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Fibonacci

Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
63
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move - Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin Holding the Ascending Channel (For Now) Right now, Bitcoin is moving inside a well-respected ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. This channel has been acting as a strong structure for price action, with Bitcoin consistently bouncing off the lower trendline while facing resistance near the upper boundary. As long as we remain within this channel, the trend remains bullish, and buyers are still in control. However, we are at a critical point where Bitcoin is approaching a key support level. If the price holds, we could see another bounce toward the top of the channel, but if support fails, a larger retracement is on the table. Golden Pocket Support – A Crucial Area for a Bounce A golden pocket retracement zone is forming from the most recent short-term swing low to swing high, and this is where Bitcoin could find support for a potential bounce. The golden pocket is one of the most high-probability reversal zones, as it often attracts strong buy orders. At the moment, Bitcoin hasn’t quite tapped into this level yet, but if we do, we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a reversal. If this scenario plays out, the price could make a move toward the midline of the channel first, followed by a potential test of the upper resistance level. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, we need to see strong buy-side momentum at this level. If we get a clear rejection and a push higher, it could signal the continuation of the uptrend, offering solid opportunities for long positions. What Happens If Support Fails? While the golden pocket is a great area for a bounce, there’s always the risk of it breaking down. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $85.5K level and breaks below the ascending channel, we could be in for a much deeper correction. In that case, the next major support level to watch would be the golden pocket from the entire uptrend, which sits around the $81K range. This would be a more significant pullback, but still a normal and healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. A move to this level could offer another strong buying opportunity if the market structure remains intact. However, if Bitcoin loses the $81K support, that could indicate a larger shift in trend, meaning we’d have to reconsider the overall market outlook. Possible Trade Setups and Key Scenarios Bullish Setup: If Bitcoin holds the short-term golden pocket and bounces, we stay inside the ascending channel. In this case, a move back to the midline and possibly even the upper trendline is likely. This would confirm that buyers are still stepping in and maintaining control. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses $85.5K and breaks below the channel, then we could be looking at a larger retracement toward the $81K zone. This would signal short-term weakness, but it wouldn’t necessarily mean the bull trend is over—just that a deeper correction is needed before the next move up. Invalidation Zone: If Bitcoin falls below $81K, it could indicate a larger structural shift, meaning the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed. Final Thoughts Right now, we’re at a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. If we see strong buying at the golden pocket, the uptrend remains intact, and we could be heading higher. But if support breaks, we’re looking at a deeper pullback toward $81K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
BTC - Lots of options going into the new week!In this BTCUSDT 4-hour chart analysis on Bybit, we see price action reaching a crucial decision point. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and the Golden Pocket zone indicate potential movements ahead. Will BTC break down, retrace to fill the imbalance, or rally toward the golden pocket? Let’s analyze the key levels. Key Observations: 🔹 Golden Pocket Resistance: The highlighted yellow zone marks the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the greater downtrend, a well-known high-probability reversal area. If BTC reaches this level, we could see strong resistance. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue zone represents an unfilled imbalance left behind during the recent downward move. If BTC retraces, it could fill this gap before deciding on the next direction. 🔹 0.618 - 0.65 Fib Support: The price is currently hovering near a local golden pocket support area. A strong reaction here could trigger a bullish move. However, failure to hold this level could send BTC lower. Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: BTC bounces from the current level, fills the FVG, and continues upward to test the golden pocket resistance. A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish trend shift. 2️⃣ Short-Term FVG Fill & Rejection: BTC moves up to fill the FVG but faces selling pressure, leading to another bearish move before a larger decision point. 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown: BTC fails to hold the local support and breaks downward, continuing the broader downtrend toward lower liquidity zones. What’s Your Prediction? Which scenario do you think is most likely—1️⃣ Bullish Breakout, 2️⃣ FVG Fill & Rejection, or 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown? Comment below and let’s discuss! 🚀📉📊
by Louigi_24
45
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/31/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19365.00 - PR Low: 19275.00 - NZ Spread: 201.25 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | Chicago PMI Continuing value decline below Friday's low - Broke previous weeks low - Short-term rotating off 19180s inventory floor Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/31) - Session Open ATR: 444.15 - Volume: 70K - Open Int: 241K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -15.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term. Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further. The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095 Support levels: 3059, 3055 The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak. Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups. Current Market Structure – Bears in Control HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead: 🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance 🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone 🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum 🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign 🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator 🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend 📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet. Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is: 🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target 🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence 🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone 🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support 🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports 🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line 📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce. Potential Trade Setups 📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone) Entry: DCA around $0.12 Stop Loss: Below $0.098 Target: $0.166 Potential Gain: +40% R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better 🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities. 📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels) Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12 Stop Loss: Above $0.20 Market Outlook With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen). 📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly. What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
6
ETH - Bearish Reversal Expected from FVG ZoneIn this 1-hour chart analysis of ETHUSDT on Bybit, we observe a potential price reaction from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The current downtrend has left an imbalance in the market, and price is retracing towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels , which align with the FVG area. Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: The price is in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. 🔹 FVG & Fibonacci Confluence: A strong resistance zone is marked within the $1,980 - $2,000 range, coinciding with the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib levels) . 🔹 Expected Price Action: - A bullish retracement ( green path ) into the FVG zone. - A rejection from this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the downtrend ( red paths ). - Potential targets for the drop are around $1,860 - $1,800 , aligning with previous liquidity zones. Trading Plan: 📌 Short Entry: Around $1,980 - $2,000 if rejection signs appear. 📌 Stop Loss: Above $2,020 to invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Target: $1,860 - $1,800 based on historical support levels. This idea is based on market imbalance and liquidity dynamics , so watching for confirmation before entering a trade is crucial. 🚀🔍
by Louigi_24
17
SOL/USD 4H ChartHi everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price broke out from the local uptrend line at the bottom. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 131 USD T2 = 136 USD Т3 = 145 USD Т4 = 151 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 122 USD SL2 = 115 USD SL3 = 107 USD If we look at the RSI indicator we can see how the indicator has dynamically gone up despite the price not moving much, but here we can see that there is still room for a potential attempt to grow.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by cryptodailyuk
NZD/USD: Uptrend Restored – Next Stop: Weekly ResistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NZDUSD Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex
BTCUSD Short Setup (15min) – Smart Money & Fib RetracementStructure remains bearish with a clear lower high formed after a deep retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, aligned with prior liquidity and premium zone. 🧠 Analysis Highlights: Market structure: Bearish, with BOS to the downside. Price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~82,400), signaling a potential exhaustion of buyers. Internal structure shifted bearish after breaking the corrective trendline. Entry idea is based on confirmation below the trendline with a clean R:R setup. 🔻 Trade Plan: Entry: Below 82,200 (confirmation after structure shift) Stop Loss: Above 83,380 (invalidates the short idea) Target: 79,770 (aligned with previous low and 0% Fib) ⏰ Confluences: 0.786 Fib + Previous Supply NY Killzone active – watching for volume + manipulation Internal BOS + Trendline Break Clean liquidity resting below 81,500 and 80,600 ⚠️ Potential Risks: Possible liquidity sweep above 82,600 before final drop. Strong short-term support at 81,250 may cause temporary bounce. Confirm entry during high-volume session (preferably NY open). ✅ Bias: Bearish Let the market confirm the shift – don’t rush in without a proper entry model (like M5 CHoCH or engulfing after mitigation). 📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice – just a structural and fib-based idea within a bearish context.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by hmdnazari76
US30The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) this week is showing a bearish direction, driven by several factors: 1. **Tariff Concerns**: The announcement of new tariffs, particularly a 25% tariff on auto imports, has caused market uncertainty. Investors are wary of potential inflation and the impact on corporate earnings. 2. **Inflation and Interest Rate Fears**: Ongoing concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve's policies on interest rates are also contributing to market volatility. 3. **Upcoming Earnings Reports**: Key earnings reports, including Tesla's Q1 delivery numbers, are creating uncertainty. Depending on these results, market sentiment could either stabilize or worsen. Given these factors, the market is leaning bearish this week, and more volatility can be expected depending on upcoming economic data and corporate earnings releases.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Jhosey
NVDA Trade Setup: Catch the Next Wave Before It BreaksAfter a healthy pullback, NVDA is setting the stage for what could be a powerful rebound—and savvy traders know this is when opportunity knocks. We’ve identified three key entry points where the risk-reward setup becomes especially attractive: 🔹 104 – A potential bounce zone where early buyers might step in. 🔹 95 – A deeper level with stronger support, ideal for scaling in. 🔹 80 – A high-conviction level where long-term bulls may load up for the ride. On the upside, here are three profit targets worth watching: ✅ 120 – First take-profit zone, a logical exit as momentum begins to return. ✅ 135 – Mid-level resistance where partial profits can lock in gains. ✅ 145+ – A stretch target for those riding the full recovery wave. This strategy allows for smart layering of entries and profits, giving flexibility whether the bounce is quick or more gradual. Always stay alert to price action confirmation and use stops that align with your risk tolerance. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12