Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Fibonaccianalysis
Gold/USD Monthly Elliott Wave & Fibonacci ProjectionsPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
This analysis presents a detailed Elliott Wave count on the monthly chart of Gold/USD with Fibonacci extension levels for key price targets.
Wave Structure:
The chart follows a classical 5-wave impulse structure (I to V).
Wave V is currently forming with possible subwave developments marked (1, 2, 3, 4, 5).
Fibonacci Key Levels:
100% ($2,529) — initial projection target
127.2% ($2,778) — intermediate resistance
161.8% ($3,095) — dominant bullish extension target
261.8% ($3,019) — extended bullish zone
Potential Price Movement:
A correction near $2,550 aligns with the Fibonacci 161.8% retracement, followed by a rally to complete wave V.
Long-term resistance and liquidity zones highlighted around $3,095.
Use this projection for long-term trading strategies. Fibonacci and wave alignments may guide stop-loss placements or profit-taking points. Keep an eye on corrections near wave 4 zones for confirmation before further bullish continuation
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to trade any securities or assets. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
SPY | The End of a 16-Year Bull Cycle? Major Correction Ahead?🔎 Overview:
The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been in a massive bull run since the 2009 bottom, forming a clear 5-wave structure based on Elliott Wave Theory. Now, the market is showing multiple top signals, suggesting that a major correction may be imminent.
📉 Key Warning Signs:
1️⃣ 5-Wave Completion:
The 5th wave is approaching a key Fibonacci extension level (0.618 of Waves 1-3), a common reversal zone for extended moves.
The previous wave count has been respected perfectly, reinforcing this structure.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Circles Alignment:
Price is reaching the outermost Fibonacci arc, a historically significant zone where reversals have occurred.
The market has reacted strongly in previous arcs, indicating this could be another turning point.
3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is making lower highs while price is making higher highs—a classic bearish divergence signal.
Previous similar divergences led to major corrections, including 2000, 2008, and 2021 dips.
4️⃣ Overextended Market Conditions:
Volume is declining despite new highs, signaling weak buying pressure.
Sentiment is euphoric, typically a late-stage bull market characteristic.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Case: If SPY breaks and sustains above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~672), we could see an extension.
🔴 Bearish Case: A break below 600 and a weekly close under 575 would confirm the start of a major correction back to the 350-400 zone (previous wave 4 region).
🚨 Final Thoughts:
The technical evidence suggests that SPY is in a late-stage bull cycle, and the risk of a major pullback is high. While timing exact tops is difficult, long-term investors should be cautious, and traders may want to start looking at hedging strategies or taking partial profits.
📢 What’s your take? Are we near a major top, or is there more upside left? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
#SPY #SP500 #StockMarket #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #RSI #BearishDivergence #Trading #Investing 🚀📉
EGLD (MultiverseX) - AltSeason Cycle - Bull RunBINANCE:EGLDUSD (#MultiverseX) is ready to jump.
That's because the #AltSeason shall push #AltCoins to the limits.
Its Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:EGLD ) is very low now and about to grow significantly.
This will be the result of #Crypto #MarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ) breaking through their #ATH.
With #BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of #Correction, #eGold should prevail.
What Happened with BINANCE:EGLDUSDT ?
#EGLD managed to spike a bit in the end of '23, thus confirming the start of a larger #Bullish #Cycle.
#Correction is also complete (Q4 in '24), which leaves room for the Bull.
What's next for BINANCE:EGLDUSD ?
An Impressive Rise is expected for $EGLD.
The current levels are to be watched closely by #Traders going #Long.
#MultiverseX #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave A-B-C Sequence: Confirmed
- Intermediate (A) & (B) (white): Complete
- #Bullish #Fractal: Commenced
- #Fibonacci Levels: Conditions Met
My BINANCE:EGLDUSDT #Long Levels
#HODL #Trade:
- Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below)
- TP @ 420.00 USD
#Futures #Trading:
- Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below)
- SL @ 10.00 USD
- TP @ 225.00 USD
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher.
Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher.
We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days.
And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1
Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
GOLD 30m CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR DAILYGold (XAU/USD) Outlook for the Upcoming Week:
The outlook for XAU/USD in the coming week depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and economic factors, including the Federal Reserve's policy, economic data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Here's an analysis based on the provided chart:
Technical Analysis:
Overall Trend:
The chart shows a medium-term uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
A small pullback is observed toward the end of the chart, which could potentially act as a retracement before resuming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
$2,700 is the nearest support level.
A deeper support is located at $2,685.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance lies between $2,715 and $2,720.
A breakout above this zone could push prices toward $2,735.
Indicators (if applicable):
Indicators such as RSI or MACD (not shown in the chart) can confirm whether gold is in overbought or oversold territory. If RSI is above 70, it might suggest selling pressure could emerge soon.
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. Economic Data:
Key economic releases, such as inflation data (CPI) or employment reports, could influence the dollar. Weak U.S. data typically supports gold prices.
Federal Reserve Policy:
Any dovish signals from the Fed, such as reluctance to raise interest rates further, would be bullish for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Risks:
Heightened geopolitical tensions could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Forecast for the Week:
If prices hold above the $2,700 support level and break the $2,720 resistance, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
Failure to hold $2,700 could lead to a decline toward $2,685 or even $2,665.
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup
The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move.
Entry Conditions
Primary Triggers Required:
8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish)
Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Price holding above cluster support at 5,810
Price Targets
First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels)
Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels)
Risk Management
Stop Loss Parameters:
Place stops below 5,810 cluster support
Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry
Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated
Timeframe Analysis
30-Minute Chart:
Currently bearish configuration
8 EMA below 34 EMA
Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Weekly Chart:
Strong bullish structure
Moving averages stacked positively
5,810 cluster support adds confluence
50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish)
Time-Based Considerations
The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge.
Special Notes
The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?
XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen?
The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech
Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP...
Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher...
Resistance levels: 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2636, 2618
Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
XAUUSD Speculative BuySAXO:XAUUSD moves higher from Asian to Europe session and seems continue to catch 2670. As middle east tension continue spark, investor and trader likely hunt the safe haven assets especially GOLD. Another fundamental reason is FED Cut Rate cycle probability which now on 80% 0.25bps cut this month.
On the technical analysis side, GOLD now testing the sideways resistance. We may see 2658 - 2666 as resistance area and if it's broke up the price would come to 2670-2677 as we see MA200 on H4 and trendline resist on D1 chart.
Anyone agree with this idea? Please leave your comment! Thankyou
Last Leg XAUOverall uptrend still needs a leg to complete its wave.
Considering higher lows of around -10%, the recent drop is the 4th point in our Elliot Wave analysis.
Last leg is to form the head and shoulders, synonym of long term tops.
I think the focus will be towards currencies, with countries focusing on Trumponomics, strengthening currencies for the dollar against tariffs. PBOC just reached an ATH in their gold hoarding.
Dollar itself might feel some headwind, because of the recent rise in DXY, a cool down soon is expected with my lower yields analysis. This would go well with foreign currencies reaching up while some headwind causes the USD to lag.
Let's see
Link/USD Fibonacci targetsLink does look ok, but not as good as many other coins.
If we hold the blue level, we will pump towards the next bullish targets. Breaking it will mean a dump to the green levels.
The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets.
Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target
Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts
Green: Buy or rebounce expected
Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level
Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib
Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
SAND/USD Fibonacci targetsSand is currently at a main resistance. If it breaks we will continue to pump even harder.
The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets.
Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target
Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts
Green: Buy or rebounce expected
Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level
Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib
Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
Focus on CADJPY: Pre-London Session AnalysisHi traders,
The focus today is on CADJPY during the pre-London session. I believe we have a bullish setup forming, often referred to as a Late Session Reversal or Late Day Reversal.
Price Analysis
The bullish move in CADJPY began late during the New York session yesterday.
The overall trend has been bearish, with the last leg showing a 3-wave extension below the accumulation zone.
Interestingly, the downtrend's origin was marked by a momentum high, suggesting that price should, at a minimum, retest that level.
So far, we've seen a completed bullish wavestructure with accumulation forming above High 3, indicating strong buyer interest.
The plan is to buy into the next bullish wavestructure once price breaks above the current internal momentum high.
Our initial target is 107.45 (the Momentum High).
Fibonacci Analysis
Using Fibonacci from the Low (0) to High (3), we see indications of further bullish potential.
The High (5) or Internal Momentum High stalled at T1 (23.6% extension) of the 0-3 wave.
This signals a likely continuation with a stronger second wave structure, aiming towards the Major Extension 1 (107.993)
Wishing you a successful trading week!
Understanding ICT Bullish Mitigation BlockA Bullish ICT Mitigation Block is a concept from Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology.
It forms at the end of a bearish trend when the price reaches a strong bullish institutional reference point, such as a bullish order block or breaker block.
Formation: It occurs when the price fails to create a lower low in a bearish trend and instead reverses to shift the market structure to the bullish side.
Identification: Look for a price level where the market attempted to break lower but was halted by significant buying pressure.
Trading Implications: This area can serve as a strong demand level, from which the price can rally further stronger because of short traders exit and long traders enter at the same area.
Multi Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Time Frame - H4
Lower Time Frame - M15
Institutional Framework:
Price Expansion (MMXM Buy Model)
Institutional Reference Points:
Bullish Mitigation
Sell Side Liquidity (SSL)
fib levels; unwritten ruleSometimes you can predict market moves by price and S-D logic. Gold consolidated at 2500$, that works as a natural fib level? ie if market (SD dynamics) is strong enough -> either 3000$ is possible or 2500$ stays the limit. Bitcoin around 75k figures out which side is stronger --> does 100k make sense or 50k is greater. Which side market leans towards most - wins. ♟️
Genus Power Infra: Bullish Breakout – Buy now for higher targets🔍 Technical Analysis: NSE:GENUSPOWER (NSE: GENUSPOWER)
1️⃣ Overview:
📈 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹430.15 (+2.26%)
🗓️ Date & Time: As of 15:25 (UTC+5:30)
🕹️ Chart Analysis: Daily (1D)
2️⃣ Technical Indicators Overview:
📊 Moving Averages:
🟢 50-Day EMA: ₹399.89, currently acting as a support zone.
🔵 200-Day EMA: ₹332.71, indicating the longer-term trend remains positive.
📦 Volume Profile: Strong demand visible between ₹360-₹380, suggesting robust buying interest at lower levels.
📈 MACD: Bullish crossover with the MACD line above the signal line, implying momentum is still positive.
MACD Line: 3.76
Signal Line: 1.04
Histogram: 📈 Positive, indicating rising momentum.
📉 Williams %R (14): At -5.59, signaling overbought conditions, which might result in a short-term pullback.
💹 Stochastic RSI (14, 3): At 100, indicating strong bullish momentum, though caution is advised as overbought zones can precede minor corrections.
🟣 Parabolic SAR: Positioned below the price, supporting the ongoing uptrend.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock is retracing from the swing high of ₹451.55 to the swing low of ₹351.05.
📐 38.2% Retracement: ₹399.30 – Strong support.
📐 50% Retracement: ₹414.05 – Intermediate resistance.
📐 61.8% Retracement: ₹428.80 – Currently breached, signaling bullish strength.
📐 78.6% Retracement: ₹442.80 – Next resistance level to watch .
4️⃣ Rationale for Buy:
🚀 Breakout above 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The breach above ₹428.80 indicates a potential continuation of the upward move.
🔥 Bullish Momentum: MACD crossover, Stochastic RSI in overbought territory, and Parabolic SAR below the price all point to a continuation of the bullish trend.
📈 Volume Surge: Increased volume activity supports the bullish move, suggesting robust buying interest.
📦 Demand Zone: The significant demand between ₹360-₹380 acts as a strong base, providing a good risk-reward opportunity for entry.
5️⃣ Recommendation:
🔔 Action: Buy
🎯 Target 1: ₹442.80 (78.6% Fibonacci Level)
🎯 Target 2: ₹451.55 (Recent Swing High)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹414.05 (50% Fibonacci Level) to protect against downside risk.
6️⃣ Risk Management:
📥 Entry Strategy: Consider entering near the current price or on minor pullbacks towards the 61.8% retracement level (₹428.80).
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 based on defined targets and stop-loss levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and market patterns and is intended for educational purposes. Market conditions may change, and this is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#GenusPower 🚀 #TechnicalAnalysis 📊 #StockMarket 📈 #FibonacciLevels 📐 #SwingTrading 💹 #MACD 🔵 #StochasticRSI 💠 #VolumeProfile 📦 #BuyRecommendation 🛒 #IndianStocks 🇮🇳 #NSE 📉 #FinogentSolutions 💼
EUR/USD Finally Finds Some Support, But Can it Build a Bounce?EUR/USD Talking Points
The strength from Q3 has been mostly erased so far in Q4, with a fast sell-off developing in EUR/USD.
In late-September the pair continued to grind away at the 1.1200 handle but not even a month later the pair has dropped by more than four big figures.
Support showed up at the 1.0761 level looked at on Tuesday. The big question now is whether that can lead to some profit taking from sellers, which could build a bounce and that can remain of interest for bears looking for lower-highs.
EUR/USD has now traded lower for 15 of the past 20 days. An amazing trend by any stretch but perhaps even more so when compared to the strength that showed in the pair during the first two months of Q3. While that prior bullish trend put in a month of grind at the 1.1200 level, eventually failing, the bear move that’s come in response has been fast and heavy. There’s been only a minimum of pullback so far and any excuse for sellers to continue pushing has so far contributed to continuation.
Last Friday brought a bit of bounce. That went along with a pullback in the USD from the 200-day moving average. But support soon showed at a key zone in DXY and bulls were off to the races (and bears in EUR/USD) after this week’s open.
In EUR/USD, that resistance earlier in the week played-in right off the underside of the 200-day moving average.
At this point the challenge is chasing an oversold trend as RSI on the daily remains in oversold territory on EUR/USD. There has been a bounce showing thus far at Tuesday's level looked around 1.0761. That price is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last year’s sell-off, and its confluent with a trendline originating from last year’s low.
EUR/USD Longer-Term
Just as I was saying in September when strength was all the range, EUR/USD remains in a range that’s been in-play since last year’s open. There have certainly been some clean shorter-term trends in the confines of that ranging backdrop, and we’ve made a fast move towards the support side of that range but if we do see sellers continuing to push, those values could soon come into play.
The current 2024 low plots around the 1.0611 Fibonacci level, which is the 38.2% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move. On the below weekly chart, I’ve linked that level to the shorter-term Fibonacci level at 1.0643 to create the next support zone, down.
Below that, it’s the 1.0500 level that put up considerable fight for about a month before leading to a turn a year ago.
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist