USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
🔹 Methodology: Elliott Wave + AO + Structure Break + BBMA
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🔍 Current Market Outlook:
I’m currently observing Wave 4 playing out as a complex correction. Price is pushing toward the key level 142.796, which I expect to break structure (BOS) to the upside.
Once that level is cleared, I’ll be watching closely for signs of an ABC corrective move to form — setting up a high-probability sell opportunity aligned with the final Wave 5 leg.
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🧠 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Wave Count:
• Wave 3 is confirmed by the strongest momentum on the AO
• Wave 4 is unfolding and approaching structure at 142.796
• AO shows decreasing bullish momentum, hinting at possible exhaustion
✅ Plan:
• Wait for break above 142.796
• Monitor for completion of ABC correction
• Enter short after C-leg confirmation
• TP at 1.618–1.786 Fib extension zone (141.818–141.614)
• Anticipating bullish divergence on AO by the end of Wave 5
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📌 Confluence Checklist:
✔️ Wave theory
✔️ BOS expected
✔️ Fibonacci targets
✔️ AO divergence setting up
✔️ BBMA structure alignment
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🎯 Strategy Summary:
Break 142.796 ➝ Spot ABC ➝ Enter short on C ➝ Ride Wave 5 ➝ TP @ extension zone
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💬 Share your thoughts—Are you seeing the same potential Wave 5 setup? Let’s discuss.
👉 Follow me for clean structure-based analysis, BBMA setups, and advanced wave insights.
#USDJPY #ElliottWave #ForexSetup #WaveAnalysis #BBMA #AOindicator #MarketStructure #BreakOfStructure #SmartMoney #SellTheRally #Wave5 #ForexStrategy
Fibonacci
Nvidia Update ahead of Quarterly results In this video I recap my previous Nvidia video where I anticipated a rangebound price action with the possibility of a new low for longs leading towards Quarterly earnings.
With the highly anticipated results only days away I outline the possibility for price to pull back into a really strong level of support for a possible long entry .
Tools used
TR Pocket
Fibonacci
Anchored VWAP
Volume Profile
Thankyou for your continued Support
Key technical insights on gold!Gold is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe, within a range defined by the level of 3434.660, which represents the most recent lower high, and the level of 3120.820, which marks the most recent lower low. These levels define the current trading range on the daily chart.
Using Fibonacci from the daily lower high to the daily lower low, the level of 3367.445 is considered important and could act as a resistance level for a potential downward reversal, as it represents a premium price within the current daily trading range.
On the 4-hour timeframe, when examining the relationship between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe that the price formed two consecutive higher highs, while the RSI formed two lower highs. This creates a bearish divergence, which is a negative signal indicating a potential decline.
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, the trend has shifted from bullish to bearish after the price fell below the 3290.84 level and formed a new lower low.
Based on the above technical data, a decline in gold prices is expected in the short to medium term. The first target could be set at 3281.148, while the second target may be identified by monitoring a drop in the RSI towards the 30 level, which indicates oversold conditions.
GOLD → Consolidation. Retest of support before growthFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to a complex fundamental backdrop. A false break of support at 3285 allows the price to update its local high to 3365.
Gold fell moderately from a high of $3365 amid weak activity due to holidays in the US, despite the weak dollar. Investors are taking profits ahead of US inflation data.
Pressure is also linked to hopes for a trade agreement between the US and Japan. However, the decline in prices is limited — geopolitical tensions, US budget problems, and instability in the Middle East are keeping demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Support levels: 3321, 3308, 3300
Resistance levels: 3363
Technically, gold is making a false breakout of consolidation resistance and is entering a correction phase, during which the price may test liquidity below 3320-3303 before continuing to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Retest support with the aim of breaking throughFX:USDCHF is also losing ground amid the dollar's decline. The price is testing the support of the range, a break of which could open the way to 0.811
USDCHF is consolidating, but at the same time, a local downward channel is forming. The currency pair is retesting support within the current downward movement. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming relative to 0.819. The fall of the dollar is having a corresponding effect on the price.
Before continuing its decline, the currency pair may form a retest of 0.5 Fibonacci or close the FVG
Resistance levels: 0.825, 0.8275
Support levels: 0.819, 0.8117
The downward structure will break down when the price leaves the downward channel. However, at the moment, while the price is consolidating at the bottom of the trading range, I expect a breakdown of support in the short term, followed by a continued decline to 0.811 - 0.805
Best regards, R. Linda!
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range.
In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward.
With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict.
The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly.
Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial.
Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal.
Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds.
Morgan Stanley projects the following:
• The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence.
• The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets.
Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity.
Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts.
Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions.
Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000.
This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
BITCOIN BREAKING POINT – Are You Ready for the Next Leg? 🔥 Bitcoin just tagged the previous ATH resistance and is eyeing that juicy 0.618 Fib Extension at $112,180.
But hold on—this isn’t just another breakout… this is structure-breaking territory.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
💣 ATH Resistance: Retest in progress. A clean breakout here could shift the macro sentiment for good.
🎯 Fib Extension 0.618: $112,180 – first major target.
🚀 Fib Level 1: $135,441 – when disbelief turns to euphoria.
🧠 Fib Level 1.618: $172,928 – max hype zone. Can it happen this cycle?
🧠 Fundamental Nuggets You Need to Know:
✅ Spot ETFs are not just hype – real inflows are coming in daily.
🇺🇸 US Elections = Uncertainty, and Bitcoin LOVES uncertainty.
💰 Global liquidity is quietly increasing – central banks are softening. You feel it?
⚠️ RSI Watch:
Currently hovering around 67.93 – bullish but not overheated yet. Momentum still has fuel.
🧠 Closing Thoughts:
Everyone’s watching this level. Retail is cautious. Smart money is adding.
History tells us: when BTC breaks ATH, altcoins follow like wildfire.
If you're not preparing, you're reacting.
And in this market... reacting = losing.
🚨 Don’t just follow the price – follow the smart money.
🐸 Brought to you by Miracle, of the meme coin dynasty 🧙♂️
🐒 TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin!
Equity Research Flash – Hexaware Technologies Ltd.CMP: ₹722.35 | Bullish Momentum Post Trend Reversal
HEXT shows a bullish breakout from a falling trendline, with RSI near 60 and strong volume uptick. The price reclaimed the 0.5 Fibonacci level, eyeing next targets at ₹749.85 (0.618) and ₹793.35 (0.786). Fundamentally strong with robust revenue growth, improving ROCE (26.4%), and low debt. A move above ₹750 could trigger further upside. Accumulate on dips with SL at ₹688.
Recommendation: Positive | Buy on Dips Near ₹700
For Education Purpose only
Intensions to go SHORT from HTF Daily Fib. Levels 78.5-88.6%COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
If all else fails, Try Again. -500K
In this short vid. I have given my narrative as to why I am interested in this POI to go SHORT... Nothing is set in stone, however we play the long-term game of probability.
Remember our profession is to Manage the Downside costs of printing Highside returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well an abundance of fruit awaits us... #BHM500K
XRP/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D XRP chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price lasts above the downward trend line.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 2.51
T2 = $ 2.67
Т3 = 2.79 $ t4 = $ 2.92
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 2.31
SL2 = $ 2.17
SL3 = $ 2.06
SL4 = $ 1.89
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how he reacted and returned to the middle of the range, which creates a place for a panty growth.
XAUUSD BUYS PROJECTIONHey Everyone is been a week now since i posted here and yes i haven’t taken Gold trades up till now so I just wanna keep you guys updated on my projections on Gold so here’s the catch am projecting for Gold to push to 3432 zone and a dump or pullback to 3320 zone and some confirmations to take buys to a new ATH tho is not certain it will do that but I will be watching so I will update you guys if I’m executing the trade….Have a win week…
If Buyers Support & Defend $21K Major Key Level, I'll look LONG!CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Stick to the plan, Never doubt the process. -500K
Last week Bulls were met with Major RESITANCE as they pushed just slightly above Daily Fib. Level 78.5%. The Resistance Price Level is around $21530.00 that sellers heavily defended.
My intended Playbook; If Buyers can defend & support MKL $21K, I do believe they will purge the HIGH and head towards Daily Fib. Level 88.6% / Daily Imbalance Zone. The Pricing of these Level are around $21,949.50...
Overall My outlook is LONG this week on this Asset looking to purge the HIGH and head into more premium pricing. Daily Fib. Level 88.6 / Imbalance Zone
Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management), our job is to MANAGE the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well an abundance of fruit awaits us.
#BHM500K
Healthy BTC Retrace in Trend Next Breakout Target 112K Then 122KBitcoin continues to respect the bullish market highlighted in our previous analysis, where the AB=CD structure pointed toward significant upside potential. The market has since retraced into a well defined re-accumulation zone, aligning precisely with prior expectations.
Price has held firmly above the round figure support ($100k), with the current structure confirming a healthy correction within trend.
As long as the re-accumulation zone between 104k–107k holds, momentum remains skewed to the upside. The projected 2.618 extension sits near the 122k mark, where the current setup aims to complete.
The broader structure still respects higher timeframe demand and ascending channel boundaries, keeping bullish continuation valid unless 100k decisively breaks. Watch for confirmation breakout above 112k to activate the next leg of the move.
If you found this analysis insightful, drop a like to support the work and leave a comment with your perspective whether you agree, disagree, or have an alternate scenario in mind. Let's grow together through collective insights.
USDCAD - Continuation Trading Using Structure, Fibs & VolumeWHAT I'M LOOKING AT
After ending the week with a lower low & a lower close below a recent level of structure support, I'm predicting a potential bearish trend continuation opportunity here on the $USDCAD.
MY PREDICTION
If this prediction is correct I would expect a move down to the $1.35 psychological level (or right around it) as we have a confluence from both our Fibonacci extension & a spike in horizontal volume.
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
To get involved in this move I'll be looking for a a potential retracement/pullback followed by a clear sign of reversal. The 2 price levels that I have on my radar are $1.3750's & $1.3800's
If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below!
Akil
#COMI - ACTION IN THE WAY - all market will rising soon or ??!!EGX:COMI is showing a potential triangle pattern.
BB support is at 79.15, making it a good entry point for a long position.
Prices are currently trading below the middle BB line (80.16), which has acted as resistance since the start of the month.
As long as prices stay above 78.60, they are likely to reach 83.20 eventually.
At June market may go to moon , just remember who told you first .
But still be caution more than optimistic or hopeful
At this point market may achieve new historical levels from anther hand EGX30 tray many times to close over 32200 but is failed.
No one is bigger than the market and remember Technical analysis is not an accurate science .
This is not financial advice, just our analysis based on chart data. Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck!
GOLD MOVE UP
📈 GOLD LATEST ANALYSIS | 25 MAY 2025
🎯 PRECISION BULLISH SETUP IN PLAY – SL BELOW 3330, TARGETING \$5,500 PROFIT!
In this video, we break down the latest high-probability Gold (XAUUSD) trading setup that aligns with clear structure shifts, a breakout from a descending channel, and strong bullish price action closing above key resistance.
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🧠 SETUP BREAKDOWN
✅ Instrument: GOLD (XAU/USD)
✅ Bias: Bullish
✅ Entry Logic: Price broke above the internal resistance of a well-respected descending channel. Friday closed strong above 3356, confirming bullish structure.
✅ Structure Shift (SS) confirmed on 1H and 30M timeframes, showing buyer control
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) mitigation across multiple timeframes (1H, 30M, 15M, 5M) aligns with bullish continuation
✅ Stop Loss: Below 3330 (protected under structure & FVG zone)
✅ Take Profit Target: \$5,500 (based on extended bullish move and higher timeframe liquidity targets)
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💡 KEY REASONS FOR THIS SETUP
1. Break of Descending Channel: Price broke a well-defined trendline with multiple touches on both resistance and support—signaling a shift in momentum.
2. Strong Weekly Close Above 3356: A major resistance flip to support shows buyers are in control.
3. Internal Structure Break: Confirmed break and retest of mid-structure gives clarity for safe re-entry.
4. Multi-Timeframe FVG Alignment: Clear confluence from 1H to 5M supports institutional-style entry logic.
5. Clean R\:R Ratio: This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward, ideal for account scaling strategies.
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💼 LIVE TRADE OBJECTIVE
We're using this exact setup to flip two real accounts:
📍 Account A: 3,000 ZAR → Goal: 40,000 ZAR
📍 Account B: \$1,500 USD → Goal: \$15,000 USD
Each account uses the same setup, with a focus on precision entries, controlled risk, and aggressive scaling only after confirmations are met.
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📌 This isn’t just analysis. It’s a real strategy in motion.
🔔 Subscribe, follow the journey, and let’s grow these accounts with discipline and structure.
#GoldSetup #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexStrategy #StructureShift #FVG #AccountFlip #TradingPlan #May2025 #GoldBreakout #LiveTrade
#EKHOA - only for share holders / not for new entry .EKHOA - 1 day timeframe
Bullish AB=CD pattern formed / For shareholders only
Stop loss: 24.50
T1: 26.95
T2: 28.21
T3: 29.65
Entry: around 25.00
MACD shows positive divergence daily, with increased volume over the past week, supporting our view.
Note: The stock has been in a downtrend and remains under negativity.
This is not financial advice, just our analysis based on chart data. Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck!