 1.3313, equal to half the April 17th to April 22nd strength, with closing breaks perhaps suggesting further downside pressure. This could suggest possibilities towards 1.3148/1.3203, a combination of the April 7th low and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April phase of price strength.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
EURUSD I Monday CLS I KL - Inverted OB I Continuation SetupHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
BTCUSDT, Binance Futures – Weekly Technical OutlookMarket Context
Bitcoin has demonstrated renewed strength, breaking out from the recent consolidation phase and moving firmly back above the $90,000 level. This move follows a successful defense of the $74,000–76,000 range, which now acts as a strong weekly demand zone.
The current weekly candle (as of midweek) is developing into a bullish engulfing pattern with solid volume support, indicating momentum may be building for further continuation.
Key Technical Zones:
📌 Support Levels:
• $74,400 – $76,000 → Previous swing low + liquidity zone.
• $65,000 → Confluence with trendline support & prior consolidation.
• $51,900 – $52,000 → Strong historical support on VPVR.
📌 Resistance Levels:
• $95,000 – $98,000 → Local resistance and prior range midline.
• $105,000 – $110,000 → Weekly highs and Fibonacci extension zone.
• Above $110,000 → Potential discovery zone with limited historical structure.
🧭 Trend & Structure:
The broader trend remains bullish on the weekly timeframe. After a healthy correction from the $110,000 high, BTC has printed a higher low, suggesting the continuation of the longer-term uptrend remains intact.
The chart also highlights the breakout from the symmetrical triangle formation that began in Q1 2024 — this breakout is being respected and validated.
ETH Bullish Navarro 200 Harmonic Pattern + Key Levels / TargetsHarmonic Structure: Navarro 200
Ethereum's weekly chart showcases a fully formed Navarro 200 pattern, identified by:
• A deep B-to-D leg extension (~1.364) — beyond typical harmonic norms, validating the Navarro classification.
• Precise internal Fibonacci alignments:
- XA retracement to B = ~0.771
- BC extension to D = ~1.364
• Completion of point D in a historical demand area around $1500, indicating a potential reversal zone (PRZ).
This harmonic pattern suggests a bullish reversal scenario, contingent on price holding above the $1500 level.
Demand Zone: $1500–$1600
This green box zone represents a major accumulation range from early 2023:
• High volume support — confirmed by prior consolidations.
• On-chain data supports this as a major ETH acquisition zone (1.5M+ ETH bought).
• Current bounce from this area following a liquidity sweep reaffirms it as a strong demand base.
Failure to hold this zone could invalidate the bullish harmonic setup.
Target Zones (Based on Navarro 200 Mechanics)
• T1: $2100–$2200
- Historically significant support-turned-resistance.
- Converges with structural highs and prior breakdown area from mid-2024.
- First logical profit-taking or reaction point following a D-point reversal.
• Mid-Zone: ~$2800
Though not labeled as a target, this is a key supply region to monitor:
- Past consolidations and price rejection.
- Mid-range of the overall pattern.
- Also aligns with prior bullish support in 2024 that flipped to resistance.
• T2: $4000–$4100
- Strong weekly supply zone marked in red.
- Aligns with point C of the pattern.
- Also a psychological barrier near the previous all-time high area ($4,868).
- Likely to see heavy resistance if price rallies that far.
Risks to Watch
• Failure to hold the $1500–$1600 demand zone could send ETH into deeper retracement.